Gold price analysis July 8In the previous US session, strong buying pressure pushed gold prices up and formed a bullish hammer candlestick pattern on the D1 chart - a potential sign for an uptrend recovery.
🔄 Today's scenario: The correction in the early session is considered a good opportunity to buy, expecting the price to continue the uptrend.
📍 Nearest resistance zone:
The price is currently facing the resistance zone of 3344 in the European session. If gold breaks 3344, the next target will be 3365 - the gap zone that has not been filled.
However, according to the wave structure, it would be more optimal if the price has a retest to the 3320 zone, accumulates more buying momentum and then breaks out strongly through 3344.
📉 Bearish scenario:
If 3320 is broken, especially with a trendline and support zone breakout signal, a sell strategy can be activated with a lower target.
🔸 Support: 3320 – 3297
🔸 Resistance: 3345 – 3352 – 3365
🔸 Sell is triggered if: Price breaks 3320, confirms breaking trendline & support zone.
💬 Do you have any comments on this trading plan? Leave a comment!
Goldsignals
Seize the correction: It’s the right time to short goldThe current rebound is only a technical adjustment rather than a trend reversal. The rebound in the falling market is a good opportunity to arrange short orders. The hourly chart shows that the moving average pressure continues to move down to around 3340-3345. This position also serves as the long-short watershed in the previous intensive trading area, forming a key resistance barrier. If the gold price rebounds and approaches the area below 3345 and a stagflation signal appears or a top structure is formed, it can be regarded as a clear short signal. It is recommended to enter the market to seize the downward space. The current market direction is clear, and the exhaustion of the rebound is the best time to enter the market. Relying on the technical pressure level, the short position can be accurately arranged.
XAUUSD is getting ready to explode to $4000Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) having practically been accumulating since the April 22 High. Ever since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) turned into a long-term Support (2023), Gold has experienced similar Accumulation Phases another 3 times.
On all of those occasions, the price broke out to the upside in the form of a Channel Up, reaching at least the 2.5 Fibonacci extension.
With the 1D MACD close to forming a Bullish Cross around the 0.0 mark, which is the level that always started the Channel Up during those 3 previous Accumulation Phases, we expect the market to start breaking upwards and towards the end of the year hit at least $4000.
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Gold Under Pressure After NFP Beat – More Downside Ahead?Moments ago, the US Non-Farm Payrolls surprised to the upside at 147K (vs 111K forecast), while the Unemployment Rate dropped to 4.1% (vs 4.3% expected) .
This stronger-than-expected labor market data reinforces the idea that the Fed has no immediate reason to cut rates. As a result, the USD( TVC:DXY ) strengthened, and gold came under renewed selling pressure.
If the dollar momentum continues, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) may face further downside in the short term.
In terms of Technical Analysis , Gold fell below the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) again after the announcement of US indices and is currently moving near the Support lines and 50_SMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulsive waves in the one-hour time frame, and we should now wait for corrective waves .
I expect Gold to fall again after the upward correction , and the Support zone($3,312-$3,290) could be the target.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,365
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold Faces Pressure After Rejection at $3,376 ResistanceFenzoFx—Gold dropped from the $3,376.0 resistance, a level reinforced by the anchored VWAP. June’s bounce at $3,250.0 marks a key support for the broader bullish trend.
If the $3,250.0 support holds, XAU/USD can potentially resume its uptrend. However, a close below $3,236.6 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Gold Consolidates Around 3,310 – Waiting for a Breakout📊 Market Developments:
• Gold is currently holding near $3,310, which aligns with the weekly pivot level on TradingView.
• With the upcoming FOMC minutes and key data (CPI, NFP) approaching, the market remains cautious. The USD is stable, keeping gold in a tight range.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Short-term Resistance: $3,325–3,335 (H4 supply zone)
• Nearest Support: $3,300–3,305 (weekly pivot + H1/H4 lows)
• EMA 09 on H4: Price is trading below EMA09 → short-term bearish bias.
• Candlestick/Volume/Momentum: Lower highs on H4 candles with declining volume indicate weak buying momentum and a possible continuation of consolidation or mild pullback.
📌 Outlook:
• As long as gold stays below $3,305 and the USD remains firm, a pullback toward $3,300–3,295 is likely.
• A break above the $3,325–3,335 resistance zone could trigger a rally toward $3,350 or higher.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,322–3,325
🎯 TP: $3,300
❌ SL: $3,332
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300–3,303
🎯 TP: $3,325–3,335
❌ SL: $3,295
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for Gold for next week.
Resistance 1: 3356 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3391 - 3403 area
Resistance 3: 3443 - 3452 area
Resistance 4: 3493 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3230 - 3274 area
Support 2: 3120 - 3177 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD Weekly Chart Buying area📊 XAU/USD (Gold) Price Analysis – 4H Chart
🕒 Date: July 6, 2025
🔍 Technical Overview:
Gold is currently trading around the $3,337 level, showing signs of consolidation after a recent bounce.
🔸 Key Zones:
🟡 Resistance Area 1: $3,295 - $3,310
🟡 Resistance Area 2: $3,250 - $3,270
🟡 Target Zone: $3,390 - $3,410
📈 Possible Scenarios:
Price may retrace to the $3,295 - $3,310 resistance area, hold support, and aim for the $3,390 - $3,410 target zone.
A deeper pullback to the lower $3,250 - $3,270 resistance turned support area may occur before a stronger bullish move.
Breakout confirmation will come on a clean close above the $3,337 level with volume.
📌 Bias: Bullish above the $3,295 level
📌 Watch for: Bullish price action or liquidity grabs near support zones
💡 This setup is based on structure, liquidity zones, and institutional footprints.
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview:
U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360
• Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328
• EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend.
• Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible.
💡 Trade Ideas:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345
🎯 TP: $3,322
❌ SL: $3,348
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325
🎯 TP: $3,345
❌ SL: $3,316
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD.. market palced around 3317 18 as day low so far but hour closed above 3323 that was our area.
so keep close our region that is around 3320 to 3323
that is our ultimate region for now and if market hold it in that case we can expect bounce again
NOTE: below 3320 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD (XAUUSD): Potential Scenarios Explained
Here is my updated technical outlook for Gold with potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
The price is currently testing a significant daily resistance cluster.
Its bullish breakout and a daily candle close above 3368 will
provide a strong confirmation.
More growth will be expected then.
Bearish Scenario
For now, the market is consolidating on the underlined resistance.
The price is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4H time frame now.
Your bearish signal will be a breakout of its support and a 4H candle
close below 3310.
It will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
The market might be weak and remain within a 4H range today.
But, everything can happen, so watch carefully.
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XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch:
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🔼 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels:
🎯 3385 – Minor resistance
🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone
A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally.
---
🔽 Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels:
🛑 3320 – Near-term support
🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone
Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
Gold Drops as NFP Beats, USD Gains📊 Market Overview:
• June’s Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at +147K (vs 110K forecast), with unemployment ticking down to 4.1%.
• The US Dollar surged (DXY up ~0.5%) and Treasury yields rebounded following the release.
• Gold dropped sharply after the report, hitting a session low of $3,311 and is now trading around $3,328.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,364
• Immediate Support: $3,311
• EMA 09 (H1): Price is below the 09 EMA → confirms short-term bearish trend.
• Pattern / Momentum: A bearish engulfing candle near $3,364 signaled strong seller control. The failure to bounce afterward suggests persistent bearish pressure. RSI is tilting lower, confirming weakening momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline toward the $3,300–$3,290 area if USD and yields remain firm, especially if upcoming US data (such as ISM Services PMI) also supports the dollar strength.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,333 – $3,335
🎯 TP: $3,300
❌ SL: $3,339
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,293 – $3,290
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,287
Continue to maintain the rhythm of short tradingUnder the influence of NFP, gold fell sharply as expected. What I had suggested before was proven correct by the market again. "Gold rose in advance to reserve room for the NFP market to fall." After NFP, gold fell to around 3311 and the decline narrowed. Therefore, we accurately seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3312 and set TP: 3330. Obviously, gold successfully hit TP during the rebound and made an easy profit of 180 pips.
From the current gold structure, gold encountered resistance and retreated twice near 3365, and built a double top structure in the short-term structure. In order to eliminate the suppression of the double top structure, gold still needs to continue to fall after the rebound. After the cliff-like decline of gold, the short-term resistance is in the 3340-3345 area, and the short-term support below is in the 3320-3310 area.
So I think that gold can still continue to short gold after the rebound, and I have already shorted gold around 3336 with the 3340-3345 area as resistance. Now we just need to wait patiently for gold to hit TP. Let us wait and see!
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview:
• Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz.
• The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached.
• Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330.
• EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend.
• Candle/Momentum Indicators:
o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance;
o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance.
📌 Viewpoint:
Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,370
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,325
I have shorted gold as expected and held on patientlyEven under the influence of the ADP data, which is bullish for the gold market, gold has not effectively broken through 3350, and even showed signs of falling back after rising several times. The resistance above is becoming more and more obvious, which may further weaken the market's bullish sentiment and confidence, thereby strengthening the dominance of the bears.
Although gold has not effectively fallen yet, from the perspective of the gold structure, even if gold wants to rise, it still needs to be backtested and support confirmed before rising, and the current retracement is far from enough, so gold still has a need for structural retracement; and before the NFP market, gold rose slowly but was far from enough to break upward, and there was no volume support, so the illusion of gold rising may be to lure and capture more bulls;
Therefore, out of caution, I try to avoid chasing gold at high levels; and I believe that shorting gold is still the first choice for short-term trading at present. And I have executed short trades in the 3340-3350 area according to the trading plan, and held it patiently. I hope that gold can retreat to the 3320-3310-3300 area as expected.
Gold Sees Volatile Swings – Pullback Risk Remains📊 Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,351
• Nearest Support: $3,334
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,334
❌ SL: $3,353
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 – $3,334
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,323
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance
Gold went overbought after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A formation of multiple bearish imbalance candles on an hourly time frame
signifies a local dominance of the sellers.
The price will continue retracing at least to 3323 support.
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Gold Trading Strategy June 27✏️The price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday.
Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255.
Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255.
As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals.
📈 Key Levels
Break out: 3296
Support: 3278-3255
Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272
SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
Gold Rebound Underway – Support Zone Holds Strong! - Short termGold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), as I anticipated in the previous idea , has attacked the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Support lines .
From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Gold has completed 5 sub-waves of the main wave C .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,307 in the coming hours.
Second Target: $3,321
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,240
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.