XAUUSD Analysis today: Unemployment spike? Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Goldsignals
Rebounds are opportunities to short goldAt present, gold has tried to fall below the 3200 mark and completely broke the recent low support, laying the foundation for the downward structure. As the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the upper resistance also moves down to the 3210-3220 area. The relatively clear support below in the short term is in the 3165-3160 area, and after breaking this area, it may even continue to the 3105-3100 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3210-3220 area, TP: 3180-3170
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Gold Testing PRZ & Resistance Zone-Short Opportunity? Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved according to yesterday's analysis and the position that was Risk-To-Reward:1.61 and hit the target of this position. Do you think Gold will continue its correction, or should we wait for the next gold rally to start?
Gold is trading in the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the Resistance lines .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , it seems possible that an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern could form.
Educational note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be in corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support lines again , at least I think you can find a good Risk-To-Reward in PRZ for short positions .
Note: If Gold touches $3,292 [ Worst Stop Loss(SL) ], we can expect further gains.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook & Trading Plan
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Gold is currently in a consolidation stage.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal channel on a daily
and we see a test of its support at the moment.
With the absence of high impact news in the economic calendar,
I assume that a consolidation will continue and there is a high
chance to see a pullback.
Your confirmation signal will be a bullish breakout and a 4H candle close
above 3271 - upper boundary of the intraday horizontal range.
There will be a strong possibility of a rise to at least to 3320 level.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a support of the range on a daily
and a daily candle close below that may trigger a further decline.
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XAUUAD UPDATE-14-5-2025This chart shows the 1-hour price movement for Gold (XAU/USD) and presents a technical analysis setup. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Chart Patterns:
Descending Triangle Pattern: The blue lines form a descending triangle, with lower highs and a relatively flat support near 3,232.
Support Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately 3,232 and 3,111 — identified as a key demand zone.
Resistance Zone (Top Yellow Box): Around 3,430 — a potential price target if the price breaks out upwards.
2. Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Near the lower support (~3,232).
Take Profit (TP): Around 3,430 — suggested by the red horizontal box.
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,111 — marked by the green area.
Risk-Reward Ratio: This appears to be favorable (target is wider than the risk).
3. Volume Insight:
Volume bars show decreasing volume during consolidation, which often precedes a breakout.
4. Prediction:
Bullish Breakout Expected: The chart suggests a potential breakout above the descending triangle, targeting the 3,430 zone.
Gold has recently broke through the call entry!Market Analysis Update: Gold Price Movement
Gold has recently broken through the Call Entry (CE) level of the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a possible continuation of upward momentum in the short term. Based on current price action and technical indicators, we are expecting gold to continue moving higher. This move may potentially target the liquidity resting above previous swing highs, as traders' stop losses in those areas are likely to be triggered, fueling the upward trend.
Once this liquidity is cleared, there is a notable resistance zone marked in the 3270–3274 range, commonly referred to as the "black zone." This area is likely to act as a key decision point. If price reaches this zone and exhibits signs of bearish confirmation (such as rejection candles, divergence, or other reversal signals), there may be a potential selling opportunity from that level.
Additionally, it is worth noting that there is a trendline drawn below the current market structure, which may also attract price action. This trendline represents another area where liquidity might be collected before any significant directional move occurs.
Thank you for your attention to this analysis. If there is anything in the explanation that you find unclear or if you have questions about specific terms or concepts, feel free to ask for clarification.
Bullish Reversal Forming at Key Support Zone – Targeting 3,450Instrument: Unspecified (likely XAU/USD or an index, judging by the price range)
Current Price: ~3,250.100
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,284.255
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,287.152
🟣 Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 3,200 – a strong demand zone where price previously bounced.
Target Zone: Around 3,450 – the last major resistance and recent high.
📉 Current Price Action:
Price recently tested the support zone and is forming a potential double bottom pattern.
EMAs are above the price, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the price holding support may suggest a possible reversal.
A bullish trajectory is drawn, projecting a potential rise toward the target zone at 3,450.
📈 Potential Trade Idea (Hypothetical):
Entry: Near current price or on pullback to the small support box (~3,240)
Stop-loss: Below the major support (~3,190)
Take-profit: Around 3,450
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Price needs to break above the EMAs to confirm momentum shift.
Watch for confirmation with bullish candlesticks or volume spike.
Failure to hold the 3,200 support could invalidate this setup.
XAU/USD Forming Higher Lows – Eyes on Breakout Zone
Gold is showing signs of bullish momentum after rebounding from key support near 3,207. If price sustains above this level and breaks 3,265 resistance, a potential upside continuation could be expected. Monitoring for confirmation of trend reversal.
Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. "
Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) .
It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens.
The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890.
Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD first time to hit the 4H MA200 in a month.Gold (XAUUSD) hit its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) today for the first time since April 08. That was a Higher Low at the bottom of the Bullish Megaphone pattern and produced its Aril 22 All Time High (ATH).
Since then, the market has been correcting under a Lower Highs trend-line, due to the de-escalation of the Trade War and today's 4H MA200 is so far a Double Bottom on a potential Descending Triangle.
Its last Bullish Leg peaked on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, so we are now turning bullish targeting 3375 (current 0.786 Fib).
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(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
Last week’s KOG Report didn’t really go the way we wanted! We got the move we wanted initially into the low, then the long upside, but the levels we wanted to short from again were smashed through. We managed to navigate and adapt to the move and after changing the plan on the FOMC KOG Report we ended again with an extremely decent week on Gold.
As we’ve always said, when markets don’t go our way, don’t hold on to hope. If you're in the wrong way, accept your wrong and change your bias, this will not only save your account but together with the right risk management, you’ll be able to come out of the market in positive for the week.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
We have some news over the weekend that can open us up with gaps, otherwise Monday should be a ranging day and we’ll see some action Tuesday onwards. For this week we’ve added the red boxes for everyone, the indicator is working like a dream and allowing our traders to scalp, swing trade and day trade across the 15min/1h/4h timeframes. So please take note of them!
The problem we have this week is the structure entails two possible moves by the way they’ve set this up. For that reason, we’ll look at the key levels on the red boxes for the break and close together with KOG’s red box targets and bias of the week, before we commit to the market other than scalping.
We have the key level below 3306-10 support which if held again can push upside this time in attempt to break through the 3330 level and target the 3350-55 and above that 3365 region before a RIP. 3360 is the level to watch, if broken above and supported, we can start again with longs into that 3400+ region, but only on confirmation.
The ideal scenario here for us is a break of this symmetrical pattern in one direction, then applying our trading strategy to it which will confirm the move, we can only do this once it’s broken and then update you with the plan.
For now, we’ll play the red boxes and of course wait for our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us. As always, we will update the wider community as we go through the week.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306, 3301, 3297, 3285 and 3274
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310, 3306, 3298, 3293, 3285 and 3279 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Risk aversion in China-US negotiations cools down!Gold closed with an "inverted hammer" positive line this week. The upper shadow line was mainly due to the continued stimulation of gold's safe-haven properties by the news at the beginning of the week. However, the tariff war with previous lessons helped the gold price to hit a historical high of 3500. The reaction of gold prices to this news this week was not as enthusiastic as before, which also led to the stop of the rise at 3439. The announcement of the interest rate decision in the second half of the week was in line with expectations. The gold price plunged 170 points in two days and stabilized above the 3300 mark as of yesterday's closing. Based on the previous evening star combination and this week's inverted hammer, it is believed that the gold price will continue to fall next week and will close below the real time, that is, below 3306.
From the perspective of daily K, this week is generally a trend of rising and falling, and a slight rebound follows after the decline at the end of the week. Weekly Review We continue with the analysis of the second half of the week. From the perspective of the gold price trend since the high point of 3500, the first wave of decline has been considered to be over. The rebound from 3200 to 3439 did not exceed the previous high, so we will continue to analyze the second wave of decline, and strictly implement this idea in the operation. Now the overall trend of gold prices is also the same. Next week's operation will focus on the key suppression position of 3378 near the end of the week. If it cannot stand firm in the first half of the week, there is still a lot of room for further decline.
From the four-hour level, the triangle convergence pattern we analyzed is still there. Unexpectedly, there was a false break of the lower track in the Asian session on Friday. Next week, we still need to continue to pay attention to the support of this position. In general, next week, we will first pay attention to the operation of the range from 3378 to 3274, and wait for the break before I will re-analyze the structure. Once again, I would like to remind you that the news market is repeated, and the base of gold prices is too large, so the intraday volatility has also increased. It is also common to go up and down more than 100 points in a single day. Everyone needs to pay attention to the risk control of their positions.
In the short term, if we move to the hourly level, we can analyze the last wave of structure. The gold price rebounded after breaking through 3288 in the Asian session on Friday. After this action, the gold price rebounded quickly. Let’s not talk about who has the upper hand. From the last wave of rebound, the continuation is insufficient. If it is a restart of the bulls, the European and American sessions also need to cross the previous downward high point of 3368 to confirm. However, the European session was sideways throughout, and the US session also slightly continued the rebound trend and closed hastily. Therefore, at the opening of next week, it is necessary to continue to watch the gold price to test the support of the low point of the Asian session on Friday. In general, the operation ideas for next week are mainly high-altitude, and low-long also look at the rebound short-term.
XAU/USD: Gold Regains Strength After Pullback – New Highs Ahead?By analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, gold surged above $3400, reaching as high as $3439 before facing strong selling pressure, dropping sharply to $3359.
Currently, gold is trading around $3385, and if the price can hold above $3366, we may expect further bullish momentum. I believe gold is setting up for another move above $3400, potentially aiming to break into new highs once again.
THE LATEST ANALYSIS :
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XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold's Bearish Momentum Builds from PRZ-Short SetupGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to decline exactly from PRZ (previous idea) as I expected in my previous idea . And with the loss of the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) we can expect further decline.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357 ) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From the Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed a five-wave impuls e and we should expect corrective waves . Since the momentum of the second decline that broke the Support zone($3,387-$3,357) is high , the correction is expected to continue and Gold appears to be completing a pullback .
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The US Unemployment Claims Index was also released a few minutes ago, and let's take a look and examine the possible impact on Gold .
This better-than-expected data confirms a stronger U.S. labor market , reducing the urgency for the Fed to cut rates anytime soon .
Impact on Gold :
A resilient job market supports the hawkish stance of the Fed , which could keep downward pressure on Gold in the short term as yields and the dollar remain firm.
However, traders should remain cautious and watch for upcoming data and Fed commentary, which could shift the tone.
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I expect Gold to start falling from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) to the targets I have indicated on the chart. The first target could be around $3,319 .
Note: If Gold touches $3,401(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect the resistance lines to break and gold to rise further.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Breakout Zone, Key SupportGold (XAU/USD) is gaining strength after rebounding from trendline support, forming a sharp impulsive move and now hovering near a potential breakout zone. Momentum remains bullish, as the price reclaims previous highs and eyes the upper resistance boundary around 3,495.000.
The structure favors trend continuation as long as price remains above the key support zone at 3,345.000, where trendline and previous day’s high converge. A sustained move above 3,400 could confirm a breakout, but the risk of a false breakout remains.
Currently, the price is consolidating above a critical intersection of trendline and horizontal support near 3,300. This level must hold for bulls to retain control. A bounce from this zone would support a move toward the upper resistance, with the next target at 3,495.000. However, a break below 3,345.000 may invalidate the setup and lead to deeper correction
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Our NFP KOG Report worked pretty well apart from it being a Friday and us closing out positions for the weekend only for the move to complete on Monday. For this FOMC we’ll share the levels and potential reaction points on the red boxes as well as the red box target levels. Due to the range, it’s best to wait for the break and also for them to move the price to where they want, then hunt the trade once price has settled.
We have the immediate support level below 3360-55 which if held can push this upside to break the recent high and that 3480-90 level again. Break of that level we have red box region 3330-20 which is where we could get a RIP but that will give us the flip with potential for the order region 3350-55 to turn into resistance unless broken. For that reason, a down move for now could only give scalps for decent captures on tap and bounces.
3320 is the line in the sand, if broken below we’ll get the long from the 3290-95 region which will come next week.
Note, these days it’s only Trump that manages to move the markets aggressively, so this FOMC is most likely already priced in. Not worth attempting the immediate levels so we’ll rather wait for the extreme levels.
RED BOXES INDI LEVELS:
Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430 and 3435 in extension of the move
Break below 3375 for 3370, 3366, 3356, 3351 and 3345 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.