XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Goldsignals
Gold Bearish Trend Analysis
Here’s an analysis for US30 Empire on why we believe Gold will continue to go down:
Gold Bearish Trend Analysis
We believe Gold is likely to continue its downward trajectory for several reasons, as outlined below:
Stronger US Dollar: Gold typically moves inversely to the strength of the US dollar. Recently, the US dollar has gained momentum due to positive economic data, including stronger-than-expected employment numbers and steady GDP growth. As the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, leading to reduced demand and a price decline.
Rising Interest Rates: While inflation has shown signs of slowing, central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, have kept interest rates relatively high. Rising rates reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, as investors seek better returns in interest-bearing assets such as bonds. This continued environment of high rates pressures gold prices downward.
Diminishing Safe-Haven Demand: During times of heightened market uncertainty, gold often acts as a safe-haven asset. However, as global economic conditions stabilize and investors show increasing confidence in risk assets like equities, the demand for gold as a hedge against risk declines. This shift in sentiment puts downward pressure on gold prices.
Technical Indicators: From a technical standpoint, gold has recently broken below key support levels, confirming a bearish trend. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is also showing signs of being overbought, indicating that a pullback is due. Additionally, moving averages are indicating downward momentum, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Reduced Inflation Fears: While inflation was a major driver for gold in the past, the recent easing of inflationary pressures reduces the need for gold as an inflation hedge. As inflation expectations moderate, gold loses its primary appeal, contributing to downward price movement.
GOLD SELLING ZONE WITH CPI AHEAD 4HRHELLO TRADERS
As I can see Gold on shorter TF it could drop till these levels bestselling zone drawn based on technical re-test after breakout to downside on channel and tested fib Golden ratio 0.50 Friends chart is easy and simple to read technically we can see a stronger DXY pulling toward 106.00 levels geopolitical issue are going on but technically its was overbought and Weekley RSI above on 70 zone incoming strong CPI Data can make some volatile moves in markets this week Russian president Putin Continue talk with Trump on Ukraine War Friends it's just a trade idea only based on technical analysis share Ur thoughts with us and Stay Tuned for more updates
XAUUSD trading plan with focus on the 1D MA50.Gold (XAUUSD) is on the 2nd straight red day following Friday's rejection, which is in contrast to Thursday's promising rebound and green 1D candle it showed on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, the trend remains bullish within the 5-month Channel Up and our 2800 Target remains intact. As you can see, especially if we observe the 1D RSI fractals, it is a similar (a-e) sequence to the February 14 - May 01 2024 uptrend. Right now it appears that this is phase (e) on the 1D MA50 with the RSI in the lower levels of neutrality (almost bearish).
If on the other hand Gold closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 (which will be the first time since July 02, more than 4 months), we will take the small loss on the buy and short instead, targeting the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), with a current Target at 2560 (but can change to adapt on the 1D MA100).
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Will XAUUSD Sell This Week?I'm eyeing a sell opportunity in gold (XAUUSD), targeting the 2660 level for an ideal short entry. The price is expected to dip towards 2630, a significant support zone, where a potential reversal could occur. If the market finds strength there, we may see a bounce as buyers step in.
Geopolitical tensions continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal, but a stronger dollar or global risk-off sentiment may keep downward pressure in the short term. Monitoring price action closely around these levels for potential setups.
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my updated structure analysis and
important supports & resistances on Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2708 - 2732 area
Resistance 2: 2745 - 2761 area
Resistance 3: 2787 - 2790 area
Support 1: 2638 - 2648 area
Support 2: 2586 - 2608 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
For now, we can expect a bearish pressure from a Horizontal & Vertical Resistances 1.
Local bearish bias remains.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD ON SUPPORT, POSSIBLE PULLBACKGold has retraced over 61%, reaching a key support zone that indicates a potential reversal to the upside. On the 4-hour timeframe, a broad Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed between $2678 and $2701, which we anticipate may fill as the price rebounds. However, there remains a possibility of further downside momentum, which could lead to a deeper test of the support zone before a reversal fully takes hold.
XAU/USD : Gold Set for a Move as U.S. Election Sparks VolatilityBy analyzing the #Gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe several reactions to the demand levels we identified. Yesterday, we saw an initial bounce from the $2733 zone, with a 70-pip rise taking it close to $2740. Later, this morning, the price dipped below $2730 and reached the $2727 zone, where it was met with strong demand, resulting in a sharp increase of over 200 pips up to $2745.
Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and I expect it to soon make another move toward the liquidity pools above $2745 and $2748. After that, keep an eye on the price reaction at $2752.
Note that today is the U.S. election day, and the market may experience significant volatility. Be cautious with your trades!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold Analysis==>>Falling ContinuesGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has already started falling from the Resistance zone($2,751-$2,746) and the Resistance line ( in the 15-minute time frame ).
According to Elliott wave theory , Gold seems to have completed main wave 4 , which has a structure of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Gold to fall to at least the Support zone($2,734-$2,731) , and if the Support zone breaks , we can confirm the end of main wave 4 , and most likely, Gold will fall to $2,721 .
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Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Gold's Next Move: Key Levels to Watch for Bulls and Bearshello guys.
Let's dive into FOREXCOM:XAUUSD analysis!
Channel Support: Gold is currently trading within an upward channel, showing steady bullish momentum.
Correction Point: The price appears to be correcting, aiming to test the 50% retracement level of the last upward spike, around $2,721.50. This area aligns with strong support, often referred to as the "last hunting area."
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Scenario: If gold finds support at the $2,721 zone and reverses, it could rally back up to challenge the previous resistance near $2,770–$2,780, maintaining the bullish trend.
Bearish Scenario: A break below the $2,721 support could indicate a deeper correction, potentially targeting the lower boundary of the channel.
GOLD BREAKS ON SUPPORT, $2710 NEXT?We've identified a breakout below the support level on the hourly timeframe. Currently, we are observing a pullback, and we anticipate a continuation of the downtrend toward the support region around $2710. Additionally, the bearish gap opening on the DXY suggests that any effort to fill this gap will likely strengthen the USD, driving XXXUSD pairs further downward.
XAUUSD 2738 +0.08% SHORT IDEA PRICE ACTION MULTI TF ANALYSIS HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at GOLD from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GOLD DAILY TF
* Still in a strong bullish momentum, with Friday coming with some signs of bearish sentiment.
* The weekly & daily TF show signs of bullish continuation on Gold.
* As Gold took internal range LQ, looking for that external range LQ to be taken.
* Friday closed leaving a FVG- This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bullish to confirm a move lower on GOLD.
GOLD 4H TF
* Looking for the week to open bullish because our HTF BIAS is BULLISH (PO3) .
* WEEK open I will probably be looking for short positions before looking long.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the hourly ERL > IRL.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,BOOST & LETS TAKES SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
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SMASH THAT SOPPORT BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
XAUUSD Long term selling can start as early as now. Target 2550.Almost 3 months ago (August 19, see chart below) we gave a bullish medium-term signal on Gold (XAUUSD) that almost hit our 2800 Target last week:
We are high enough to take profits as the target was missed by just 10 points. On top of that, the price is very close to what we consider the absolute top potential of this pattern (Fibonacci level 1.0 at 2900), so from a R/R perspective the return isn't worth the risk.
In addition the 1W RSI is deeply overbought (above 80.00), which is always a bearish sign, even on the medium-term. But this exact 1W RSI overbought (Double) Top, was seen on the August 03 2020 High, which was the Top of the previous Cycle.
As you can see this cyclical pattern frequency holds since 2016 and based on the last Cycle alone, we can sell and initially target the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2550. On the longer term, we can expect a bottom on this sequence closer to the 0.618 Fib (Target 2 at 2350).
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XAU/USD : Another Bullish Move Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected last night, gold showed an upward movement with the market opening. After maintaining its position above the noted support level, it reached the targets of $2739 and $2744. Currently, gold is trading around $2742, and we’ll need to watch over the next two hours to see if it can stabilize above this level.
The key demand zones are $2738.6-$2739.7 and $2727-$2733, while the important supply zones are $2747, $2752, and $2757.
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear ? NFP's coming! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart in the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as observed last night, gold dropped sharply from $2782 to $2731, creating a significant liquidity gap. As mentioned yesterday, the first key demand zone was between $2733-$2735, and once the price reached this critical zone, it was met with buying pressure, leading to a rebound of over 250 pips, taking gold up to $2757. Currently, gold is trading around $2752, with the NFP report ahead.
If the NFP data comes in lower than the forecast, it could push gold to higher levels. Conversely, if the data is higher than expected, we might see further declines in gold. There’s no certainty here, so I prefer to observe rather than make any trades on gold today.
Good luck, friends!
XAUUSD Up Trend ContinuationXAUUSD experienced a deeper pullback following yesterday's news release and has since bounced off a support level, signaling a potential entry into a consolidation phase. With another busy day of news events ahead, we could witness increased volatility and market spikes. The market may pull back further, potentially taking liquidity below the previous day's low and retesting the psychological level at 2700 before resuming its upward movement. The target is the resistance zone around 2770
GOLD (XAUUSD): Buying After Pullback
With a yesterday's bearish movement, Gold dropped to
a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
A cup & handle pattern formation on that is a reliable signal to buy.
With a high probability, the price will reach 2769 level soon.
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Nonfarm Trading PlanFundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets next week and announces its monetary policy decision on Thursday, November 7. The odds of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut are 94.5%, down slightly from 95.5% last week. However, market players are still weighing whether a Republican victory in the upcoming presidential election could force the Fed to slow its easing.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to keep its interest rate target unchanged at 0.25% on Thursday and reiterated its forecast for inflation to remain near its 2% target. The announcement weighed on the Japanese Yen (JPY), supporting the US Dollar.
Asian and European stock indexes fell sharply, leading Wall Street to a second straight day of declines. Focus now shifts to the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, due out on Friday. The economy is expected to add 113,000 new jobs in October, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.
Technical Analysis
After a sharp drop in gold prices last night in the US session, gold recovered from the 2730 area. The 2732 area is considered an important session port area when the market's momentum begins to jump into the market. The Asian breakout zone is also noted around 2744 for scalping around the European session when selling pressure returns. Currently, gold cannot break 2754, so gold will have a push to 44 and 30 before Nonfarm. According to this scenario, Nonfarm gold will continue to sweep down first and it will be difficult to push up after Nonfarm. Pay attention to the 2720 and 2710 zones when nonfarm is announced. If gold breaks to the 2754 zone, it will be pushed back to the 2761 and 2773 zones to execute the SELL plan.