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THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Our NFP KOG Report worked pretty well apart from it being a Friday and us closing out positions for the weekend only for the move to complete on Monday. For this FOMC we’ll share the levels and potential reaction points on the red boxes as well as the red box target levels. Due to the range, it’s best to wait for the break and also for them to move the price to where they want, then hunt the trade once price has settled. We have the immediate support level below 3360-55 which if held can push this upside to break the recent high and that 3480-90 level again. Break of that level we have red box region 3330-20 which is where we could get a RIP but that will give us the flip with potential for the order region 3350-55 to turn into resistance unless broken. For that reason, a down move for now could only give scalps for decent captures on tap and bounces. 3320 is the line in the sand, if broken below we’ll get the long from the 3290-95 region which will come next week. Note, these days it’s only Trump that manages to move the markets aggressively, so this FOMC is most likely already priced in. Not worth attempting the immediate levels so we’ll rather wait for the extreme levels. RED BOXES INDI LEVELS: Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430 and 3435 in extension of the move Break below 3375 for 3370, 3366, 3356, 3351 and 3345 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Gold Weekly Outlook - XAUUSD May 5th- May 9th🌍 XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – “Gold’s Cooling Off… Or Just Reloading? 🔁💥” 📅 Week of May 5–9, 2025 After breaking records with a fiery move into 3533, Gold just blinked. But is this the start of a deeper pullback — or simply a power nap before another skyrocket? Let’s break it down. 🧱 Macro Structure: 🔹 Massive bullish expansion from sub-2000 to 3533 → clear weekly BOS & continuation 🔹 First real retracement candle after months of nonstop gains 🔹 Price now hovering around the 3240–3270 mid-range FVG zone 🔑 Key Weekly Levels + Real Confluence: 📍 Price Range Zone Type What’s Here & Why It Matters 3533 🔺 ATH / Weak High Top liquidity grab + Premium high — supply reaction confirmed 3480–3510 ⚠ Reversal OB zone Weekly OB + clean FVG + sell-off origin = potential rejection zone 3240–3270 🔵 Micro Demand Mid-imbalance fill + minor OB + current retest base 3050–3100 🟦 Weekly Demand Block Big boy OB + 50% FIB retrace + macro HL zone → sniper reentry magnet 2750–2850 🧠 Strong HTF Demand Long-term CHoCH zone + discount imbalance stack = last line of defense 🔎 Weekly Confluences: ✅ SMC: BOS confirmed, CHoCH flipped in 2023 = macro bullish bias holds 📐 FIBO: 3050–3100 = perfect golden pocket (50%) of last full impulse 📊 EMA 5/21: Full bullish lock, no signs of EMA cross down 🔥 Liquidity: Above 3533 = final weak highs, below 3050 = deep liquidity pool 🧭 Bias Summary: Bullish overall, but watching for: A trap sell into 3050–3100 (clean sniper reentry zone) 🧲 Liquidity grab near 3300+ that could fuel another leg up or fakeout 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
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by GoldMindsFX
YOUR SEEING THIS NOT BY ACCIDENT (GOLD SWING) remember this idea before, way early to short right? Now its the time to short it. initial and 2nd tp zone. probable the swing tp could be 2700-2600 or lower. See this a liquidity grab on internal/inside a monthly basis chart. This is not a random as you see this, it means you trade this for Long shot or swing thot. Guys this idea is on my self only. This is not a financial advice. See you again next week. The previous news or the ADP NFP are non sense. we a make a new highs again once this idea works? This is only my view. sharing this could turn your idea to swing trades. Follow for more.
PShort
by D1GITALTRADES
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience. 🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan. 📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy • Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence • Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout • Confluence:  – Untouched OB + FVG  – Price locked above M30 EMA100  – Discounted fib zone  – RSI bounce on M15 • Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78 • Result: +300 pips Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait. 🧠 NY Session Notes • No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure • Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in • Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium • TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit 💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed 📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy? 💭 How did your NY session go? 👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session. 📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive. We don’t predict. We react. And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
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by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Market Update – April 23, 2025“Bulls Are Alive, But Not Rushing – Gold Builds in Discount Trenches 🏗️🟢” 🔍 Macro + Context HTF Bias: Still bullish. Daily candle shows strong rejection wick from below 3280 → bulls defending structure. LTF Flow: Bearish → Clean CHoCH + BOS chain (H1–M15) from 3455 ATH zone → currently building base. Current Price: ~3294 RSI: Starting to climb from oversold on M15–M30 → first hints of a potential shift. 📈 Confirmed Structural Updates 🔻 Sell Zones (Premium) Zone Range Type Confluences 🔴 3450–3455 ATH Supply HTF OB + 1.618 Fibo Liquidity + Rejection Block 🔴 3414–3422 NY Session OB Retest Zone M30 OB + Last Reaction High 🟠 3380–3395 Flip Zone H1–M30 Rejection Block EMA Lock + FVG + CHoCH 🟢 Buy Zones (Discount) Zone Range Type Confluences 🟢 3280–3288 LTF Demand Reentry Zone M5-M15 OB + Recent Wick Defense 💚 3220–3235 HTF Demand Stronger Demand Zone H4 OB + D1 EQ zone + Weekly Pivot 🔵 3170–3190 Extreme Discount Long-Term Zone Untapped FVG + D1 OB ⚙️ Current Price Action 📍Price rejected perfectly from the 3260s → defended with strong wick, now reclaiming M15 internal CHoCH. 🟣 M5 showing micro BOS + reclaim of 9EMA → potential for bullish continuation toward 3320–3333. ⚠️ Flip Zone at 3380–3395 remains a major short-term decision level. If price breaks above it, we’ll be in recovery mode toward 3415. 🎯 Session Outlook Buyers in control short-term if price holds above 3280. Next key reaction expected at 3320–3333 minor resistance → if broken, bulls might retest 3385+. Sellers may reengage hard at 3380–3395 or above (3422, 3455). 🧠 Smart Money Snapshot 🟢 Liquidity swept below 3280 = engineered low 🟠 Internal CHoCH on M5 confirmed → LTF bullish short-term 🔴 Next sell interest likely around 3385 or 3415 unless HTF flips bullish again XAUUSD – News & Risk Preview for April 24, 2025 Claims & Chaos?🧨📉📈 🔍 What’s Coming: 🧾 Unemployment Claims (USD) – 14:30 UTC+2 ➤ Expected spike in volatility. Watch for algo-driven whipsaws if numbers surprise (especially under 200k or above 250k). ➤ Low claims = strong USD = potential XAU drop. 🧠 Tactical Advice for Thursday: Avoid full-size entries→ spikes can violate structure briefly before returning. Focus on reaction-based trades: let price show direction after the event, then join. Best plan: pre-mark levels now, react later. 🗣️ Final Note This market update reflects structure-only precision, no emotional bias. If bulls want back in, 3280–3290 is the launchpad. If not, sellers are watching 3385+ like hawks. 🦅
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by GoldFxMinds
Gold Levels So Clean, They Might Just Slap Your Algo🔥 “Gold Levels So Clean, They Might Just Slap Your Algo 🤖💥” 📅 Daily XAUUSD Plan – April 23, 2025 🎯 Structure & Key Levels Only – Just Real Market Logic 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT HTF Bias: Still bullish, but currently in corrective phase after blow-off at ATH LTF Flow: Bearish (M30–H1 CHoCH + BOS confirm premium-to-discount transition) Current Price: 3379 Macro: No major USD catalyst today – price driven by structure, liquidity, sentiment 🔻 SELL ZONES – PREMIUM Zone Price Range Type Confluences 💣 3448–3455 Major HTF OB Zone Extension Trap Fibo 1.618 + Premium OB + Liquidity above Weak High 🧨 3415–3422 LTF OB + Trap Zone Retest Area Last mitigated OB + NY Session liquidity grab ⚠️ 3385–3395 Intraday Flip Zone Bull/Bear Pivot EMA5 Lock + Rejection Block + Mid-Structure Flip 🟢 BUY ZONES – DISCOUNT Zone Price Range Type Confluences 🟢 3365–3372 LTF Demand Zone Current Price Demand + RSI bounce + Reaction Box 💚 3333–3340 Valid HTF OB High Confidence Unmitigated OB + HTF FVG + Historical Support 🔋 3284–3288 Sniper Reentry HTF Demand Base Previous buy zone + Structure Support + Clean OB 🧱 3220–3235 HTF Reversal Area Extreme Discount Long-term support + Weekly structure demand 🔍 STRATEGY INSIGHT 3385–3395 = the line between bull & bear → key for session reclaim or rejection 3415–3422 is the best intraday sell if price spikes fast — protect with structure 3333–3340 holds real weight → HTF bounce territory for potential reversal If price nukes to 3284, expect serious buy interest (structure-supported reentry zone) 💬 Final words : “Clean structure. Clean zones. Clean mind. Gold doesn’t wait. Know your levels. React smart. 🧠✨ If this helped, drop a comment or follow – more sniper plans daily.”
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by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025 🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above. 💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely. 📈 Trend: • H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10 • No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish • Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday 🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price Type Zone Notes 🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here 🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts 🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen 🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price Type Zone Notes 🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms 🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs ⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone 🧠 Trading Considerations 🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active. 🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400. 📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone. 🎯 H4 Bias: Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
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by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 22, 2025Structure: Premium rejection after ATH 3500 | Intraday bearish | HTF bullish trend 📉 Trend & Bias Macro (D1–H4): Bullish trend remains intact, but price rejected perfectly from the confirmed ATH at 3500, creating a bearish engulfing on H4 and Daily. Short-term (H1–M30): Bearish bias for intraday plays, confirmed by clean CHoCH and BOS on H1 + M30. 🔻 SELL SCENARIO #1 – RETEST OF LAST M15/H1 OB Entry Zone: 3485–3492 SL: 3501 (above ATH wick and OB invalidation) TP1: 3450 TP2: 3425 TP3: 3405 Confluences: Last valid OB on M15 before the drop FVG + imbalance above Weak high at 3492 Premium zone sweep Rejection from HTF ATH zone 🔻 SELL SCENARIO #2 – LIQUIDITY FAKEOUT ABOVE 3465 Entry Zone: 3463–3467 SL: 3474 TP1: 3435 TP2: 3415 TP3: 3400 Confluences: M5–M15 LHs and CHoCH Bearish reaction candle after multiple taps Previous imbalance and minor OB Trap area if price fails to break cleanly 🟢 BUY SCENARIO #1 – REACTION FROM CLEAN FVG + LIQUIDITY SWEEP Entry Zone: 3405–3412 SL: 3395 TP1: 3440 TP2: 3460 TP3: 3480 Confluences: Clear FVG chain (H1 + M30) Deep discount sweep Liquidity below 3405 Structure support + RSI oversold bounce potential 🟢 BUY SCENARIO #2 – FVG BOUNCE AT EQ ZONE Entry Zone: 3414–3420 SL: 3404 TP1: 3450 TP2: 3475 TP3: 3495 Confluences: EQ of M30 range Base of unfilled FVG Strong reaction last time from this zone EMA21 support 🔍 Key Zones & Market Notes Type Level Description 🔺 ATH 3500 Confirmed all-time high (April 22) 🔻 OB Sell 3485–3492 Last clean M15–H1 OB ⚠️ Weak High 3492 Inducement zone – watch fakeouts 🟩 FVG Buy 3405–3412 Strong FVG + liquidity sweep zone 📉 H1 BOS 3456 Intraday momentum shift 🔻 CHoCH 3440 Confirmed lower structure 🟦 Major Support 3362–3368 Valid HTF demand if price breaks down 🔲 EMA Zones EMA21/50 H1 Near 3415–3430 – dynamic support 🧠 Summary Gold is rejecting heavily from the new ATH at 3500. Intraday structure broke bearish (CHoCH, BOS on H1/M30), and price is now trading between premium OBs and deep FVGs. Both buy and sell sniper entries are available depending on how price reacts to 3465–3485 or if it sweeps the 3405–3412 liquidity area. HTF trend is bullish, but NY could bring a deeper correction if 3400 breaks. 🧠 Stay sharp. Avoid random entries. Stick to clean structure zones. 📊 Drop a like, leave a comment, and follow @GoldFxMinds for daily precision trades!
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by GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review🟨 XAUUSD Market Recap – April 21, 2025 | NY Close Review 🔹 Price Action: Gold made another aggressive high into ATH 3430, reaching full premium territory with strong upside momentum through London into NY. But the reaction near 3430 was sharp — indicating potential short-term exhaustion. 🔍 What Worked Today ✅ Liquidity sweep complete – Price ran clean through the previous weak high and liquidity above 3425, grabbing the top before rejecting. ✅ Bullish BOS confirmed – Structure remained bullish on all timeframes, with no valid CHoCH break on H1 or H4. ✅ Sniper bias confirmed – Directional buys played perfectly from lower OBs (especially the ones marked pre-Asia and pre-London). 🔍 What Didn’t Happen ❌ No mitigation of lower H1/H4 FVGs – Zones between 3361 and 3387 remain completely untouched. ❌ The 3305–3315 OB area wasn’t retested – Meaning any breakout traders looking for retests were left hanging. ❌ No real signs of reversal structure – Despite the reaction off ATH, we’ve yet to see a proper CHoCH + BOS sequence on H1 or H4. ⚠️ Unmitigated Key Zones 🟦 H1 FVG – 3361 🟦 H4 FVG – 3285.00–3300.00 🟧 H4 OB block – 3224 (untouched, still a strong magnet if sell momentum kicks in) These levels remain high interest for any future discount buy setups if price starts pulling back. 📉 What Was Rejected Today 🔼 3430 – New ATH. Price wicked into this level and rejected instantly with visible CHoCH on M15 and M5, leaving a clear bearish reaction. 🔼 M15 OB – The supply zone around 3425–3430 acted as short-term resistance with an intraday bearish sequence into NY close. 🧠 Market Sentiment 🔸 Still bullish on HTF, but intraday shows clear profit-taking behavior. 🔸 Dollar weakness and geopolitical premium still holding gold up — but overextension risk is real above 3425. 📍 Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend but may be showing short-term exhaustion after hitting ATH 3430. With unmitigated OBs and FVGs below, any deeper pullback will be liquidity-driven, not structural bearishness… yet. We'll prep the sniper plan separately soon — stay ready. 🧠⚔️
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by GoldFxMinds
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉 Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week. In this video, we: 🗺️ Break down the key chart levels 🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups 🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move Disclaimer: This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
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by darcsherry
Gold & The Policy Earthquake: Has the Top Been Set?🌐 1. Macro Landscape & Fundamental Drivers April 2025 is shaping up to be one of the most volatile months in recent financial memory: The U.S.-Global trade war is escalating with no signs of cooling. Following widespread tariff hikes by the Trump administration, the EU retaliated with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods, and dozens of nations are reacting in kind. WTO estimates global trade volume will drop by 1% in 2025. Central banks are pivoting: both the ECB and Bank of England are signaling rate cuts. Morgan Stanley expects the BoE to slash rates down to 3.25% by year-end. Global equities are under stress: the DAX and CAC40 plunged 4%, while U.S. indices are selling off hard. 💡 OANDA:XAUUSD surged to a record high near $3,360/oz, before pulling back to the current level around $3,327. 📌 Bottom Line – Fundamentals: Flight to safety is alive and well. However, with gold at record levels and rate expectations shifting rapidly, we may be witnessing a transitional phase – from aggressive bidding to cautious holding. 📉 2. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍 Daily Chart (D1) – Strong Bull Trend, but Warning Signs Ahead Price trades significantly above the 34, 89, and 200 EMAs – classic uptrend structure. RSI is at 72.79, indicating overbought territory. Volume shows signs of tapering off after a major spike – early signs of exhaustion? 🧾 D1 Summary: Momentum remains bullish, but with RSI overheated and volume waning, the rally may pause or retrace in the near term. 🔍 4H Chart (H4) – Entering Distribution Zone Price has broken out and is now consolidating above prior highs. All EMAs (34 > 89 > 200) remain bullish. RSI at 70.24 = overbought, and price action shows indecision (doji, small-bodied candles). 🧾 H4 Summary: This is textbook distribution behavior. Bulls may still be in control, but sellers are testing the water. 🔍 1H Chart (H1) – Short-Term Battle Ground Current price: $3,327.375 EMAs remain aligned for upside, but price is stalling around resistance. RSI is neutral at 55.71, suggesting temporary equilibrium. Volume is declining, hinting that bulls may be losing momentum. 🧾 H1 Summary: Price is consolidating. The next breakout or breakdown will define the short-term direction. 🧠 3. Market Sentiment Overview 🛡 Gold is still the safe-haven of choice, but fresh buying interest is diminishing. 📉 Risk sentiment remains fragile – traders are trimming exposure amid policy uncertainty. 📈 Bond yields are rising again, drawing capital away from gold in the very short term. 🧾 Sentiment Summary: Bulls dominate the narrative, but the crowd is showing signs of hesitation. A healthy pullback wouldn’t be surprising. 🎯 4. Trade Strategy for April 21, 2025 – Two-Sided Plan by Fuinvest 🔻 Scenario A: Short-Term Sell Setup (If price fails to break resistance) Sell Entry: $3,327 – $3,332 Stop Loss: $3,348 Take Profits: TP1: $3,313 (EMA34 on H1) TP2: $3,288 (local demand) TP3: $3,272 (EMA89 H1) 🧠 Why sell? Overbought RSI, weak volume, and potential distribution suggest a short-term pullback is likely. 🔺 Scenario B: Trend Continuation Buy (If breakout confirmed) Buy Entry: $3,350 – $3,355 (after H1/H4 closes above $3,348 with volume confirmation) Stop Loss: $3,327 Take Profits: TP1: $3,378 (measured move target) TP2: $3,410 (Fibonacci extension) TP3: $3,450 (psychological round number) 🧠 Why buy? Trend remains intact. If resistance breaks, it could trigger momentum buying and stop-runs. 💼 Risk Management Tip: Limit risk to 1–2% per trade. Use trailing stops once price moves in your favor. 🧾 5. Final Thoughts from Fuinvest “Gold has rallied in response to deep macro uncertainty, but with record highs comes fragility. The current structure suggests we are at a key decision point: either a clean breakout or a well-needed cooldown. Smart money is watching closely – and so should you.” 📣 Follow Fuinvest for real-time trade analysis, macro commentary, and actionable strategies that help you stay ahead of the market. Don’t just react – anticipate.
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by fuinvest
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading) ✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory. 🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume. ⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today. 🔼 New ATH: 3357 This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps. Focus shifts to the true inducement zone: 🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG). 🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated): 3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH 3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5 🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same): 3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone 3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand 3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY 📊 Trading Logic: If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision. If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts. On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
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by GoldFxMinds
1
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with the NFP move and look for price to continue long looking for our target region 3050-55. We were already in the move with the trades protected, however, on open we did get closed at BE only to be able to get a better entry from the undercut low. After the break of the key level and on the flip we managed to then continue with the move upside completing numerous Excalibur targets as well as our bias and red box targets upside. I can’t say that was an easy week, the move was huge and thankfully we managed to stay the right side of it guided by the in-house indi’s and Excalibur. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Although further upside is likely, we can’t long here as it’s too dangerous after that stretch last week. So let’s see how the market opens and if the Asia session attempts to test that high again. It’s the first level of 3230 that needs to be watched, support here can push us back upside into the above the key level of 3250-55 which is our ideal level for the hunt. If we can stay below that level we could see a RIP and price attempt the correction many traders are looking for in the early part of the week. The lower levels 3220 need to break as well as then the hurdle of 3210 which will make the correction easier. Due to low volume news next week, we could see a lot of ranging in anticipation of some geopolitical news which will bring sudden spurts of volume and the movement that we want to see. 3190 is the key level support and also the pattern test region, traders should keep an eye on this level of support for any RIP’s and potential for upside, so if attacked a bounce around there should be on the cards. It’s simply a red box break and close week this week, monitoring the price action and only looking for the longs if we get pullbacks, otherwise, 1-2 decent short opportunities should be enough for the short week. KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220, 3210. 3197, 3190 and below that 3170 Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292 RED BOXES: Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move Break below 3230 for 3220, 3210, 3206, 3195 and 3180 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
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by KnightsofGold
17
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇 🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆 📍 Macro & Political Context 🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue. 💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀 🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite. 🔍 Market Structure Overview Trend: Bullish HTF ✅ Current Price: $3,113 All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!) Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃 📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences 🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below 📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level) 🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG 🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up 🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone 📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100 🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse 🔺 Premium Rejection 🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone ✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken 🎯 Plan of Action 🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone "Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸 Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095 Confluence: Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA) Imbalance zone FIBO 61.8% + structure break Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100 Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep SL: Below $3,078 TP1: $3,130 TP2: $3,145 TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again) 🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+ Catch the premium short 🧨 Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148 Confluence: All-time high sweep (liquidity trap) HTF OB rejection Weakness shown on M15 Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing SL: Above $3,155 TP1: $3,125 TP2: $3,100 TP3: $3,085 🧠 Final Notes 📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs 📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise 🧘‍♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common. 👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love! Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
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by GoldFxMinds
3