GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionLast week, Gold briefly hit an all‑time high of $3,357 before profit‑taking drove it back to around $3,320 zone📉
Ongoing uncertainty around US‑China trade relations and a weaker dollar drove traders into safe‑haven assets, supporting bullion bids despite the pullback.
Meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish speech on Wednesday capped the rally for now, though tariff risks and geopolitical tensions may continue to underpin Gold prices into the new week.
In this video, we:
🗺️ Break down the key chart levels
🔍 Highlight bullish vs. bearish setups
🚀🔻 Preview catalysts that could spark the next move
Disclaimer:
This is my personal take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Goldstrategy
Gold & The Policy Earthquake: Has the Top Been Set?🌐 1. Macro Landscape & Fundamental Drivers
April 2025 is shaping up to be one of the most volatile months in recent financial memory:
The U.S.-Global trade war is escalating with no signs of cooling. Following widespread tariff hikes by the Trump administration, the EU retaliated with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods, and dozens of nations are reacting in kind. WTO estimates global trade volume will drop by 1% in 2025.
Central banks are pivoting: both the ECB and Bank of England are signaling rate cuts. Morgan Stanley expects the BoE to slash rates down to 3.25% by year-end.
Global equities are under stress: the DAX and CAC40 plunged 4%, while U.S. indices are selling off hard.
💡 OANDA:XAUUSD surged to a record high near $3,360/oz, before pulling back to the current level around $3,327.
📌 Bottom Line – Fundamentals:
Flight to safety is alive and well. However, with gold at record levels and rate expectations shifting rapidly, we may be witnessing a transitional phase – from aggressive bidding to cautious holding.
📉 2. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
🔍 Daily Chart (D1) – Strong Bull Trend, but Warning Signs Ahead
Price trades significantly above the 34, 89, and 200 EMAs – classic uptrend structure.
RSI is at 72.79, indicating overbought territory.
Volume shows signs of tapering off after a major spike – early signs of exhaustion?
🧾 D1 Summary: Momentum remains bullish, but with RSI overheated and volume waning, the rally may pause or retrace in the near term.
🔍 4H Chart (H4) – Entering Distribution Zone
Price has broken out and is now consolidating above prior highs.
All EMAs (34 > 89 > 200) remain bullish.
RSI at 70.24 = overbought, and price action shows indecision (doji, small-bodied candles).
🧾 H4 Summary: This is textbook distribution behavior. Bulls may still be in control, but sellers are testing the water.
🔍 1H Chart (H1) – Short-Term Battle Ground
Current price: $3,327.375
EMAs remain aligned for upside, but price is stalling around resistance.
RSI is neutral at 55.71, suggesting temporary equilibrium.
Volume is declining, hinting that bulls may be losing momentum.
🧾 H1 Summary: Price is consolidating. The next breakout or breakdown will define the short-term direction.
🧠 3. Market Sentiment Overview
🛡 Gold is still the safe-haven of choice, but fresh buying interest is diminishing.
📉 Risk sentiment remains fragile – traders are trimming exposure amid policy uncertainty.
📈 Bond yields are rising again, drawing capital away from gold in the very short term.
🧾 Sentiment Summary: Bulls dominate the narrative, but the crowd is showing signs of hesitation. A healthy pullback wouldn’t be surprising.
🎯 4. Trade Strategy for April 21, 2025 – Two-Sided Plan by Fuinvest
🔻 Scenario A: Short-Term Sell Setup (If price fails to break resistance)
Sell Entry: $3,327 – $3,332
Stop Loss: $3,348
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,313 (EMA34 on H1)
TP2: $3,288 (local demand)
TP3: $3,272 (EMA89 H1)
🧠 Why sell? Overbought RSI, weak volume, and potential distribution suggest a short-term pullback is likely.
🔺 Scenario B: Trend Continuation Buy (If breakout confirmed)
Buy Entry: $3,350 – $3,355 (after H1/H4 closes above $3,348 with volume confirmation)
Stop Loss: $3,327
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,378 (measured move target)
TP2: $3,410 (Fibonacci extension)
TP3: $3,450 (psychological round number)
🧠 Why buy? Trend remains intact. If resistance breaks, it could trigger momentum buying and stop-runs.
💼 Risk Management Tip:
Limit risk to 1–2% per trade.
Use trailing stops once price moves in your favor.
🧾 5. Final Thoughts from Fuinvest
“Gold has rallied in response to deep macro uncertainty, but with record highs comes fragility. The current structure suggests we are at a key decision point: either a clean breakout or a well-needed cooldown. Smart money is watching closely – and so should you.”
📣 Follow Fuinvest for real-time trade analysis, macro commentary, and actionable strategies that help you stay ahead of the market. Don’t just react – anticipate.
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)
✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory.
🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume.
⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today.
🔼 New ATH: 3357
This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps.
Focus shifts to the true inducement zone:
🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG).
🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated):
3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH
3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same):
3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone
3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand
3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY
📊 Trading Logic:
If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision.
If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts.
On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would stick with the NFP move and look for price to continue long looking for our target region 3050-55. We were already in the move with the trades protected, however, on open we did get closed at BE only to be able to get a better entry from the undercut low. After the break of the key level and on the flip we managed to then continue with the move upside completing numerous Excalibur targets as well as our bias and red box targets upside.
I can’t say that was an easy week, the move was huge and thankfully we managed to stay the right side of it guided by the in-house indi’s and Excalibur.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Although further upside is likely, we can’t long here as it’s too dangerous after that stretch last week. So let’s see how the market opens and if the Asia session attempts to test that high again. It’s the first level of 3230 that needs to be watched, support here can push us back upside into the above the key level of 3250-55 which is our ideal level for the hunt. If we can stay below that level we could see a RIP and price attempt the correction many traders are looking for in the early part of the week. The lower levels 3220 need to break as well as then the hurdle of 3210 which will make the correction easier.
Due to low volume news next week, we could see a lot of ranging in anticipation of some geopolitical news which will bring sudden spurts of volume and the movement that we want to see.
3190 is the key level support and also the pattern test region, traders should keep an eye on this level of support for any RIP’s and potential for upside, so if attacked a bounce around there should be on the cards. It’s simply a red box break and close week this week, monitoring the price action and only looking for the longs if we get pullbacks, otherwise, 1-2 decent short opportunities should be enough for the short week.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3265 with targets below 3220, 3210. 3197, 3190 and below that 3170
Bullish on break of 3265 with targets above 3276, 3280, 3285 and above that 3292
RED BOXES:
Break above 3250 for 3255, 3261, 3269, 3275 and 3290 in extension of the move
Break below 3230 for 3220, 3210, 3206, 3195 and 3180 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Entry on break of structure ?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love!
Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD, EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis Today Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices dipped on Friday as the US jobs report and rising Treasury yields reshaped market sentiment. The US Dollar also trimmed some losses, adding to the pressure. Despite the NFP data missing the mark, the Unemployment Rate remained stable.
The current consolidation phase comes amid uncertainty following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's cautious stance on interest rate cuts, emphasizing a potentially "bumpy" path to 2% inflation. The impact of Trump's tariff policies also remains a key consideration.
So, what does this mean for gold prices? Even with central banks like the PBoC and NBP actively buying gold (as highlighted by the World Gold Council), the market faces conflicting forces.
In this video, I break down the technical analysis and share my strategies for navigating the next move in the gold market.
#gold #goldprice #federalreserve #jeromepowell #nfp #trading #technicalanalysis #investing #marketnews #goldmarket #ustreasuryyields #greenback
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.