Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet!
For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480.
Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area.
Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
Goldtrade
Insist on shorting gold on ralliesToday we made a total profit of 350 pips in 2 short trades. First, we shorted gold near 3345, and when gold fell to around 3330, we manually closed the order to lock in profits; the second time, gold rebounded sharply with the help of CPI data, and we seized the opportunity to short gold again near 3360, and ended the transaction by hitting TP: 3340. We accurately grasped the profit of gold shorting.
At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations near the 3330 mark. Relatively speaking, gold is still in a weak position. Although gold has rebounded sharply with the help of the positive CPI data, it has shown a long upper shadow in the candle chart due to the rapid retracement, which has strengthened the resistance above and limited the rebound space of gold in the short term. In addition, the morphological structure shows signs of building a head and shoulders top structure. The resistance area in the short term is 3345-3355; followed by 3360-3370. Although gold is currently in a narrow range of fluctuations near the 3330 mark, it does not show obvious signs of support. It is easy to fall below the area near 3330 in a weak situation. The relatively strong support is in the 3320-3310 area, followed by the area near 3300-3290.
So for short-term trading, I still advocate taking the 3345-3355 area as resistance first and continue to short gold!
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity.
Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3360-3350;
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold Trade Setup – Tactical Short CallGold’s recent rebound appears corrective within a broader short-term bearish structure. Price action has stalled below the 200-period 4H SMA and key Fib resistance, signaling potential exhaustion.
🔎 Technical Confluence:
Rejection from descending trendline resistance
61.8% retracement of the latest drop capped upside near $3,315
Bearish RSI divergence on 1H and 4H
Weak momentum on MACD + low ADX signals lack of trend strength
📊 Macro Overlay:
Market remains cautious ahead of today’s Core PCE data (expected to cool slightly YoY).
Rising real yields and firm USD limit upside in gold, especially as risk-on tone returns temporarily.
Positioning data shows speculative longs remain elevated—raising vulnerability to profit-taking.
⚠️ Execution Note:
Patience is key—wait for confirmation via bearish engulfing or failure swing near $3,315 before engaging. Lower timeframes show consolidation; a breakdown below $3,290 will likely accelerate toward the $3,274 target.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Golden Cross in FocusGold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.
🔍 Momentum Insights:
Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.
MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.
Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.
📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout Strategy
We are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.
🔼 Long Setup:
📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320
🎯 Target 1: $3,350
🎯 Target 2: $3,365
🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)
(XAU/USD) Buy Trade Setup – Entry, Target & Risk Management PlaEntry Point:
3,140.34 USD
This is the suggested level to enter a long (buy) trade.
Stop Loss (SL):
3,121.66 USD
A protective level to limit losses if the trade goes against the setup.
Target Point (Take Profit - TP):
3,251.33 USD
This is the EA target point — where profits are expected to be taken.
---
3. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Risk: From 3,140.34 to 3,121.66 = 18.68 points
Reward: From 3,140.34 to 3,251.33 = 110.99 points
Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:6, which is very favorable.
4. Resistance Point:
Around 3,222.45 - 3,227.27
This area might act as a challenge for price movement, potentially leading to temporary retracements.
5. Indicators:
Moving Averages: Red (shorter period) and Blue (longer period) lines help indicate trends.
The price is moving above the short-term MA but currently under the long-term MA, which might suggest a short-term bullish move within a broader downtrend or sideways range.
Conclusion:
This is a bullish setup, anticipating a reversal or continuation to the upside after a pullback:
Buy Zone: 3,140.34
Stop Loss: 3,121.66
Take Profit: 3,251.33
If the price drops to the entry point zone
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of 3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area.
Trading strategy:
Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
XAUUSD bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Buy gold, it may continue to rise to 3400-3420!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold rose to the 3380 area as expected, and even exceeded expectations to 3387. Since gold rebounded near 3222, the willingness to retreat during the rebound was not strong. The lows were constantly raised, and the highs gradually broke upward, which was a very typical shock rise pattern. As the center of gravity of gold shifted upward, the short-term resistance moved up to the 3350-3340 area. Once gold hits this position and rebounds, it may continue to rise to the 3400-3420 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to go long on gold after gold retreats to the 3350-3340 area, TP: 3380
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
Let’s continue to be long on gold and keep winning!Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the performance of US economic data and the dynamics of the Federal Reserve;
Technical aspects:
At present, gold has failed to fall below the key area of 3300 many times during the retracement process, further strengthening the short-term structural support and strengthening the market's recognition of the effectiveness of its structural support. Moreover, gold may still maintain a volatile market before the NFP market. Due to the cautious attitude of the market, it is difficult for a unilateral trend to appear before the NFP market.
Short term trading strategies:
As in the two recently updated trading views, the trading strategy of long gold in the 3310-3300 area is still effective! Looking forward to gold rebounding to 3325 or even higher!
Gold Potential Bullish Breakout (Potential HH formation)With with continued global tariff panic between USA and China, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a prominent Higher High on the shorter timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3363
Stop Loss : 3278
TP 0.9 - 1 : 3439.5 - 3448
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85
Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,162.15
Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA)
Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT"
📊 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation.
⚠️ Things to Watch:
Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level.
If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup.
Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025🔥 XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term – price at premium levels
📈 HTF Trend: Bullish unless 3025 breaks
🌍 Macro:
🇺🇸 Trump tariffs + geopolitical instability still looming
Mixed U.S. data: CPI hot 🥵 / PPI weak = confusion → perfect trap setups
Liquidity zones active → both sides could get hunted
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1 – “Sniper Trap from the Top”
📍 Entry: 3242 – 3248
🛑 SL: 3255
🎯 TP1: 3215
🎯 TP2: 3188
🎯 TP3: 3160
🧠 Why:
Fresh M15 OB + massive liquidity above 3242 swept → expecting rejection
RSI divergence building, M5 confirmation needed
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2 – “Premium OB Rejection”
📍 Entry: 3260 – 3268
🛑 SL: 3275
🎯 TP1: 3235
🎯 TP2: 3200
🎯 TP3: 3165
🧠 Why:
Final premium OB + unmitigated zone on H1 + imbalance.
Ideal for NY session trap + bearish engulfing rejection.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – “Reactive Dip”
📍 Entry: 3180 – 3172
🛑 SL: 3165
🎯 TP1: 3205
🎯 TP2: 3230
🎯 TP3: 3250
🧠 Why:
Trendline + OB on M30 + internal structure support.
Needs bullish PA and CHoCH on M5.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – “Deep Clean FVG Tap”
📍 Entry: 3137 – 3142
🛑 SL: 3129
🎯 TP1: 3180
🎯 TP2: 3205
🎯 TP3: 3240
🧠 Why:
Major imbalance + H1 OB + RSI confluence.
Bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH needed on LTF.
📌 Key Zones Recap:
🔺 3248–3268 = Premium sell zone + liquidity trap
🔻 3180 = Internal demand + trendline confluence
🟦 3137 = Strong FVG + H1 OB
⚠️ 3025 = Final HTF support — if broken, expect shift in macro bias
📊 Technical Confluence
✅ SMC: CHoCH and BOS zones active
✅ FVGs: 3137–3145 + 3245–3265
✅ GAPS: Partial fill from 3180–3200
✅ RSI: Divergence above 3240
✅ FIBO: 61.8% zone aligned with 3170–3180
✅ EMA5/21/50/100/200: Price is testing EMA200 on H1
🤝 Final Thoughts
Gold’s premium levels are being tested. The game now is reaction, not prediction. Don’t chase — let price confirm.
🎯 No confirmation = No trade
🧠 Sniper mindset only: clean, high-confluence, risk-controlled.
💬 Engage & Grow Together
🔥 If this plan sharpens your bias, smash the ❤️
🧠 Comment your entries below – let’s discuss setups
🔔 Follow and subscribe for daily sniper drops — stay ahead, stay sharp!
📈 We trade precision, not noise.
Gold Xau (tf1M) Last Phase AccumulationGold Xau Last Phase Accumulation incoming 👇
"Way from 1500 to 4100" (+175%)
OANDA:XAUUSD
⏰ TimeFrame 1 Month
👉 Go to last phase accumulation
👉 White Trace
👉 Green Trace
👉 EMA 200 1M (White)
👉 Fib Measure as pattern "ExPanding Triangle" ( blue stick )
👉 Potential +175%
✔️Logarithmic (Log) Chart & Fib
Bull market hides falling crisis!Gold rose sharply to around 3170 in the short term. Gold is in an obvious bull market. I think we should not be too optimistic! Don't blindly chase gold in trading!!!
Although it is only one step away from the previous high, it not only faces the psychological resistance of 3200, but also multiple integer resistance. After the fundamental positive factors are exhausted, it is difficult for gold to have enough power to continue to rise and break through the heavy resistance.
So the sharp rise of gold is likely to be a bull market trap, in order to confuse more people to chase gold, and large institutional funds take the opportunity to sell! So in terms of short-term trading, I still will not vigorously chase long gold, I will start to short gold gradually in batches! The faster gold rises, the faster it may collapse!
Bros, I am not afraid of shorting gold now. I think short trading can also bring me huge profits. The retracement target first focuses on the area around 3135.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Will gold hit a new record high again?Gold rose to the 3040-3050 area as expected. The tariff issue also stimulated the bullish sentiment in the gold market. The current price is not a good entry point for both long and short parties.
Another point that everyone must be more concerned about is whether gold will rise again and break through and set a new high! I think it is not easy to draw a conclusion at present, because there is still resistance in the 3060-3075 area above. Only if gold successfully breaks through this resistance area, then gold will have the possibility of continuing to rise and set a new high;
At present, the gold bull-bear dividing line is in the 3060-3070 area. When gold touches this area, we can start to try to short gold; the first focus below is the 3025-3015 support area. If gold falls back to this area first, we might as well try to go long gold again in small batches.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup: Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone t# GOLD (XAUUSD)
Timeframe: 30-minute
Indicators:
EMA 30 (Red): 3,000.22
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,042.92
🔍 Price Action & Zones
Current Price: 2,982.27
Support Zone (Demand Zone): ~2,940.27 (highlighted in purple, labeled as STOP LOSS)
Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): ~3,040.17–3,042.92 (labeled as EA TARGET POINT)
📈 Trade Idea (Based on Drawing)
Strategy: Buy from demand zone, targeting supply zone
Entry: Near 2,940.27
Stop Loss: Slightly below 2,940.27
Target: ~3,040.17
Risk to Reward: ~1:2.6 (visually)
📊 EMA Dynamics
Bearish Bias in the Medium Term: Price is trading below the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bearish trend.
Short-Term Weakness: The price has also dropped below the 30 EMA, confirming bearish momentum in the short run.
🔄 Possible Scenario
Price is currently heading back down toward the demand zone, where a bounce is anticipated.
If it respects that zone, we may see a reversal toward the target zone at ~3,040.
If it breaks below 2,940, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit).
⚠️ Things to Watch
Rejection or support confirmation at 2,940 zone is key before entry.
Be cautious of continued bearish momentum if economic news or global risk sentiment shifts.
Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g. hammer, bullish engulfing) at the demand zone for confirmation.
Gold price will look new price.XAU longOn the basis of the critical international situation, carrying on Ukraine War and extreme western nations debt. I strongly say that Gold price will look new price this year. next price is between 2500-2600. XAU is on its fifth wave Elliot on the technical logic too.
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis: Bullish Setup with Key SGold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Technical Indicators:
Current Price: $3,122.28
30 EMA (Red Line): $3,115.90 (Short-term trend indicator)
200 EMA (Blue Line): $3,081.17 (Long-term trend indicator)
Support Zone: Around $3,106.62
Target Point: $3,154.02
Analysis:
Trend:
The price is in an uptrend, as it is trading above both the 30 EMA and 200 EMA.
The 30 EMA is acting as dynamic support, showing strong buying interest at pullbacks.
Key Levels:
Support: $3,106.62 (marked in blue) is expected to hold as a key support level.
Resistance Zone (Previous Supply Area): Around $3,090-$3,100 (shaded purple) was previously a resistance zone but has now turned into support.
Target Level: $3,154.02 is the expected bullish target if the price respects the support zone.
Trade Setup:
Bullish Scenario: The price may pull back to the support zone (~$3,106.62) before bouncing higher towards the target.
Stop Loss: Below $3,106.62 to minimize risk.
Entry Point: A retest of the support area with bullish confirmation could provide an optimal entry for a long trade.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set just below the support zone.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Favorable if targeting $3,154.02 with a stop at $3,106.62.
Conclusion:
The chart suggests a bullish outlook, with price expected to continue its upward momentum if support holds.
A breakout above $3,123 could further confirm bullish strength.
Caution: If the price breaks below $3,106, further downside movement toward the 200 EMA ($3,081.17) is possible.