Short gold, it will fall again after reboundingToday, gold rebounded after hitting a low of around 3245, and rebounded all the way to a high of around 3296, with a rebound of more than $51. Although the strength of gold's rebound cannot be underestimated, since gold fell and broke through, the previous support has become a strong resistance under the top-bottom conversion effect. Under the influence of heavy resistance, the short trend of gold has become more obvious.
At present, gold faces resistance in the 3300-3310 area in the short term. Before breaking through this area upward, gold shorts still have an advantage, and it is possible to test the support of the 3260-3250 area again. Moreover, before the NFP market this week, gold may maintain a volatile trend, so after a sharp rebound in gold, the short force may be more expressive.
Therefore, in trading, we can appropriately consider shorting gold in the 3295-3305 area, and look at the target area: 3275-3265-3255
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Goldtrade
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
7.2 Gold price continues to fluctuate! Non-agricultural positionGold is still temporarily maintaining a wide range of fluctuations in the daily trend, and the price is temporarily under pressure around 3360. In the 4-hour level trend, after continuous high-level narrow fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The short-term moving average has gradually flattened from the previous upward divergence. After the continuous small-scale high-rise and fall back, the upward momentum in the short-term trend is insufficient. In the hourly level trend, the current running space is very compressed, but in the small-level cycle trend, after continuous fluctuations, the technical pattern has begun to weaken. The price has begun to slowly move out of the narrow range of fluctuations. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
How to accurately grasp gold trading opportunities?Gold rebounded as expected, and fell under pressure at the 3295-3296 line during the European session. This position was the key resistance level for the previous top and bottom conversion, and the range shock pattern continued. In terms of operation, the high-altitude and low-multiple ideas remain unchanged, and we will continue to pay attention to the short opportunities after the rebound.
📉 Operational ideas:
Short orders can be arranged in batches in the 3295-3311 area, and the target is 3280-3270 area;
If the support below 3260-3255 is effective, you can consider taking the opportunity to reverse long orders and participate in short-term.
📌Key position reference:
Upper pressure: 3295, 3311
Lower support: 3278-3275, 3260-3255
Gold strategy idea suggests shorting at 3291-3293, perfectly capturing the rebound high point! Smoothly reached the profit target of 3275, gaining 18pips! If you are not able to flexibly respond to the market in trading, and are not good at adjusting your trading ideas and rhythm in time with the market rhythm, you can pay attention to the bottom notification 🌐 to get more specific operation details and strategy updates. Let us work together to flexibly and steadily pursue more profits in the ever-changing market!
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – June 27, 2025Entry Point: Around 3,300.98 USD
Stop Loss (SL): ~3,312.20 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,229.33 USD
Current Price: 3,286.15 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:6.3
(Potential reward ≈ 71.65 pts; risk ≈ 11.22 pts)
Technical Breakdown:
Trend:
The price is in a short-term downtrend, supported by:
Lower highs and lower lows.
Price trading below both 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), confirming bearish momentum.
Bearish Breakout:
Price broke below a key support-turned-resistance zone near 3,300–3,302, triggering sell pressure.
Resistance Area:
Strong rejection at 3,302–3,312 zone, which is now acting as resistance.
SL is placed just above this zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target Zone:
TP set at 3,229.33, aligning with a previous support zone — a logical area for price to react.
Strategy Notes:
Bias: Bearish
Entry confirmation: Already triggered.
Risk Management: SL placement is tight and strategic; RR ratio is highly favorable.
Next support below TP: If 3,229 breaks, further downside could follow.
Summary:
This setup shows a well-defined bearish continuation with a clean break of support, a controlled SL above resistance, and a strong RR ratio. A suitable trade for trend-following strategies, but price must not retrace above 3,312 for this idea to remain valid.
Gold may continue to rebound to 3350-3360If gold can stand above 3330 today, it will stimulate long trading behavior to a certain extent, especially the self-rescue behavior of trapped longs. Gold may continue to rebound and is expected to reach the 3345-3355 area. So there is no need to risk shorting gold near 3330 for the time being; although gold may continue to rebound, it is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area; and gold is still weak overall, so we can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area and look at the target area of 3325-3315.
The Premium privilege of my account will end on June 26, and it will stop updating here from tomorrow. Friends in the channel have already made a lot of money by following my trading strategy. Friends who have not joined yet can join and receive the latest trading strategies and trading signals as soon as possible to escort your trading!
Gold XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting $3,454.65Price: $3,384.41
Strategy: Buy/Long
🟦 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around $3,345.76
This level aligns with a previously tested support zone marked in purple.
Stop Loss: $3,331.56
Below the support zone, providing downside protection if the setup fails.
Target (TP): $3,454.65
Marked as EA TARGET POINT, suggesting a potential upside of 3.16% (~$105.83 gain).
📊 Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
200 EMA (blue): Near the entry level, adds strength to the support zone.
50 EMA (red): Recently crossed below price, indicating early bullish momentum.
Price Action:
Sharp bounce from support suggests buying interest.
Potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
🧠 Trade Idea:
Buy near $3,345.76,
Stop Loss at $3,331.56,
Take Profit at $3,454.65
Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3.3 — favorable setup for long positions.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
The bulls are not dead yet, it’s time to ambush at low levels!Gold only opened higher and rose on Monday this week, and then reached the highest level of 3452, and then started the road of shock and retracement this week. As of today, Friday, gold is still oscillating and adjusting in the lower range, but from the 4-hour market trend, the trend of gold is still dominated by bulls. In the short term, gold is oscillating and adjusting at a low level. Today, Friday, we will first focus on the support level of 3347-3353 below, which is also the starting point of the rebound yesterday. If this position is not broken today, Friday, we will mainly rebound and close.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below focuses on 3347-3353, and the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3378-3385 level, with a focus on the 3408-3415 level. Continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation unchanged, and the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautiously chase orders, and patiently wait for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3347-3355, with a target of 3370-3380.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405.
There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
Range oscillation, strategy remains unchanged!The Federal Reserve kept the interest rate unchanged. Gold did not break through the range we gave after all. The important support below is still at 3365-3360. Today, we continue to operate in the range and keep high and low as yesterday. Gold touched the lowest level of 3362 without breaking through, and still rebounded. The long orders of 3372 and 3363 that we arranged have successfully stopped profit at 3380, so we continue to operate in the range.
From the current analysis of gold trend, gold continues to focus on the important support of 3365-3360 below, and focuses on the short-term suppression of 3400-3415 above in the short term. The operation is mainly carried out in the range for the time being, and there is a high probability of continued volatility in the short term.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3375-3370, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3365-3360, with the target of 3380-3390-3400.
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
Short gold, it needs to retreat to the area around 3350!Gold is currently testing the support near 3380 again. According to the current trend of gold, gold is likely to break through 3380, and gold has stopped near 3400 many times during the rebound process, and the rebound strength of gold is lacking. If gold really wants to rebound, then after testing near 3380 many times and getting support at 3390, it should have rebounded to the 3410-3420 area, but it is obvious that gold has not yet touched the 3410-3420 area. Therefore, gold's performance is relatively weak and its correction trend should continue for now.
In terms of fundamentals, Iran is not decisive in its retaliatory behavior, so if the conflict in the Middle East does not escalate, gold may find it difficult to continue to rise. So according to the current trend and performance of gold, we should not be stubborn in long gold trading for the time being, and adjust our trading plan reasonably according to the market and price behavior. If gold continues to retreat, the first thing we need to pay attention to below is the 3355-3345 area, followed by the area near 3330. So for the next short-term trading, we can try to short gold in the 3395-3405 area.
Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet!
For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480.
Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area.
Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
Insist on shorting gold on ralliesToday we made a total profit of 350 pips in 2 short trades. First, we shorted gold near 3345, and when gold fell to around 3330, we manually closed the order to lock in profits; the second time, gold rebounded sharply with the help of CPI data, and we seized the opportunity to short gold again near 3360, and ended the transaction by hitting TP: 3340. We accurately grasped the profit of gold shorting.
At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations near the 3330 mark. Relatively speaking, gold is still in a weak position. Although gold has rebounded sharply with the help of the positive CPI data, it has shown a long upper shadow in the candle chart due to the rapid retracement, which has strengthened the resistance above and limited the rebound space of gold in the short term. In addition, the morphological structure shows signs of building a head and shoulders top structure. The resistance area in the short term is 3345-3355; followed by 3360-3370. Although gold is currently in a narrow range of fluctuations near the 3330 mark, it does not show obvious signs of support. It is easy to fall below the area near 3330 in a weak situation. The relatively strong support is in the 3320-3310 area, followed by the area near 3300-3290.
So for short-term trading, I still advocate taking the 3345-3355 area as resistance first and continue to short gold!
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity.
Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3360-3350;
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
Gold Trade Setup – Tactical Short CallGold’s recent rebound appears corrective within a broader short-term bearish structure. Price action has stalled below the 200-period 4H SMA and key Fib resistance, signaling potential exhaustion.
🔎 Technical Confluence:
Rejection from descending trendline resistance
61.8% retracement of the latest drop capped upside near $3,315
Bearish RSI divergence on 1H and 4H
Weak momentum on MACD + low ADX signals lack of trend strength
📊 Macro Overlay:
Market remains cautious ahead of today’s Core PCE data (expected to cool slightly YoY).
Rising real yields and firm USD limit upside in gold, especially as risk-on tone returns temporarily.
Positioning data shows speculative longs remain elevated—raising vulnerability to profit-taking.
⚠️ Execution Note:
Patience is key—wait for confirmation via bearish engulfing or failure swing near $3,315 before engaging. Lower timeframes show consolidation; a breakdown below $3,290 will likely accelerate toward the $3,274 target.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Golden Cross in FocusGold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.
🔍 Momentum Insights:
Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.
MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.
Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.
📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout Strategy
We are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.
🔼 Long Setup:
📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320
🎯 Target 1: $3,350
🎯 Target 2: $3,365
🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)
(XAU/USD) Buy Trade Setup – Entry, Target & Risk Management PlaEntry Point:
3,140.34 USD
This is the suggested level to enter a long (buy) trade.
Stop Loss (SL):
3,121.66 USD
A protective level to limit losses if the trade goes against the setup.
Target Point (Take Profit - TP):
3,251.33 USD
This is the EA target point — where profits are expected to be taken.
---
3. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Risk: From 3,140.34 to 3,121.66 = 18.68 points
Reward: From 3,140.34 to 3,251.33 = 110.99 points
Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:6, which is very favorable.
4. Resistance Point:
Around 3,222.45 - 3,227.27
This area might act as a challenge for price movement, potentially leading to temporary retracements.
5. Indicators:
Moving Averages: Red (shorter period) and Blue (longer period) lines help indicate trends.
The price is moving above the short-term MA but currently under the long-term MA, which might suggest a short-term bullish move within a broader downtrend or sideways range.
Conclusion:
This is a bullish setup, anticipating a reversal or continuation to the upside after a pullback:
Buy Zone: 3,140.34
Stop Loss: 3,121.66
Take Profit: 3,251.33
If the price drops to the entry point zone
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of 3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area.
Trading strategy:
Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
XAUUSD bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.