Gold - Elliott Wave CountGold - Elliott Wave Count
Gold - Based on the current market structure, it is becoming clear that the ABC correction of Wave 2 has ended and Gold will continue to rise towards the $2400 range and beyond. Today's move indicates that the Wave 3 has already begun. However, it is important to note that if the market breaks the $1810 level, the aforementioned view will be considered invalid.
It is crucial to trade with caution and keep in mind that this information is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD MCX:GOLD1! TVC:GOLD CAPITALCOM:GOLD MCX:GOLD1!
Goldtrade
Risk aversion is rising, making money by going long goldtoday is Friday,I would like to remind everyone that as the weekend is approaching, the market is worried about news of geopolitical conflicts within two days of the weekend, which has led to rising market risk aversion, stimulating strong buying of gold, with gold rising to a maximum of around 1919. I informed everyone to go long gold near 1890 and 1900. Obviously, gold perfectly hit my expected profit target position, and we successfully harvested a profit margin of about 10 US dollars.
In fact, there is not much room for fluctuations in the US dollar today, so the sharp rise in gold is entirely due to the market's concern about weekend news. Therefore, gold gained $50 during the day. Driven by risk aversion, I believe that above 1915, at least today, we should not continue to be long gold and beware of gold falling back. In fact, from a technical perspective alone, gold should start a correction, but geopolitical conflicts have brought a certain degree of uncertainty to it. If there is no new news during the weekend, then I think gold may start a correction at any time next week.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Be sure to follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
GOLD: A SAFE HEAVEN IN UNCERTAIN TIMESTVC:GOLD
My current views on GOLD:
Short chart explanation.
This structure can be:
1. A continuation of the bigger WXY - forming another XZ correction (so the price is heading on the downside)
2. A correction at a smaller degree (ABC), finishing a potential Wave A on the downside, before bouncing forming the Wave B on the upside, potentially reaching again the top main resistance point.
Deeper insights:
In recent months, gold prices have been on the rise, as investors have sought to protect their wealth from inflation and the potential for a recession. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has also boosted demand for gold, as investors have sought to hedge against geopolitical risks.
Technical Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, gold is currently trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
s3.tradingview.com
On the 4-hour chart, gold is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
s3.tradingview.com
On the daily chart, gold is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above all major moving averages, and the RSI and MACD indicators are both bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
s3.tradingview.com
Conclusion
Overall, the technical and fundamental outlook for gold is bullish. The price is above all major moving averages on the 30-minute, 4-hour, and daily charts, and the RSI and MACD indicators are all bullish. This suggests that the bulls are in control and that the price could continue to move higher in the near term.
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This analysis is based on the information at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
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🥇Gold🥇 Will Fall soon⏰(4-Hour)⏰Gold is moving near the Resistance line and 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡 and 🔴Resistance zone($1,904-$1,886)🔴.
🔔I expect Gold to fall after entering the 🟡 Price Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡at least to the 🎯 Targets 🎯 I have marked on the chart.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 4-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD Will gold retreat after the news on Friday today?According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the CPI rose 0.4% in September, exceeding the 0.3% rise in August. However, the annual CPI has declined compared to the peak of 9.1% recorded in June 2022.
Traders now believe there is a 38% chance the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December, up from 28% before the inflation report was released, according to CME's FedWatch tool.
The 10-year US Treasury yield and USD index also rose on the above data.
The main factor supporting gold prices during trading is investor caution due to the escalating conflict between Israel and Hamas. Gold is considered a safe investment during times of political and financial instability, but as interest rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold increases.
"There are still some signs of a slowdown in the U.S. economy, which should be positive for gold," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA. We expect gold prices could range from $1,860 to $1,920 per ounce in the near term. ”
Among other metals, spot silver fell 1.2% to $21.79 an ounce, platinum fell 2.2% to $865.87 an ounce, and palladium fell 2.9% to close at $1,132.75 an ounce.
XAUUSD:13/10 Today’s Trading StrategyIn the early stage, gold was affected by a series of hawkish moves by the Federal Reserve and ushered in a unilateral downward trend. However, the decline eased after testing near 1815 many times, and there was a downward rebound during the non-agricultural market, and the bulls launched a counterattack. Subsequently, the Palestinian-Israeli risk aversion situation helped gold rise, and it gapped higher and once returned to above the 1850 mark. It continued to rise the next day, reaching a high of 1885.
Gold's daily bullish streak rose to around 1885, and now it has fallen sharply to the 1870 mark. It surged higher the next day and then fell back to end, indicating that there is indeed a lot of selling pressure at 1885. 1880 happens to be the 50% position of the 1950-1810 Fibonacci retracement point, which is also the key pressure in the early stage; 1885 above is the early support bottom. Bulls need to be vigilant if they hit the 1880-1885 range. Now it has been blocked and fell back as expected. Then the next step will be to see whether the decline can continue. If it closes negative again today, there is hope for filling the gap of 1833.
Since the current high of 1885 has fallen back as expected, we will continue to maintain the bearish thinking today. After today's rebound, continue to short, and focus on the support of the 1860 mark below.
SELL:1878-1881
SL:1885
TP1:1870
TP2:1865
TP3:1860
Short gold in the short term and continue to make moneyToday I tell you in advance that the short-term resistance of gold is in the 1885-1890 area, so I remind everyone not to continue to be long gold above 1880. In addition, before the CPI data was released, I informed everyone to short gold from 1883-1885. If gold rises to the 1888-1890 area, we will increase our positions to short gold. Obviously, the market did not give us any more opportunities to increase our positions, and after the CPI data was released, gold fell to a minimum of around 1871, which perfectly hit my expected profit target area of 1876-1875. Congratulations to all of us for making good profits.
Judging from the current gold trend structure, gold is currently falling back to around 1871, and gold has not stabilized above 1880. Then gold is likely to continue its downward trend, so now we focus on the short-term support area below 1863-1865. If gold falls back to this area , we can start trying to go long gold.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Be sure to follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) Long Term Buying Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
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Gold price today October 12: Soared again after PPI reportThe PPI index will be an indicator of the price sold to consumers in person (Consumer CPI index) will also increase accordingly. This will work strongly to determine interest rate increases by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Tonight (December 10), the US will announce the CPI index. Experts say that if the CPI index also increases, at the upcoming meeting in early November, the Fed will increase the basic productivity point by 0.25%. emission mechanism is moving towards the 2% target.
Normally, when the Fed predicts an interest rate increase, gold prices will decline. However, this time the price of gold has increased sharply. Introducing that, if the Fed continues to raise interest rates, there will be increased risk to the US economy.
Rising inflation will also cause people to tighten spending, which in turn may cause businesses to shrink production. Therefore, the US economy may fall into recession but not have a "soft landing" as predicted. With the above analysis, investors have returned to buying gold, attacking the risk of capital flows.
GOLD for my correct predictions yesterday There has been little change in the market since the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting were released in September. This highlighted concerns about U.S. economic growth and caused the Fed to become cautious about raising interest rates.
Dallas Fed President Rory Logan and Fed Director Christopher Waller have argued that rising U.S. Treasury yields in recent months could prompt the Fed to hold off on raising interest rates. Waller said on October 11 that higher market interest rates could help the Fed control inflation and allow policymakers to consider whether further rate hikes are necessary.
"Overall, the minutes indicate that Fed officials are increasingly concerned about recession risks to the U.S. economy," said Carl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Kopay in Toronto.
The recent weakness in the US dollar is due to a decline in US Treasury yields, with bond prices rising due to the Fed's "loose" stance on future interest rate hikes. Investors are now awaiting the release of the main inflation report today, October 12th, for further guidance on the future direction of interest rates. Additionally, the market is closely monitoring the conflict between Israel and the Islamic organization Hamas.
Conversely, the euro rose to $1.0634, its highest level since September 25th. Meanwhile, the pound rose to a three-week high of $1.2337.
Dutch central bank board member Klaas Nott said on October 11 that the ECB has made "important progress" in bringing inflation down to its target level, but there is still a long way to go and rules out the possibility of inflation rising. He said he could not. Interest rates may rise further in the future.
Trading strategies that are sure to make moneyDue to the dovish remarks of the Federal Reserve and geopolitical conflicts, gold rose further. After hitting a low of around 1853 overnight, it rebounded again and has now reached a high of around 1870. According to the current structural trend of gold, if gold breaks the $10 fluctuation range in the past two days, gold may maintain its upward trend for the time being. The initial pressure above is in the 1878-1880 area, while the first support below is in the 1861-1859 area, followed by the 1856-1854 area.
Therefore, for gold trading, stable friends can wait for gold to fall back and then go long gold based on the relative support level. Friends with aggressive trading styles can participate in a short-term short-selling opportunity after gold touches the 1878-1880 area.
In fact, as long as you grasp the rhythm, it is easy to profit from gold trading. If you don't know the accurate trading rhythm, you can follow my trading ideas. I post my trading ideas every day and I also post free trading signals on a regular basis. Many friends have given feedback that it is very helpful. If you want to learn market trading logic, or you want clear trading signals and get more profits, I can satisfy you. Be sure to follow the bottom of the article to view the details!
GOLD 4H OUTLOOK GOLD
reminding you that, consolidation under 1873 is important to achieve the suggested targets as breaching it will push the price to build a bearish wave to reach 1860 , 1850, and 1838
As for renewing bullish attempts, consolidation above 1873 will support the price to rise up again and recover its positive momentum to retest again to 1886 , 1896 , and 1911
Support line: 1860, 1850, 1838
Resistance line: 1886 , 1896 , 1911
From the Gold Rush to the 10% Golden Crash next?A few weeks ago, I mentioned that the gold rally had come to an end.
At the time, the price was at $1,970, and I expected the price to crash for the rest of the year.
Well, the crash came much sooner than even I expected.
Just last week, gold prices sank another 4%. And to put this into perspective.
We have not seen this kind of gold crash performance since June 2021.
In fact, on 25 September, the gold price dropped from $1,970 per ounce down to a low of $1,829.
If you missed the first down leg of gold, you’re not going to want to miss the next one.
Here’s why I expect the price to continue down.
Why the JOLTS report is great for America but bad for gold
Let’s start with what the JOLTS report is.
The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report is a monthly
publication by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
It tells us important information about the U.S. labour market.
The report is typically released a few weeks after the closely watched m (Nonfarm Payrolls) and offers a different perspective on the job market.
August data of the US JOLTS Jobs Openings was recently released. And it crushed analysts’ expectations.
It showed the job openings improved to 9.61 million in August from the previous reading of 8.92 million.
When the report came out, the gold price dropped even further.
We need to remember….
The JOLTS report of 9.61 million in August suggests a strong labour market and a boost in economic optimism.
In a growing economy, we’ll see investors will look to riskier assets like stocks over safe-haven assets like gold.
And so, this led to a decrease in gold demand and a drop in its price.
Another interest rate hike is on the cards
Several Fed officials have suggested that America can expect at least one more 25 basis points rate hike by the end of the year.
This will be to try to bring inflation back to the 2% target.
Also, with the higher jobs openings and a stronger economy – this has put the US wage inflation and higher interest rates back on the agenda.
Here is what Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, said in a Reuters note.
“There is a reckoning that interest rates are going to be higher for much longer, which has been the bearish element in the precious market.
Gold prices could go below $1,800 in the near-term,”
I don’t normally agree with the news and hype.
But the charts agree with the downside to come.
Why this massive inverse Cup and Handle is showing 10% for gold
You can see since April 2023, it’s been moving in a bearish (down) pattern known as an Inverse Cup and Handle.
Three parts make this Inverse C&H pattern including a.
Cup (big rounding top),
Handle (small rounding top) and a
Brim level (horizontal support).
Now that the price has broken below the brim level, means we should expect the price to continue down.
The first target I have for gold is to the next strong support (floor level) at $1,710.
This was the level that was tested in January, and it looks like the price will go back to that testing level again.
didnot break support 1858 and bounced#GOLD... what a hodling of 1858 market didnot break his immediate support and bounced,
now market next resistance is 1868 and market just placed,
keep close that area and dont be lazy here, if market hold it then again drop expected from here, other above that it will be invalid
trade wisely
good luck
XAUUSD: Thursday Gold AnalysisGold market analysis: Gold 4-hour level: At this time, it is still under the 10-day moving average and has been falling slowly. However, there are temporary signs of consolidation in the small range at the bottom. There is also a golden cross under the MACD zero axis and a gradual increase in volume. We need to observe this kind of shock. Can it continue for two or three days? When the consolidation time is longer and the middle track is gradually pushed downward, once it stands on the middle track, it means that the prototype of the bottom stabilizing structure has appeared. At that time, there will be a wave of upward corrections. Currently, it still needs Continue to wait and see; the short-term mid-rail is mainly bearish on rallies below 1840. When the rebound touched the 1833 line, which was the previous starting point and fall position, because the rebound failed to break through this key pressure level, the downward pattern was not broken. This is one of the reasons why we have always insisted on shorting. In yesterday's U.S. market, around the 1829 line, we firmly maintained our short position and traded profitably. With the upward and downward trend after the rebound, the price returned to the 1820 line. The entire rebound process ended and the market returned to a short position. Therefore, continuing to go short has become an inevitable choice. However, judging from the 4H/1H candle chart, the resistance of 1815 is still effective. The big upward or downward direction still needs to wait for the release of tomorrow's non-farm employment data.
Taken together, today's gold short-term top focus is on the resistance of 1830-1833, and the bottom short-term focus is on the support of 1815-1804;
SELL:1828-1830
SL:1836
TP1:1820
TP2:1815
TP3:1810
Look at the support near 1815 and go long
XAUUSD: 6/10, super data day is comingData released by the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the latest week was 207,000, the lowest level in a year. Ohio and Alabama saw the largest declines in jobless claims, while claims rose in California. The monthly jobs report due out on Friday will provide more information on the job market. Economists expect nonfarm payroll growth to slow but remain healthy. U.S. bond yields surged to multi-year highs, driving wild market volatility. Friday's NFP and next week's inflation data will determine whether the 10-year Treasury yield rises to 5% or falls to 4.5%.
Traders see a roughly 37% chance the Fed will raise interest rates again this year, according to the CME Fedwatch tool. Gold is highly sensitive to rising U.S. interest rates, as this increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. As the end of the year approaches, we do think gold prices will appreciate next year, and we think the Fed will cut interest rates more than the market currently expects. Investors will look forward to Friday's U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, which is expected to show the labor force fell to 170,000 from 187,000. A failure to live up to the headline number could give gold prices some much-needed boost on the charts, while a "fail" scenario could see prices continue to fall.
Today is a super data day. There is no strategy suggestion. Let’s wait for DXY to give direction first. If DXY is still in the range of 107.69~105.648, it means that gold will continue to fluctuate and consolidate. Wait for today's NFP announcement and observe the DXY trend. If you trade gold, it is recommended to start next week.
XAUUSD:9/10 Today’s Trading StrategyFrom a daily perspective, gold rebounded from a low last Friday and closed at the Zhongyang line. From a disk perspective, the gold price trend last Friday was similar to last Thursday. After the gold price fell briefly due to the impact of the data, there was a short-term buying trend. At present, the daily closing line is a yang, which ends the nine consecutive yin. The MACD fast and slow lines diverge upward after the golden cross, and the RSI shows a bottom divergence. However, sideways movement that follows a decline is generally more likely to be a bearish relay. However, trading volume and correction needs at the 4-hour and daily levels have not been met. Therefore, I prefer that gold is currently in a volatile trend rather than continuing to decline.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, gold opened near the middle track last Friday. It fell after hitting a low after the evening data was released and then rebounded. It broke through the upper track and closed sideways at the intraday high. The Bollinger Bands are currently in the opening period, and the MA The three lines of the moving average are moving forward, the three lines of the KDJ stochastic indicator are upward, reaching overbought, the red kinetic energy column of the MACD indicator is increasing, and the golden cross of the fast and slow lines is upward. Gold bulls have begun to stabilize after the non-agricultural sector, and it continued to rebound by nearly 20 points before closing. Overall, it shows that the strength of the short positions has begun to slowly dissipate, and the market will gradually confirm the long position. Taken together, the gold day operation idea suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, rebounds are shorts, and the top short-term focus should be on the 1865-1868 first-line resistance. . Since gold opened higher than 20USD, we still have to wait for the US market to show a retracement before making a decision to go long.
SELL:1865-1868
SL:1873
TP1:1858
TP2:1852