Profited $9K, short gold again!Today, gold maintained a volatile correction. Although the fluctuation was not large, we still made relatively good profits in both long and short transactions. First, we bought gold near 2292 and set TP: 2300; obviously, gold successfully hit our target during the rebound; then we sold gold in batches near 2301 and 2308. When gold fell back to around 2302, we chose to close the position manually, and we made good profits overall. So far, I have made a total profit of 9K, which is a good result for today's market!
At present, gold is in a stage of shock repair. Although it has rebounded in the short term and re-standing above 2300, it has not made effective progress and has not even effectively broken through the short-term resistance area of 2310-2315. Therefore, gold is only rebounding, not reversing. Therefore, we should not be too bullish on gold for now.
According to the current market conditions, it is obvious that the short-term support of gold is in the 2300-2295 area, followed by the 2285-2280 area, and the upper short-term resistance is in the 2310-2315 area, followed by the 2330-2335 area. So we can perform high-sell and low-buy operations in the support and resistance areas!
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Goldtradeplan
Gold long opportunityEither gold will reverse right now and breakout or take support from the green trend line and then go to the red line and breakout.
Reason: reason for gold to be bullish is the FED interest rate hike on March,22 which will create panic in the stock market and make commodities ( silver , gold ) bullish
Gold Challenging Its Trendline SupportGold is challenging its long-term trendline support. However, gold's market movement doesn't seem that investors are scared about Omicron variation.
Breaking below $1760/1765 will invalidate its uptrend from August 2021. If we see gold price breaks below the $1760 price zone, we may go short. Our first target to the downside is $1725/1720, and the final target is the $1680/1685 price zone.
On the other hand, breaking above $1792/1795 will open the door to long-term buy. The first target to the upside is the $1830/1835 price zone, and the final target to the upside is the $1900 price zone. Let's see what happens.
This is neither signal nor advice. It is just a personal view. If t=ou think this analysis helps you, let's like comments and share.
Gold Weekly Analysis: As long as above 1760, its uptrend. Gold suffered heavy losses last Friday. In addition, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield rose more than 1% on Friday, indicating that investors are becoming less confident in the economy's stability and strength of their earnings potentials.
However, the latest retail sales report shows positive economic data like better-than-expected retail figures for October 2021. In addition, it is a positive sign that the upcoming asset purchase program may start soon from Federal Reserve Chair Powell next month. These reports and investors' optimism sent XAU/USD crashing down to $1763, and the market closed at 1766.45 price zone on Friday.
The October Manufacturing Survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia and the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the United States will directly impact the gold price.
If the report indicates that economic growth is slowing, which could impact investors' confidence in the coming quarter, that may negatively impact the USD.
Bond VS Gol's Move. See the chart. When bond rate drop, gold price rise. When Bond rate rise, Gold price drop.
There has been no significant increase seen after four consecutive quarters of positive figures ahead of current results. The latest available data was released earlier last week due to weak overseas economies such as China's manufacturing sector, which slowed down again last month.
Gold is likely to come under bearish pressure in case the greenback capitalizes on rising yields. The benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield has maintained above the key 1.5% level despite weekly declines, but this could change with more economic instability expected soon.
Technical View
Gold dropped massively last Friday, but it is still in an uptrend. However, it is hard to say that the gold will break below the ascending trend line or continue its uptrend next week.
As long as the gold price is above 1760.00, we must not think about selling gold, though retail sales printed positive last week. From the present rate, an initial resistance is identified at the $1780 price zone. Breaking above 1780 may open the door for the $1805/1807 price zone. To the upside, our final target is a $1730 price zone.
On the other hand, breaking below the uptrend will be invalid. Gold's price breaking below $1760, our downside first target is $1750/1745. after breaking below $1745, our final target is the $1725/1720 price zone.
BUY GOLD - EXITING THE BUBBLE FROM 30% RETRACEMENT 1580 TO 1740Signs of Bullish Gold in the Next Hours
- Recent 1 hour bullish candle
- Weak Oil
- 30% Bounce from 1580 (fibbs)
- Exiting the bubble
- RSI Divergence at Oversold
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SL 1670
First TP 1710 (if exceeds 1685)
Second TP 1740 (if exceeds 1715)
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