Step-By-Step Guide to Building a Winning Gold Trading Strategy
In the today's article, I will teach you how to create your first profitable gold trading strategy from scratch.
Step 1: Choose the type of analysis
The type of analysis defines your view on the market.
With technical analysis you rely on patterns, statistical data, technical indicators, etc. for making trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis focuses on factors that drive the prices of gold such as micro and macroeconomics, news and geopolitics.
A combination of technical and fundamental analysis implies the application of both methods.
For the sake of the example, we will choose pure technical approach.
Step 2: Specify the area of analysis
Technical and fundamental analysis are complex and multilayered subjects. That is why it is crucially important to choose the exact concepts and techniques that you will apply in gold trading.
For example, with a technical analysis, you can trade harmonic patterns, or apply a combination of key levels and technical indicators.
With fundamental analysis, you can build your trading strategy around trading the economic calendar or important news releases.
Here we will choose support & resistance levels and smart money concepts.
Step 3: Select a trading time frame
Your trading time frame will define your trading style. Focusing on hourly time frame, for example, you will primarily catch the intraday moves, while a daily time frame analysis will help you to spot the swing moves.
You can also apply the combination of several time frames.
We will choose the combination of a daily and an hourly time frames.
Step 4: Define your trading zones
By a trading zone, I mean an area or a level on a price chart from where you will look for trading opportunities.
For example, a technical indicator trader may apply moving average as the trading point.
For the sake of the example, we will choose support and resistance levels on a daily time frame as our trading areas.
Step 5: Choose confirmations
Confirmation is your entry reason . It is the set of conditions that indicates a highly probable projected outcome.
For an economic calendar traders, the increasing CPI (inflation) figures can be a solid reason to open a long position on Gold.
Our confirmation will be a local change of character on an hourly time frame.
Step 6: Define your stop loss placement, entry and target selection and desired reward to risk ratio
You should know exactly where should be your entry point, where will be your stop loss and where should be the target.
We will open a trading position immediately after a confirmed change of character, stop loss will lie below the lows if we buy or above the highs if we sell.
Target will be the next daily structure.
Minimal reward to risk ration should be 1.5.
Step 7: Define Your Lot Size and Risk Per Trade
You should have precise rules for the calculation of a lot size for each trade.
For our example, we will strictly risk 1% of our trading deposit per trade.
Step 8: Set trade management rules
When the trade is active, trade management rules define your action:
for example, whether you strictly wait for tp or sl, or you apply a trailing stop loss.
In our strategy, we will move stop loss to entry 10 minutes ahead of the release of the US news in the economic calendar.
Step 9: Back test your strategy
Study the historical data and back test at least 50 trading setups that meet your strategy criteria.
Make sure that the strategy has a positive win rate.
Step 10: Try a trading strategy on a demo account
Spend at least a month on demo account and make sure that you obtain positive overall results.
If you see consistent profits on a demo account, it is the signal for you that your strategy is ready , and it's time to start trading on a real account.
In case of negative results, modify your trading conditions and back test them again, or build a new strategy from scratch.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Goldtrading
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow-up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
After hitting 3353, we did not see an EMA5 cross and lock above this level. That lack of confirmation was key and it validated a rejection right at 3353, leading to another drop into the retracement zone.
As per plan, that retracement provided yet another clean bounce, perfectly in line with our dip buying strategy.
We are once again looking toward 3353, and just like before, we will be closely watching for an EMA5 cross and lock confirmation to validate any continuation.
This kind of movement continues to confirm the power of patience, structure, and disciplined execution. No chasing just clean planned executions with high probability setups based on our EMA5 methodology.
We’re also still watching the 3381 gap a key magnet above, and a level we’ve been tracking since the Monday outlook. The roadmap remains unchanged. We’re trading the structure, managing risk, and letting confirmations guide the execution.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors
🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues
The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets.
At the same time:
🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions.
🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction.
🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes.
📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction.
🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch
The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level.
Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop.
If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today
🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,312 – 3,310
Stop Loss: 3,306
Take Profits:
→ 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350
📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1).
🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,362 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,368
Take Profits:
→ 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts).
⚠️ Risk Note
With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones?
Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity?
👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
How to find solid trading opportunities amid gold volatility?Gold opened at around 3338, and then fluctuated and fell after reaching the highest point of 3344. The 3313 long orders that were publicly deployed yesterday reached the target range of 3327-3330 as expected and stopped profit smoothly. Although the overall trend is weak, it has never effectively left the range, and the typical bottoming rebound structure is still an important basis for the low-multiple thinking. The market rose to around 3340 in the short term and then fell again. The overall operation fluctuated and consolidated below 3340, and failed to reach the expected short order entry position, and maintained fluctuations until the close.
At present, gold is still in the range of fluctuations. Although the hourly line has some fluctuations, there is no obvious directional breakthrough, and it is more of a consolidation and accumulation state. The upper short-term suppression focuses on the 3345-3355 line, which is the current primary resistance area; the lower support focuses on the 3325-3315 area, and the judgment of the long and short key nodes is maintained. The daily structure shows a yin-yang staggered pattern. The market sentiment is cautious and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. Before an effective breakthrough is formed, the operation should be based on support and pressure points to avoid chasing ups and downs and do a good job of risk control.
Operation suggestions are as follows:
1. Go long near 3325-3315, with a target of 3340-3345.
2. Go short near 3345-3355, with a target of 3325-3320.
Today is Friday, and it is recommended to respond steadily, focusing on the competition for key support and resistance areas. I will prompt more real-time strategies and entry points at the bottom, remember to pay attention to it as soon as possible.
Pay attention to the 3350 high point suppression!At present, we are paying attention to the short-term pressure near 3340-3350. If this position is not broken today, the daily line will continue to maintain a downward oscillation state, and continue to pay attention to the short-term competition near 3340-3350. Considering that the US dollar index is at a relatively high level in the short term, there is a certain demand for pressure repair, which may also bring a certain range of fluctuations to gold. Therefore, the gold operation maintains a range of fluctuations of 3300-3350. In the short term, we also need to pay attention to the emotional impact brought by fundamentals. From the current gold trend analysis structure, the short-term support below continues to focus on the vicinity of 3310-3300, the short-term suppression above focuses on the vicinity of 3340-3350, and the key pressure above focuses on the vicinity of 3380. The overall trend is running around the 3300-3350 range. The operation is mainly to participate in the volatile market with the idea of selling high and buying low, and remain flexible in response. It is recommended to wait and see more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3315-3305, with a target of 3335-3340.
Today’s main strategy: bulls take the lead, followed by bears!Yesterday, gold maintained a range of fluctuations. The game between bulls and bears was fierce but failed to break the current structure. The overall trend is not clear for the time being. From a fundamental perspective, risk aversion still dominates market expectations, which makes the gold trend lack a directional breakthrough. However, we need to be vigilant that the main funds may force the gold price to fall through extreme suppression in the future. From the 4-hour cycle, gold has been under pressure near the upper track of 3377 and has fallen continuously. It has fallen below the middle track support and touched the lower track. The current price is temporarily supported near the lower track, but the overall situation is still in a wide range of fluctuations. The trend has not yet formed. The short-term strength of the US dollar also suppresses the gold rebound. The current bulls and bears are anxious, and the key support and resistance have not been effectively broken. Currently, pay attention to the effectiveness of the support in the 3325-3320 area. If it pulls back to this area, you can consider a short-term long layout, and the target is the 3340-3350 range above. If it rebounds to this area, you can choose to stop profit and go short at the right time, and the target is the lower track area. If the downward momentum is strong, it may fall below yesterday's low to form a continuous decline.
GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)
🟡 Market Recap:
Gold made a strong bullish reversal at the end of last week, following a liquidity sweep at the FVG ZONE 3310. Price surged quickly toward the OBS SELL ZONE around 335x–336x.
However, by Friday’s close, price reacted to multiple confluences (OBS + FIBO zones) and closed below the VPOC level in the recent uptrend – forming a potential short-term top.
📉 Outlook for July 21–25:
No major economic data expected next week.
However, geopolitical tensions and trade policy concerns (e.g. tariffs, military conflicts) will be the key catalysts.
These events could lead to high volatility and liquidity grabs across the board.
🧠 Technical Perspective – H1 Mid-Term View:
Gold continues to form multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) after strong bullish moves.
Recent price action created new high-zone FVGs, but lower FVGs remain untested.
🔁 Expected scenario: A potential retracement to fill the lower FVG zones (3310/3305), followed by another bullish leg.
📍Trading Strategy:
Wait for price to retrace into FVG Low Zones.
Look for early BUY setups at confluence areas:
CP zones
FIBO retracement levels
Volume/Price reaction zones
🎯 Target Outlook:
Bullish targets around 333x – 336x remain valid.
If price sustains momentum after pullback, we may aim for Buy Side Liquidity near 3371.749.
✅ Key Reminders:
Avoid chasing highs (FOMO).
Stick to proper TP/SL rules, especially with headline-driven markets next week.
🎉 Wishing you a relaxing weekend – recharge and get ready to conquer the markets next week!
🚀 GOD BLESS ALL
7.18 Gold intraday operation strategy, short-term short first stFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3316-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. The overall support of 3316-3345 range still maintains the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold Just Flipped Is the Drop Coming?🚨 Gold Market Update – Are You Ready? 🚨
Yesterday, the gold market swept the liquidity from the previous days taking out stop orders and clearing out weak positions. After the sweep, price closed lower, showing clear signs of weakness. 📉
But that’s not all...
In the process, it also broke through a key bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) an area where buyers had previously shown strength. That FVG is now inverted, meaning it could act as a strong resistance level going forward.
With this shift in structure, there's a real possibility that gold could drop further, potentially hunting the liquidity resting near previous lows. The market might be gearing up for a deeper move.
🔥 So the question is:
Are YOU ready for the next leg down?
📌 As always Do Your Own Research (DYOR)
This is not financial advice just reading the tape.
Analysis of 7.17 Gold Operation: Buy High and Sell LowYesterday, the trend of gold in the first half was quite regular. The rebound in the Japanese session was under pressure, and the European session continued to fall back to test the 3320 mark. The key here has been repeatedly emphasized yesterday. The gold market in the second half was more exciting. First, the news was released that Trump was ready to draft the dismissal of the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold directly rose by 50 US dollars and broke through the recent high of 3375. Then he said that he had no intention of dismissing the Federal Reserve Chairman. Gold rushed up and fell back by 40 US dollars. The daily line finally closed with an inverted hammer pattern with a very long upper shadow line.
After the end of this pattern, today's market is still bearish. If the market is extremely weak, it will continue to fall below 3358. Pay attention to the attack and defense of the 3320 mark below. If it falls below, it will open the downward space to test the 3300 mark. During the day, we will temporarily set the small range of 3320-3358 to run, sell high and buy low, and retreat to 3325. One low long, defend yesterday's low, look up to 3335, 3342, 3358, and then reverse high.
1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
Today, we saw exactly the type of reaction we were looking for at the 3328 retracement level. Price respected the zone perfectly, offering a clean bounce, just as we anticipated and stated yesterday. There was no EMA5 cross and lock below 3328, confirming a strong rejection and aligning perfectly with our plan to buy dips into 3355 and above.
This move further validates our structure and the importance of waiting for confirmations rather than jumping the gun. As always, EMA5 cross and lock levels remain key in tracking momentum shifts. We’ll continue to monitor for a cross and lock above each Goldturn level to confirm the next move.
Also, let’s not forget the 3381 gap we highlighted in Monday’s outlook, it remains a magnet above, and we’re keeping it firmly on our radar.
The plan remains the same: We are buying dips at key levels with solid risk management and using EMA5 confirmations to confirm the moves.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The high probability intraday trading strategy for gold is here!After gold fell below 3341 yesterday, the highest point of the rebound was around 3350-52. Today, we are long at 3320-25, and the target of 3340-45 has been reached. We continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3340-45, but the overall rebound strength is limited. The 3340-45 point fell back several times last Friday, and it is now broken again. Therefore, we can participate in the short position at 3340-3345 in advance. Gold rebounded at 3322 today. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair when it falls back to 3316-20, so we can look for opportunities to go long below to seize the profit space of the rebound.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term pressure above is around 3340-3345, and the current focus is on the support of the middle track 3310 at the hourly level. If the gold price can effectively hold the 3310 area, it is expected to bottom out and rebound and test the intraday high, but the upper rail resistance of the 3345 channel is strong, and it may still fall under pressure when it is touched, and the range shock judgment will be maintained at that time. In terms of operation, if you hold this support, you can consider light positions to try short-term longs, and pay attention to the short-term support of 3320-3315 below. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautiously chasing orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market. I will prompt more specific operation strategies at the bottom, and pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to the 3322-3317 line to go long, the target is 3335-40 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Treat intraday fluctuations as long first and short later!Gold started to rebound near 3322 at the opening. Our long positions near 3324 are also in floating profit. We first focus on the short-term suppression of 3340-3345 on the upper side. The support below is at 3325-3320. We operate in this range. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair the demand when it falls back to 3320, so we can find opportunities to go long to grasp the profit space of the rebound.
4-hour cycle analysis: The strong dividing line of long positions below is at the 3320 first-line mark, and the short-term support focuses on the 3325-3320 range. The overall bullish rhythm of pulling back to lows and going long is maintained. Short-term pressure focuses on around 3340-3345. The overall main tone of participating in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged relying on this range.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3325-3320, target 3335-3340, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?XAUUSD 16/07 – Temporary Rebound or Trap Before the Next Drop?
🌍 Macro View – Calm Before the Volatility?
Gold is currently hovering around $3,334/oz after an aggressive sell-off earlier this week. While June's Core CPI data from the US came in lower than expected — easing immediate inflation concerns — the broader macro landscape remains far from stable:
New US tariffs are beginning to ripple through consumer prices.
Sectors like appliances and electronics are seeing early signs of inflation.
Shrinking inventories may lead to direct price pressures on consumers soon.
🔎 As the market digests these signals, gold remains a defensive play — but today's PPI release could flip sentiment quickly.
📉 Technical Outlook – Setup for a Deeper Pullback?
After CPI, gold retraced sharply and filled liquidity around 332x.
A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the H1 chart, alongside a potential Continuation Pattern (CP) near 3347–3349.
Price action is likely to revisit the 334x–336x resistance zone, providing ideal short setups if rejection is confirmed.
🎯 Below lies a deep liquidity zone (FVG) near 3294, which could serve as the magnet for the next bearish move.
📊 Key Trade Zones to Watch
🔵 Buy Zone – Deep Liquidity Support: 3,296 – 3,294
SL: 3,290
TP: 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,330
🔴 Sell Scalp – CP Pattern Rejection: 3,347 – 3,349
SL: 3,353
TP: 3,343 → 3,340 → 3,336 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 → 3,300
🚨 Sell Zone – VPOC Level Resistance: 3,358 – 3,360
SL: 3,364
TP: 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 → 3,300
⚠️ What to Expect Today
All eyes are on the US PPI data, which could shake markets later in the session.
Look for a bullish fake-out during London or New York hours, especially toward 334x–336x zones.
Ideal strategy: wait for H1 candle confirmation before entering, and manage risk with clean TP/SL levels.
💬 Your Take?
Will gold revisit 329x this week, or are we setting up for a bullish reversal?
👇 Drop your thoughts in the comments and follow @MMFlowTrading for high-probability setups and macro insights — daily!
XAUUSD Analysis : Gold's Bullish Comeback + Target📊 Chart Overview:
Gold has shown a technically strong structure on the 4-hour time frame, respecting multiple layers of support, while slowly shifting momentum in favor of buyers. What stands out most in this chart is the parabolic curve formation at the bottom, labeled the "Black Mind Curve Support" — a key psychological zone that has guided price action back to the upside.
Let’s walk through the key elements and why this current setup deserves your attention:
🧠 1. Black Mind Curve Support – Bullish Base Formation:
This curved structure at the bottom is no ordinary pattern. It reflects gradual accumulation and buyer dominance, often seen in textbook rounded bottom formations. The market printed multiple higher lows along this curve, suggesting a deliberate and patient entry by smart money.
Whenever price touched this curve, it found strong demand — a clear sign that the bulls are defending their territory.
🧱 2. Channel Support + SR Interchange – Historical Demand:
Zooming into the left side of the chart, you’ll notice how price dropped into a converging zone where a descending channel support intersected with a historical support/resistance (SR) level. This confluence created a high-probability buy zone — the very origin of the current bullish wave.
This channel breakout also represents a structural shift, marking the beginning of bullish control.
🔁 3. Major SR – Interchange Zone:
One of the most critical areas in this chart is the Major SR Interchange zone, where former resistance was broken and later retested as support. This is a classic support-resistance flip — the type of zone institutional traders watch closely.
This level currently acts as a launchpad for bulls, reinforcing bullish structure and offering low-risk long opportunities when respected.
⚔️ 4. Minor BOS (Break of Structure):
Recently, the price broke above a short-term lower high, indicating a minor bullish break of structure. This is confirmation that momentum has shifted in the short term. Such BOS events are powerful signals, especially when backed by curve support and SR flips.
This also paves the way for the price to push into the next liquidity pocket above.
🧭 5. Central Zone – 50% Equilibrium:
The horizontal line drawn around the $3,330 level marks the central 50% zone — the midpoint of this entire price range. This acts as a natural equilibrium zone where buyers and sellers usually fight for control.
Price is now trading above this zone, giving the upper hand to bulls. Holding above the 50% line increases the probability of continuation to higher resistance levels.
🧨 6. Target Area – "Next Reversal Zone":
Looking ahead, the $3,370 – $3,380 range is labeled as the Next Reversal Zone. This is where sellers previously stepped in and rejected price hard. However, if momentum remains strong and bulls can push price into this zone again, we might witness either:
A sharp pullback (if bearish reaction occurs), or
A major breakout above toward the $3,400 key resistance (if buyers overpower).
This is the zone to watch for either short-term profit taking or potential trend continuation setups.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: $3,330 – $3,315 (Central + Retest Zone)
Major Support: $3,290 (Mind Curve Base)
Short-Term Resistance: $3,370 – $3,380 (Reversal/Reaction Zone)
Bullish Continuation Target: $3,400+
📒 Conclusion & Strategy Insight:
This chart presents a textbook bullish reversal setup with clean structural progression:
Price formed a rounded base
Broke out of previous range resistance
Retested multiple key SR zones
Now targeting liquidity above
The bulls are in control as long as the price remains above the curve and the major SR zone. A retracement into $3,330 could offer an ideal long entry, targeting the $3,370–$3,380 zone with tight risk.
✅ Suggested Trading Approach:
Buy Opportunities: On pullbacks toward $3,330–$3,315 with confirmation
Sell Watch: Near $3,375–$3,380 if bearish divergence or strong rejection appears
Invalidation: Break and close below $3,290 curve support
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold continues to build a strong bullish base. The parabolic nature of the support curve suggests rising demand. As long as support holds, the bulls may take price to fresh highs in the coming days.
Keep an eye on how price behaves around the Next Reversal Zone — that will reveal whether this bullish rally is ready for a breakout or a cooldown.
Gold is accelerating downward, pay attention to important supporThe U.S. inflation data for June was released overnight. The actual data showed that U.S. inflation rebounded slightly in June, but it did not exceed expectations. After the data was released, Trump made a speech at Truth A post on Social said that given the low consumer prices, the Fed should lower interest rates. He has been calling for a rate cut for some time, so the market still has some uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's subsequent rate cuts, but the probability is in September. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged this month is high. The US dollar index is also supported and continues to rebound. Gold fluctuated higher from around 3344 in the morning of the previous trading day. During the European session, it refreshed the intraday high and touched the 3366 line under pressure and maintained repeated narrow consolidation. After the data was released, it first rebounded quickly to the 3360 line and then quickly fell back. After two repetitions, it finally moved downward. In the evening, it fell below the intraday low and once touched around 3320 and then stabilized and rebounded. The daily line closed with a middle shadow. Technically, the continuation of the previous convergence triangle after the break is currently returning to the downward channel again.
Pay attention to the pressure of 3342/44 during the day, and pay attention to the support near 3308 below. If it falls below 3308 again, it will return to the downward channel.
How to find stable trading opportunities in gold fluctuations?Today, the rhythm of gold going short first and then long is perfectly grasped. Congratulations to those who followed the trading plan for reaping good returns. We are still holding long orders at present, and the overall position is arranged around the idea of stepping back to low and long. From the current market structure, the 3325-3320 area below is an important dividing line for the bulls to be strong, and it is also a key support level that determines the subsequent direction. If this area stabilizes, the short-term structure will still be bullish and unchanged, and the rhythm of stepping back to low and long is expected to continue. It is expected that gold will rebound to 3340-3350 and the upper target again. If 3320 is lost, it is recommended to stop loss as soon as possible, and the defense position is recommended to be set below 3315 to prevent the short-term structure from turning short and bringing further callback risks. The core of this round of trend is that only by holding the support can we be qualified to talk about rebound; if the support is lost, we need to turn decisively to prevent being passive. The current market volatility has intensified, but the direction has not yet completely broken. The focus of operation is still on entering the market around key points, switching positions between long and short positions to find the rhythm, blindly chasing orders and emotional operations will be taboos in the current market. Opportunities are not absent, but they belong to those who are always ready. The structure is not broken and the low and long will not change.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on our 1H chart idea
We had a nice push up on the chart at the start of the week, coming close but just short of the 3381 gap. Still, it was a solid catch that respected our levels beautifully.
Following that, we cleared our 3353 Bearish Target, which also triggered the EMA5 cross and lock, confirming the move toward our 3328 retracement range, a level we hit perfectly.
As expected, we're now seeing a reaction in this 3328 zone, which remains key. We are watching this closely for a potential bounce. However, if price crosses and locks below 3328, the swing range will open, setting up the potential for a larger swing bounce from deeper levels.
We’ll continue using dips and key support zones for scalps and intraday bounces, aiming for 20–40 pips per level. The structure remains valid, and as mentioned before, our back-tested levels have consistently shown strong reaction zones over the past 24 months.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
The battle for gold 3375-40 has begun, and CPI is coming!The current market has entered a short-term shock consolidation phase. Taking advantage of the temporary calm of the market, I would like to share my judgment and strategy with my brothers. I still tend to be bullish in the medium term. Yesterday's trend just verified my point of view. If the bulls want to break through the 3375 line, they must first complete the "deep squat wash", and this wave of retracement has also brought good profits to both our long and short traders. Friends who follow should have gained.
But the core of today is the CPI inflation data. As a heavy macro event, the recent forward-looking data (such as employment and labor market) is likely to be bearish for gold. The market has formed a consistent expectation. In this case, I have to temporarily put aside the long thinking and turn to short. My point of view is that as a qualified trader, I have always attached great importance to the data market. Whether it is non-agricultural, CPI or interest rate resolution, I have never easily made mistakes in grasping this kind of structural drive. Since the market has locked the focus of long and short positions in the core range of 3375-3340, we must face up to this structural competition. If the judgment is wrong this time, I will re-evaluate whether I should continue to participate deeply in this obvious data expectation transaction, but for now, I must respect the game logic of the market.
Operation strategy reference:
Currently, the 3360-3366 area can be lightly shorted. If it touches the 3370 line before the CPI is released, it can be appropriately covered; the stop loss is clearly set above 3375. Once it breaks through, leave the market decisively without hesitation. The lower target is 3350-3340 first. If it breaks, continue to look down to the 3330 area.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Mid-Term Outlook
Analysing a price action on Gold since March,
I see a couple of reliable bullish signals to consider.
As you can see, for the last 4 month, the market is respecting
a rising trend line as a support.
The last 4 Higher Lows are based on that vertical support.
The last test of a trend line triggered a strong bullish reaction.
The price successfully violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern,
where the market was correcting for almost a month.
A strong reaction to a trend line and a breakout of a resistance of the flag
provide 2 strong bullish signals.
I think that the market may grow more soon and reach at least 3430 resistance.
An underlined blue area will be a demand zone where buying orders will most likely accumulate.
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How to grasp the key trading points of gold?Yesterday, gold tested the 3375 line several times but failed to break through effectively. The selling pressure on the market was obvious, and the price immediately fell back, reaching a low of around 3341. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating that the bullish momentum has weakened and the short-term market has entered an adjustment phase. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, the continuous negative trend has led to the gradual closing of the Bollinger Bands, and the middle track position has temporarily gained support, but the overall market is volatile and weak. Today, we will focus on the 3354 watershed. If the rebound fails to effectively stand at this position, the pressure on the upper side will still be strong, and there is a risk of a short-term decline.
Key technical positions: upper resistance: 3365, 3354, lower support: 3340, 3330. In terms of operation rhythm, it is recommended to deal with it with a high-selling and low-buying, oscillating approach, and maintain flexible adjustments.
The operation suggestions are as follows: You can choose to short in the 3360-3365 area, with the target around 3350 and 3340; if the rebound is blocked below 3354, you can also enter the short order in advance. It is recommended to enter and exit quickly in the short-term weak market; strictly control the stop loss to avoid risks caused by sudden changes in the market.
The current market is obviously volatile, so don't blindly chase the rise and fall. It is particularly important to operate around the key pressure and support areas. The grasp of the rhythm will determine the final profit, and steady trading is the kingly way.