GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following on from yesterdays update on our mid/long term route map after completing the 1h, 4h and daily chart route maps. We completed 3094 target and stated that we will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above.
- Looking like no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, if price stays below this level on market close. Amazing to see the weighted levels levels being respected like this to allow us to identify new range gaps or rejections.
We will be looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldtrading
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
After completing our 1H, 4H and daily chart idea, we now only have our long term weekly chart idea remaining . We will update new Multi timeframe route maps in preparation for next week on Sunday
Last week we stated that we still had the gap left open at 3094, after candle break above the channel half-line and ema5 lock.
-This gap is now complete!
We will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above.
We also still have a detachment to ema5 lagging potentially due for further correction. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below the levels to confirm the next mid to long term range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Has gold peaked and turned bearish? Trend analysisGold will focus on the impact of non-agricultural data. At that time, there will be large short-term fluctuations. In the 4H cycle, the weak shock will remain below the middle track. The upper pressure will remain at 3118 and 3135. The short-term weakness will also be accompanied by repeated detours. Therefore, the rebound will be mainly shorted, and the lower support will remain at 3080 and 3055.
Recommendation: Short gold near 3135, stop loss at 3143, target 3120, 3110!
Has gold peaked and gone short?So has gold peaked and turned bearish? Yesterday, it rebounded after a sharp drop. Although it fell back, it still closed above 3100, indicating that the market is not weak and has not completely turned bearish. Although the daily line turned negative yesterday, it closed with a long lower shadow and did not fall below the short-term moving average. We can only see long adjustments or corrections. There are generally two types of corrections: time correction and price correction. Time correction is to exchange time for space, and the price does not change much; while price correction is to complete the correction with rapid price fluctuations, mostly in the form of a high-rise fall or a bottom-out rebound. Yesterday's trend was a price correction.
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview
The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation.
This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels.
2. Key Technical Elements
A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown
A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup.
The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher.
The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support.
The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown.
👉 Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline.
A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown.
B) Resistance & Support Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135
This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts.
Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure.
Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation.
2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056
This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower.
Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58.
3️⃣ Breakout & Retest
After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend.
3. Trade Setup & Execution
🔵 Entry Point:
Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure.
Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength.
🔴 Stop-Loss:
Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs.
This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals.
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in.
TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support.
TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse.
4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators
📉 Bearish Confirmation:
Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure.
Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows.
📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range.
⚡ Additional Confirmation:
A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels.
Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues.
5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary
✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish)
✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell)
✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline
✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,056.58
TP2: $3,022.39
TP3: $2,985.44
📌 Final Thoughts:
This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly.
🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
Is the trend of gold rising sharply or falling sharply? In the short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position, and the upper resistance is around 3150. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback.
Strategy:
It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137
Has the gold tariff peaked?The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed is still the 3100 line. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 and gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is recommended to be mainly short on rebounds, supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operations.
Gold operation strategy: Gold 3100 short, stop loss 3110, target 3080-3070;
Gold sells off sharply on tariff dayGold, the general trend is as described in the continuous analysis. The price rose from 2614 in a step-by-step manner due to risk aversion, and then consolidated. The tariff policy officially took effect, and the price was blocked at 3168, and fell back after the second confirmation; it is emphasized that the short-term structure is weakening, and the support of the weekly and monthly charts is far away. Combined with the non-agricultural data at the end of the week, we need to be vigilant about the risk of profit-taking and selling; short-term resistance is 3120-3124, and strong resistance is 3135; short-term support is 3104-3100, and strong support is 3095-3085. If it breaks, look back to 3054;
When will gold's continued highs peak?In terms of the short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3128-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3097 line of support.
Operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near the rebound of gold around 3127-3130, stop loss 3140, target around 3115-3105, and look at the 3100 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Go long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near the pullback of gold around 3100-3102, stop loss 3090, target around 3120-3128, and look at the 3140 line if it breaks;
Gold's upper resistance appears, trend analysisGold has recently shown a strong upward offensive, and the daily line has been rising continuously, showing an upward trend. What gold needs to pay attention to is that the end of the rising market is not determined by the high point, but by the breaking of the key support level. The current upper resistance is at 3148-3152, and the lower support is at 3122-3117. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and low and long as the auxiliary.
Gold strategy:
long at 3127/28, stop loss at 3120, target 3140-3145; if 3145 is not broken, short on rallies and then look back to around 3130-28.
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Gold is rising strongly, is it one step closer to 3200?Gold has risen sharply again, and the current surge has reached the 3167.5 US dollar line! Gold continues to be bullish and long, and there is still room and demand for further increases! It is not easy to operate at present. The resistance is the intraday high, and a small stop loss is needed to be short. In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3138-3140 is the focus, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3110 is the focus.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short (buy short) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3175-3178 of gold rebound, stop loss 6 points, target near 3155-3145, break to see 3140 line;
Strategy 2: Long (buy up) two-tenths of the position in batches near 3138-3140 of gold pullback, stop loss 6 points, target near 3160-3170, break to see 3180 line;
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
Gold's counter draw 3115-18 is still an excellent short spotGold fell after hitting a high of 3135, but failed to stand firm at the 3121 real level. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, indicating significant selling pressure from above. The current key watershed is in the 3115-3121 area: if the closing price falls below this position, the lower side will test the strong support band of 3085, and the medium-term trend may turn to shock adjustment. Pay attention to the 3115-3118 pullback opportunity, and you can arrange short orders in place. There are two points to note: First, if the price fails to quickly pull back to 3115, it may accelerate downward; second, if it unexpectedly recovers 3115, it is necessary to adjust the strategy. Gold operation suggestions: short in the rebound 3115-3118 area, stop loss 3125, target 3085.
XAUUSD SHORTXAUUSD short again, 9yr high for Gold and still holding on to my shorts. another day, another entry. Setting my position at 3138 // TP 3000 SL 3238
A lil discouraged with the current rallies, however, this is what trading is like, you take your L's, gather your emotion, recalculate and execute again(when you're less emotional). Sticking to my Short positions because I believe that this will reverse, it may take a while but im willing to wait. Setting my TP to my previous target to cover previous losses and SL a lil bit further to secure my positions. This isnt a trading or financial advice but my personal trading plan. Let's see how this trade rolls.
Day 14of100
L:5
W:1
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
Can gold still go long?The market has ushered in key variables. There is uncertainty about the increase in tariffs in the tariff policy. Whether it is a reciprocal tariff or a 25% increase on the basis of the reciprocal tariff has attracted much attention. However, even if the news is not as good as market expectations, the price of gold will only fall back at most, because the implementation of the tariff policy will slow down the development of the global economy, especially the impact on the manufacturing industry, which is not conducive to the recovery of the global economy. Under the global economic contraction, the price of gold will inevitably be supported. In addition, the ADP data is also crucial, which is related to the trend of non-agricultural data. At present, the probability of interest rate cuts has increased to 50%, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has supported gold. The overall environment is good for gold. Although the news will cause price fluctuations in the short term, it is difficult to change the overall rhythm. The bull trend cannot continue indefinitely; second: the reversal of the trend is bound to be accompanied by changes in the fundamental environment; we are now in the third stage of the bull market, and it is a historical bull market trend, which cannot be treated in a conventional way of thinking; the subsequent trend changes will definitely give us enough time and space to make arrangements! The hourly line of gold dropped to 3110 again. Obviously, the bulls have withstood the test. The big positive line took off directly. The bullish trend has not changed. The big positive line broke through the suppression of the moving average again. At present, it is rising on the moving average and continues to look at the 3150 line. Investment strategy: Gold 3110 long, stop loss 3100, target 3180
Assignment for GOLD next weekBase on what happened this week. My idea for GOLD is simple and straight forward next week. After that strong expansion to the downside, i am expecting to see a retracement towards .5 or .62 of fib level before price will continue to go down and mitigate that big weekly imbalance below. Base on the structure of next weeks high impact news, my idea would be a simple consolidation for Monday till Wednesday since we got no high impact news on those given days. Then Thursday and Friday would be the expansion since we got FOMC,CPI and PPI for those 2 remaining days of the week... My entry would still be the same. Top down analysis using my multi timeframe strategy and wait for all timeframes to align and enter in 5m timeframe once it aligns with the overall higher timeframe. Good luck to us all and Happy trading...
Gold market trend analysisGold has a lot of room to fall, but it has not changed the current bullish trend. It is still possible to rise after adjustment. In fact, gold rebounded after a sharp drop and hit the high point of 3135 again, which reflects the absolute bullishness of gold. At present, gold closed at around 3110. Obviously, after a big rise and fall, gold will most likely adjust and enter a shock range. The temporary effective range is between 3055-3135. If there is no big fluctuation, you can refer to the 1H cycle range for high-short and low-long trading. However, if there are too many small-cycle adjustments, the space below may not be so small. There is also support at 3035 below and a relative high at 3135 above. Therefore, the market still depends on the range adjustment. It is recommended to sell high and buy low in terms of operation. Pay attention to the resistance of 3035-3150 above and the support of 3065-3055 below.
Gold fluctuates and is bearish to welcome non-agricultural dataAfter the strong rebound of gold, the digestion of risk aversion news led to technical adjustments. Gold was directly shorted at 3115, and gold fell as expected. The 1-hour moving average of gold continued to turn downward. If a dead cross is formed in the 1-hour moving average, then the gold short position will be more dominant. The 1-hour downward trend line also suppresses the rebound of gold. The rebound will continue to be shorted. The trend suppression has now moved down to around 3110. Gold rebounded under pressure and continued to be shorted at 3110. If the market is strong upward, then give up the idea of shorting. Continue to wait for the market to stabilize. Overall, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be shorted on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3110-3115 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3110-3112, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3090-3075, break to see 3065 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3065-3068, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3090-3100, break to see 3110 line;