GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we are now tracking for a while now. If you have only started following us, please read the updates below from last week.
The half line of our unique channel gave the perfect bounce into the next axis target at 2904, inline with our plans to buy dips just like we stated. We now have a body close once again with ema5 cross and lock above 2904 leaving the range above open. We will continue to look for support at the ascending half-line of the channel, as we climb into the range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
LAST WEEKS UPDATE
After completing our Bullish targets we stated that the channel top will act as resistance confirmed with ema5 rejection. A break of the channel top with ema5 would confirm a continuation and failure would confirm rejection. This allowed us to identify true breakouts against fake outs.
We also stated that we need to keep in mind the channel half line below to establish floor to provide support for the range, should we continue to track further up. A break below the half line will open the lower part of the channel to establish floor on the channel bottom. The safest way to track this movement is by buying dips.
- Once again this played out perfectly as we got the rejection on the channel top followed with the channel half line test, which gave the perfect bounce like we stated. We will now either look for a continuation from this bounce or a cross and lock below the half line for a break into the lower channel floor.
Goldtradingidea
Short gold after reboundWe were fortunate to have closed our long positions around the 2942 level, securing our profits in a timely manner. Although my initial plan was to start shorting gold on Thursday and Friday, the market unexpectedly began its decline earlier than anticipated, and I was unable to open short positions immediately. Given that gold’s downturn started ahead of schedule in this cycle, there is still room for price fluctuations. Therefore, we should avoid rushing into short positions, as gold may still see a short-term rebound to the 2930-2940 region.
Gold has repeatedly faced resistance around the 2950-2955 zone and, following a period of sideways consolidation, finally broke downward—breaching the 2930-2925 support area. This suggests that there is still more downside potential, and the move could trigger panic selling. Consequently, I will be shifting my strategy to prioritize short positions after price rebounds.
For upcoming short-term trades, we can consider initiating short positions in the 2935-2945 zone. Should gold resume its downward trajectory, it is likely to test the 2910-2900 support region.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said for the first half of the week we will be looking for the price to attempt the low-level support 2625-30 to complete the move from the week before which we achieved. We wanted this level to give us the bounce upside for the long, which was almost to the pip, hitting our target upside for another short completing the bearish targets.
We then updated traders with the long trade before NFP which we traded level to level until we released the NFP KOG Report on Friday. For this report we gave the levels of interest and our plan, and although we didn’t manage to capture the exact level for the long, some traders managed to get in on the move hitting the target on the nose. It’s at that red box level we then shorted again to close the week.
What a week in Camelot, not only a point to point moves across the week on Gold but we completed a whopping 22 targets across the other pairs we trade and analyse.
Well done to the community and traders.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we have the key levels above 2700 and above that 2710, which could be possible targets for bulls to attempt during the course of the week. Below, we have the key levels of 2665 and the key level 2650-55 which will be this week’s bullish above bias level. Ideally, on open we want to see a brief test of that high, if rejected we would like to see this come back down to complete the move downside from Fridays’ NFP. It’s these lower levels that need to be monitored, the 2665 region which is where if we want to go up, we don’t want to see a break below and below that, then the extension of the move into the 2645-50 region.
We’re a little too high to attempt the long and we’re also holding protected shorts from above, so a progressive move down would suit before then finding a base to attempt that long unless Excalibur says otherwise.
At present, we can not get to carried away with the long-term direction, a visit into 2700 with a strong break above 2720 is needed for this to continue the move upside, while a break below the 2640-45 region is needed for this to confirm the move further downside. It’s still possible we continue this range until a further breakout so for that reason we’ll play it intra-day for now following our trusted algo and additional tools we have in place.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 2650 with targets above 2700, 2706 and above that 2716
Bearish on break of 2650 with targets below 2640 and below that 2635
RED BOXES:
Break above 2690 for 2700, 2703, 2706, 2710 and 2724 in extension of the move
Break below 2680 for 2667, 2665, 2655 and 2640 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
What's Next on Gold : 2680 or 2630Gold collected the liquidity but it was unable to sustain above 2675-2680 region!
Now started decline and you can expect a downfall!
It may have a support at 2652, but if it breaks 2652 you can see 2632/2622 by Wednesday!
Consider a Stop at 2680 region if you are shorting at current price of 2664.
For this 16 points SL you can get 32 points reward of 32 points , which is 1:2 RR
Consider this for educational purpose and do not risk more than 1% of your portfolio.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 8th JulyLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we said the correction in gold was likely going to be profit taking and we were not ready to suggest it’s bearish as yet. We suggested that resistance may hold during the early part of the week and if it did, we felt the opportunity to short the market back down into 2330-35 and below that 2310-2295 would be available. We said these are the levels we wanted to see the RIPs, and would represent opportunities to long the market back up in to the levels we had given, and for us into Excalibur targets sitting higher. As you can see, apart from the extension of the move into 2310, we got our move again upside giving us another phenomenal week on Gold in Camelot.
Towards the end of the week, we gave traders the higher levels in which to look for the short trades, and again, perfect level to level trading implemented giving us the move down, then in Camelot, 2375 held for us to take it up again closing of the week. Great work by the team not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We wanted to see if they could close this above the 2400 level which failed on Friday, so even though we’ve been saying it for a couple of weeks, we’re going to play caution again on long trades unless we get a really significant pullback on Gold. We have the resistance level 2395-2404 which is holding the price down at the moment with support 2375 giving us the bias bullish above. However, for this week, we’re expecting them to attempt to break that high at some point and rather than taking long trades into the higher levels, we’ll be looking to capture another decent short trade from higher up.
So, on open if we see support hold, traders could be presented with the opportunity to level to level long up into the 2404, 2410 and above that 2414-20 regions. We would suggest it is level to level with trades protected as soon as is viable and partials taken along the way. It may also be an idea to leave small runners with an open TP into the extension level 2340-55 which we’re identifying this week as an order region. It’s these levels where we’ll be looking for RIPs based on the set up if it is presented to short the market back down, with the view that we have potential to break below the 2375 price point.
Please note, breaking and holding above 2404-6 is needed for us to target those higher levels.
On the flip, although structure looks like we’re going higher, this range is confusing traders, not only getting them stuck mid-way but also whipsawing them into cutting and taking their stops. There is a small indication of a move down, but it’s not as significant as we would like at the moment, so we will say, if they do push this down, 2370-75 is the key support level which will need to break for us to go lower.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2370-5 with targets above 2404 and above that 2414
Bearish on break of 2370 with targets below 2355 and below that 2342
It's a simple on this week, caution is needed on the markets, so many traders are treating this like we’re in normal everyday market conditions as they haven’t experienced anything else. These are extreme market conditions, your lot sizes and your money management are imperative to maintaining your account and helping it to grow. There are numerous posts on trading the range, how to use levels, as well as a trading strategy that we’ve posted previously, please use these to help guide you through these markets.
We’ll update the report throughout the week as well as share KOG’s daily bias and levels, please keep a look out for them, they have proven to be extremely successful in guiding traders and keeping them in the right direction.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold trading idea ready (Read the caption)Hi Traders Gold price is ready
Gold currently experiencing worldwide
Down trend has reached its highest price ever
I predict that the market will bounce back
From the resistance level move towards the Nearby support level
Gold sell from 2177_2183
Target zone. 2140
If this post is useful for you
You can support me with like
And advice comments
THE KOG REPORT (Another aggressive week on the horizon)THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would be sticking with the plan and gave the extreme level of 2193-5 which is where we expected there to be a RIP, and if held we would be looking to short the market back down into the 2150-55 levels and below that 2147. It was at these levels that we said we would be expecting another RIP with extension into 2135-40 and we would then be looking to trade this back up level to level. During the course of the week, we updated our plans and decided to we’d go with the flip and on the break of 2175, we would continue with the long trades with the bias level 2204, 2210 and the target level 2224 on the available.
As you can see, we completed the targets above on the flip closing price above the target.
As phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We ended the week last week with an update highlighting the potential regions we would be looking for the price to target on opening. So, for the early part of the week we will stick with the same levels and clearly state, we’re not looking to long the market unless we get a decent pullback! Price may want to stretch, so those that are short without stops (yes, there are traders who trade like this) please keep the higher levels of resistance in mind and know that without historical data up here, we will need to give or take pips either side of levels!
We have the higher resistance zone of 2250-55 and the lower support level of 2225-20 which could be the play for some part of the week as the market takes a rest after the aggressive move upside we’ve witnessed. A complete reversal here may not be on the cards with a stretch into 2255 very likely in our opinion. It’s at these levels, if targeted, that we may look to test the short trades back down into the 2230 and below that 2220 regions with extension of the move back to test the breakout 2205-2197. Bears need to see a clean reversal forming here with a longer timeframe swing with a break below the 2195 level, otherwise, levels above on bounces from support continue all the way up towards the 2286 region which in our opinion is a vali target level.
In summary:
Higher resistance level hit first, clean reversal we’ll look to short back down into 2230 and below that 2220. It’s the lower regions of support we’ll then look at taking the long trades again unless we break below 2195!
Price comes down into support levels, holds above 2220-5 we could see the range form between support there and 2250-55 resistance pre-event!
Don’t forget, we have NFP in the week ahead as well as other news that will drive the markets aggressively. Less experienced and new traders, these aren’t the conditions you should be trading in, rather waiting for the price to do what it needs to and then looking for the right setups.
KOG’s Bias of the week:
Bullish above 2220-5 with targets above 2250 and above that 2286
Bearish on break of 2220-5 with targets below 2195
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD H1 / Potential Short Trade / Valid Entry in Supply Area❗️💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to Gold. My previous forecast hit the target of 5R, now I expect a retracement, to the FVG and I will look for a confirmation in the supply area. The structure is still bearish, and my bias is for short entries.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
____________________________________
Follow, like, and comment to see my content:
www.tradingview.com
GOLD M30 / LONG TRADE EXECUTION ALERT ❗️💲Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to Gold M30. I expect a bullish move to close the FVG. The bearish sentiment on the market is still bearish, and I consider this indicator a good chance to look for long entries.
My target is under the OB level.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
____________________________________
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www.tradingview.com
XAUUSD: 30/8 Today’s Trading StrategyAt the beginning of the Asian market on Wednesday, gold held a nearly three-week high and is currently around 1936. The main U.S. employment data in July began to approach pre-epidemic levels, a sign of a cooling labor market. The dollar and U.S. bond yields fell sharply on Tuesday, with the 10-year U.S. bond yield hitting a near two-week low, helping gold soar more than $15 , conquered the key position near the 55-day moving average of 1931.5, and spot gold closed at 1937.17 on Wednesday. The gold 1915-1918 given by Jiesse yesterday emphasized the idea of gold bulls. I believe that the friends who followed have perfectly won the stop profit.
Yesterday's bulls rose and closed at a high level. The daily line included a big positive line, which broke through the previous highs at the highest point, but did not break through the previous lows. There was a bullish situation. After the shock, it broke through again, indicating the continuation of the bulls. From the perspective of the four-hour level, before this wave of rising gold was a wave of continuous falling waves, so the rising wave at this stage is an adjustment of the previous wave, or a new round of rising waves. Let’s start now Mainly do more at low positions. It is estimated that the watershed between long and short in the current trend will be at 1926, and you can continue to do long if the retracement does not break below.
Jiesse's conclusion: Gold's breakthrough again does not mean that it will continue to skyrocket. Today’s operation considers retracing and doing long mainly, and then shorting at high positions. Focus on the resistance of 1942-1947 at the top, support at 1918-1925 at the bottom, and focus on 1915 after an unexpected break. If the high point does not break through 1940 for many times, you can consider shorting.
Gold operation strategy:
SELL:1943-1947
TP1:1937
TP2:1933
1922-1926
TP1:1929
TP2:1932
Gold: Step back in place, and the current price of 1923 will go
Gold stepped back on the support again, the current price is directly higher than 1924, continue to be bullish! The US market will continue to rebound!
The gold down structure is complete! Now we are going to oscillate to build a bottom, and the first-line support at 1923 below is obvious! After rebounding above 1930, there will be a callback, and the fall will continue to increase. Next, it will be bullish around 1945!
Enter more, the US market will continue to be more bullish, and then start a rebound structure, and it will be a level of rising band! Falling back now is an opportunity to do more!
Gold is more than 1923, stop loss is 1917, and stop profit is 1940.
XAUUSD: 31/7 Gold Trading StrategyGold analysis: trading strategy has won nine trading days in a row, and today I will bring you a new trading strategy
After the Fed raised interest rates, gold returned to the 1980 mark. 1985 was the top of the previous 1940-1985 shock range, or the 50% position of the 2078-1983 Fibonacci retracement. It is expected that the Air Force will launch a counterattack here. In the end, the shorts won, and gold still rushed up and fell back to around 1940. At present, gold shows an M-top shape above 1980, and it also successfully fell below the neckline position of the 1950 mark. However, the rebound repair hit 1964 and was blocked. If this position is regarded as an irregular head and shoulders top, left and right shoulders, it can be said that it has passed, and it was hovering in the 1950-1964 range in the early stage. , Now it is blocked and fell back below 1960. From my personal point of view, it is definitely obvious that gold has peaked in the short term. Both the M-top shape and the head-and-shoulders top shape are bearish.
Today's monthly line is closed, and the current monthly line is falling at a high level. If it can fall below the 1950 watershed today, then the decline will be more clear to continue.
Today's gold operation strategy:
SELL: 1962-1965
TP1:1957
TP2:1952
BUY:1947-1950
TP1:1955
TP2:1960
Pay attention to follow-up real-time trading signals and bring you profits
GOLD ON THE DAILY TIMEFRAMEBased on this market analysis we can expect Gold to continue contracting as it's clearly showing to reject that resistance.
It's also important to note that we are also looking bearish on the monthly timeframe which means since we have two timeframes in sync there's more chances of the market actually dropping.
Gold Jul 21 Rises To New Heights.Expectations of a pause have negatively impacted the dollar in recent weeks, while benefiting metals markets, especially gold, as the interest rate outlook weakens.
Rising interest rates push up the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, reducing the attractiveness of gold as an investment vehicle. But a more stable exchange rate could spur more inflows into the yellow metal.
BUY GOLD zone 1955 - 1957
Stop Loss :
My taget is: 1965-1975
Note: Installing TP SL fully wins the market and is safe in trading
Gold 21/07 Ambition TP 2000$.Gold prices rose in the Asian session on Thursday, hitting their highest in more than two months as weak UK inflation data led many to bet that global interest rates were nearing a peak, while a weaker dollar also helped.
The yellow metal is currently about $15 away from $2,000 a wish.
GOLD zone 1972 - 1975
Stop Loss : 1980
My taget is: 1968-1955
Note: Installing TP SL fully wins the market and is safe in trading
Gold has ushered in a big opportunity, the target is 1920
This is a 4h chart. We can see that gold has reached 2070 twice in the past period of time, but both fell back quickly.
For the first time, it fell to around 1620, where it started an upward trend after a period of shocks. Until recently, it came to 2070 again. After a new high, the shock fell back, and it is now near 2020.
From 1620 to 2070, most of the reason for this is inflation. Although inflation still exists, compared to the past period of time, the economy has begun to recover slowly, and the intensity of interest rate hikes has also slowed down. I believe that in the near future, it will return to normal again, and the DXY will also be 105-109 again .
From the perspective of technical form, the increase of nearly $500, although it has some callbacks in the process of rising, it has not completed a very good backtest in the range of 1810-1910.
In the current daily and weekly patterns, the strength of the bulls has begun to decline. I think this is a precursor to the counterattack of the bears. They are only waiting for a suitable opportunity. The turning point may be when the NFP is announced next month.
This is a bold speculation, but it is not unfounded. In the next transaction, I will try my best to short at the high point, and the target is around 1920!
If you have enough funds to trade gold, or you have prepared enough funds to trade gold, I think, maybe you can try to seize this big opportunity like me! ! !
Share this point of view with my friends, I hope you can make more money and realize your dreams!
XAUUSD: 17/7 Trading StrategyToday's gold analysis: Friday's multi-single strategy, after gold fell to the 1950 position, gave an opportunity to enter the market. Finally, take profit and leave the market at the 1959 position.
Today we need to pay attention to the support position of the 1940 position, while the above needs to pay attention to the breakout of the 1963 position. This wave of rebound and correction last week failed to close at a high level, and returned to the shock below 1960. There was a slight signal of stopping the decline, the upward trend could not be continued, and the short-term turned short again, which was also a correction due to the previous rapid rise. Last Friday, DXY also showed signs of stopping the decline, but the rebound was very small. The main idea for gold this week is to return to the previous sell high and buy low.
Back to the topic, since gold rose to the upper high of 1963 and the low of 1950 on Wednesday, it has been tested back and forth many times, but in the end all failed, and it has never been able to break through. This week is mostly about waiting for a breakthrough to go in a new direction.
Today's strategy:
BUY: 1945-1940
TP1: 1950
TP2: 1955
SELL: 1960-1965
TP1: 1955
TP2: 1950
Gold buyers could see $1900 as a bargainGold futures have fallen nearly 9% since the May high, but there are signs that it is trying to form a base around $1900.Whilst the psychological round number has helped to play a part, it also coincides with a volume cluster in the rally at the beginning of March. We therefore see the potential for a minor bounce at a minimum from current levels whilst prices hold above $1900.
Large speculators remain net-long, although their exposure has been trimmed as prices have fallen. Yet we're not seeing a material pickup in gross-short exposure to indicate a much more bearish outlook from speculators.
Furthermore, softer US inflation data on Friday weighed on the US dollar and helped to support gold - and gold could rise further if we see any weakness in data this week (ISM manufacturing data is out today, challenger jobs and ADP employment on Thursday and of course Nonfarm payroll on Friday).
The highs around $1948 are the initial target for bulls to consider, with the potential for a move towards $2000 if we're treated with a host of weak US data to prompt further calls for the Fed's terminal rate.
A break below $1900 invalidates the near-term bullish bias.
GOLD LAST DROP OF WAVE AConsidering the whole movement, we are currently in a corrective wave which contains three waves(ABC waves). Ending diagonal at the last wave of C and it carries 5 subwaves but we currently at the 4th wave. A breakout of the red trendline will signify more sells to to complete the 5th wave filling the defined gap clearly seen on D1 timeframe.
Gold trading recommendations today
The decline in gold remains, 1930 short!
The current short-term gold has gained support and rebounded, but has the decline changed? not at all! It can be seen from the hourly chart that even though the market took a strong backlash on Friday, the final rebound did not break through the suppression of the long-term moving average, and it was still a bearish decline!
The key pressure now is the long-term moving average suppression position on the hourly chart, which is the 1930 position, and this position will continue to be short directly! Defense is Friday's rebound high of 1938!
Next, there will be a lot of trading opportunities for gold, and I will provide you with more signals, don't miss the opportunity to make money!