The gold market experienced sell-offs.Experts believe that the market's adjustment phase is a "temporary" reaction to Donald Trump's re-election as US President and maintains his opinion in favor of increasing gold prices in the near future.
During the question and answer session this morning, Governor of the State Bank Nguyen Thi Hong shared that "gold is also a headache for the world". She informed that before the State Bank intervened, the international price per ounce was about 2,300-2,400 USD, but has now increased to around 2,700 USD. Compared to the beginning of the year, precious metals have increased by more than 50%.
The USD skyrocketed after this event, and the gold market experienced sell-offs. Bond yields rose as investors worried that the tariffs and tax cuts that Mr. Trump promised before his election could cause inflation to rise again.
Morrison said, USD and interest rates increased. Gold prices fell sharply and found a bottom, then increased slightly in the last session of the week, gold was under strong selling pressure. Gold prices hold support from 2,635 to 2,675 USD/ounce. This is the resistance level of gold prices in the last week of September and early October.
Goldtradingstrategy
Continued decline, market analysis and strategy sharingGold daily line single K closed negative, the 5-day moving average system crossed the 20-day moving average, and the overall short position was arranged. The auxiliary indicator MACD also crossed downward at a high position.
Gold fell under pressure from high levels, and gold continued to short in the Asian session. The rise of gold last week was just a reaction to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. Gold finally rushed up and fell back, and waited for the rebound to continue shorting.
The 4-hour moving average of gold has now entered a short position arrangement with a dead cross downward. There is still room for gold to fall. Gold fluctuated after the second half of Friday night. Today's Asian session directly broke down, so gold still continued to choose to go down. Gold rebounded near 2690 in the Asian session and continued to short.
First support: 2660, second support: 2643, third support: 2630
First resistance: 2680, second resistance: 2691, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY:2661-2663
SELL:2690-2692
When will the gold adjustment end?
Risk Warning on Monday
Undecided, Japan convenes a special parliament to elect a prime minister.
Trump's victory not only triggered a sharp reaction in the market, but also made investors pay deep attention to the potential impact of future policies. Over the past month, the uncertainty risk of the general election has been the focus of the market, and the election has led to capital outflows from metals to other assets. This capital flow reflects the market's optimistic expectations for Trump's policies, especially the economic stimulus measures he may implement.
Although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points last Thursday, Powell expressed caution about further rate cuts, which changed the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Interest rate futures show that the market's probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has dropped from 72% to 64%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged has risen to 36%. This change reflects the market's expectations of economic growth and rising inflation that may be caused by Trump's policies.
The US dollar index rose 0.59% to 104.95 on Friday, with a weekly increase of 0.61%. The strong performance of consumer confidence also provided support for the US dollar. According to survey results, US consumer confidence rose to a seven-month high in early November. This data was released before the election and showed optimistic expectations of households for the future. The market is waiting for further clarity on US policies. Until then, the dollar will trade based on economic data and expectations of the Fed's easing path. This view emphasizes the importance of economic data in the current market environment.
Although Trump's economic policy proposals, including increasing trade tariffs, cracking down on illegal immigration, lowering taxes and relaxing business regulations, may promote economic growth and inflation, there is still great uncertainty about the specific implementation of policies in the short term. The market is trying to figure out the gap between Trump's policy promises and actual feasibility.
Trump's election may put the US fiscal health at greater risk, especially in the absence of effective measures to limit the fiscal deficit. This view further deepens the market's attention on future economic policies.
Geopolitical factors are also affecting the gold market. The continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and turmoil in the Middle East may limit the correction space of gold prices in the medium and long term. Although the uncertainty of US domestic policies has exacerbated market volatility, the tense international situation has also provided a certain safe-haven demand for gold.
After the dust settled on the US presidential election, the gold market has seen significant fluctuations. Last Friday, the price of gold fell 0.8% and the weekly line fell 1.85%, hitting the largest weekly drop in more than five months.
Today, investors are paying attention to the daily support area of 2650 below. After gold has stabilized after a correction, continue to participate in gold bulls and pay attention to the continuation of the gold bull daily line.
At the same time, today is the US Veterans Day and the Armistice Day of World War I. Banks and bond markets in Europe and North America will be closed, but other markets will be open as usual. Investors need to pay special attention.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,66.000 back up?My analysis this week suggests that gold may accumulate around my point of interest at 2,660.00, where a 9-hour demand zone has formed. With liquidity and imbalance left to the upside, price might look to continue in its pro-trend direction.
Alternate Scenario: If price reaches the area around 2,740.00, we might see a retracement or bearish reaction. Given recent bearish pressure that’s led to a CHoCH and BOS, this scenario could align with the current order flow.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- A clean, unmitigated demand zone below.
- DXY has shown strong upside movement and may be due for a pullback.
- Significant liquidity lies to the upside.
- The overall market trend remains bullish.
P.S. If price respects the 9-hour supply zone and continues breaking structure to the downside, it could validate a temporary bearish move. Have a great trading week!
Why Gold Could See a 15% Correction Before the Next RallyGold, sitting at around $2,700, boasts an impressive 32.1% YTD performance. However, we're anticipating a significant 10-15% correction from current levels.
This past week's market dynamics are telling: the Russell 2000 surged 8.57%, $500B flowed into crypto markets signaling renewed risk appetite, while gold recorded its steepest weekly drop (-1.98%) since May 2024.
While these factors shape our near-term bearish outlook, persistent economic risks reinforce our long-term bullish stance on gold for the next couple of years.
Gold Expected to Rise, Target at 2733A great weekend has come to an end, and last week brought us substantial profits. This week, let’s aim for another strong start!
Gold trading opens in just half an hour. On Friday, the price of gold showed limited movement, slightly different from our expectations, but this is not a concern—the rally is still on track! As of Friday’s close, gold prices hovered around the MA5 level without fully breaking through, suggesting some resistance. However, a broader time frame shows that the overall rebound isn’t over yet. Friday’s movement was merely an initial attempt to test the MA30 resistance, with the major resistance level expected at the MA60.
With this in mind, my strategy this week is to buy gold below 2680. The first target range is 2685-2696, the second target 2706-2712, and the final target 2721-2733. Here’s to another profitable week ahead!
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold out Lookthose who are bearish should see weekly Rejection till the trend line price broke its daily recent trend line and got back in i suggest that gold will remain bullish over this week as it has not broke its trend line to the downside if it does so and breaks below 2678 level of support we can consider it will drop towards 2661 and then 2648-45 level of support and will not come upwards easily then another confluence is gold has closed back in position and remained near 2700 level and retested it several times
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2704 and a gap below at 2682. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2696 and a gap below at 2665, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2724
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Previously after completing 2760 target, we stated that we now have a candle body close above 2760 for a continuation above with a gap open to 2797. We got the move but fell just short of the full gap, but no ema5 lock, which would've further confirm this. We also stated that failure to complete this gap will see price test the retracement range for bounces and a further lock below the retracement range will open the swing range.
- We got the rejection from no ema5 lock above, followed with the retracement range and swing range test, which both gave the bounces like we said.
As long as we see price stay above the swing range, we will continue to see the levels above tested and support levels re-tested for the bounces, keeping in mind the long range/term gap above.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last 5 weeks.
Previously we had the nice push up, which we took using our smaller timeframes but the gap remained open and we were yet to see the ema5 lock to further confirm this.
EMA5 failed to lock above, which followed with the rejection last week but still maintaining support above the channel top. As we stated previously, we will be keeping in mind the channel top for long range corrections, which is likely to provide support like we stated before, if tested at all.
If the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold: Will the Falling Wedge Breakout Ignite a +16% Rally?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of NASDAQ:GOOGL
In the daily timeframe, Google has broken above the upper trendline of the falling wedge pattern. The price has consistently remained above this trendline for the past three trading days, with rising price movement accompanied by bullish divergence.
Bullish divergence on the MACD indicates that while the price makes lower lows, the MACD line forms higher lows. This divergence suggests a weakening of bearish momentum and the potential for a price reversal to the upside.
Given these technical factors, we forecast a potential upside movement toward the designated target of 181.36 . After reaching this level, a pullback to the green zone around $160 may occur before the price advances to the second target at 191.52.
This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 148.77.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Google.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Waiting for gold to resume the uptrend ..the week of 11 Nov 2024After making a new ATH at 2790.06, gold started pulling back and aided by the US election results and strength in the US$, it accelerated the down move. A short pullback and then on Fri, the bears continued the down move.
If this pulls back again to the 2700 region, taking a short would be tempting BUT
I believe that it would not be wise to fight the Gold bulls who have controlled this market for over 2 years.
2 major s/r levels (at 2604 and 2470 regions) await price and I will be watching closely for signs that the bulls are in control and then jump onboard.
This is not a trade recommendation, it is merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts following on from the election move that gave the drop into the lower Goldturns and our weighted levels all giving bounces inline with our plans to buy dips.
The swing range is providing the swing although the full swing range level has not been tested. We also have the swing completing the retracement range and leaving a candle body close gap above 2696 opening 2724, which will be further confirmed by ema5 lock.
Our current range is now between 2640 and 2724 to play within, until we see a ema5 lock breakout to confirm the next range.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Rise to Resistance Zone: Elliott Wave!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct as I ✅ expected in previous posts ✅. Did you profit from this move!?
Gold started to rise well from the Support zone($2,645-$2,625) and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Gold is moving near the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and the lower line of the ascending channel (broken) .
According to the Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold has succeeded in completing microwave 3 . We should wait for the completion of microwave 4 , and then probably microwave 5 will end in the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700) and Monthly Pivot Point .
⚠️Note: We should expect more pumps if Gold goes above the Resistance zone($2,720-$2,700).⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Focus on 2700, short on highs in US tradingGold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge downward in the short position, without any signs of turning. Gold's short position has not ended yet, and there is still room for downward movement. Yesterday's rise in gold has digested the expectations brought by the interest rate cut. It has fallen back after being under pressure at 2710 many times, indicating that gold's bullish momentum at high levels is not strong. The US market rebound is still short. Gold rebounds below 2710 in the US market, and it continues to be short at highs.
It can be shorted first when it rebounds near 2700. The market changes rapidly. Don't be fooled by the seemingly strong rebound as a reversal. Gold continues to be short.
Trading strategy:
Shorting on rallies in US market.
SELL: 2699-2701
GOLD A BUY ZONE FOR YEAR 2025 RALLY TO 2900$HELLO TRADERS
As i an see gold has just retrace after creating a |ATH 2790$ and now successfully retraced to 2665 zone which we draw in our previous drawings and now created a validation confirm of 3rd test to trend line and with fibo level it had tested 0.50 golden levels also we draw another channel on this chart it is trading in uptrend and investors are looking for the 3000$ per ounce in 2025 easy TP we combine both technical and fundamental for more accurate confirmation have a previous outlook on our posted charts from since April 2024 till now ..
Trading is an Art learn and earn from markets easy money Friends Geopolitical issues around the Global running conditions is really bad. If some 1 is thinking Trump can Solve these War issue, then it looks impossible in my view angry IRAN RUSSIA NORTH KORA SUDAN GAZA LEBONAN and other many regions.. We can see a very bad economy conditions of US which need years to reset Bricks in the Game now for more De-Dollarizing and we can see how banks and hedge fund manager Smart money Accumulating the Gold from the day Wars going on and escalating more and more day by day .... Trump Need some Serious actions to change his economy which is hard to seem.
Friends its just a trade idea with very low risk and looking for a bigger reward share ur thoughts with us it help many
Stay Tuned for more updates if trend gets change bez trend is ur friend
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts