THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve had an extremely decent week on the markets so please take it easy and remember the trade comes after they have made the move. Let them take it to where they want, wait for the exhaustion, identify the reversal, and then look for the trade. Most likely, the best trades come next week!
We have the breakout we were looking for out of the 2650-55 region which has now flipped. The resistance above is sitting at 2680-85 and above that 2695-2700. This level needs to be watched, a RIP here and we could see this come all the way back down into the order region again 2655-60 with extension of the move. This region for us would represent an opportunity to take the long trade back for the shorter capture.
On the flip, if they take this down during the move, we’ll be looking at the levels below shown on the chart, 2660-55 is a key level, our bias stands at 2645 in extension of the move. These levels may give us opportunities to then long back up if the higher levels are untouched!
Although all our bullish targets completed yesterday, we’ll share the Red box levels below as a guide for the intra-day strategy.
KOG’s Bias for the day:
Bullish above 2645 with targets above 2685, 2694 and 2700
Bearish on break of 2645 with targets below 2635
RED BOXES
Break above 2691 for 2700, 2702, 2710 in extension of the move
Break below 2675 for 2668, 2655 and 2645 in extension of the move
The circled question marks on the chart are our hot spots!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Goldtradingstrategy
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention.
Fundamentals:
The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction.
Key bullish themes for metals:
• Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold.
• China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals.
• Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold.
• Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset.
Technicals:
• Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement.
• Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687.
• Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy.
• Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility.
Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Harmonic Pattern and KeyThis analysis highlights a harmonic pattern forming on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in the 4-hour timeframe, along with critical support and resistance levels that may guide future price action.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 2638–2630
This area represents a strong support zone where price may find buying interest if a pullback occurs.
A break below this range could lead to further bearish momentum.
Resistance Levels:
2675: First resistance level where the price could face selling pressure.
2695: A key level in alignment with the harmonic pattern's potential completion.
2710: Final target zone, representing a full extension of the pattern and a critical resistance area.
Harmonic Pattern:
A potential Bearish Gartley pattern is forming, with the final point (D) expected near the 2695–2710 zone.
This pattern suggests a possible reversal from the completion zone, depending on price action and confirmation signals.
Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the 2638–2630 support zone, it may continue its upward move toward the resistance levels at 2675 and 2695.
A breakout above 2695 could lead to further gains, targeting 2710.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break above the 2695–2710 zone (completion of the Gartley pattern) may result in a reversal toward the support zone at 2638–2630.
A break below 2630 could trigger additional downside momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold is approaching a critical area defined by the harmonic Gartley pattern. The 2638–2630 support and 2695–2710 resistance levels are key zones to watch for potential price reactions. Traders should look for confirmation signals, such as candlestick patterns or momentum shifts, to identify the next move.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another Piptastic day on the charts today with our plans to buy dips playing out, as planned.
After completing our 2661 bullish target yesterday, we stated that we now had ema5 cross and lock above 2661 opening 2681.
- This gave us a nice run of over 100 pips already and the gap still remains open. Any rejections will be opportunities for us to buy dips, allowing us to safely catch pips rather than chasing targets from the top.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold entered into a bearish structureHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold entered into a bearish structureHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out perfectly with another amazing day on the markets today.
Yesterday we completed our bullish target at 2661 and failure to lock above confirmed a rejection. We used the rejection to buy dips inline with our plans. We are now seeing ema5 lock above 2661 opening 2681. This can now be protected and risk free.
Any rejections here will be opportunities for us to buy dips, as long as 2661 holds as support. A break below 2661 will open the lower Goldlturns for support once again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Smelling a good buy once again let's see (Bullish Run)Hey everyone this is your boy Hunbal! I am looking for a good buy trade ready for Asian session XAUUSD is ready for a bull run I have 2 confirmations one the rejection from the support level and second choc in m30 time frame so we are hoping a good buy from here (2648) our take profit will be 100 pips 2658 and our stop loss will be 70 pips 2641 I wish we all together print some money.
Good Luck :)
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out to perfection!!
Yesterday after bouncing off the retracement range we stated that 2611 was a weighted level and as long as we see no lock below 2611, we should see a continuation of the bounce into completing the Bullish gap at 2661
- This played out perfectly with our bullish target 2661 being hit today completing this range. Lovely catch from yesterdays update.
No lock above 2661 confirmed the rejection. We will see play between 2661 and 2633, until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Buy gold on dips, the rise may extend to 2680-2690Bros, as outlined in the trading strategy shared in my previous article, we went long on gold near the 2640 level. Subsequently, gold rallied as anticipated, hitting my target zone of 2655-2660. We manually closed our long positions around 2659, securing an easy profit of nearly 200 pips—a highly effective trading strategy!
In the short term, gold reached a high of around 2664 during its upward movement. However, due to the impact of PMI data, gold experienced a sharp pullback and is now trading back near the 2642 level. Despite this data-driven decline, I do not recommend chasing liquidity by shorting gold. The bullish structure remains intact, as evidenced by multiple pullbacks that failed to disrupt the uptrend. Moreover, strong buying interest at lower levels continues to support gold, which still has potential for further upside. I anticipate that this round of upward movement may at least test the 2670-2675 zone, with the possibility of extending to 2680-2690.
For the upcoming trades, our primary strategy remains to buy on dips. Key support levels are concentrated in the 2630-2640 range.Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD making an amazing buy run! (Confirmation of buy trade)Hey everyone this is your boy Hunbal! I am looking for a good sell trade ready for asian session XAUUSD is ready for a bull run I have 2 confirmation one the rejection from the suppoprt level and second choc in m30 time frame so we are hoping a good buy from here (2636) our take profit will be 100 pips 2646 and our stop loss will be 80 pips 2628 I wish we all together print some money.
Good Luck :)
1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant.
Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
Buy gold, target: 2655-2660Although gold briefly dropped to the 2615 level yesterday, it quickly rebounded, indicating strong buying interest below. Many investors have been gradually accumulating positions during the pullback, which underscores gold's strong resistance to further declines.
Additionally, gold has recently shown a tendency for sudden and unpredictable price swings, eliminating a significant portion of positions through repeated shakeouts.This is why I often mention locking profits in time in recent transactions.
In short-term trading, I remain bullish on gold. Therefore, I suggest patiently waiting for a pullback and using the 2640-2630 zone as support to gradually build long positions in gold.
Bros, do you believe gold will extend its rebound? If you’re interested in learning more detailed trading strategies and receiving additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profit-making into an enjoyable journey!
Gold Analysis==>>Second Attack!!!Gold ( PYTH:XAUUSD ) attacked the Support lines and Support zone($2,639-$2,630) as I expected but failed to break them ( Fake Break ).
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to have completed 5 bearish wave s and is currently completing upward corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the Support lines and the Support zone($2,639-$2,630) again and most likely succeed in breaking them this time .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
⚠️Note: At most, you can keep the Short position up to $2,668.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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XAUUSD:7/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2645, support below 2600-2580
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fluctuated narrowly on Tuesday and is currently trading around 2639. Gold prices fell slightly on Monday. The Federal Reserve recently hinted that it would slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. U.S. Treasury yields climbed to a new high since May. Gold prices hit a three-day low of around 2614 during the session. However, there were conflicting reports on how aggressive the tariff plan of U.S. President-elect Trump would be after taking office. The U.S. dollar index fell to a new low in more than a week, and gold prices rebounded slightly in late trading.
From the 4-hour analysis, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 2645 line on the top, and the short-term support of the 2637-27 line on the bottom, with a focus on support of 2600. The operation is mainly to buy on dips, supplemented by range trading.
BUY:2627near
BUY:2614near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday Gold prices continue to decline after a correction on Tuesday
When news of Trump's tariffs broke earlier, the US dollar fell nearly 1% and gold took the opportunity to turn higher and approach the 2650 level. However, given that the 2639 level was broken in the morning, it is difficult for gold to return to strength immediately. Therefore, it is necessary to close positions at this time and move to sell. The rise and fall of the market price has also been confirmed. my judgment.
Next, focus on the support line formed by the lows of 2610-2615. It is important to note that even if there is a price buffer in late trading, you can still consider selling around 2640. Pay attention to. the 2610-2615 support situation below. If there are signs of stability, you can strike back in time.
Gold trading tip: sell around 2640-2645 after a bounce SL 2652 TP 2620.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our plans to buy dips playing out, as analysed.
We started the day with the bearish target 2633 being hit, followed with a bounce allowing us to safely capture a clean 40 pips.
We did not chase any further, as we got the ema5 lock below 2633 opening 261. Our lock confirmed further movement was due down and just like we analysed another drop followed. The drop was just short of the full gap to 2611 and just above the retracement range, which followed with the bounce inline with our plans.
2611 is a weighted level and as long as we see no lock below 2611, we should see a continuation of the bounce into completing the Bullish gap above.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Buy gold!Bros, earlier today, we initiated our first trade by going long on gold around the 2628 level, and we have now closed our long position near 2647. While we didn’t capture the absolute peak, we still secured an easy profit of nearly 200 pips.
Currently, after touching the 2649 level, gold has slightly pulled back and is now trading around 2642. Despite gold briefly dipping to the 2625 level earlier today, the overall bullish structure remains intact. As I mentioned on Friday, short-term pullbacks in gold are merely corrections of the prior uptrend and serve to build momentum for further upside. Therefore, I continue to maintain a bullish bias in my trading approach.
Since gold has resumed its rebound, for the upcoming short-term trades, we can consider using the 2640-2635 zone as a support level and start going long on gold again!
Bros, do you believe gold will extend its rebound? If you’re interested in learning more detailed trading strategies and receiving additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profit-making into an enjoyable journey!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week's KOG Report we said we would look for two levels from the open to be attempted where we wanted to short the market. The first level of 2630-5 worked extremely well for us giving us a level to level, point to point short into the red box region and target level we had shared. This move completed a majority of our bearish targets apart from one, also giving us the opportunity to then long back up into the Excalibur targets we had above.
During the later part of the week we shared the updated chart and gave the levels again to attempt the short, and again, a pinpoint short came from the level we wanted and we closed the week with runners left on those trades.
Another decent week in Camelot, not only on Gold but also the other pairs we trade and analyse giving us a 15 out of 16 targets completed.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
To start, we have NFP towards the end of the week, so we’ll use this report for the first half of the week and then release the NFP KOG Report with our view per-event. After the bearish move on Friday, we’ll be looking for a base during the early sessions, potentially deeper into the 2625-30 region before then attempting the long trade back up to target the resistance levels. It’s those resistance levels 2640 and above that again the 2650-55 region that need to be monitored this week for the break, if held, further opportunities may be available to short again unless broken. We’re still in the larger range with key level support 2605 and resistance sitting way up at 2670-75 so it gives us some idea of the play.
If we do break above that 2550 level and hold with a close, we'll look higher again into the range high trading level to level.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 2630 with targets above 2650, 2655 and above that 2667
Bearish below 2630 with targets below 2624, 2620, 2610 and below that 2604
RED BOXES:
Break above 2640 for 2646, 2650, 2659 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2625 for 2620, 2617, 2610 and 2604 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG