10.30Gold accelerates to the top, 2780 watershedThe gold market rose strongly yesterday. It opened at 2742.3 in the morning and then fell back to 2739.5. After that, it rose strongly. After reaching the previous historical high of 2758, the market was under pressure and consolidated to 2745.8. After that, the market rose strongly in the US market due to fundamental stimulus. After breaking the previous historical high, it reached the highest point of 2774.9 and then consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2774.5. After that, the market ended with a saturated large The market closed with a positive line, and after this pattern ends, today's market has the technical need to impact the 2805 pressure. In terms of points, the longs at 1996 and 2028 below have stop losses followed up at 2600. After the long positions at 2722 were reduced last Friday, the stop loss followed up at 2735. Today's market is 2762 longs and 2759 longs are conservative with stop losses at 2755. The target is 2775. If it breaks through, the target of this round of impact will be at the 2800-2805 pressure.
Goldtradingstrategy
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wouldn’t be looking to long for the early part of the week, instead gave the path moving up into the 2727 and 2742 price targets where we wanted to attempt the short. This worked well during the early part of the week, but we didn’t get to complete the move, instead our red boxes kicked in and we continued to look upside into the 2739 and 2745 price point. We then updated traders with the hotspots at the 2750-55 region and suggested looking for a reaction in price there mid-week which was tapped into and rejected giving the lovely move down that we experienced completing the first red box target 2710 before the bounce upside.
It wasn’t an easy week, very choppy and frustrating with burst of volume but we didn’t do to badly completing 6 gold Excalibur targets on top of the bias level targets and the red box targets. Small stops and big captures should have given our followers a decent week on Gold moving level to level with the red boxes we share as well as KOG’s bias of the day. Excalibur performed again with 21 targets completed across the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re seeing a little more bullish movement on Gold but there’s a level above which needs to be watched and needs to be broken for us to go higher and target that 2800 level! So we’ll look for price to attempt the 2750-55 region during the early session and if rejected there is potential for the pullback to present itself into the 2735-32 red box defence. It’s this 2732-35 region we feel an opportunity to the long is available back up to attempt 2763 and above that 2765. Please note, 2765 is the level we need to break and hold above for us to attempt to target higher pricing for now.
Those looking to attempt the short trades should be looking at the levels of 2760-5 and if broken 2780-5 for opportunities to capture the pullbacks and maybe even a short swing.
Now, we have a slight issue here with the extension of the move this week and with a lot of news to come together with it being the end of the month, we’re concerned about profit taking and a potential sell off, so for that reason, we’ll play level to level on the upside picking the right levels and using the red boxes for our entries and exits which have proven to give the 50-70pip captures quite easily.
KOG’s BIAS FOR THE WEEK:
Bullish above 2730 with targets above 2755, 2762 and 2779
Bearish on break of 2730 with target below 2709
RED BOXES:
Break above 2755 for 2762, 2768, 2780
Break below 2742 for 2732, 2720, 2709
Good luck for the week.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAU/USD 30 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally continues, driven by the Fed’s dovish tone and escalating geopolitical tensions, further reinforcing its safe-haven appeal.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS, positioning it within an internal low and a fractal high, with the bearish CHoCH level denoted by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Since the internal range has yet to establish, I’ll remain on standby for now.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As noted in the weekly analysis from 27 October 2024, the daily timeframe’s CHoCH positioning was distant, making it likely for both H4 and M15 to print bullish iBOS, which has since materialised.
Price has now printed two bullish iBOS' within a significantly narrowed internal range, and we’re currently trading between an internal low and a fractal high, with CHoCH positioning marked by a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, a bearish iBOS is also plausible.
As emphasised before, price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s softer stance.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Key LevelsTVC:GOLD Gold indicators are bullish, if the 4-hour candle opens above 2787 it will rise to 2801 and if the price stabilizes above 2801 it will rise to 2819 and if it breaks this level also it will rise to 2840 . And also If the price drops to 2768 and the 4-hour candle opens below this level, it will drop to 2739.
Those who are shorting or want to short remember to readToday, the market has reached my target position of 2757, 2765.2770 for the third time. The long order has completely won. After the fast strategy of high-level selling and low-buying was announced today, members all made good profits. In such an extreme market, I think such a profit is acceptable. Maybe for many people, not losing money is a good result. But not for me. There must be a profit every day. And it must be a good profit.
Next is the short selling plan. Today, the New York market is expected to retreat to 2765 or below. If it reaches, continue to go long. The target is 2775. The Asian market can continue to wait for the position of 2780. The announcement of GDP the next day needs to be paid special attention. If the data is negative, the probability of reaching 2800 this week is not high. If the data is positive, then 2800 is very close. Because there will be a non-agricultural data release on Friday this week. This value can determine whether the market can reach 2800 points. In layman's terms, the gold price will continue to rise from today to tomorrow.
It has been expanding profits for a month. Others verify based on the winning rate. My verification method is based on the failure rate. If you want to save your account, follow me. And leave a message.
Gold:$2700 in Sight Amid Falling Interest Rates & Rising TensionHey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
In the H4 timeframe, gold has touched the bullish trendline three times before continuing its upward trajectory. This consistent support underscores the strength of the bullish trend. Recently, the price formed a descending broadening wedge pattern followed by a breakout, signaling further bullish potential.
Over the past few days, gold has held strong above the upper trendline, increasing the likelihood of sustained bullish momentum. Additionally, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, indicating upward momentum. With these technical indicators aligning, we could see an exciting continuation of this upward movement toward Target Area 1 at $2,708, or even reaching Target Area 2 at $2,766. However, traders should watch the stop-loss level at $2,614 closely. A break below this level could give bears a chance to take control. Stay tuned and be ready to capitalize on these movements!
Fundamental factors support the bullish trend in gold prices. Global central banks are cutting interest rates to boost their economies, leading to weaker currencies compared to gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions are escalating, exemplified by the unprecedented Israeli attacks on Lebanon and the killing of Hezbollah’s leader on September 27, which may provoke retaliation. This global uncertainty is driving investors to seek safe-haven assets, particularly gold.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Ideal Time to Short Gold Overnight—Exercise CautionGold is now ready for another short (sell) position, with the option to hold overnight and plan to close tomorrow. Please be mindful of the risks as you trade and ensure your strategy aligns with your individual risk tolerance—stability is key to success!
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSD: Based on Previous Analysis! **XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis**
Hello Traders,
Based on our previous analysis, we had expected prices to reversed from our designated buying zone. And price did that exactly, reversing from 2625 which took the price towards 2771. Where we have seen some resistance. We still are very much bullish on Gold. Next targets are 2800$ and then 2900$ as followed.
Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character.
The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signalling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them.
The market opened with a sell side gap on Monday, which does not invalidate our entry at all. Currently, the price is 400+ pips in the green. I recommend closing half of the positions.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Our 1H chart is idea playing out perfectly, as analysed!!
As advised yesterday we got the 2746 hit, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2746 opening 2752 and 2762. Both targets were hit today completing this range range.
We will now look for ema5 lock above 2762 to open the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturn for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETR
2746 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2746 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2752 - DONE
2762 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2736 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2736 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2728 (DONE) - 2720
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2720 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2707 - 2692
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
How Much Gold Should You Hold in Your Portfolio?
Gold, often referred to as a safe-haven asset, has historically been a reliable hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. As the global economic landscape becomes increasingly volatile, many investors are turning to gold to diversify their portfolios and protect their wealth.
The Case for Gold
• Inflation Hedge: Gold has traditionally been a reliable hedge against inflation. As the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes, the value of gold tends to rise.
• Diversification: Gold has a low correlation with other asset classes like stocks and bonds. This means that adding gold to your portfolio can help reduce overall risk.
• Safe-Haven Asset: In times of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset.
•
How Much Gold Should You Own?
The optimal allocation to gold in a portfolio depends on various factors, including your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and overall financial goals. However, in the current economic climate, many experts recommend allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold.
A 15-20% Allocation: A Prudent Choice
Given the current economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and inflationary pressures, many financial advisors suggest allocating 15-20% of your portfolio to gold. This allocation can provide a solid hedge against potential downside risks and help preserve your wealth over the long term.
Factors to Consider:
• Risk Tolerance: If you have a higher risk tolerance, you may consider a higher allocation to gold. However, it's important to balance risk and reward.
• Investment Horizon: A longer investment horizon allows for a more aggressive allocation to riskier assets like stocks. However, gold can still be a valuable component of a long-term portfolio.
• Market Conditions: Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and central bank policies can significantly impact the price of gold. Stay informed about these factors to adjust your allocation as needed.
• Diversification: Ensure that your gold investment is part of a diversified portfolio. This means spreading your investments across various asset classes to reduce risk.
•
How to Invest in Gold
There are several ways to invest in gold:
• Physical Gold: Buying physical gold in the form of coins or bars is a traditional method. However, it requires secure storage.
• Gold ETFs: Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a convenient way to invest in gold without the hassle of physical storage.
• Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in gold mining companies can offer exposure to the gold market, but it comes with additional risks associated with the mining industry.
•
Conclusion
In conclusion, while gold may not offer the same potential for high returns as other asset classes, it can be a valuable tool for risk management and wealth preservation. By allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold, you can protect your wealth against a range of risks and secure your financial future.
GOLD: Trend is still bullishHi Traders!
Gold futures rise 0.3% to $2,763.30 a troy ounce. The precious metal is close to its all-time high of $2,772.60/oz, set on Wednesday. Gold is maintaining its strength despite rising U.S. Treasury yields and slightly easing geopolitical tensions, says Pepperstone research strategist Dilin Wu. The driving force appears to be bets on a potential Trump victory in the U.S. presidential election, Wu says in a note. This is coupled with growing concerns over the escalating U.S. debt crisis. While both candidates advocate for expansionary fiscal policies, a sweep for Trump could see U.S. debt skyrocket by $7.5 trillion over the next decade, Wu says. This is more than double the $3.5 trillion expected under a Harris administration. Given the "Trump trade," the path of least resistance for gold seems to be upward, she adds.
From a technical point of view, the trend is still bullish and on the intraday chart we have something like a bullish harmonic structure with a potential Target around 2773. The Trendline bearish breakout is negative, because it could trigger the Harmonic Pattern failure. Please support this idea for future updates below.
Thanks for watching.
XAUUSD: Beware of the pullback, sell at high today, target 2730The trend of gold perfectly replicated my idea yesterday. I explained yesterday's trading strategy and future gold price trend very clearly. Yesterday's closing price is very important to the future trend of gold. If the price can close above 2740-2735, the gold price will start to rise. Otherwise, it will continue to adjust if it closes below.
Yesterday’s closing price was just above 2740, and today’s opening price continued to rise, with the highest point once again reaching the historical high of 2757.
Next, I don’t think gold will directly set a new historical high again, because the monthly NFP data will be released this week. It is unlikely that it will set a new high before the data is released. There is a high probability that it will adjust first and then when the data is released. Refresh the high of 2757.
As for today's trading direction, I think it is feasible to choose to short at a high level
Gold Analysis ==>>Common Gap==>>Short term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has Re-entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Today, I want to analyze Gold for you in the 15-minute time frame .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to be completing microwave 4 . Wave 5 can fill the Common Gap($2,747.215-$2,746.010) .
I expect Gold to rise at least to the upper lines of the ascending channel(small) in the coming hours.
⚠️Note: If Gold goes below the Support zone($2,738-$2,734), we should expect more dumps.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Scenario GOLD Maybe a short situation on gold, my analysis starts with a double top that formed around the price of 2770, according to this scenario, this double top could be considered the head of the head-shoulder formation, and as I have drawn, I am waiting for the price to fall to the level of 2560
GOLD (XAUUSD): One More Bullish Wave is Coming?!
Gold is currently stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
The price is approaching its upper boundary at the moment.
Because the trend is strongly bullish, chances will be high to see
a further bullish continuation.
Your reliable confirmation will be a breakout and a daily candle close
above the underlined resistance.
The next goal for the buyers will be 2780.
Alternatively, the market may continue consolidating and trading within the range.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels.
Fundamental Context:
Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment.
However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price.
Trade Plan:
1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level.
2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout.
3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted price to reject the high and give us the short into the red box defence during the early session levels 2730-35. We did get that move but it was achieved via the gap on open giving traders a couple of opportunities to take the long trade from the level following the path. We're yet to complete the first bullish target but we're on our way so we'll stick with the plan!
Based on the structure and range at the moment we're not discounting another dip into the low but will look for pull backs into the 2735 region to hold to continue the move upside.
Support 2735, resistance 2750 could give a reaction for the short scalp. Keep an eye on the red boxes, pinned below, they're working really well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Why did the price of gold fall after Iran was attacked?
Today is October 28, 2024, Monday. Let me first talk about the facts of the market. The two major players in the Middle East on Saturday and Sunday in the international market, Israel, attacked Iran's military facilities. The weekend was also full of risk aversion. My members were very worried about whether the opening on Monday would reach a new high, with the gold price at 2,700 points. Many shorts were on pins and needles. They would ask me what I think. My answer is very simple. You should have fun on the weekend and don't worry about Monday. It will be a waste of the weekend if you worry in advance.
When the market opened on Monday, there was a gap, which has not been filled yet. So in fact, there is no value in worrying in advance, and it is all negative emotional value. This means that there is no need to worry about tomorrow's things, especially when trading.
Let's get back to the point. Israel's retaliation against Iran at the weekend is more like giving the public another explanation. It should be fought and warned. The United States also spoke out, saying that Iran should not escalate the situation further. Iranian officials said they would certainly respond, but since the attack did not threaten oil and nuclear facilities, sources said Iran informed Israel through a third party that it would not respond. And we retail investors are like flies swept by the market, flying around.
This magical third party, this farce, in my opinion, is more like January 3, 2020, after the Soleimani incident, Iran will launch a jihad, at least to attack the US military bases in the Middle East, and the gold price will rise sharply in the future. It was indeed bombed, but in the end Trump said that before the attack began, Iranian senior officials had notified the US military that the personnel had already evacuated. Therefore, the attack did not cause any casualties. It's like you punched cotton.
Obviously, the mysterious third party has become the stepping stone for the two major protagonists in the Middle East. For this farce, the dominant issue is still the economic level. During the pandemic, the world has an overcapacity that cannot be consumed, and the recovery cycle is too slow. Economic contradictions cannot be resolved, so we have to seek stronger, faster and more direct ways to consume production capacity. So after the intensification of contradictions, instability in some local areas has emerged. After all, in troubled times, everyone wants to have a piece of the pie. But who will win? In the end, it was found that the price was still the same, but it was us retail investors who paid the bill.
In terms of strength, the current market has not set new highs for several trading days. Compared with the previous market that set new highs every day, this phenomenon can be regarded as a manifestation of the rising momentum is not so crazy. Coupled with the adjustment signals of large and small cycles, this shock is about to begin. As for the next important events, this week the market will have job vacancy data, small non-agricultural data on Wednesday, inflation PCE price index annual rate on Thursday, and large non-agricultural data on Friday.
There are still many highlights this week. If possible, I suggest you control your position and make the stop loss as large as possible. After all, every important event and data is an opportunity for market reversal. At the same time, coupled with the bets of market investors, the probability of sweeping the market is very serious. So either you participate with a light enough position and set a large enough stop loss. Or participate in the transaction at the key price. Specifically, you can take a look at my thoughts today:
International gold this morning was affected by the weekend news and opened lower and moved lower. From a technical point of view, there was a gap in the market. So today's trading should be based on the gap theory. The most important thing about the gap theory is to pay attention to the gap filling at the one-hour level. As shown in the figure, the black line represents the market filling the gap with shadows. At this time, our trading opportunity is 2747 bearish. As long as the shadow line covers the gap, it will be downward in conjunction with the jumping direction.
It means that the market will start a downward trend. 2747 is an important opportunity to participate. The second is based on actual performance. As shown in the solid line trend in the figure, the price fills the gap with entities at the one-hour level, which means that the gap theory is bullish for the future market, and the bullish trading opportunity will be bullish at 2737 as support. So these two prices are the key trading opportunities to focus on today.
Note that the market will experience the performance of the US non-agricultural employment data this week, and the interest rate decision and the US election next week. The risk will increase relatively, and the market fluctuations will also be greater. Therefore, when making intraday trading plans, you need to expand the price range as much as possible, control risks, and control your positions to participate in transactions.