12.30 Gold Market Short-term Operation Technical AnalysisTechnical Aspects
Gold prices fluctuated around $2,620.00 on Monday, and the daily chart shows that gold prices are currently in a consolidation phase, close to the 9-day and 14-day moving averages. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) hovered below 50, reflecting a neutral market sentiment. If the RSI can break through the 50 level, it may indicate an increase in the market's buying interest in gold.
In terms of resistance, gold prices may first target the psychological level of $2,700.00, and further resistance is the monthly high of $2,726.34 recorded on December 12. This level is an important target for bulls to conquer in the near term, and a breakthrough may trigger a new round of buying boom. In addition, the trend of gold prices in the medium term is still guided by technical indicators. If bulls can hold the current support level, they will have the opportunity to further challenge higher resistance.
In terms of support, gold prices may find initial support at $2,608. If it falls below this level, selling pressure may increase, pushing gold prices to the monthly low of $2,583.39. If gold prices fall further below this support, it may trigger more technical selling pressure, causing prices to slide to lower support areas. The market needs to pay attention to the possibility of increased volatility.
The gold market is currently in a critical consolidation phase and may continue to fluctuate within a range in the short term. If gold prices can break through the current consolidation area, market sentiment may quickly turn bullish. In the coming weeks, changes in technical indicators will provide more guidance to the market, especially whether gold prices can steadily break through short-term resistance levels and further challenge historical highs.
Goldtradingstrategy
Is Gold the Best Investment in a Mixed Metals Market?Gold Shines in a Mixed Year for Metals Markets
In 2024, gold emerged as a standout performer in the often-volatile metals markets. While other metals experienced a mixed bag of results, gold surged by an impressive 27%, defying the broader market trends. This bullish run can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including US monetary easing, heightened geopolitical tensions, and strategic central bank purchases.
A Year of Contrasting Fortunes
The performance of base metals in 2024 presented a more nuanced picture. While some base metals witnessed healthy gains, others struggled. Iron ore, a key ingredient in steel production, witnessed a significant decline, and lithium, often touted as the white gold of the electric vehicle revolution, also faced headwinds.
Gold's Allure: A Haven in Uncertain Times
Gold's resilience throughout 2024 can be ascribed to its inherent characteristics as a safe-haven asset. When economic or political uncertainty clouds the horizon, investors often flock to gold, perceiving it as a store of value that can weather market storms.
• US Monetary Easing: In 2024, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures, injecting liquidity into the financial system and lowering interest rates. This dovish stance by the Fed weakened the US dollar, making gold, a dollar-denominated asset, more attractive to international investors.
• Geopolitical Upheaval: The year 2024 was marked by a heightened sense of geopolitical instability. Trade tensions, regional conflicts, and concerns over global security fueled investor anxieties. Gold, perceived as a hedge against geopolitical risks, benefited from this flight-to-safety bid.
• Central Bank Buying Spree: Central banks around the world were significant buyers of gold in 2024. This strategic accumulation by central banks bolstered investor confidence in the yellow metal, further solidifying its position as a valuable reserve asset.
The Road Ahead: A Look at 2025
As we enter 2025, the outlook for metals markets remains shrouded in some uncertainty. However, several key factors are likely to influence the trajectory of gold and other metals.
• The Trajectory of US Monetary Policy: The future course of US monetary policy will be a critical determinant of gold's performance in 2025. If the Fed maintains its dovish stance, it could continue to buoy gold prices. However, if the Fed signals a shift towards tighter monetary policy, it could dampen gold's appeal.
• The Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape in 2025 will significantly impact investor sentiment. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold could surge as investors seek a safe haven. Conversely, a period of relative geopolitical stability could lead to a pullback in gold prices.
• China's Growth Engine: China's economic growth prospects will also be closely watched. China is a major consumer of metals, and its demand can significantly influence prices. If China's economy strengthens in 2025, it could provide a tailwind for base metals.
Gold's Strong Gains: A Harbinger of Change?
Gold's stellar performance in 2024 may signal a fundamental shift in market dynamics. After years of dominance by riskier assets like equities, investors may be returning to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a more uncertain economic and geopolitical environment.
In conclusion, the year 2024 was a year of contrasting fortunes for metals markets. While gold emerged as a clear winner, other metals painted a more mixed picture. As we look ahead to 2025, the trajectory of US monetary policy, the evolving geopolitical landscape, and China's growth prospects will be the key factors shaping the performance of metals markets. Gold's robust gains in 2024 serve as a reminder of its enduring allure as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. Whether this marks a long-term trend or a temporary blip remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: gold will continue to be a closely watched asset class in the ever-evolving global financial landscape.
Gold Analysis==>>Falling Soon!!!🎄First of all, I want to wish everyone a Merry Christmas , I wish you all the best moments .
As I expected , Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) reached the upper area of the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) .
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620) , near the 50_EMA(Daily) . (It has also succeeded in breaking the Uptrend line ).
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Gold has successfully completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) in the Ascending Channel .
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to attack the lower line of the ascending channel AFTER breaking the Support line .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 50_EMA(Daily) and Resistance zone($2,642-$2,620), we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold Analysis & Strategy for Dec 30, 2024Gold is almost reached to year end with great bullish move throughout the year that make it really a precision metal.
On technical prospect for today/current week, we have marked some levels on charts with white lines that can act as support and resistance. Waiting for these levels to enter on trade have the ability to give you 50/120 pips quick profits.
Please note precession comes with patience.
Weekly View On Gold XAUUSD (Week 01/2025)Weekly View On Gold XAUUSD (Week 01/2025)
GOLD is in
1. In the tight range since Nov 2024 and it is due for the break out soon.
2. For the positioning, we still have minor bullishness in tact.
Summary
Slightly Bullish but it is gonna be wild swing as the buyers and sellers fighting it hard to win over each other.
So, make your plans accordingly. (See the black dash line for possible future projection of the gold price)
DYODD, all the best and read the disclaimer too.
Feel Free to "Follow", press "LIKE" "Comment".
Thank You!
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Gold conquering the $3,000/ounce mark is possible.China and India, the world’s two largest gold consumers, are also facing domestic challenges that could dampen demand for the precious metal. In China, a weaker yuan and a sluggish recovery from the pandemic have made gold less attractive. India, the number two gold market, is also facing similar challenges, with a recent currency devaluation eroding its purchasing power, making dollar-denominated gold more expensive domestically. That’s particularly worrying because India accounts for more than 25% of global jewelry demand.
Recently, the news that US President Joe Biden proposed to increase arms aid to Ukraine caused gold prices to surge due to safe-haven demand. However, immediately after that, gold prices were under pressure to decrease as the market waited for signals from the new economic policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump and the interest rate decision from the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
The world gold price has increased by about 28% since the beginning of the year, reaching a peak of 2,790 USD/ounce at the end of October. This precious metal is still considered an effective risk hedging tool, especially in the context of escalating geopolitical tensions. However, gold becomes less attractive in a high interest rate environment.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2629 and a gap below at 2600. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2629
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
BEARISH TARGETS
2600
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2561
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2519 - 2486
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
We are still seeing price play in the retracement range and expect this range to provide support with the lowest in the range we can see 2560 and support above this level should provide bounces to chase targets above.
We now also have a body close above 2629 opening 2686 gap and will need ema5 lock to further confirm this.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis.
Beginning of the month we stated that this month also started with a detachment to ema5 below for a correction, which was also highlighted with a small mini circle on the chart for visual purpose.
- This detachment to ema5 was completed perfectly.
We also stated that the area above 2589 is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce.
- This also played out perfectly with ema5 providing dynamic support and above our 2589 support level for the push up, perfectly hitting our axis target 2702.
We now have two days for month end and will need a body close above 2702 for confirmation for a further continuation or a body close below 2589 to confirm the channel top test below.
However, if price closes this month in this range without the body closes, then we are likely to see play between this range for another month with not much detachment on the next monthly candle to ema5, which means the likely dynamic support should be provided by ema5 from the beginning of the month.
We will continue to use all support structures, across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gaps above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows us to see the bigger picture and the overall long term Bullish trend.
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold price has 50% chance of being in the range of 2,600-2,900At the beginning of the trading session on December 26 (US time), the world gold price increased slightly after the US announced that the number of weekly unemployment benefit applications reached 219,000, a slight increase compared to the forecast of 218,000 applications. This further strengthens the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay monetary policy next year.
The world gold market is still under pressure in the context of the Fed's reversal of monetary policy. Accordingly, in the context of "persistent" inflation, the US Central Bank's interest rate cut roadmap may slow down next year.
While the interest rate stance is boosting the dollar and bond yields, experts say that won’t deter investors from owning gold in their portfolios.
Tom Bruce, macro strategist at Tanglewood Total Wealth Management, forecasts the precious metal will rise about 10% next year and stay below $3,000 an ounce.
He said the biggest short-term challenge for gold in 2025 is the expected strong growth in the U.S. economy. However, gold prices will remain supported as central bank purchases create new momentum in the market.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see update on our 1H chart idea from Sunday. We are still seeing sideways movement in the market. Generally when this happens, market leaves gaps open in both directions, which is typical of ranging market.
We got our bearish target hit at 2618 and now left a open gap below. We also saw attempts to our bigger bullish gap above at 2647 and still remains open. We are comfortable buying dips from the retracement range, as part of our plans to buy dips rather then chasing the full target. Should we get the full open bearish gaps complete first, we will use the gap levels below to buy dips.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2691
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2719
BEARISH TARGETS
2618 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2618 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2595
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2595 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Analysis of short-term gold trading on December 27The gold market opened at 2610.6 in the morning and then rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then fell back quickly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and then closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The lower targets are 2615, 2607 and 260.
12.27 Asian Handicap continues to see a declineGold surged and fell in the US market last night. Gold continued to be short at 2635. Gold fluctuated at a high level in the second half of the night, and the lowest level fell to 2627. Gold did not fluctuate much, but there was no strong breakthrough at the high level. Gold bulls lacked confidence and continued to be short and fall.
Gold broke through the previous high of 2633 in 1 hour, but gold did not stand firm. It surged and fell again and broke the previous high of 2633. Gold did not form an effective breakthrough, so there is a possibility of gold bulls being lured to buy more. At least the market is not a unilaterally strong market. Gold continued to hold the short position of 2635 in the US market last night.
Asian trading operation ideas:
Gold 2635 short, stop loss 2645, target 2615-2610
#GOLD #TODAY GOLD TODAY
Gold broke the 2630 zone to extend its rally to near 2640 yesterday. And is now declining back to test the breakout zone.
Gold seems to be moving in an uptrend channel and could target the 50% Fib zone of the previous decline around 2655. Therefore, in the Asian session, you can wait to buy gold around the 2628-2630 zone. If you want to sell, you have to wait for a market decline to ensure safety.
Don't be afraid of gold pullbacks, keep buying goldBros, gold rose as expected. We bought gold near 2625 and 2622 respectively, and closed the position manually near 2636, easily earning 250 pips. Congratulations to my friends who followed me to buy gold!
Gold fell back as expected after touching 2639, but according to the current gold structure, gold has obviously shown strong resistance to falling, and the retracement space is small. Compared with the previous operation structure of gold, this is a typical rising cycle structure, so we still focus on buying gold in trading.
As gold breaks upward, the retracement space below will gradually move up, so I chose to buy gold again near 2628. So when gold falls back to the 2630-2625 area, we might as well boldly buy gold! Bros, are you as long gold as me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold price forecastDonald Trump’s transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
Donald Trump's transition team is looking for ways to end conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The trade war between the US and many countries, including China, may not be too tense. Donald Trump only sees tariffs as a negotiating tool. If the trade deficit improves, the trade war is likely to be less fierce.
In the long term, gold is still expected to rise as inflation signals rise again globally. The West has seen inflation return, while many Asian countries have stepped up monetary easing and have plans to pump money.
XAUUSD: 26/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2637, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: The market is in a narrow range during the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is reduced, and the volatility is naturally getting smaller and smaller. Today is still under the influence of the holiday, and it is expected that there is still no intention to break through. Gold rebounded in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2633. If it does not break, it will still be a volatile market. Don't think too much. Gold can be directly shorted when it touches the 2630-33 area. Hold below 2633 and watch for a volatile decline.
Gold hit a high of 2633 on Monday and then fell back under pressure, reaching a low of 2608, which happened to be the 2608 support point I mentioned. On Tuesday, it fell back to a low of 2610, and once again held the 2608 support point and pulled back. Today, the Asian session opened high and approached the 2633 pressure position. Today, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance in this area. It is definitely not suitable to chase the rise near here. Before it breaks here, it will continue to rebound high. Only after a strong breakthrough above 2633 can we see the bulls continue to rise. If it falls back, we will continue to pay attention to 2608 and choose to buy low.
SELL:2633near
BUY:2621near
BUY:2610near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Be brave and go long on goldBros, as mentioned in my last article, I advocate going long gold when it comes to short-term trading.
Although gold fell again after touching 2631, even though the initial jobless claims data was bearish for gold, gold only retreated to 2621 and did not continue to fall. Therefore, gold has shown strong resistance to falling, which will attract more buying funds to support gold's upward movement. And I also said in the last article that gold broke through the highest point of the previous trading day during the upward process, showing the effectiveness of the upward breakthrough to a certain extent, so gold is likely to continue to rise and test the 2640-2650 area.
Friends who have already followed me already know that I bought gold near 2625 and 2622 respectively, and now I just need to wait for gold to take off. Brothers, are you long gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!