Gold Price Analysis July 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) traded negative for the fourth consecutive day on Monday, despite no follow-through selling, remaining confined within a familiar range that has held for the past week or so amid mixed fundamental signals. Friday’s upbeat US jobs report dashed market expectations for more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve, helping the US Dollar (USD) rise to near seven-week highs and weighing on the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, the underlying bullish tone across global equity markets further undermined safe-haven Gold. However, any meaningful corrective pullback remains elusive amid persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, which tend to favor the precious metal. Traders may also want to wait for the FOMC meeting minutes to be released this Wednesday and the US consumer inflation data on Thursday.
Technical analysis
Gold has bounced strongly from the session support zone of 2640. At the moment, the trading range of gold is relatively wide and the NF has not been able to help gold form a new specific trend. In the h4 or h2 time frame, the trading range is clearly seen at 2635 and 2670. When this range is broken, the price will form a new trend. Besides, we pay attention to the areas that are prone to fake 2625 and 2685.
Goldtradingstrategy
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XAUUSD: 7/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2622
Four-hour resistance 2685, support below 2634-22
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell slightly after violent fluctuations last Friday, closing at $2652.64, because the stronger-than-expected US employment report poured cold water on the Fed's expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts in November, boosting the dollar to a high of more than one and a half months, and US Treasury yields also rose sharply to a high of nearly two months, overshadowing the risk aversion concerns over the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East. U.S. job growth accelerated in September, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, further easing the pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates by another 50 basis points at the November 6-7 policy meeting. The overall technical aspects of gold prices continued to fluctuate in a wide range of long and short positions in volatile trading.
From the current short-term perspective, the upper 2675-85 area still forms a strong resistance and suppression area. At the same time, the 2634 area where it fell and stabilized last week is still effective. The lower 2622 daily level support is still bullish. In the short term, gold prices continue to maintain a wide range of long and short fluctuations before there is no news stimulus in the market.
BUY:2650near SL:2647
BUY:2634near SL:2630
BUY:2622near SL:2618
SELL:2666near SL:2671
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
How to get rid of a sell order in hand ?If you make money, it's because of your good skills or luck. But how should you deal with orders that lose money?
Stop loss or continue to hold? It depends on whether the market continues to rise or fall. I personally think that the market will continue to fall. The main reason is that there is a lot of pressure from above.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
For investors who hold short orders, I suggest you continue to hold and wait for a suitable time to close the order. After all, after the stop loss, the loss is huge. Many people cannot accept it. Moreover, many people have different selling timings and positions.
Getting rid of the short orders in my hands is my only idea at present. Whether you are a novice or an investor who has been in the market for a long time, you will face this problem.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Judging from my more than ten years of trading experience, it is only a matter of time before the gold price falls. It is reasonable to mitigate the loss through other transactions in the short term. After all, as long as it reduces the loss, any method can be implemented.
Starting next week, I will share my real-time views and operation strategies one after another. If you want to recover your losses, keep paying attention. In this way, while you continue to pay attention to me, you will definitely get help and the answers you want.
Monday Market Analysis and SignalsGold prices fluctuated in a narrow range in early Asian trading on Monday and are currently trading around $2,647 per ounce. Gold prices closed slightly lower after a sharp fluctuation last Friday, as a stronger-than-expected US jobs report poured cold water on expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in November, boosting the dollar to a more than one-and-a-half-month high, and US Treasury yields also rose sharply to a nearly two-month high, overshadowing risk aversion concerns over the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
Last week, gold prices struggled to make decisive moves in either direction as the strength of the US dollar offset the growing safe-haven demand for gold. Developments surrounding the Middle East conflict and US inflation data may drive gold prices this week. On the other hand, if the minutes reflect that policymakers are open to further significant rate cuts when data show a recession or a deteriorating labor market outlook, the dollar may come under pressure and drive gold higher.
This week, global financial markets will usher in a series of major events, with the release of the Federal Reserve minutes, US September inflation data, and the earnings reports of major banks all becoming the focus of investors. US stocks are hovering at high levels, and the future direction depends on the performance of these key data. In addition, the return of the Asia-Pacific market, Tesla's important activities, gold's safe-haven demand and geopolitical risks in oil prices will also play an important role in driving market volatility.
Gold triangle consolidation, range oscillation. After the release of NFP on Friday, gold fluctuated widely and closed above the middle position of 2650. A wide range of fluctuations was formed in the range of 2670-2630. It is expected to be adjusted in this range at the beginning of the week. Technically, the daily MA10/7-day moving average is glued at the current position of 2653, the four-hour chart Bollinger band closing moving average is glued, and the RSI indicator is adjusted in the middle axis. Gold maintains a wide range of fluctuations. Sell high and buy low in operation!
Asian trading strategy:
2631-2633 long, stop loss 2622, target 2650-2660;
2667-2670 short, stop loss 2679, target 2630-2640;
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2674 Goldturn resistance and 2650, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2655 and below at 2633 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
POSSIBLE SCENARIO FOR XAUUSD THIS WEEK!As we know gold is still in a strong uptrend.
When we look dating from 23/09/24 till 26/09/24 gold as hit several ATHs and retraced back down to its PREV BUY ZONE to continue its uptrend.
With new data being released around the dollar and war conflicts in the Middle East gold has been unsure of its direction causing it to range between the BUY/SELL ZONE.
The strong levels I would take from this are
- 2625
- 2640
- 2670
I think if gold can continue its sudden bearish momentum its had after hitting its ATH then we can see 2625 being retested and if a sudden break of that we may see more down side.
the other scenario is gold bounces off the 2625 for the third time in 3 weeks and continues its run in the bull market.
This is just my analysis and not financial advice.
Good luck trading
Hit the rocket for more analysis’s for the rest of the year.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2669 Goldturn resistance and 2640, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2669 and below at 2640 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2669
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2669 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2693
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2715
POTENTIALLY 2737
BEARISH TARGETS
2640
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2640 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2610
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2610 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2584 - 2564
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last two weeks.
Last week we stated that we were seeing a breakout outside the new Goldturn channel (our unique way of drawing channels) and that we have a detachment to ema5 below also inline with the channel top for a possible re-test for a correction.
- We got the correction but not the full attachment to ema5, but as you can see the channel top is providing the support we mentioned. As stated before if the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close. We currently have a candle body close gap to 2729 long range AXIS TARGET.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea doing another repeat of the move completing the 2669 target twice, allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
2669 Goldturn resistance and 2650 Goldturn support were both completed earlier this week, followed with drops into the retracement range but not the full retracement test. This still allowed us to buy dips, as 2650 also gave the bounces for another re-test to our Bullish target 2669 completing the week.
The market moved sideways this week but allowed us to safely between the range buying dips.
BULLISH TARGET
2669 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Buy price has not shown up all Buy side liquidity taken price has shown Sell side bais but as we know gold is Bullish over Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 and from yesterday Gold is stuck between buy and sell side trend also we have mentioned Inverse Head & shoulder pattern on H1 TF also Gold is forming a Rising wedge over H4 TF so we are bullish over Gold for even next week gold only palys with emotions
Gold fluctuates and awaits non-agricultural data!!!For today, we need to divide the non-agricultural data into two parts.
1. Before the data, it rose in the morning. The European market rose and fell in the past two days. From the perspective of the daily line pattern, it tested 2664 4 times, and the resistance level was very small. This must be a breakthrough, but if this breakthrough continues to fall, it will not make much sense.
So, either it is around 2658-60, with a loss of 50, and look at 2673=75 above, and arrive before the data.
2. Give up the intraday market and wait for non-agricultural data.
Referring to Wednesday's ADP, the non-agricultural data is likely to bottom out and rebound, but this bottoming must be based on the breakthrough and rise in the European market, and the US market will see a bottoming and rebound.
If it has been suppressed below 2664 during the day, then the bottoming and rebounding will not make much sense. The trend is not very strong.
Only if it breaks through during the day and the US market bottoms out and rebounds, there is a risk of breaking high. If it is suppressed, it is likely to continue to fluctuate.
So whether it is strong today depends on the strength of the breakthrough in the European market.
If there is no breakthrough, look for shocks; if there is a breakthrough, look for strength
Gold Thoughts 04-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Gold market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
GOLD - WHAT ARE WE WAITING FOR? SHORT TIMETeam, congratulations to those who followed 7 trades yesterday; we got all hit perfectly. AUS200, UK100 , DOW X 2 AND NAS AND GOLD X 2
We are shorting GOLD at the moment 2656-2655 ranges, with stop loss at 2665,
Target at 2649
target 2 at 2647
Target 3 at 2645 or 2643
Once the price hit below 2650, trail stop loss to BE
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today allowing us to buy dips inline with our analysis.
Our bearish target on this chart complete at 2650 and just our full bullish target at 2674 still open giving us the confidence to buy dips
2650 is currently providing support for the bounce. However, we also need to keep in mind that although we had the move into the retracement zone also giving us the bounces, as highlighted with the arrow on the chart; the full retracement range is still open. We need to keep this in mind when managing risk for the extended range between 2674 and 2620 .
We will need to wait for the 2674 test, followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2674 to confirm the range above or failure to lock above will see price test the lower Goldturns and the weighted Goldturns for the bounces, allowing us to take advantage of the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2674
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2674 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2694
POTENTIALLY 2716
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2650 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2620
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2620 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2588 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD must be shorted today and tomorrow!News: As I said in the past two days, although the United States today 'the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States to the beginning of the week on September 28th‘ has a lot of gold, the gold market does not rise but falls. This shows that the strength of the bulls in the gold market is insufficient, and many investors are not optimistic about the rise of gold when the U.S. economy has recovered.
Therefore, tomorrow the release of the US‘September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls’ data will explode the entire gold market, and gold will choose its direction again.
Judging from the current various news, the U.S. economy is recovering, and tomorrow's ’U.S. September quarter-adjusted non-farm payrolls' data will be bearish for gold, so the trend of gold today and tomorrow will be dominated by empty heads!
Therefore, the strategy of gold in the past two days is still mainly shorting: continue to short the gold market near 2655!
Need more trading signals and strategies, welcome to the comment area!
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold trimmed its weekly gains on Friday as traders assessed recent US economic data and its potential impact on Federal Reserve policy. With disinflationary trends suggesting steady rate cuts, Gold continues to shine. However, expectations for a 50 basis point cut in November have eased following strong US macroeconomic data. Key reports like the decline in Initial Jobless Claims to 218K, solid Q2 GDP growth at 3.0%, and stronger-than-expected Durable Goods Orders have sparked debate about a possible economic soft landing.
In this video, I break down how these factors could shape price action in the Gold market, and explore trading strategies for both buyers and sellers. With the probability of a 50 bps rate cut now down to 50%, I have analyzed potential scenarios and how I plan to capitalize on the upcoming opportunities. Make sure to watch till the end for my technical analysis and outlook for the coming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,640 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldMarket #FedRateCuts #USData #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #GoldForecast #EconomicOutlook #TradingStrategies #InvestingInGold #MarketUpdates📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD technical analysis: Gold price creeps lower Gold rate is upwardly biased in spite of dropping a few steam as investors ee-e book profits, expecting the following section of the conflict. Momentum stays bullish as depicted via way of means of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) however is exiting from overbought conditions, sparking the retracement.
If XAU/USD drops below $2,650, this will open the door to check the September 30 every day low of $2,624, observed via way of means of the September 18 top at $2,600. A breach of the latter will reveal the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,513.
On similarly strength, if it clears the all time excessive of $2,685, it can amplify its profits to $2,700.
💎 TVC:GOLD BUY 2645 - 2642💎
✔️TP1: 2660
✔️TP2: 2670
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2635
Gold keeps hitting new highs, and today is the day to see a breaThe gold price moves perfectly along the trend line. It starts to rise when it approaches the trend line. Gold is accumulating strength at a high level. Today, the gold price may break through the historical high and start the rising mode.
The gold price trend is very healthy. It starts to rise when it approaches the trend line and important moving average. The best operation is to follow the trend, because the risk of going long is much lower, just like the Chinese A-shares that are winning by doing nothing now. Shorting may burst at any time, and going long may reach the daily limit at any time.
Today's data:
The number of layoffs of challenger companies in the United States in September (10,000 people)
The number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week ending September 28 (10,000 people)
The final value of the S&P Global Services PMI in the United States in September
Trading strategy: Gold 2640 more, stop loss 2630, target 2665--------2670
Gold Price Analysis October 3Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar (USD) extended its recovery from its lowest level since July 2023 and advanced to a three-week high amid fading prospects of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, was seen as a major factor undermining demand for the non-yielding yellow metal, although continued tensions in the Middle East helped limit losses.
Iran launched more than 200 ballistic missiles at Israel on Tuesday, while Israel conducted a precision airstrike and bombed the center of Beirut in Lebanon early Thursday. This raised the risk of a full-blown war in the region and dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, which was reflected in the generally weaker tone in equity markets and acted as a boost to safe-haven gold prices. The US economic agenda on Thursday could provide some impetus for XAU/USD, although the focus will still be on the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
Technical Analysis
Technically, the trading range is still maintained around the 2643 and 2671 areas. There is no strong movement yet, gold is still having difficulty breaking out of this price range. The main BUY SELL entry that we are waiting for is still in the 2683-2685 and 2624-2622 areas.
There is a small resistance in the 2645 - 2642 area, stoploss is placed at 2640 only. This resistance is a bit thin, move gently.
Resistance 2636 - 2635 stoploss 2630 catch up a beat before the US session.
Wait until the US, the margin is further, if the price falls, you can only catch it at 2622 - 2620, stoploss 2616.
Break point 2664, then wait for 2672 - 2674 to sell lightly again, stoploss 2678
Sell point 2683 - 2685, stoploss 2689
Round resistance 2690 is not expected much but note here to pay attention to how it is. Focus on the 2700 area.
Gold Thoughts - 03-Oct-2024Good morning all , Kindly see my Gold thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Gold OutlookAs Gold was consolidating from two days and have not given any clear direction ⬇️⬆️ now it seems like it has completed its consolidation phase and we can a All time High for this week as we are awaiting for Unemployment claims which can be distributing for TVC:DXY and Gold can fly as the forecast says it has higher ratio than previous week also we will be waiting for Institute of Supply managments data which can power up USD as forecast so we will careful at the time of news tomorrow we will have an important news of NFP which will crucial to decide the direction of Gold for next week
As well as i am concerned what i am seeing through my technical data is Gold has formed a inverse head and shoulder pattern which is a bullish reversal pattern and as i have mentioned in my Chart gold has completed it 2nd shoulder after which i expecte a Boom in price here is important thing to remember is we have an ATH resistance waiting up there price can return from there for tomorrow
Confluence is price is bullish over Monthly to weekly to Daily to H4 to H1
Previously Price has formed its bearish move on H1 but now it has got back to its bullish trend and following bigger time frames
Wish u luck