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XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold prices dipped into the $2,500 zone on Friday after the US Department of Commerce revealed that inflation remains subdued. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index held steady at 2.5% year-over-year in July, falling short of market expectations. This aligns with the Fed’s potential move to ease monetary policy in September, though the size of the rate cut remains uncertain. As we head into a busy week with the release of ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs, jobs data, and the Balance of Trade, this video breaks down the potential for both buyers and sellers in the Gold market. Will the $2,500 level hold, or are we in for more volatility? Dive into the analysis to prepare for the week ahead! XAUUSD Technical Overview: This week, we're focusing on the $2,500 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights! 📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market! #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #TradingStrategy #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ForexTrading #JacksonHole #Investment #TradingStrategy #FXTrading📺🔔💼 Disclaimer Notice: Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
2
With the Non-Farm Payrolls coming, can gold reach a new high?Gold is approaching a record high again. Will it break through tonight with the help of non-farm payrolls? The August US non-farm payrolls report will be released at 20:30 tonight. This report will directly determine whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 basis points in the September interest rate decision, and will also directly reveal whether the US economy has entered a recession as the market worries. Last month, US employment data was weak, especially the unemployment rate hit a new high since October 2021, which aroused market concerns about the US economy. This concern spread to the entire financial market, forming a chain reaction and triggering the Black Monday plunge. Fed Chairman Powell said at the August Global Central Bank Annual Meeting that he did not expect the August employment report to continue to be weak, and the September interest rate cut would not change due to the rebound in the employment market. The overly weak employment performance is not what the Fed wants to see. In addition, the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States on August 21 was revised down by 810,000, which means that the employment report in the past 12 months has been beautified, and the average number of jobs has decreased by 68,000 per month. It shows that the US economic performance is not as optimistic as the market expected. Due to the downward revision of past data, non-agricultural data will not have too much water, unlike the huge monthly difference in employment data in the previous few months, which made the investment bank's forecast of employment become a decoration. This time, the market expected 160,000 employment and 4.2% unemployment rate. Last month, 114,000 employment and 4.3% unemployment rate. Tonight's non-agricultural data mainly has two aspects: 1: The data performed better than market expectations, and the number of employed people rebounded further. It must be a low probability event if it is lower than 100,000. If it is between 110,000 and 160,000, it will cause the gold price to rise first and then fall. It is not as good as expected, but it is stronger than last month. 2: The employment data continued to be weak, even lower than 114,000 last month, and the unemployment rate rose by more than 4.3%, which is bullish for gold. From another perspective, from the perspective of the US economic recession, gold may not rise. Arbitrage transactions will be sold in large quantities, dragging down panic selling of other assets, and gold is no exception. That is to say, whether the employment data performs well or poorly tonight, it should be difficult for gold to rise. Good employment performance is bearish for gold, and poor employment performance indicates a hard landing of the US economy. Wasn’t last month’s non-farm data bullish, but gold fell sharply? Therefore, today, gold should pay attention to the risk of falling back after rising. Yesterday, gold broke through 2506 and turned bullish. I also reminded that 2506 is the dividing point between long and short positions this week. If it breaks through, you can no longer have illusions. Then 2518 was reversed to 2505, and a high-altitude profit was made. Pay attention to the dividing point between long and short positions at 2530 today. After a surge upward, be careful of the short-selling counterattack with the help of non-farm data tonight! Focus on 2505 below, and the breakout will continue, but pay attention to risk control.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
The BEST Shortcut to Consistent Trades: Multi-Timeframe Magic!Here’s a **top-down analysis** of the **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** based on the charts and liquidity zones (LQZ) , starting from the **higher timeframes** to the **lower timeframes**. This approach helps to align trade decisions with the broader market context. 1. Weekly Timeframe: - Weekly Flag Trendline: The price is testing the upper boundary of a long-term flag pattern. This flag could be seen as a **continuation pattern** in a larger bullish market structure. - Scenario: A breakout above this weekly flag would suggest the resumption of the broader **uptrend**, targeting significant levels around **$2,600 and higher**. - Bearish Risk: A strong rejection from this trendline could signal a larger pullback, potentially targeting support around **$2,470** (Daily LQZ) or lower. 2. Daily Timeframe: - Trend: The daily structure shows price building towards testing resistance at the **4-hour LQZ** of **$2,532.144**. If momentum continues, a breakout could confirm a larger bullish push. - Daily LQZ: Located at **$2,470.804**, this is a critical support level. A break below it would signal a change in the market structure towards more bearish conditions. 3. 4-Hour Timeframe: - **4-Hour LQZ**: Key resistance at **$2,532.144**. If this is breached, it confirms a breakout of the flag on higher timeframes, leading to a stronger bullish move. A failure to break this level could trigger a reversal back to lower support zones. - Pattern: The current price action is consolidating near the top of the wedge, indicating indecision but with potential to resolve upwards if the breakout sustains. 4. 1-Hour Timeframe: - Support: **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704** acts as immediate support. It’s vital to monitor how price reacts around this area. A hold above this level suggests bulls remain in control. - Entry Considerations: Watch for a clean breakout above the **weekly flag trendline** with price closing above the **4-hour LQZ** and respecting the **1-hour LQZ** during pullbacks. A break of this support may invalidate the bullish scenario, leading to downside risks. Key Scenarios: 1. Bullish (Preferred): - A breakout above the weekly flag pattern, supported by a breakout of the **4-hour LQZ** at **$2,532.144**, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend. - Target higher levels around **$2,560** initially, with potential further upside towards **$2,600** if momentum remains strong. 2. Bearish (Risk Scenario): - A failure to break the **4-hour LQZ** or a rejection at the weekly flag trendline, coupled with a break below the **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704**, could lead to a move lower. - Targets for shorts would include the **Daily LQZ** at **$2,470.804**, with further downside to **$2,420** and **$2,402** if bearish momentum builds. Confluence Factors: - The alignment between the **weekly flag breakout** and price respecting **lower timeframe LQZ** levels will be crucial for confirming a sustained trend. - Conversely, any rejection and failure to hold these levels could shift bias towards downside risks. Conclusion: This **top-down analysis** favors a **bullish breakout**, but careful monitoring is required at critical resistance levels. Risk should be managed tightly around the **1-hour and 4-hour LQZs** to confirm trend direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
XAUUSD: The most likely time to set a new high is comingIn yesterday's article, we pointed out the importance of the support area of ​​2470-2480, and the trend of this decline is almost the same as that in August, so we bought bullish in this range, and the result was very good. Judging from the strength of the last rebound, the highest gold price tried to break through 2532. Similarly, I am optimistic that gold will test new highs again this time. In addition, there are many important economic data released today, and there will be a monthly NFP tomorrow. Once the data is good for gold, this time is most likely to refresh the historical high. From the 1H chart, we can see that yesterday's strong rebound has broken the downward trend, and today's Asian and European sessions have broken through the key resistance of 2500-2505 again. Now this range has turned from resistance to support. Trading strategy: Although we are very optimistic about gold today, we still cannot take the risk of chasing the rise, because once the gold price falls back to the support, there is a room for a decline of 10-15$. Therefore, today we'd better wait for the gold price to pull back to the 2500-2505 support area before buying. The target can be seen at 2520-2530, and after a new high, it can be seen at 2550.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
9.6 Gold Short-Term Trading StrategySpot gold fluctuated in a narrow range in Asian trading on Friday (September 6), currently trading around 2520, holding on to most of its overnight gains. Gold prices rose to a near one-week high on Thursday as the dollar weakened and yields fell. Earlier signs of a loss of momentum in the labor market led investors to expect the Federal Reserve to make a super-large interest rate cut this month. According to a Reuters survey, job growth is expected to pick up in August, with non-farm payrolls expected to increase by 160,000 jobs that month, exceeding the 114,000 increase in July. The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 4.2% in August. Gold broke the deadlock of the first three days of this week during the day. As the US dollar index fell, gold chose to break upward. After a narrow range of fluctuations around 2495 in the early trading, it began to attack around the European trading session, breaking through the key suppression level of 2500, and breaking through the 2507 high that was broken in the previous few days. The US market accelerated to 2523 with the stimulation of ADP data, and finally fell back in the short term, with the daily line closing with a large positive column. So far this week, gold has tested the bottom support of 2470 twice. It can be seen that although it reached around 2470 twice, the real K-line basically closed above 2480, which is enough to prove that the bullish buying on dips in gold is still very strong. It is expected that before the arrival of non-agricultural and interest rate cuts, gold will continue to fluctuate at a high level. In terms of intraday operations, it is still sufficient to maintain range operations. Intraday short-term operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2525, defend 2532, target 2510-2500
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Gold glimmers with potential as bullish sentiment prevailsToday's outlook for gold (XAU/USD) in the forex market remains bullish, driven by a combination of factors. The price is currently trading near significant resistance levels around $2,531, supported by expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which would lower bond yields and make gold more attractive. Traders are particularly focused on upcoming U.S. employment data, which could further influence gold prices. A weaker-than-expected jobs report would likely push prices higher, potentially toward $2,600 in the short term. However, if the data shows strong job growth, gold may face downward pressure, with potential corrections towards $2,483-2,477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out in true level to level fashion. Yesterday we stated that we were now looking for a 2498 weighted resistance re-test and a cross and lock above this level will re-open the range above. - This played out perfectly, as we got the 2498 target hit followed with the cross and lock confirmation for 2509, which was also hit perfectly!! We now also have 2509 cross and lock opening 2524, which gave a nice capture and fell just just short of a few pips and will now be keeping this mind. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2509 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2509 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2524 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2498 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2498 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 (DONE) - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
24
Why The Recent Gold Rally Could Be Jeopardised : USDX! It's Long Gold for the moment & I mentioned a break about 2500.21 would be the breakout point! I already see signs of the Gold rally losing steam. Well, let's call it a short term rally or a retracement rally of something greater. You see, since about midday Tuesday, so not even 48 hours ago, the USDX has been back-pedalling. I see it as a retrace to it's 38.2 Fib level and then the Gas could go onto the USDX because once something finishes it's Fib retracement it usually follows in its intended direction, the opposite direction to its retrace, the course and trajectory it was previously on, which for the USDX is upwards IMHO. This will bring 'Shorters' into Gold. So, in summary the USDX as seen on the 4HR chart has retraced to about 50% on the Fib scale, I will be watching closely to see if it moves down further to 38.2%, or even worse for Long gold punters, that it breaks upwards from 50%. We know from last Friday, the damage it caused when it broke 101.50. In trading, history tends to repeat. Gold & the USDX do not always follow their Inverse price relationship. But it happens about 80-90% of the time. Cheers Chris * Trading is risky. Please don't rely solely on my financial advice or trade setups. * Whilst I do my best to bring the most up to date Gold strategy, Gold trading moves very fast and so do it's variables. See chart.
EIGHTCAP:USDX
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
1
XAUUSD: The recent low has been confirmed, buy boldlyYesterday, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded after falling to 2473. Now the price of gold has come here again. I think the low point of this decline is likely to be here. From the 4H chart, we can see that the range of 2470-2480 is the key resistance level that has not been broken in the previous many attacks. After breaking, it has turned into support. At the same time, during the correction last month, it also played a key supporting role, and its support strength has been verified yesterday and just now. In addition, the important data ADP and NFP data this week will not be released until the next two days, so it is unlikely to fall below this key support level before the data. Trading strategy: Since we have determined the short-term low, the choice for us is very clear. Buy in the range of 2470-2480. The first target is 2500-2505, and the second is 2520-2530. I have bought at 2480 and added positions at 2475. Now I can wait for the rise with peace of mind.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
4
9.5 Gold short-term operation strategyGold lacks direction in high-range wash Yesterday's gold trend once again proved that it is in a high-range oscillation pattern. As we imagined, gold first fell to test around 2472 and then received buying support, starting a rebound rhythm. The overnight US July job vacancy report dropped sharply, stimulating gold to continue to rise to test around 2500, and it is still running at a high level. Next, the market will focus on non-agricultural employment data, and the market hopes to get information from the Federal Reserve on the extent of the interest rate cut. At present, the high-range adjustment is obvious, with support around 2475 and resistance around 2527. The pressure point to watch during the day is the 2500 mark. If we stand above this level, we will continue to look at the opportunity of 2510-20. Otherwise, there is a possibility of a pullback under pressure. There is really no good idea. It is recommended to wait and see. From the analysis chart, 2507 is a big pressure. Now it is a bottoming out. Bulls pay attention to the small support of 2488. Today we will consider long opportunities at this position. If the bulls reach 2507, consider shorting. Note that it is only considered in the Asian session. If the European and American sessions go anywhere, the position may be broken. Today's idea is that both long and short positions can be taken. It is very important to find the rhythm and position. Support is around 2471-2473, small support is 2488, pressure is 2500 and 2507, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 2493
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Thursday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated in a narrow range on Thursday and is currently trading around 2,500. Gold prices bottomed out and rebounded on Wednesday, hitting a nearly two-week low of 2,471 during the session, helped by a decline in the US dollar and US Treasury yields after a decrease in US job vacancies raised expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Gold prices reversed their gains as a result. The slight slowdown in the US economy has led to a pullback in the US dollar and continued lower interest rates, which has supported the gold market. In addition, the ADP employment and initial jobless claims reports to be released on Thursday, as well as the NFP employment report on Friday, will also be closely watched, and the market will use them to look for clues to the Fed's path to rate cuts. Investors and Fed officials are keeping a close eye on the labor market after unemployment rose for four consecutive months, fueling concerns about a recession. Economists stick to their forecast that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on September 17-18. Much depends on the August employment report scheduled for release on Friday. Gold daily line formed a long lower shadow and closed up. The price came to the MA5 daily moving average. The lower side tested the middle track of the Bollinger band. The price stopped at the middle track 2471. The upper MA7 daily moving average 2500 mark focused on whether it could stabilize during the day. The short-term four-hour chart price stood on the middle track of the Bollinger band. The RSI indicator adjusted the middle axis. The moving average opened upward. The technical side was bullish. The overall rhythm rose and fell after a slight adjustment during the day. If the data is bearish, the daily line will again show a long and short cycle. Trading strategy: 2480-2485 long, stop loss 2473, target 2500-2510; 2505-2510 short, stop loss 2516, target 2490-2480; For more signals and analysis, please check my profile
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-goldFX
1
9.5 Gold short-term operation strategy1: US debt. Since 2022, out of concern about US debt, central banks around the world have chosen to increase their gold holdings to balance the structure of foreign exchange reserves. In the past two years, the amount of gold purchased has doubled, and the scale is still expanding. 2: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates. After the interest rate cut, more US dollar liquidity will be provided to the market, and more funds will return to the gold market, which has never happened in the rise of gold in the past two years. 3: Risk hedging. As the best risk hedging tool, gold will increase significantly in asset allocation during the economic downturn. China is the largest consumer of gold. For every 10% drop in gold prices, China's gold demand will increase by 16%. Once gold falls sharply in September, the central bank may return to the market with a large number of orders. Regarding the theory of US economic recession, there have been whistleblowers one after another since August. The plunge in global stock markets on August 2 was Sam's Law, and the plunge in the Nikkei 225 index on Tuesday this week, and the decline in gold/crude oil all triggered the recession indicator of US economist Rosenberg. At this stage, the recession of the US economy is still in the imagination stage. The US August employment report will be released at 20:30 Beijing time on September 6. The market is overreacting to the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in July. Once the unemployment rate rises in August, it may trigger the reduction of arbitrage trading funds and cause market stampede. Before that, the US will release the August ADP employment data today. The previous value was 125,000, and the market estimated 145,000. The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending August 31 will be announced at 20:30. The previous value was 231,000, which was not much different from the estimated 230,000. This is just the appetizer. The hard dish is the US non-farm employment data on Friday. Last month, the global market avalanche was triggered by the non-farm data. The sharp decline in non-farm data last month should be bullish for gold, but the market trend suddenly turned from the expected Fed rate cut to the US economic recession, causing indiscriminate panic selling. This time everyone's eyes are on the non-farm data. Today, we will pay more attention to the changes in the technical structure. The data only serves as a guide. Emotions will be reflected in the price in advance. On Wednesday, the gold price accelerated its decline in the European session, falling from a low of $2495 to $2471, a drop of nearly $25, but the continuity was extremely poor. The US session recovered and returned to the $2500 line. In recent times, the gold price has been on a roller coaster ride, and basically there is little continuity. After a sharp drop, there is a sharp rise, and after a sharp rise, there is a sharp drop. This morning, the price was at $2498. After the rebound in the US session last night, it closed above the support point of 2491. The upper pressure is still collectively at $2507. The break of this position will temporarily end this round of small-scale adjustment. From the 1-hour structure, the price rebounded after two dips to the 2470 USD line, forming a staged double bottom. There are two positions above that are of particular interest. One is the 2500 USD line with the pressure of 2507 USD as the boundary, that is, to hold 2506-07 and continue the weak shock. The support below is 2491. Only when it is lost here can it be opened for the second time. In addition, if the rebound is strong and breaks through 2507 USD, the rebound will further continue to the range of 2512-14. The rebound here should pay attention to the decline after the rapid pullback. Don't chase the market in the past few days. If you see a rise, you will have more callbacks. If you see a fall, you will often be shorted. If you see a rise, you will look for pressure positions to go short. If you see a fall, you will look for support positions to go long. Don't treat the box shock as a unilateral one. Therefore, my idea for gold today is to continue to look for a decline with 2507 Qingyuan as the pressure. First, pay attention to 2492 below, followed by 2485 USD and 2485 USD. The formation of this unilateral market will be postponed to the non-agricultural data tomorrow night or the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on September 17. Before that, it will mainly be a roller coaster wash.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Why WAITING on XAU Will pay BIG TIME The charts cover different timeframes of the XAU/USD (Gold/US Dollar) pair, and they reveal several key technical structures and patterns that are useful for trading analysis. 1. Flag Pattern and Breakout (5-Minute and 15-Minute Charts) - On the 5-minute and 15-minute charts, there is a visible **flag pattern** following a strong upward move (bullish flag). This pattern typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend after a consolidation phase. - The flag's lower trendline (support) and upper trendline (resistance) are marked in yellow. The price consolidated between these lines, and the breakout occurred upwards, confirming the bullish continuation. This breakout could be a potential entry point for a long position, with the stop loss below the flag's lower trendline and a target based on the flagpole's length (the initial strong upward move preceding the flag). 2. Descending Channel and Potential Reversal (1-Hour and 4-Hour Charts) - The 1-hour and 4-hour charts display a **descending channel** (marked with yellow trendlines). The price recently touched the lower trendline and bounced back, showing signs of a potential reversal. - If the price continues to break above the upper trendline of the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing a possible entry for a long trade. The risk management strategy should include placing a stop loss below the recent low (or the channel's lower trendline) and targeting previous resistance levels or the channel's upper boundary. 3. Broadening Wedge Formation (4-Hour Chart) - The broader view on the 4-hour chart shows a **broadening wedge pattern**, where the price has been making higher highs and lower lows. This pattern is generally considered a sign of increasing volatility and potential trend reversal. - If the price breaks above the broadening wedge's upper trendline, this could further confirm a bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below the lower trendline would suggest further downside potential. 4. Support and Resistance Zones (Highlighted on All Charts) - Several horizontal lines mark significant **support and resistance levels** around $2,507 and $2,532.144, respectively. These levels could serve as potential entry or exit points based on how the price reacts when approaching them. - Observing how the price interacts with these levels can provide clues for future price action. For example, a sustained move above $2,507 could confirm a bullish sentiment, whereas a rejection or false breakout might suggest the continuation of the bearish trend. Trading Strategy Recommendations: 1. Flag Pattern (Short-Term Bullish) If looking for short-term trades, consider entering a long position on a confirmed breakout of the flag pattern, with a stop loss below the flag's lower trendline. Target a move equal to the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point. 2. Descending Channel (Potential Reversal):If trading based on the descending channel, a break above the upper trendline could signal a reversal and a potential buying opportunity. In contrast, if the price rejects the upper trendline, consider shorting with a stop above the recent highs and target the lower boundary. 3. Broadening Wedge (Cautious Approach): For traders cautious about volatility, wait for a confirmed breakout from the broadening wedge to determine the trend direction. Enter long if it breaks upwards and short if it breaks downwards, setting stop losses just beyond the breakout points. 4. Support and Resistance Levels (Decision Zones): Use the marked support and resistance zones as decision points. Enter trades based on confirmation signals near these levels, and manage risk by adjusting stop-loss orders accordingly. By combining these observations with confluence factors such as higher time frame trends, candlestick patterns, and multi-touch confirmations, you can refine your entry and exit points and enhance your trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
7
XAUUSD I Bearish USD Jolts Jobs Report I Bullish Breakout Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BKTradingAcademy