GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart structure.
Last week we stated that we will continue to see price play between 2355 and 2309 until we see a lock confirmation for the next range.
- We now have a cross and lock above 2355 leaving a gap to 2405.
We have marked the charts with the weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldtrend
DOWN trend for Gold!! Expected mark $2300⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) dips for the second day, hitting over a week's low during Wednesday's Asian session. Influential Federal Reserve officials' recent hawkish comments imply no imminent rate cuts due to a strong US economy. This boosts US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar, negatively impacting the non-yielding gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price in the H1 trend line is decreasing - selling pressure exists. Pay attention to support areas
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2294 - $2292 SL $2287
TP1: $2300
TP2: $2308
TP3: $2315
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2300 - $2302 SL $2297 scalping
TP1: $2306
TP2: $2310
TP3: $2315
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2334 - $2336 SL $2341
TP1: $2328
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2310
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: Big Swing Buy Coming Up Worth 2200+ PIPS! Dear Traders,
Gold rejected at $2450 and dropped more than 1200+ pips, indicating a strong bearish takeover. Still we expect the same to continue, as bearish momentum is so strong that price ranged between 2330-2340 area for a long period on Friday. Which suggested that bears large number of volume Is still there in the market. Going forward, we can expect price of Gold to drop around 2280-2290 this key level remain strong for buyers. That move will be worth thousands of pips we expecting around 2200 pips if not more targeting 2500$ which will be record high.
**Please like and comment the idea, for more do follow us which will encourage us to bring more educational chart analysis**
Do your own analysis, always follow risk management.
Team SetupsFX_
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2336 resistance and 2307 Goldturn support. We will need to see a test and lock on either levels to open the next range.
We will need to see ema5 lock above 2336 to open the range above or a rejection before this will follow to find support at the retracement range. A further cross and lock below 2307 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGETS
2336
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2336 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2356
BEARISH TARGETS
2307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2307 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2290 - 2275
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Today's trading trends, selling strategiesThe employment and economic data released by the US last week showed both positive and negative trends. However, the fairly positive job market has caused the market to predict that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates before November this year, instead of September as previously forecast.
Experts say that world gold prices in the next few days will adjust within a narrow range to wait for information from the Fed meeting taking place on June 11-12. Surely the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this meeting. However, the market will look for information about the health of the US economy and the direction of inflation.
Some financial institutions believe that the Fed cutting interest rates may consider the deflation situation of the world's No. 1 economy, when it twice reported the country's gross domestic product growth in the first quarter. a sharp decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.
Experts recommend that investors should patiently wait for information from the Fed meeting. Because gold prices will be strongly affected when the Fed releases positive information from the US economy.
Gold fell deeply at the end of the week, the downtrend continuedWorld gold prices tend to recover with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,294.9 USD/ounce.
The gold market this week is forecast to have many fluctuations and the direction of this precious metal depends heavily on the consumer price index (CPI) report and the interest rate decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). ) and a speech from the head of the world's most powerful central bank.
Last week, the market witnessed a strong sell-off when receiving two unfavorable information. Gold lost up to 80 USD during the day, recording the strongest intraday decline in 4 years. Specifically, the price reversed when the latest report showed that the People's Bank of China did not add gold last month, cutting off this central bank's 18-month gold buying streak. The report raises concerns that gold demand will slow down in the near future.
While the market is gradually stabilizing, expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in September are gradually fading after the US Department of Labor's employment report dealt another strong blow to the market.
The Fed started the fight against inflation from March 2022 with interest rate increases. In this way, the US Central Bank wants to slow down economic growth and reduce inflationary pressure, with the goal of bringing inflation down to 2%. Recent inflation reports show that inflation is currently at 2.7%.
XAU/USD - Q2 Market AnalystBased on current trends and analysis, I forecast that XAU/USD will reach a new all-time high (ATH) this week at the earliest and next week at the latest. Therefore, we should consider taking a Long/Buy Action in the market. Here are the key insights:
Reversal: There was a strong rejection at the 2291 area after experiencing a strong rejection at 2393. This is a sign that the market has the potential to move upward. Additionally, this week, on May 10, 2024, the market closed above the support area.
Correction: The market will undergo a correction around the 2393 area before continuing its bullish trend, as long as there are no adverse news or situations affecting the market.
Please remember, this analysis is a personal interpretation of market trends and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.
Today's trading strategy, increasing trendAbout 6 o'clock on June 7, today's gold price of the world traded at 2,376 USD/ounce, an increase of 21 USD from the same price as the previous day was 2,355 USD/ounce.
World gold price fluctuated in the context of the European Central Bank (ECB) for the first time since 2019, down 0.25 points of interest rate.
This move makes the market raise expectations that the United States will continue the ECB to loosen monetary policy, in the direction of reducing interest rates in the near future. At that time, the dollar will drop compared to many other foreign currencies. World gold price can increase further in the future.
So at this time, investors increased their purchasing power. Today's gold price increases tens of dollars/ounce is understandable.
Gold constantly increases when the trend is brokenThe world gold price continued to increase with spot gold increased by 20.4 USD to 2,376 USD/ounce. Future gold traded at 2,395.1 USD/ounce, up 19.6 USD compared to the dawn.
The price of gold continues to increase and reach the highest level in 2 weeks when the US bond yield falls after the latest labor report. The published data shows that the "cooling down" of the US labor market has strengthened the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Currently, investors are still hot. Waiting for non -agricultural payroll data of the US to be more sure about this expectation.
The number of important non -agricultural jobs is forecast to increase by 178,000 compared to the April report with an increase of 175,000 jobs. Reporting the private sector in May of ADP published in the middle of this week has shown that the US labor market is gradually cooling down.
According to the market analyst Carlo Alberto de Casa of Kinesis Money, precious metals are supported by the expectation of the recession of the world's leading economy and the peaceful US Bank in the next few months. .
Strong increase again, today's trading trendGold prices fluctuated today amid weaker-than-expected US employment data. Since then, the market has speculated that the country's economic growth will slow down. Investors strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates by the end of 2024.
Accordingly, US bond interest rates dropped to 4.2%, meaning the value of bonds decreased. Investors put capital into bonds to generate profits. As a result, very little money flows into precious metals. Gold price today has upward momentum.
The World Gold Council said that in April 2024, central banks around the world bought a net 33 tons of gold. This signals that many countries continue to increase their gold reserves to "save for a rainy day".
With the above information, speculators may think the gold market will heat up. From there, they increase their purchasing power. Today's gold price in the world increased by 28 USD, from 2,327 USD/ounce to 2,355 USD/ounce at 6:00 a.m. on June 6.
Gold trading strategy today, continuing the upward momentumWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 29.3 USD to 2,355.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,375.20 an ounce, up $27.80 from the bright spot.
World gold prices edged higher midweek, supported by a weakening USD and falling Treasury yields after the latest data showed the labor market cooling.
According to ADP's report, private companies created an additional 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than the number recorded last month and experts' forecasts. This is the lowest monthly number unchanged since the bad month.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said the weak labor numbers act as a catalyst that could force the Federal Reserve to cut back before the end of the year. This has increased the appeal of gold. Lower performance reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders saw a roughly 67% chance that the Fed will deliver monetary policy in September, up from less than 50% last week.
Analysts say that important upcoming US economic reports, including data on the health of the service sector and non-farm payrolls reports, are likely to influence the direction of printed gold prices. short.
GOLD to zero vs BITCOIN
What an awesome chart (For Bitcoin maxi's that is) here this shows Gold in relation to Bitcoin....
Here we can see the halvening (blue vertical lines) and the decline in gold value respective to Bitcoin, we can see an 80%+ decline each cycle.
The next halvening date is April 2024, (Red vertical line)
After the move has moved to a new low, we can see that a retracment has come in to the upside each cycle into and around the golden pocket (61.8% - 80%) .
This area has already been tagged...
another pattern is the influx of Volume regarding the start of 2023, dwarfing any other previous volume...
I shall continue to update this thread moving forwards.
XAUUSD Gold price movements tend to decreaseGold edged lower to $2,330 per ounce on Wednesday, as the US dollar stabilized ahead of May’s US jobs report expected later this week. The US nonfarm payrolls will be closely watched as investors seek cues on the potential timing of the Fed rate-cut
🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354
🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301
Breakout & retest:
📉Breaking and closing on: 2338 - 2354 - 2360
📈 Break and close below: 2322 - 2315 - 2306 -2300
🔼Support: 2322 - 2315 - 2305
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2348 - 2354 - 2360 - 2374
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold is in a downtrend, entry sell todayGold prices in the international market increased sharply amid weak US economic data. Specifically, the purchasing managers index (PMI) in the manufacturing sector decreased from 49.2 points to 48.7 points. This has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by the end of 2024.
In response to the above information, financial investors sold off USD, causing the currency to fall to its lowest level in the past 3 weeks. USD Index dropped to 104 points. Gold price today has momentum to go up.
On the other hand, US bond yields fell to 4.4%, meaning the value of bonds went down. Accordingly, investors sell bonds and shift capital to precious metals. Today's world gold price increases by tens of USD/ounce is inevitable.
Sideway gold, selling strategy todayWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.5 USD to 2,350.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2.3716 USD/ounce, up 25.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month. Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert. Disappointing economic data that raised the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year pushed the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields fell. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
According to High Ridge Futures Chief Investment and Alternative Trading Officer David Meger, the positive trend in gold comes from strong expectations that interest rates will be cut at some point later this year.
Accordingly, the latest economic data makes investors believe that interest rate cuts will soon be implemented. Late last week, data released showed US inflation stabilizing in April. This has increased bets on an interest rate cut in September. Traders are currently pricing in around 56%. The possibility of cutting interest rates in September, increased sharply compared to before the report.
Today's trading trend, entry buyLast week, world gold prices fell due to continued pressure from strong economic data and "tough" stances from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials.
According to experts, this week's gold price will have many fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information such as the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, the number of applications for unemployment benefits and May non-farm payrolls. Besides, the Central Banks' decision on interest rates this week will likely cause the market to recalculate the timing of the FED's interest rate easing.
Marc Chandler, CEO at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Canada are likely to cut interest rates. "Gold prices seem ready to go higher and the move above 2,372 USD/ounce is an indicator of precious metal prices conquering the 2,400 USD mark again," said Mr. Marc Chandler.
Sean Lusk, co-head of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that short-term interest rates may have peaked, putting pressure on the USD and possibly causing gold prices to rise again.
According to Kitco News, this week, the majority of experts and retail investors expressed optimism about the short-term prospects of precious metals, with only a few of them keeping a neutral or bearish stance.
Specifically, 6 Wall Street experts (equivalent to 60%) think that gold prices will increase higher this week. 2 analysts (20%,) predict the price will decrease and the remaining 2 investors think the precious metal will move sideways in the short term.
Strategy at the beginning of the week, gold increased slightlyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,329 USD/ounce.
World gold prices this week are forecast to have a lot of fluctuations when the market receives a lot of important information, including the purchasing management index report in the manufacturing and service sectors, and the number of applications reported. unemployment benefits and non-farm payrolls report for May. In addition, investors will also closely monitor developments and interest rate decisions of the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank. Central banks' decisions this week may cause the market to recalculate the timing and scale of interest rate easing by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Recently, in the context of economic instability, persistent inflation combined with geopolitical tensions and rising interest rates, gold prices have had a notable surge. At the end of May, this precious metal broke the record level reached in mid-April exceeding the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce. However, the price of this precious metal has turned down due to strong economic data combined with "hawkish" statements from Fed officials.
A recent article on CBSnews gave reasons why investors should buy gold when prices fall. According to the article, June is the right time to buy gold. Accordingly, after conquering the all-time high of 2,439.9 USD/ounce, gold has dropped more than 100 USD. The sharp decline in prices provides favorable opportunities for those who want to buy gold at a relatively lower price. Besides, short-term fluctuations in gold are difficult to predict. Therefore, it is unlikely that current price levels will last as gold prices could recover or even surpass previous record highs within days or weeks. Therefore, the advice is that investors should not miss the opportunity to buy gold at lower prices.
GOLD FORECASTThe current analysis indicates a Bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , should continue on the secondary channel till 2369, and after that stabilizing above 2369 will continue the bullish trend till 2397. otherwise stabilizing below 2369 will try to reach 2334 and 2306.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 2369, 2397, 2412
Bearish Lines: 2334, 2306, 2281
Gold price continues to decrease, strategy to sell todayWorld gold prices remained stable this morning as traders focused on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report, the FED's preferred inflation measure, expected to be released this evening. can provide a more specific view on the timing and extent of interest rate cuts by the FED this year.
According to financial and securities market analysis site MarketWatch, inflation will increase by 2.7% over the same period last year. If this forecast is correct, it means that April inflation remained unchanged compared to March, that is, this inflation level is still much higher than the FED's 2% target.
A weaker dollar, lower yields and the recent stock market sell-off have provided bullish momentum for gold, said Kitco senior analyst Jim Wyckoff.
Regarding the outlook for precious metal prices, experts say that, along with central banks continuously adding gold to their reserves, demand from Chinese investors will continue to increase in the near future. coming will bring solid support for gold.
Today's trading strategy, sell XAUUSDWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,342.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,364.5 USD/ounce, up 27.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices reversed to increase after the latest published data showed that economic growth in the US has slowed down from the beginning of the year until now. According to preliminary data on first quarter GDP released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on May 30 (US time), the US economy achieved growth of 1.3% in the first 3 months of the year, lower than the previous quarter. The previous forecast was 1.6% and down from 3.4% reported in the fourth quarter of 2023. Both the dollar and Treasury yields fell on expectations the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year increased after the report.
ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that recently, traders' views have increasingly favored the scenario that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer, increasing the opportunity cost of holdings of the yellow metal and creating strong price resistance.
However, this expert said that gold has benefited from strong safe-haven demand due to fears of geopolitical instability and economic instability, as well as large state purchases. He hopes that these factors will likely continue in the near future.
Continuing downtrend, entry sell todayAnalysts say world gold prices dropped after an official of the US Federal Reserve (FED) commented on monetary policy. This person believes that high US interest rates will be kept stable, or even increased if necessary.
Immediately, the currency market reacted. The USD increased in price compared to many other strong currencies, putting pressure on gold prices today.
In particular, US bond interest rates suddenly increased to 4.6%. That means the value of bonds declines. This has motivated investors to increase their bond purchasing power to earn profits. As a result, very little money flows into precious metals. A sharp decline in world gold prices is inevitable.
Trading strategy today, continue to sell lightly and wait to buyWorld gold prices turned down sharply with spot gold down 24 USD to 2,336.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,336.9 USD/ounce, down 25.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The recovery of the USD, rising bond yields and "hawkish" comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have weighed on sentiment in the gold market, while investors wait. Look forward to the key inflation report later this week for more insight into the Fed's policy path.
A 0.4% rise in the dollar made gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies, while US 10-year Treasury yields rose to a nearly one-month high, increasing opportunity costs. hold gold. This week, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari emphasized that the US Central Bank should wait for evidence that inflation is decreasing before cutting interest rates.
Although gold is under a lot of pressure due to interest rate expectations, commodity analysts at UBS say that the precious metal's upward momentum is far from over with forecasts of prices rising to $2,500/ounce. in September and reach 2,600 USD/ounce by the end of this year. Previously, this Swiss bank forecast levels of 2,400 USD and 2,500 USD/ounce. USB also forecasts that gold price will increase to 2,700 USD/ounce by June 2025.