XAU/USD Gold has potential..but could go wrongThis is a long analysis I made both for myself and to share it with you,
I have to say that, I don't usually trade Gold.
And I won't be able to comment on the current state of world and news.
So this analysis will be focusing only on the charts,
please consider the market data and news before taking any position.
I summarized everything at the end of the post...
Looking at the really long term picture of Gold, we can see that Gold tried to break higher several times before.
This time however, as shown, it has a sweet bounce above the trend. It managed to show much more bullish behaviour than before.
In my view, this can go both ways;
it can reach new highs which I expect and the first profit target would be 2400$
or second possibility It gets rejected really quick and falls down to levels such as 1850$
Market news and short-term movements will decide..
We can see that the price got rejected as it should at around 2200$
I will investigate Gold in separate parts, each time narrowing the timeframe.
on this frame, which is again a wide look to see the long term potential.
I see a strong bullish behavior rising within the pink trend.
this should be able to break through the 2200$ mentioned on the previous chart snapshot.
Unless a downtrend, that is much larger than the blue one, I expect the Gold to move within the trend, potentially reaching the 2400$ target.
Since we confirmed the long term behavior, now lets examine the short term behaviour,
because a drop to 1850$ would still make the long term viable but significantly extend the trade duration making it unfavorable
This time I will be looking within the pink trend in detail...
we are down to the last 3 years,
we can identify the bullish turn from this frame too.
the blue downtrend within the previously mentioned pink uptrend is broken.
If the price keeps rising above 2200$,
The more steep purple trend should be able to push the price a bit beyond the white trend to the 2250$ point.
After that, I expect the price to move with the strong bullish behaviour...
around 2250$ the price will stick above the upperband of the white trend and after some short consolidation, potentially create a much steeper version of the white trend making the old one insignificant and rise rapidly to 2400$.
Or If the price can't go pass 2200$ and starts falling,
Will probably retest the 2080$ and maybe even fall further...
a more detailed analysis will be necessary in that case, since the trade length will significantly increase..
Now I will be looking if the price will pass 2200$ and how am I going to keep track of it.
We are down to a month long frame,
the pink and purple lines are the trends more focused and carried from the previous frame to fit the short term approach, I use them as guides..
At 2200$ the really steep uptrend ended,
bearish movement started shown with the yellow trend,
If the down trend is broken and again another bullish move starts.
I expect another trend to be formed, in place of the older steep white trend,
marked with bold white stripes.
the price should be staying close to 2180$-2190$ marks and we will see if it can get past 2200$
If it does, the price should continue rising as I mentioned on the previous frame.
If bearish movement continues and yellow trend can't be broken yet,
price should fall back to around 2145$-2150$.
And further failure to break above will result in prices such as 2080$
but I will be investigating the short term again if that happens.
In summary,
Long term approach Bullish no matter what.
Price Target 2400$ for now...
but for a more detailed entry idea
the timing of the trade however will change depending on two conditions;
1- If it can break above 2200$ I expect to reach price target in 2-3 months.
2- If it falls below 2150$ the trade will be postponed until a more solid level is reached possibly around 2080$
In either case, market news will play a big part on this...
And I would appreciate any different ideas on the comments
I will be updating this from time to time.
Goldtrend
GOLD-Strong upward trend
The United States expects Iran to launch an attack on Israel, but it will not be large enough to involve Washington in a war, a U.S. official said yesterday. As soon as this news came out, it once again had a great impact on the current financial market. Gold once again had room to surge and hit a new high. Although the US dollar also rose, it could not affect the current absolute strength of gold. In the case of extremely unstable geopolitical situation, gold has a dominant position as a safe haven. Today we will pay attention to the monthly rate of the US import price index in March and the initial value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in April, as well as the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and news related to the geopolitical situation.
After yesterday's 4H level top divergence correction was forcibly interrupted, if the 4H MACD fast and slow line crosses again, a second divergence will be formed, and the magnitude of subsequent adjustments will increase.
Although gold has been oscillating up and down recently, it is still oscillating under an upward trend and the trend is strong. Friday trading also needs to follow the trend.
Therefore, no matter how it adjusts or falls in the near future, as long as it does not fall, it is an opportunity to go long. For example, the previous 2302, yesterday's 2325. For today's market, the technical point is also very obvious. The unilateral moving average support of the H4 cycle is at 2372, and the previous double top turned into double support point price at 2365.
There has been a lot of volatility recently, so you still need to pay attention to your position. If you choose to sell, be sure to trade with a small position.
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XAUUSD: 11/4 Today’s Analysis and Strategy, Gold FallGold market analysis:
Daily resistance is 2366, support below is 2300-2280
Four hours 2344-37, support below 2300
Gold operation advice: Judging from the current trend, the lower support today will focus on 2320. After falling below, look towards the 2300 area. The upper pressure is 2350 and the 2358-60 area. Continue to rely on this range for sales during the day.
SELL:near 2344
SELL:near 2320
BUY:near 2300
I am a gold buyer. follow me!
Gold is bought at 2332-2336.
The short-term target is 2348-2355. If this position breaks through and stabilizes, move the target upward to 2365-2380 until above 2400.
The short-term lower support position is 2319. If it falls below. Look at the strong support of 2300.
Follow the trend. and boosted by news. Weak US dollar trend. Risk aversion is heating up, and all aspects of it are affecting it, making it the best time to buy gold. It’s good for buying gold.
For traders who don’t know how to operate, traders who continue to operate in the opposite direction, and traders whose accounts have suffered huge losses, remember to leave me a message to receive detailed trading signals.
GOLD XAUUSD Bullish Heist plan to make 💰🤑 moneyDear Gold Robbers,
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GOLD XAUUSD Bullish Robbery OngoingDear Gold Robbers,
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🔥GOLD STARTS CORRECTION✅✅Gold followed the pattern of big opening and closing after the U.S. market on Wednesday. After the CIP data was released, gold fell rapidly, hitting the 2319 line as low as possible. Then the market began to shift from extremely strong to weak.
Judging from the trend of the 4-hour chart, this wave of adjustment of various indicators has just begun, so there is a high probability that yesterday's pullback has not been in place. If today's news is confirmed to be negative, the decline in segment C will begin. In terms of indicators, from the perspective of macd, the kinetic energy column at the daily level has begun to shrink, and the fast and slow lines are preparing to form a dead cross, while the 1-hour chart shows that it is already below the 0 axis, and is expected to form a further dead cross. Once the current gold breaks a new low, it will test the support of the 2300 integer mark in the future, and even a deep drop to 2270 is possible.
The price of gold is currently showing a volatile downward trend. With the formation of the dead cross of the moving average, the momentum of the bulls has been significantly weakened. The target of the shorts today will be below 2319. The only thing to pay attention to is the support of the 2320 area below. If the price can successfully break through this level, the short sellers will accelerate their downward trend!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longs on callbacks. The top short-term focus will be on the 2342-2346 resistance range, and the bottom short-term focus will be on the 2300-2305 support range.
Already made a profit of 12K, insist on shorting goldToday’s gold trading conditions are as follows:
1. Xauusd:@2340-2342 Sell, TP:2328 Profit: + $3708
2. Xauusd:@2341-2345 Sell, TP:2336 Profit: + $8609
In gold trading today, I repeatedly relied on the 2340-2345 resistance area to short gold, and hit my expected target positions of 2328 and 2336 respectively.So far today, I have made a profit of more than FWB:12K in short transactions, and successfully won 9 consecutive victories.
Judging from the current structure of gold, the recent lows of gold have been moving downwards, and the short-term rebound has been blocked. Gold has been under heavy selling pressure near the upper trend line. Even with the support of news in the short-term, it is difficult to finally reach the previous wave high point of 2347. . Compared with the previous rebound amplitude and intensity, it will obviously be much weaker now.
Therefore, even if gold is currently testing the 2350 mark again in the short term, if gold does not retrace to test support to confirm that gold continues its upward trend, then gold may fall back again after touching the 2350-2355 area. Therefore, in gold trading, you can try to short gold near the 2350 position in small batches, TP: 2342-2340.
I will share detailed trading ideas and trading signals every day to help everyone grasp the rhythm of market trading. If you are currently losing money, I am confident that I can help you turn losses into profits in a short period of time; if you are currently making profits, I am more capable of helping you increase profits. If you want to seize more trading opportunities and profits, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and trading strategies in the first time.
The early rebound continues to be bearish!Gold's rebound in the U.S. market yesterday seemed a bit strong, but soon began to weaken and come under pressure. Gold was directly short at 2179, but gold still fell. It harvested a wave first, and continued to be short after today's rebound.
Gold's 1-hour moving average has also entered a dead cross short position, and after gold's 1-hour inverse V reversal, gold rebounded very weakly. When it rebounded, it came down. There are many resistances above. Yesterday, the US market only rebounded to around 2181, and it rebounded to 2181 in early trading. Continue to go short on the next rallies, and you can go short first on the rebound near 2178. After rising from highs and falling back, gold will fluctuate first if it does not fall directly. It is difficult to rise directly for the time being.
The market is changing rapidly, and the market conditions are all current. Trade your plan and plan your transaction! Since gold rebounded weakly and was suppressed by short sellers after rising high, we will continue to be bearish. Now it is just a relay of the decline. Gold continues to be weak and will usher in greater space.
GOLD-range trading
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Wednesday that the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% month-on-month in March, the same as February's increase. Gasoline prices rose 1.7% in March after rising 3.8% in February. Housing costs, including rent, rose 0.4%, the same increase as February. If Fed officials were leaning toward a rate cut at the start of the year given last year's rapid decline in inflation, the minutes showed the weight of the evidence may be shifting. Current market forecasts indicate that the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 96.8%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in June has risen to 81.1%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in July has risen to 55.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates in September has also increased. Only 68.6%. Today, Thursday, pay attention to the changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States and the performance of PPI data in March, pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials, and pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
Yesterday I emphasized that this CPI data is expected to be positive for the US dollar and negative for gold, so you will make profits by following the trend. However, gold is still an upward trend under risk aversion, with a maximum of 2352, and is currently fluctuating repeatedly.
We need to pay attention to this trend. I have also reminded that gold has entered the overbought risk zone before, but we cannot blindly guess the top. Without breaking through 2365, we will temporarily use 2365 as the resistance point. From a technical point of view, yesterday the daily gold line finally It ended gold’s continuous upward trend, but it has not yet fallen below the 10-day line and is still in an upward trend.
Gold is still on an upward trend for the time being, but today gold may fluctuate in a range. The 4H cycle is an obvious closing performance. 2318 is a double bottom and an important support point for the Bollinger Band.
The large range of gold today is 2318-2365, and the small range is 2318-2352. You can try to trade within the above range, set the SL, and control the position, you can increase your probability of profit.
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XAUUSD: Wait for gold to rebound and continue sellingThese past few days, I've been consistently pointing out that gold has reached its peak, and today is no exception. I'm preparing to sell again at the rebound high around 2342-2340.
From a technical perspective, the current hourly moving average for gold has started to turn, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross pattern. Additionally, it has already broken below the support of the dual moving averages and is being suppressed by a downward trendline. The fact that it rebounded this morning to 2346 and then fell under pressure again indicates a high likelihood of continued oscillation and decline. So, we shouldn't rush; instead, we should patiently wait for the rebound to around 2340 before selling again.
After each market movement, it's a baptism for those involved. Some are overjoyed, while others are once again taught a lesson by the market. Market trends change in an instant; sometimes, within a second, the trend can shift. That's why it's crucial not to be stubborn. If you're wrong, don't stick to it stubbornly. As the saying goes, "If you leave with a green mountain, you won't worry about firewood."
Lately, gold has been oscillating within a large range without a clear one-sided trend. In the past few days, gold has been fluctuating back and forth. Since it can't break new highs, it's likely forming a topping pattern at high levels. Additionally, short-term indicators are starting to turn bearish. After the market's turbulence settles, a major trend will emerge. Once the major trend is established, we'll continue to thrive with the prevailing trend.
2340 short gold fell as expected, continue to shortDear friends, this morning we shorted gold at 2340, and successfully touched TP: 2328, thereby winning our first win today and making a huge profit!
According to the current trend of gold, as gold fell below the rising trend line multiple times yesterday, the momentum of gold bulls gradually declined, and gold currently maintains a volatile downward trend in the short term. On a technical level, candle lines continue to test lows and are suppressed by short-term moving averages. Even after touching support, the rebound strength is much weaker than before, so in the short term, relatively speaking, I still focus on shorting gold on highs. .
On the whole, gold has been oscillating back and forth in a large range recently, with no real unilateral trend. So even if I focus on shorting gold on rallies in gold trading, we must also pay attention to the trading rhythm, once the trading rhythm cannot be accurately grasped, it is easy to suffer losses in long and short transactions. At present, we focus on the resistance area of 2340-2345 at the top and the support area at 2320-2315 at the bottom.
I will share detailed trading ideas and trading signals every day to help everyone grasp the rhythm of market trading. If you are currently losing money, I am confident that I can help you turn losses into profits in a short period of time; if you are currently making profits, I am more capable of helping you increase profits. If you want to seize more trading opportunities and profits, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and trading strategies in the first time.
Gold rally remains bearish unchanged
The price of gold tonight is also in line with the expected trend. Affected by the initial jobless claims and PPI data in the US market, the data is a small profit. At the same time, the gold price has risen in the short term in the early US market, but combined with technical Based on the overall analysis, due to the heavy selling pressure near the upper trend line, the short-term still cannot hold on to the high point of the previous wave of 2347. At the same time, when the US market starts to rise, we also execute the short selling plan at the 2342 line, and the short orders are also entered. With the cooperation of the market, the short-term rapid dip reached 2334 and the profit was taken at US$8 to exit! Gold is still showing a volatile downward trend recently, and it rebounded again in the evening and continues to be short!
specific strategies
Gold is short at 2348, stop loss is 2356, target is 2330
Gold has reached a short-term peak, how to trade?
Gold has fluctuated at $20 for three consecutive times and several roller coaster fluctuations. This kind of trend is really difficult to grasp. It is most taboo to chase the rise and fall. However, the overall K-line has peaked and once rebounded to around 2351, but it is still It fell below the support level and reached around 2330. The K-line has come to an end and a fall is inevitable.
The golden four-hour line shows a head-and-shoulders top pattern, and the continuous large negative line entities cover the positive line. The current strength has been reversed downwards.
Trading strategy: short gold 2342, stop loss 2350, target 2300