XAUUSD: 20/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2450-2500, support below is 2413-2371
Four-hour resistance is 2450, support below is 2413
Gold operation suggestions:
The strong dividing line for short-term bulls has moved to the 2400 integer mark, and the daily level has stabilized above this position and continues to maintain the trend of low and long bullish rhythm.
Judging from the daily gold trend, the lower support for gold is focused on 2413-2400-2370, and the upper focus is on 2445-2450 for suppression. The bull situation is still strong, and market risk aversion continues to heat up, so we can do long at low levels in operation, and the risk of trading with the trend is low. .
BUY:2415 near SL:2411
BUY:2400 near SL:2397
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Goldtrend
Gold Continues Higher . . . Look for Small PullbackWhere are we today? We are in a rising wedge . . . and there is a risk that gold eventually breaks this primary trend levels . . . but, if past is prologue, then we should see a 15 minute retracement into our next buy at the 4 hour HWB long setup. . . around 2391-2393.6 area.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold prices simultaneously increased sharply💎XAUUSD Analysis💎
🔸Yesterday`s gold charge passed the antique top of 2430 and right away after that withinside the afternoon consultation, there has been a correction. However, withinside the nighttime consultation, the marketplace reacted and the gold charge multiplied again, presently positioned withinside the top place across the 2430 threshold. Observing at the H1 frame, it is able to be visible that withinside the brief term, the gold charge suggests symptoms and symptoms of peaking. New round this charge range. Therefore, in present day consultation, gold charge may also modify barely to retest the 2410 place. In this charge place, gold charge may hold a positive upward pressure. Therefore, it's miles probably that there could be a recuperation response from this assist place. You can bear in mind promoting gold in present day consultation and ready to shop for round 2410.
⚜️BUY LIMIT XAUUSD ⚜️
👉ENTRY 2410
🔺SL 2400
❇️TP1 2417
❇️TP2 2423
❇️TP3 2430
SELL LIMIT 2450-2455
TP 2430-2425
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.
Golden Opportunity: Fed Rate-Cut Bets Drive Gold Near Record HigGold prices are hovering near all-time highs, fueled by a growing belief among investors that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. This optimism comes despite mixed economic signals from the US, with concerns about inflation still lingering.
Record-Breaking Rally
Gold recently reached a fresh intraday record, surpassing the previous high set in April 2024. This surge is attributed to a significant increase in investor demand for the precious metal. The allure of gold stems from its traditional role as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty. In periods of potential inflation or economic slowdown, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against decreasing purchasing power of traditional currencies.
Fed Rate Cuts: A Catalyst for Gold
The primary driver for the recent gold price increase is the growing anticipation of a policy shift by the Federal Reserve. The Fed has been raising interest rates throughout 2024 to combat inflation. However, recent economic data has shown signs of a potential slowdown. This has led some investors to believe that the Fed may soon pivot and start lowering interest rates.
Lower Rates, Higher Gold Prices
Interest rates and gold prices typically have an inverse relationship. When interest rates rise, the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold increases, making them less attractive to investors. Conversely, when interest rates fall, gold becomes a more appealing investment option. This dynamic is playing out in the current market, with the prospect of lower interest rates driving investors towards gold.
Beyond Rate Cuts: Supporting Factors
While the Fed's monetary policy is the primary driver, other factors are also contributing to gold's strength. Geopolitical tensions across the globe continue to serve as a source of unease for investors, further bolstering the demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, robust demand for physical gold from major consumers like China and India is providing additional support to prices.
Mixed Signals from the US Economy
The US economic picture remains somewhat unclear. While recent data suggests a potential slowdown, inflation concerns haven't entirely abated. The Fed has indicated its commitment to bringing inflation under control, leaving investors to navigate a complex economic environment.
Gold's Long-Term Prospects
The future trajectory of gold prices hinges heavily on the decisions of the Federal Reserve. If the Fed does indeed pivot towards rate cuts, gold prices could continue their upward climb. However, if inflation remains stubbornly high, the Fed may need to maintain its hawkish stance, potentially putting downward pressure on gold.
Investor Considerations
The current market situation presents both opportunities and challenges for investors. The potential for a Fed policy shift makes gold an attractive proposition. However, the uncertainty surrounding the US economy and future inflation levels necessitates careful consideration before investing.
Diversification is Key
Gold can be a valuable addition to a diversified investment portfolio. However, it's crucial not to overexpose oneself to a single asset class. Investors should consider their risk tolerance and overall investment goals when deciding whether to invest in gold.
Conclusion
Gold's recent surge highlights its enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset. With the Fed's policy decisions looming large, gold prices are likely to remain in focus in the coming months. Whether it continues its record-breaking rally or experiences a correction depends heavily on the trajectory of the US economy and the Federal Reserve's response.
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GOLD FORECAST
The current analysis indicates a bullish trend for OANDA:XAUUSD , provided it stays above the pivot line at 2438. Currently, the price seems poised to consolidate between 2450 and 2430 before any breakout occurs. The prevailing bullish pressure suggests that if trading remains above 2438, the trend will continue upwards.
If the price dips below 2438, there are two scenarios to consider:
A retest to 2430 followed by a continuation of the bullish trend.
A deeper retest to 2410 before resuming the bullish trend, as illustrated on the chart.
The price is expected to rise to 2463, and stabilizing above 2463 could lead to a further increase to 2475.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 2463, 2475
Pivot Line: 2438
Bearish Line: 2430, 2410, 2396
GOLD - where is immediate support? Hold or not??#GOLD... Perfect move as expected.
Now market have 2325 to 28 as immediate supporting area guys.
Keep close that region and if market hold that area then again upside firether move expected.
Keep in mind guys that that will be your cutt n reverse area on confirmation ..
Good luck
Trade wisely
Gold is firmly at a high level, and the international situation
The recent trend can be said to be a small unilateral rise. After this week's daily trend correction, it will quickly make up for it the next day. The energy of the bulls is very strong, and its trend is also very rhythmic! Also on Friday, the price of gold rose close to $50, which also proves the strength of the bulls from another perspective!
The gold price is currently close to the previous historical high of 2431, and the one-hour trend does not show any sign of a sharp decline. This means that gold will once again hit the 2431 mark. Regarding the current trend, what we need to do next Monday is , find a good point in advance to ambush long orders, waiting for gold to violently rise again!
From a technical perspective, the current daily level is close to the high of 2431. If it breaks through successfully, five daily waves will be formed, the space above will be opened, and the magnitude of the increase will be equivalent to that of three waves! The conclusion drawn by the wave theory will be an increase of nearly 300 US dollars! That’s another big piece of meat for the market! Whoever is more organized will get the meat! Whoever is braver will get more meat! Those who are timid and cowardly will only be reduced to so-called stepping stones!
For next week's layout, we mainly refer to the previous peak conversion level of 2397, and retreat to the 2397-2340 area to boldly go long. If the gold price returns to the moving average support near 2389, we can still go long.
specific strategies
Gold will be over 2397 next Monday, stop loss 2387, target 2431
If you like my analysis, please leave a comment below and I wish you all a happy weekend
GOLD - What is the current trend for gold ?World gold rate multiplied through 26 USD, placing a brand new file at 2,437 USD/ounce, at one factor accomplishing the very best degree of 2,439 USD/ounce. The purpose why gold fees multiplied past 2,four hundred USD/ounce become the declaration through US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and monetary statistics confirming that hobby prices will now no longer boom anymore and the Fed might also additionally will quickly loosen financial coverage this year. Gold`s latest healing has additionally been pushed through robust call for from significant banks. According to latest reports, now no longer simplest China and Türkiye however additionally Middle Eastern nations are growing gold purchases.
This week, the marketplace awaits critical statistics together with US present domestic sales, Open Market Committee (FOMC) mins from the April and May financial coverage meeting; S&P Flash production and offerings PMI; weekly unemployment claims; US new domestic sales; long lasting items orders.
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world.
Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce.
And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways.
Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined.
According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
GOLD - Long trade idea ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance and then rejects from trendline.
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The four major voting committees hawk gold under pressure, but t
This week, as signs of stabilizing U.S. inflation increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates as early as September, spot gold was boosted and took the opportunity to rise. On Thursday, it once approached the $2,400 mark, and then began to fall back under pressure of $2,397.
The European market continued to fall, and the US market in the evening did not save the downward trend of spot gold despite a series of bullish data such as initial jobless claims.
As the four major voting committees of the Federal Reserve issued hawkish statements one after another and expectations of interest rate cuts weakened, the market price once fell to the $2,371 line, and finally closed at $2,376. After two positive days on the daily line, it turned negative, and the market price hovered at the $2,378 line.
On Thursday, U.S. imported goods prices rose for a fourth consecutive month in April and the number of initial jobless claims fell last week. The number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States in the week to May 11 was 222,000, higher than the 220,000 expected, but lower than the previous figure of 231,000. In the case of poor initial jobless claims, it failed to lead gold higher.
The Fed's "third leader" Williams recently stated that he does not see the need to tighten policy at present and is happy to see inflation slow down, but it is not enough to prompt a recent interest rate cut; Atlanta Fed President Bostic believes that inflation made progress in April. But no trend has been formed. It may be appropriate to cut interest rates before the end of the year; Richmond Fed President Barkin and Cleveland Fed President Mester both believe that interest rates need to be kept high for a longer period of time to achieve the inflation target. Continuous hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve officials have dealt a blow to the bulls who have just regained confidence in cutting interest rates. Spot gold has also come out of its decline. The Federal Reserve's monetary policy is still the key factor that dominates the trend of gold.
Israel's defense minister says more troops will join ground operations in Rafah, southern Gaza. The leader of the Yemeni Houthi armed forces also responded: Any ship heading to an Israeli port will become a target within our strike range.
The rise initiated in the middle of this week was due to the rising expectations of interest rate cuts, while yesterday's decline was subject to hawkish remarks and the weakening of interest rate cut expectations. It is not difficult to find that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is still the decisive factor affecting the trend of gold prices.
In the short term, after falling back from the pressured position of $2,397, the four-hour pattern is still a big negative, and there is no continuous big negative. The single negative pattern is not a weakness, and this drop is a callback.
Last week, gold completed a short-term retracement correction. The downtrend cycle ended and began to rise. The entire rise was presented as a step-by-step retracement. The rise was accompanied by a retracement, which has become a norm.
Therefore, this retracement will not change the overall upward rhythm, and low and long positions are still our main layout direction. This trading day will focus on the support position of 2371, and start around this line. If there is no second fall below 2371, consider buying more in the afternoon.
International golden thinking layout, for reference only:
Pay attention to the 2371 support, hold this support, consider opening a long position in the afternoon, and look at the 2386, 2392, and 2398 positions.
Comprehensive analysis of gold prices. A must read!
In fact, everyone should have noticed that the market this week is too boring.
Gold currently continues to fluctuate in the range of 2320-2307. This gives many people who trade gold a headache. So what will be the short-term trend of gold? This is a point of concern for many gold traders.
Combined with the picture above, the market is currently in the stage of inverted triangle consolidation. Gold has continued to fluctuate for three consecutive days, mainly because the market is about to face the choice of another sharp rise or sharp decline. The bulls currently lack the emotional support brought by geopolitical influence, but the bears also There is a lack of real pressure to suppress gold prices. Many people should have seen that gold and the US dollar are currently rising and falling at the same time.
Then Thursday and Friday may be the turning point for gold this time. The current pressure at the top is around 2321. If this position stabilizes, the target at the top can be modified to the range of 2330-2346, and the integer mark at the bottom is 2300. If it falls below, the space below will be opened and the target can modify the position of 2286-2291. This is the result of a four-hour comprehensive analysis. At present, both bulls and bears need a fuse. To stimulate a sharp rise or fall in the market, traders need to pay attention.
MCX:GOLD1! TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD
The current trading is mainly selling around 2320 and buying around 2305. The stop loss range for high selling and low buying is about 3-4 US dollars. The reason for such a stop loss is to prevent the market from rising sharply. Or the decline will bring a devastating blow to the account. The target can be 6-10 US dollars.
After the market has chosen a direction. We are rearranging new short, medium and long-term trading opportunities. Of course, this point will come soon. Personally, I prefer to buy at low prices. The above are the opinions shared today. Friends who like it can pay attention. Never miss a good market analysis.
Buy at the current gold price. Waiting for the rise MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD
2313-2315 buy gold. Combined with MA5 cross support. The MA support of the large cycle below. as an upward trend driver. Target 2321-2328
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Ultra-short-term gold buy. The increase is about 6-10 US dollars
Friends who like to trade gold can add long orders for gold. There is room for an increase of about 6-10 US dollars.
The MA 30-minute chart shows that gold is about to form an inverted triangle. It is a good choice to rely on the support below to go long in the short term.
In the past, you always failed when trading alone.
But everything will change after you follow me.
Because we will be the ultimate winner!
Don’t chase long gold too muchGold rose strongly today, reaching its highest level near 2419. It has now fallen back and is trading near 2406. I have been emphasizing since yesterday to close all short positions in the 2380-2375 area and commit to long gold. After going long gold yesterday, we continued to go long gold near the 2382 position today and successfully hit TP: 2390. .Today continues to end in profit in trading.
At present, gold has risen strongly to near the 2419 position. The bullish sentiment in the market is high and the market following sentiment is prevalent. Therefore, I do not recommend shorting gold. After all, gold may continue to rise due to the market's pursuit; although the trend of gold is still very strong, but since today is Friday, I don’t recommend going long on gold directly at the moment, because gold immediately fell back after rising high many times, forming multiple upper shadow lines, and faced the resistance of the previous sub-high 2418-2420 area.
Therefore, it is not recommended to directly pursue long gold before gold falls back to prevent short-term gold decline caused by profit realization.So if your trading style is prudent, I suggest you wait and see first and don’t rush to participate in the transaction; if you have an aggressive trading style, for now, I don’t recommend chasing long gold directly.On the contrary, you can consider trying to short gold in the 2414-2416 area to gain short-term short profits first, and wait for gold to fall back before going long gold!
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