GOLD LIKELY TO PULLBACK BELOW 2338 BEFORE ANOTHER TEST OF R2!Gold got rejected at R2 level projected and already formed double top which is likely to drive the metal down. A failure of support at S1 to hold gold's price will see metal price dropping below 2338 to test S2.
Having said that, gold may encounter early support at 2352; and price is rejected at this level, we might see gold again testing R2.
N.B!
- XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gold
#xauusd
Goldtrend
GOLD WEEKLY RETRACEMENTAFter the Price reach 2430 price of GOLD retrace on the 2nd weekly candle with a 50% retracements.
This idea base on the continue move upside of TVC:GOLD it might clear the previous high!
I will Update once price Hit the target 1. This is only 1H timeframe. THis idea is base on my understanding only, if this works for you, then trade it or leave it be.
This is not a financial advice either. non of this idea is a signal prove on Buying .
Taking the trades is base on your own understanding the market dynamics. were not all the same.
Take this a guide on your trading ideas too.
Follow for more.
Good COntent ahead. I mainly focused on this Pair.
#xauusd TVC:GOLD
Gold - Trading the breakout!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Just three months ago Gold broke out of a very long term ascending triangle formation - similar to the triangle formation which we saw back in 2019. So far Gold is just creating the expected continuation higher and you can definitely close out partials at the current $2350 level. If you are not in a trade yet, it would be best to wait for a retest of the breakout level and bullish confirmation.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves SingGold Eyes Renewed Rally as Central Bank Doves Sing, But Can It Break Through? (XAU/USD Forecast)
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is poised for a potential return to its upward climb after a brief consolidation period. This renewed bullish sentiment comes on the back of dovish signals from central banks and a key resistance level waiting to be breached.
Central Banks Singing a Softer Tune
The Bank of England (BoE) recently surprised markets by holding interest rates steady at 0.75%. This decision, coupled with a downward revision of inflation forecasts, suggests a more cautious approach from the central bank. The underlying message: interest rate hikes, which typically put downward pressure on gold prices, might be delayed.
Across the pond, the Federal Reserve remains the center of attention this week. With key Fed speakers scheduled for Friday, investors are eagerly awaiting any clues regarding the future of monetary policy in the United States. A dovish tone from the Fed, hinting at a slower pace of interest rate hikes, could further bolster gold prices.
Why is This Good News for Gold?
Gold is often seen as an inflation hedge. When inflation rises, the value of traditional currencies like the US dollar erodes. As a result, investors turn to gold as a store of value, seeking to preserve their purchasing power. Additionally, higher interest rates typically translate into a stronger US dollar, making gold less attractive as an investment.
Therefore, a scenario where central banks adopt a more cautious approach towards tightening monetary policy translates into two potential benefits for gold:
• Lower inflation expectations: If inflation forecasts are revised downwards, the pressure on gold as an inflation hedge might lessen. However, gold's appeal as a store of value could still persist due to ongoing geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainties.
• Slower interest rate hikes: A dovish Fed with a slower pace of rate hikes could weaken the US dollar, making gold a more attractive investment proposition.
The $2,340 Hurdle: Can Gold Break Through?
Despite the positive tailwinds from central banks, XAU/USD currently faces a critical resistance level at around $2,340. A decisive break above this level could signal a renewed uptrend for gold. Conversely, a failure to breach this resistance could lead to a period of consolidation or even a potential pullback.
Technical Indicators Offer Mixed Signals
Technical indicators on the daily chart paint a somewhat mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits around 57, indicating neither overbought nor oversold territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also suggests a neutral outlook. However, a recent break above the 50-day SMA could be interpreted as a bullish sign.
Looking Ahead: What Could Drive the Gold Price?
Several factors beyond central bank decisions could influence the gold price in the coming weeks:
• Geopolitical Tensions: Heightened geopolitical tensions or conflicts can trigger a flight to safety, driving investors towards gold.
• Global Economic Data: Economic data releases, such as inflation reports or jobs numbers, can impact investor sentiment and influence the demand for gold.
• US Dollar Strength: The strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role. A weakening dollar can benefit gold prices.
Conclusion: A Potential Bullish Run on the Horizon
The combination of dovish central bank signals and a key resistance level waiting to be tested creates an intriguing scenario for the gold price. While technical indicators remain somewhat neutral, the near-term outlook appears positive. However, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor economic data, geopolitical developments, and the US dollar's performance for a clearer picture of the gold market's direction. A decisive break above $2,340 could signal the start of a renewed bullish run for XAU/USD.
XAUUSD I Riding the Bullish Momentum Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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How to trade gold after it rises sharplyGold has been rising slowly today without any correction, but it is not yet certain whether the rise in risk aversion can continue to amplify. Gold will continue to rise, and there must be news to stimulate further support. Gold has now reached the early intensive resistance area, and beware of a pullback under pressure.
GOLD - where is immediate supporting area? what's next?#GOLD - a perfect move as per our video analysis, and now market immediate supporting area is 2372
keep close it guys because if market hold it then again upside further move expected from here,
keep clsoe it 2372
but keep in mind guys that below 2372 on confirmation CUTT N REVERSE scnerios also valid.
keep close it 2372
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD - now where is supporting area? whats next ??#GOLD.. market very well placed targeted area as we discussed in our video analysis, first of all congratulations to all.
now market have 2343 as immediate supproting area , keep close it guys,
because if market hold it then upside further move expected,
dont be lazy here,
good luck
trade wisely
Gold prices receive a lot of economic and geopolitical pushscalp gold sell 235x
tp 233x
sl 236x
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According to Mr. Joaquin Monfort, FXStreet expert, gold fees accelerated this consultation after some of important important banks determined to reduce hobby quotes, which include the Swedish Central Bank (Riksbank), or signaled the opportunity of a reduce. withinside the future, which include the European Central Bank (ECB). Lower hobby quotes lessen the "possibility cost" of maintaining gold, a non-hobby-bearing asset, for this reason making gold greater attractive.
Mr. Monfort stated the treasured steel is likewise seeing the go back of cash searching for secure havens amid the "impasse in ceasefire negotiations among Israel and Hamas."
Gold turned up again, entry buy todayGold prices today jumped sharply after a number of major central banks decided or signaled their readiness to cut interest rates in the future.
In Sweden, the country's central bank cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75%. The Bank of England (BoE) announced to keep interest rates unchanged at 5.25% and hinted at an upcoming interest rate cut when inflation falls below target.
Gold prices today also have more upward momentum thanks to increased demand for safe haven capital. The cause stems from the deadlock in ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas after Israel continued to attack Rafah, increasing the pressure of geopolitical risks.
With the above picture, investors may expect the gold market to heat up. So they increase their purchasing power. Gold price today increased sharply by 42 USD, from 2,306 USD/ounce to 2,348 USD/ounce at 6:00 a.m. on May 10.
Today's trading trend, waiting to buyWater was at 2,353.1 USD/ounce, an increase of 30.8 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The weakening of the USD has strongly supported the upward trend in the price of the yellow metal on May 9 (US time). Specifically, the US Dollar Index decreased by 0.32% to 105, increasing the appeal of gold to buyers holding other currencies.
FXStreet editor Joaquin Monfort said that gold prices rose higher "after a number of major central banks decided to cut interest rates or signaled a willingness to cut interest rates more in the future." Lower interest rates reduce the "opportunity cost" of holding gold, a non-interest-bearing asset, making it a more attractive investment.
Specifically, in Sweden, for the first time since 2016, Riksbank has cut interest rates by 0.25% to 3.75%. In the UK, the Bank of England (BOE) announced to keep interest rates unchanged as many people predicted, but signaled that it will cut interest rates in the near future.
The Swiss Central Bank, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the European Central Bank have also made similar moves.
💡 GOLD: Analysis May 9Gold fell for the second day in a row, but selling pressure continued to be as weak as the previous day, because yesterday's bar D1 had a narrow range, even narrower than the previous falling bar D1. Structurally, Gold D1 continues to move inside the Inside bar pattern, reflecting a state of cumulative price compression, and remains within the larger Inside bar and large price range. Gold D1's trend is more inclined to increase in price.
After touching the border on the H1 price frame, H1 Gold is adjusting down, however the selling pressure is not strong because the adjustment span is not steep and has large fluctuations. The scenario for buying Gold is still the dominant one today, the best option is to buy when the price breaks out to the top and then retest, otherwise you can "fish for the bottom" with the buying zone being the margin below the price frame.
💡H1 trend: Gold moves sideways.
💡Today's trading idea: Buy Gold.
Gold heads below $2,300 ! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Global gold demand growth is driven by increased over-the-counter market investment, continuous central bank purchasing, and heightened demand from Asian markets, especially China and India. This growth is reinforced by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, leading to a preference for safe-haven assets like gold. Gold traders are anticipating fresh catalysts such as the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims due on Thursday and a speech by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly. Dovish comments from Fed officials could stabilize gold prices for now.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price still moves in 2 trend lines, wide amplitude. There is still confidence that the Gold price needs to return to the entry area below $2,300. Long-term BUY in the H4 frame. The time for the FED to lower interest rates is getting closer and closer
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2270 - $2268 SL $2263
TP1: $2278
TP2: $2284
TP3: $2292
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2349 - $2351 SL $2356
TP1: $2340
TP2: $2330
TP3: $2320
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
The downward trend of gold is obvious
Gold is still down, but it is not over. There is still another plunge in gold. This wave will inevitably reach around 2292. There is still room for a downside of 16 US dollars. Be prepared.
The four-hour line continues to have a large negative line surrounding the positive line, which is an obvious bearish downward trend. One negative line breaks through two positive lines, which is a short position. The 50-day moving average has pressed the pause button on its upward movement. It is obvious that it has turned downwards strongly. Continue to be bearish, the daily level is even more terrifying for shorts, prepare for a plunge
Operation strategy: short gold 2320, stop loss 2330, target 2290
I hope you like my analysis, thank you and love you
Emotional stability is the basis for trading gold
Stabilizing emotions means reducing desires and satisfying needs. The demand is that I only make 5 profit points, and I will be happy when I make it. I don’t care no matter how big the subsequent profits are. This is demand, and demand can be met. When you are satisfied, you will be happy. Eat when you are hungry and stop eating when you are full. This is demand. And desire is that I want to go to the third floor. After going there once, I want to go there a second time and a third time.
Looking at the market today, there is currently a drop in the CD section of the bat pattern band in the harmonic trading pattern. There is a high probability that the price will continue to fall in the band today. Therefore, the suggestion for participating in trading today is to wait for the price to fall below the 2310-2318 range, and then the price rebounds to test the pressure of this position and enter the market bearishly, with the target looking at the 2287-2283 range. If the U.S. market has support near this price, or a bullish reversal K-line pattern appears, you can consider setting the bullish stop loss below 2278 in the evening U.S. market.
In the afternoon of the white market, the price surged to around 2320, which is considered to be close to the previous high point of the pattern. It has already fallen below during the European market stage, so I still feel that the probability of decline is greater. Just go to the vicinity of 2285 to see the rise.
Yesterday’s short gold profit was huge, can it continue today?Gold's 30-minute moving average is still in a dead cross downwards. Gold's 30-minute rebound seems to be strong, but it still has not been able to break through the downward trend line resistance. The gold downward trend line resistance has now moved down to around 2320.
Gold has shot up many times and then fallen back. There are many resistances above, so there is a possibility of a sharp decline at any time.
Trading strategy today, gold cools downGold prices continued to fall in today's trading session, receiving little support from safe-haven demand as recent comments from US Federal Reserve (FED) officials showed the market was skeptical. Doubtful expectations of interest rate cuts.
The yellow metal saw some safe-haven demand this week as the conflict between Israel and Hamas worsened and ceasefire talks made little progress.
However, safe-haven purchases were offset by pressure from renewed concerns about high US interest rates as well as the dollar's recovery.
Prices for the yellow metal received little support from the dollar's recent decline, as the greenback rebounded on Tuesday after some Fed officials said the central bank was more likely to hold steady interest rate in 2024.
This view was voiced by Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari on Tuesday and caused traders to rethink some expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
Expectations for a rate cut in September rose after weak payrolls data last week. But Kashkari and his colleagues say tough inflation remains the main point of contention for the Fed.
The prospect of higher long-term US interest rates is not a good sign for gold because it pushes up the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal.
Gold cools down, entry buy nowWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold down 6.3 USD to 2,307.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,316.1 USD/ounce, down 6.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices decreased slightly compared to yesterday morning as investors continued to wait for US data to find clues about the possibility of cutting interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The recovery of the USD also puts slight pressure on gold. The US Dollar Index rose 0.1%, making gold less attractive to foreign currency holders.
According to analyst Peter Fertig, what the market is currently concerned about is the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut this year. He said that if inflation does not really decrease, the Fed will still keep interest rates unchanged.
In his statement mid-week, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari gave a "hawkish" view on monetary policy, saying that the US Central Bank may keep interest rates high for a while. longer.
Investors are now looking forward to the results of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey due out on Friday and comments from multiple Fed officials this week. US consumer price index data will be published on May 15 (US time).
A very good time to buy gold right nowOn the worldwide marketplace, today`s gold rate reached 2,313 USD/ounce. Domestic gold is in a downward fashion as it "evaporates" five USD.
Converted in step with the change price with the exception of taxes and fees, every quantity of home gold bars is 15.five-16.five million VND better than the worldwide rate even as gold earrings are 4-4.five million VND better, relying at the time.
World gold reduced barely withinside the context that traders are focusing extra on the chance of hobby price cuts from americaA Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, marketplace investors trust there's approximately a 66% risk the Fed will reduce hobby prices in September.
Gold costs are compelled with the aid of using the outlook for hobby prices, however StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell stated there are tailwinds for gold, specially associated with geopolitical dangers and capability tensions. Hidden withinside the banking device continues to be sturdy sufficient to aid this valuable metal.
Previously, in mid-April, global gold costs hit a document excessive of 2,431.29 USD/ounce whilst boosted with the aid of using sturdy call for from Chinese valuable banks and retail traders amid geopolitical tensions are increasing.
GOLD: Gold price forecast
By around September, the Fed may reduce interest rates. A declining USD will pull gold prices up.
Gold is also supported by inflation and escalating prices in many countries around the world. Asian and European countries are struggling to control their currencies from plunging.
Many experts also mentioned the possibility of inflation in some countries. If this happens, gold will continue to be an important storm shelter.
XAUUSD 1HR Analysis + Trade Idea It doesnt look like the bulls are giving up just yet, with the inability to push lower or higher gold has been range bound for the last few days whilst respecting the 25% QT support zone and the dynamic ascending support which creates a 4HR bearish flag showing signs of a trend reversal to the upside.
Primarily we need to be patient and wait for the correct confirmations to show us bullish signs before looking at possible long entries to avoid being caught out on any possible market structure break.
Ideally if breaks the key resistance of 2330 and corrects with a lower high whilst seeing the 25% quarter support rise to match the lower high and a divergence crossover in certain EMA timeframes we could enter a long off the rejection of the risen quarter level.
GOLD Expecting continuationGOLD looks ready to continue his bearish moves as soon as it will broke below the H1 support trendline. I expect it to range tomorrow and to start to drop later in tomorrow's NY session and Friday. First target the support area at 2235. Invalidation above the resistance trendline on H1