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Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, Here’s an analysis of the DXY on the 1-hour chart, with your updated target of 107.100: Current Analysis Trend Overview: The dollar index (DXY) is in a clear downtrend on the 1-hour chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Momentum indicators like RSI are likely staying below 50, reinforcing bearish sentiment. Key Resistance Zone (108.100): This is the potential sell zone, where the price may face rejection. Look for a bearish candlestick pattern at or near this level (e.g., shooting star, evening star, bearish engulfing) to confirm the entry. Support Zones on the Path to 107.100: Intermediate Support 107.500: DXY might consolidate or bounce slightly here, as it's a possible reaction point. Final Target 107.100: This aligns with a major support level from prior price action or Fibonacci retracement zones. Indicators to Watch RSI: If RSI is below 40, it confirms strong bearish momentum. Any divergence (e.g., higher low on RSI while price makes a lower low) near 107.500 or 107.100 could signal weakening downside momentum. MACD: Look for a bearish crossover (MACD line crossing below the signal line) as confirmation to enter or hold the trade. Volume: A spike in volume near resistance (108.100) supports rejection. Similarly, decreasing volume near the target (107.100) could indicate trend exhaustion. Trade Setup for 1-Hour Chart Sell Entry: Around 108.100 (resistance zone). Take Profit (Target): 107.100. Stop Loss: Around 108.300, slightly above resistance, to account for volatility. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
XAU/USD 20 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!! ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED) Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. FINAL ANALYSIS OF 2024! WISHING YOU ALL VERY HAPPY FESTIVITES. MAY 2025 AND OWNARDS BRING YOU ALL SUCCESS!! ANALYSIS WILL RESUME SECOND WEEK OF 2025 (DATE TO BE CONFIRMED) Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's analysis played out as expected with price targeting weak internal low, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ where we could see a reaction. Price could potentially trade up to M15 supply level before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,583.915 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
GOLD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisGOLD is creating symmetrical triangle and is moving in a descending AND is moving in an UPWARD channel. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheGrove
1
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CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Thief_Trader
1
Gold prediction & Economic Crisis ECONOMIC CRISIS Usually, everything is going fine. But from time to time something bad happens and the crisis breaks out. It may either apply to our business (or personal life), or the whole economy. Then, we talk about “economic crisis”. There are many types of economic crises: currency crisis, debt crisis, bank crisis, broad financial crisis, GDP crisis, etc. We analyze “financial crisis” in a separate entry, focusing in this case on the latter meaning. We do this for two reasons. First, this is usually what people have in mind when they talk about “economic crisis”. Second, it is the most serious crisis as it entails the most severe effects on human welfare and the whole economy (in terms of increased unemployment and reduced income) often spurring other crises. So, in the simplest terms, economic crisis is a sharp transition from expansion to a recession, or from boom to bust. Economic crises are, thus, related to the business cycle. They are characterized by a sharp fall in GDP and the rise in the unemployment rate. Investors are shocked and they panic. Nobody knows what will happen next, so there is a lot of uncertainty. Economic Crisis and Gold The widespread belief is that gold shines during economic crises. There is something in it, as the safe havens often thrive when economies are struggling, while markets are in turmoil. Indeed, as one can see in the chart below, gold gained during most of the several last US recessions (the timing of recessions is reflected by the rectangles).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by PRO_SMART_Trader
2
GOLD Every Rise Has Its Sunset- From 2000 to today, gold has surged by an impressive 1000%, a remarkable performance for the world's leading asset. - Keep in mind, every ascent is bound to face a descent someday. - I’ll skip the deep dive into politics and fundamentals, but the picture is clear: with Trump winning the election, peace could make a comeback. Gold typically rises when fears of war spike, but as those fears ease, its value tends to drop. - As always, the chart tells the story. Take a look at the Fibonacci levels— a prime buying opportunity is likely to emerge in the $1200 to $800 range. - i will post in comments my older Gold Analysis. Happy Tr4Ding !
TVC:GOLD
by thecryer
6
Gold let's go ( Repost )- if we just analyze FA basically, the world political climate, fear of wars, Covid, Crises, inflation, Gold will always remains for the old generation the best store of value. - i don't show indicators to keep the chart clean but Gold is turning green and extremely bullish on Monthly Timeframe. - Gold made a constant flat accumulation between 2021-2022. - BB starting to be thinner ( sign of a move ). - This is a Medium/Long Term investment ( 2023 ). -------------------------------------------- Trading Parts : -------------------------------------------- Buy : Now TP1 : 2300$ TP2 : 2500$ -------------------------------------------- - i will post my old gold analysis in comments. Happy Tr4Ding !
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by thecryer
10
XAU/USD 01 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's intraday expectation from 31 October 2024 was met as price targeted weak internal low, printing another bearish iBOS. CHoCH positioning is still quite distant from current price. To confirm the internal structure, I would like to see price move up to the 50% internal EQ level. Intraday Expectation: I will remain on standby and wait for price action that allows me to confirm the internal structure. Note: Price continues to be highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s dovish stance. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels. Fundamental Context: Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment. However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price. Trade Plan: 1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level. 2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout. 3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAU/USD 22 Ocotober 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024. Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, with price targeting weak internal high. However, internal structure bullish momentum was not sustained, as price printed an iBOS. This was expected, given that all higher timeframes (HTFs) are in need of a pullback. Price has reacted from M15 supply level. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remain unchanged from yesterday's analysis dated 20 October 2024. Price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has continued to surge, driven by a softer stance from the Fed and increasing geopolitical tensions. Since the last analysis, price has printed a BOS followed by a series of bullish iBOS’. The internal range of iBOS has narrowed, with price now targeting the weak internal high after reacting from the M15 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target the weak internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in yesterday's intraday expectation that due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. This is how price printed, printing a bearish iBOS. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation with price currently reacting to a well positioned M15 supply zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 October 2024. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following last week's bearish iBOS, price did not target weak internal low with price printing bullish iBOS. This is in line with H4 bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Should price print bearish CHoCH we would have a confirmed internal range which will be significantly narrower than previous internal ranges. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Systematically price should either react at discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level to target weak internal high, however, due to significant narrowing of the internal range, coupled with the fact that price is in premium of 50% EQ of the H4 internal range, I would not be surpised if price printed a bearish iBOS. M15 Analysis:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone GOLD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level.. We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GOLD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheGrove
3
XAUUSD - Dirty TradingRange ZoneFX:XAUUSD is currently trading in a tight range between $2,635 support and $2,670 resistance. This narrow range has been challenging, with several fakeouts making it tricky to navigate. The support zone around $2,635 is holding strong, while the $2,670 resistance has prevented further upside movement. CAPITALCOM:GOLD traders should watch for clear breaks above or below these levels before committing to positions. Expect more choppy action within this “dirty” range until a decisive breakout occurs.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Sober_Trading
XAU/USD 07 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by the first bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has established the current swing range. Currently, price is trading between the swing high and internal low. Following second bearish iBOS price printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Price reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ). Although the weak internal low was targeted, price was unable to close below it after reacting from an H4 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following a bullish iBOS, price has been highly volatile but remains contained within the internal range. Price has wicked both above and below the internal range without any candle closures. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high. Price has attempted to reach the weak internal high but has failed to close above. Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe appears to be in a bearish pullback phase, any bullish momentum is likely to be short-lived. Price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK