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Gold - Bitcoin Close to a Vital Ray. Volatility Alert.Gold, in terms of Bitcoin, is getting close to an important ray that crosses through the two significant tops. Should we expect a strong reaction? If we take a look at the third rejection from the bottom, we can see that it was able to get below the bottom ray but quickly reversed upward. So, we should definitely expect a strong reaction to the upper ray. Especially, as the BTCUSD price was reject at the linear ray that connected the last two bull peaks, this should be treated as seriously. The 1 day EMA400 is above the MA400, which means that price is likely to rise to hit it, although it has entered the KC (Keltner Channels/EMA Bands), so I wouldn't count on the EMA400 being hit. Saying that, it will act as resistance at about the same place as the upper ray. What should we expect? If gold breaks the upper ray, then we could be in for a very significant rise in price (BTC). If gold is rejected, then we should expect a decision on direction by the start of August at the latest. If it takes that long, then we should expect to see gold drop to about 0.0248BTC. We can look for clues in the RSI, depending on which way it breaks out. On the weekly chart, the RSI peaked at 65, not yet in overbought territory. What to do? As gold, and charts in general, do not offer a BTC pairing yet (with the exception of tethered gold on a crypto exchange), you'll have to use this chart as a guide and watch both Gold and BTC priced in something like USD or, the oldest currency still in use, GBP. Gold has been up for a significant amount of time , is overbought and recently hit a Fibonacci Retracement level when priced in USD. If gold cools off and Bitcoin rises then the lower ray won't take long to encounter. Gold in BTC could pump very up very high and reverse. This would seem likely caused by BTC crashing in that scenario, however, Bitcoin might be entering a bear market. I suspect it will either be very short or very long, based on the 6M and 12M RSI. Main takeaways: The gold and bitcoin markets are about to get very volatile, so take caution/avoid high or any leverage. Use the GOLDUSD chart and change the currency to BTC for clues on direction in the coming days or weeks. This could lead to a long term direction, but unfortunately, you cannot add alerts to a chart with an altered pairing, so perhaps use the PAXGBTC chart and add alerts there. [*}BTCUSD hit the 1 day MA/EMA400 at the bottom and is getting close on this chart. I suggest adding BB400 (at various SDs) and KC400 to your charts, even if you use BB20. You might want to use HLC Area instead of candles/bars as price appears to jump around willy-nilly else. When you find a chart difficult to read, try swapping to BTC for more clues. If the chart is Tesla, then you might even want to try Dogecoin! In addition to these charts, the BTC Dominance chart shows that BTC has hit the same pitchfork line that it hit when the first alt season began! So, I expect a strong move there too. So, if BTC does rise then we might get an alt season very soon. This is my first Idea that I've published, so please forgive any mistakes, omissions or poor formatting. I am open to critical feedback. I just wanted to put this out there as I haven't seen anyone cover this online. If you have or know of related ideas, then please share, as I am always interested in finding ways to predict major market moves.
TVC:GOLD
by Matt-The-Egg
XAUUSD - 15m Sell SetupXAUUSD - Daily Sell Setup 🔻 After a strong and extended rally, Gold (XAUUSD) has reached an overheated level and is now showing signs of short-term exhaustion. We’re eyeing a $30 correction, which translates to nearly 300 pips of opportunity for short sellers. 📉 Current Price: ~$3,307 🎯 Target: ~$3,277 With momentum slowing and candles printing hesitation, this could be a great time to catch a quick pullback. Ideal for short-term traders who thrive in volatility. 💡 Manage your risk, don’t chase — wait for confirmation before entry. 💸 Ready for 300 pips? Follow us and ride the wave with precision! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sober_Trading
1
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price. Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 11 April 2025 by printing higher highs which has repositioned CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, much closer to current price action. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH. Due to the extreme bullishness of the market I will be mapping internal structure as it appears. The reasoning behind this due to the fact of the increasing range of the internal structure. By mapping internal structure as it appears we are more likely to be in a good position to have an early warning of all HTF bearish pullback phase initiations. Price has printed a double bullish iBOS since last analysis and we are now trading within an establish internal range where you will note that price has printed a double top and has been unable to close above weak internal high. Intraday Expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,244.340. Alternative scenario: Due to the narrowing of internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 11 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as per my analysis dated 04 April 2025 by targeting weak internal high and printing bullish iBOS. We currently do not have an indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. It is possible for price to potentially print higher highs in order to reposition CHoCH closer to current price action. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As mentioned in yesterday's analysis that I will continue to monitor internal structure following the printing of a bearish CHoCH. Price has continued higher without a meaningful pullback, therefore, I will not classify previous iBOS, which is marked in red, as a bullish iBOS. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 10 April 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed as I mentioned in yesterday's analysis whereby I commented that it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ. Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH, however, price quickly once again formed a higher high, therefore, I will apply discretion and not classify previous CHoCH in order not to distort internal structure as the move was most probably an outlier due to Trump announcing 90 day pause on tariffs. Price has printed a further bearish CHoCH, however, I will continue to monitor price. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone, of which one is well positioned at 50% of internal EQ, before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,132.630 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 09 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 08 April 2025. However, it would be worthwhile to note that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS as H4 TF has printed a bullish reaction from discount of 50% EQ. Price has printed as per yesterday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH (I mentioned in yesterday's analysis bullish iBOS in error) indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range and appears to be stuck in between close supply and demand zones where we could see extended rangebound conditions. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,956.565 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold on the Go: Prices Set to Surge Amid Uncertainty● Gold prices have recovered from a 6.5% fall and are now trading above $3000 per ounce. ● Tariff developments and US President Trump's comments are influencing market sentiment and gold prices. ● A record $21 billion inflow into Gold ETFs was recorded in Q1 2025, indicating strong interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. ● Technical analysis suggests a key support level for gold prices between $2950 and $2960, which could impact market trends.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by NaranjCapital
XAU/USD 07 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 04 April 2025. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per last Friday's analysis by targeting weak internal low and printing a bearish iBOS. Price has subsequently printed a bullish iBOS indicating bullish phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15/H4 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,970.215 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD - Daily, Gold’s Next Big Move: Be Ready!XAUUSD - Daily Update 📈 With most analysts focusing on Gold’s bullish momentum, let’s step back and analyze where we are in the bigger picture and where we should secure profits before a potential correction. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since the $2,000 zone, forming three major bullish legs as highlighted in the chart: 🔹 First leg correction: ~$150 drop 🔹 Second leg correction: ~$250 drop 🔹 Third correction may be deeper, so caution is needed in the target zone. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Potential Target Zone: $3,050 - $3,150 ✔️ Measured Move: Previous legs suggest an extension into this zone. ✔️ Liquidity Grab: Gold tends to hunt liquidity over round numbers—just as it did at $2,000 → $2,060, it may break $3,050 before reversing. ✔️ Ascending Channel: The price is approaching the top of the channel, where market makers may trigger a fake breakout before a significant pullback. 🚨 Trading Strategy: Swing traders: Secure profits near $3,050 - $3,150. Daily traders: Use pullbacks as short-term profit opportunities. 💸 If you missed this rally, stay ahead for reversal signs & upcoming moves! Follow for more insights! 🚀
FX:XAUUSD
by Sober_Trading
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone. I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range Intraday Expectation: Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090. Alternative scenario: Price could potentially continue to print higher. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 27 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 24 March 2025. As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS. This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS. Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone. Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 25 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias and analysis remains the same as analysis dated 23 March 2025. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 March 2025. As per analysis dated 19 March 2025 whereby I mentioned as an alternative scenario that internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS. This is how price printed, by printing a bearish iBOS. Price has yet to print a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation, however, price has traded into premium of 50% internal EQ, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded in to premium of 50% EQ and has mitigated M15 supply zone. Technically, price to target weak internal low priced at 2,999.465. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 24-28 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition CHOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Price continued bullish repositioning bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Expectation is for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and the repricing of Gold. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 March 2025. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs. Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Falls from Peak, but Rate Cut Hopes Keep Outlook Positive● Gold prices fell after hitting a high at $3057.59 due to a stronger US dollar, making it more expensive for overseas buyers. ● Despite this, gold is set for its third consecutive weekly gain, up 0.7% this week. ● Market participants expect at least two US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, supporting gold's long-term bullish outlook. ◉ Technical Observations ● While moving through the rising parallel channel, the price has just faced resistance from the upper boundary and is expected to have a pullback towards $2,950. ● If the price slips below this level, the next strong support is expected near $2,790.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaranjCapital