XAU/USD 20 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Despite price printing it's first indication of bearish pullback phase initiation, price continued bullish.
Recent economic data and geopolitical tensions, have influenced market sentiment such as the Fed's recent interest rate decision (reduction) which typically supports Gold prices. Therefore, price is expected to remain highly volatile.
From a structural perspective, price is within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line
Intraday expectation: Due to volatility, price could continue bullish, however, price could also initiate bearish pullback, therefore, I will be standing by.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday with price printing a bullish BOS following reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ.
Fed rate decision to increase rates by 50bps along with geopolitical tensions is supporting Gold prices.
Price has not printed a bullish CHoCH, however, price has printed beyond internal 50% EQ and in to premium, therefore, I am happy to confirm internal range.
Price is currently contained within a swing low and fractal high.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday expectation: Price to indicate pullback phase intimation. First indication would be for price to print bearish CHoCH.
M15 Chart:
Goldusd
XAUUSD SELL SIGNAL DOUBLE TOP PATTERNOn Xauusd price has formed a complete double top and was able to move down partially break the line 2575.447 leaving a wick and reverse so is important to note that there is a greater chance for the price to fall the line has been tested so going for SHORT are needed with target profit of 2560.718 and stoploss of 2591.692 . Use money management.
XAUUSD SELL: 2575.447 - 2573.755
Sl 2591.692
Tp 2560.718
Note: Trade with a lot that suit your capital
XAU/USD 16 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action.
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at discount of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 16-20 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned, for over one month, that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of bearish pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
H4 Chart:
XAU/USD 13 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Price has printed a bullish BOS with price failing to target weak internal low.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.
At he time of writing it seems price is print higher-highs.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, target either M15 demand zones or price reacts at discount of internal 50% EQ.
Alternative scenario, price prints bullish iBOS, confirming internal range low. This would give more realistic LTF confirmation that HTF is in pullback phase.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 11 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, over a period of 12-days, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price is currently reacting at an M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is close to extreme premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 10 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
GOLD 1h Reversion Zone Fill ExpectedReturn and fill into the reversion zone range is expected.
Reversion zone range: 2.505 - 2.497
Resistance level: 2.506
Support level: 2.472
⚠️ Reversion Zone is an area on the chart where the price often returns after deviating. Some zones will be covered by nearby candlesticks, while others may take more time. Also the zone may never be filled, be careful.
XAU/USD 09 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
Trading Area for Gold based on S/RMy idea is based on the Support & Resistance levels observed on 1H TF
I'm anticipating price bounce from the identified support areas (Support-1 & Support-2) My plan is to enter long position when the price reach these support levels and close the trade at the resistance level
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Long from the Support-1 & Support-2
Take Profit: at Resistance area
Stop Loss: Below Support-2
Good Luck
XAU/USD 06 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 05 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
I have made an update following my review of overall analysis.
Bearish iBOS printed 22 August 2024 has subsequently lead me confirm the swing high which means M15 swing range is established.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear,
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 1h timeframe
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XAU/USD 30 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Continued growth Gold. H4 26.08.2024Continued growth Gold
Gold continues to grow steadily given the escalating conflict
between Israel and Lebanon.
The correction last week ended near the local support 2477
and made a new bounce upwards.
Now new historical highs are being formed and judging by margins and options,
can push the price to 2575,
and there we will look at the volumes,
a local culmination of the correction is possible.
Gold is GOLD yet not be OLD!!Buy GOLD in all dips
Can be Multibagger!!
Target1 - 2600 USD
Target2 - 2899 USD
Target3 - 3050 USD
Long Term can be anything, if its closed above 3000 USD..
Disclaimer :-
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for education purposes only.
I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel suggestions.
Consult your financial advisor before taking any decisions
GOLD - 1H Sell OpportunityAfter yesterday’s significant drop, OANDA:XAUUSD saw a rise, pushing up to the resistance block order zone. Given the strength of this resistance, there’s a high likelihood that gold could face a strong downward movement from this level, potentially leading to a substantial fall. This setup suggests that the recent uptick might just be a temporary retracement before the next bearish leg.
XAUUSD - 4H Gold’s Potential DownturnOANDA:XAUUSD has recently surged to the top of its ascending channel, reaching above the $2,500 level. This move, however, appears to be a liquidity hunt, where the market triggers stops above significant levels before reversing direction. After this liquidity grab, technical analysis suggests a strong possibility of gold retracing within the ascending channel.
Fundamentally, several factors are contributing to the potential downside. The recent easing of tensions in the Israel-Palestine conflict has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Additionally, the de-escalation in geopolitical risks generally leads to a pullback in gold prices as investors shift towards riskier assets. Moreover, the broader market sentiment is leaning towards a stronger dollar, especially with expectations of continued monetary tightening by central banks, which could also pressure gold prices downward.
Given these technical and fundamental factors, gold is likely to face a correction back within the channel, with potential support levels around $2,350-$2,400. This retracement would align with the overall market dynamics and investor sentiment shifting away from gold.
XAU/USD 22 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, react at M15 demand zone, perhaps as deep as H4 or D demand zone to then target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation.
Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 19 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 18 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning.
Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 August 2024, whereby internal structure was bearish. We needed to be mindful that H4 internal structure was bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS and iBOS.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand level to target weak internal high. Price may seek liquidity at M15 supply level to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Alternative scenario: Price to target weak internal high.
M15 Chart: