GOOGL
SPY Long Term Update2 years ago we published our last commentary on SPY. In that post on the chart referenced on this chart we stated "Our long range analysis of the market has not changed, as there is another high on our radar that we will be targeting." The market is very close to that target, the high being 228.34, 1.35 away from the target. Only time will tell if that difference will be made or not. However, for our purposes and looking at the immense moves we have pinpointed, we consider it close enough.
As we also stated in the post referenced on the chart, "we always trade long-term trend, short-term counter trend on all times frames that we trade". That is still true. Bullish long-term on SPY since the low in March '09.
We would like to see a correction down to a minimum of 180ish, and would be very pleased to see a retest of the 156ish area, but who can say what will occur? As traders we must trade the price action and not what we hope will happen.
Our analysis at this time is that regardless of whether we get the needed correction or not, the market is poised for a parabolic rise. The only things that will prevent it is another World War, or a total melt-down of the financial system a la 2009 sub-prime debacle.
We will publish our long range targets at a later date..
Long GOOGL @ 15min @ 2nd bullish Dec. GAP > after bearish (Nov.)Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
GOOGL @ Dec`16 upside trend broked fiday tradingGOOGL closed froday trading day in a last GAP of last week before
From this point of view, we could see an highly volatile week, while next 5 trading days!?
How ever, maybe i am reading too much in the chart?!
Currently, is essentiel, at least in my opinion, not only this GAP. Much more the 2nd one and 3rd one is huge (`cause the GAP manifest the start of the last doownside trend and following trend -reversal which even broked friday.
811.97 & 807.88 GAP of last week before (2nd half of week)
794.93 & 798.06 GAP of last week before (1nd half of week)
782.37 & 793.18 MAIN GAP after trump election (wednesday opening)
Tech shares are under pressure since president election. Specially the F-A-N-G`s :) While NFLX is lokking pretty bullish technicly, it seems like that FB also can etablishing it`s upside trend (dec`16). GOOGL should be under pressure this week, while AMZN already slighty bearish lokks like (for this week). That`s also the reason why i closed my BABA long position manually, last week! And awaiting lower prices in AAPL to get long again :)
As it may be comes until christmas,
huge important is the MAINLY GAP (between 782.37 & 793.18) & the monthly BB (802.89 & 784.17). Both technical facts should servce as something like support areas. Inclusive the 50% (61,80% & 38,20%) fib retracement, which is more or lesse around 789 (797 & 781) ...
All in all i am still (added: a little bit scary) slightly optimistic - even bullish - by prices above 800. Prices under 800 could have an psychological effect and maybe create much more pressure even until around 790 or 780. But at least at this area and all other techs (more or kless) should rise or even get back in green performance profit price areas, like before trump election :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a analysis (for swing traders) - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
GOOGL Bearish week. Intraday idea for the rest of the week.Google shares will continue to fall this week. So I see that the price will fall to levels of 740-745, in a first stage. Later, broken the support of that area I think it can fall between the prices of 720 and 725. After a readjustment that will take the price to 745-750 again, Google will drop to 680 dlls per share. I hope you find it useful.