$NQ did the #NQ find support??Did the NQ find support or is it come down side to come if $12,273.00 holds i can see a pull back to the zone around $12,376.50 but if we break support to the dirt we go to the zone around $12,171.00
Alphabet fakeout after fear of AI update target $90 W Formation formed on Alphabet which then had a major fakeout
There was a test of the 200MA which Failed to break above and dropped.
Target $90
With Google and Alphabet trying to combat with the new challenge of creating a better CHAT GPT, it seems like the first version has failed.
There were many errors and false answers.
They also called the Ex CEOS and management to try and create similar versions through BING and BARD.
This caused fear with investors and lead to a $100 billion drop in market value.
Overall I think Google will find a way to replace Chat GPT or integrate the technology eventually. These are short term blips before the upside.
Right now we can remain bearish as the charts don't lie, but the price will need to drop below $90 in order to have a new analysis for downside.
I'll keep you updated as always.
$GOOGL OverreactionThis situation is quite silly. The media is blowing it out of proportion and believes OpenAi is the second coming of Jesus. Google has 91% market share of Search, and Bing has about 2% share. Microsoft, part owner of OpenAi, plans to grow their search efforts and compete with Google search. The threat is that Bing may take a couple percent. In reality, people won't be switching their browsers where they have their passwords, addresses, bookmarks, email account, extensions, payments, and more saved over an implementation of ChatGPT, which they can just use separately from search.
Remember, people hate change, especially when it ruins convenience. ChatGPT is cool, and I've been playing with it since December, it has plenty of it's own problems. No one has invested more in Ai then Google.
As far as the trade goes. Any buys at this level are a good entry. $85-$90 even better.
Google - Bearish SentimentPrice broke structure at 100.29 to create equal highs at 107.84. Then price gave us a BEARISH GAP to take out ORDERS at 102.09. The BEARISH GAP that was created must be filled before price can drop significantly.
I expect price to fill the BEARISH GAP and take out the EQUAL HIGHS at 107.84. The 113 price point is where price will go. From there a major dip will happen. This will take out the ENGINEERED LIQUIDITY ($).
I am EXTREMELY BEARISH on Google!!!
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Price action is KING!!
GOOG Alphabet Options Ahead of Earnings | Last Quarter of GrowthAs you can see, the last chart was pretty accurate:
Now I think this year we will see Google losing ground in the advertising industry.
The Justice Department filed an antitrust lawsuit Tuesday against Google alleging the company of abusing its dominance over smaller rivals by operating like an illegal monopoly.
MSFT Microsoft bought a 49% stake in OpenAI, who owns CHatGPT, that ca really be a rival to Google in answering questions.
As a matter of fact i am using ChatGPT more than Google search right now.
So i believe this is the last quarter of growth for GOOG / GOOGL, as you can see in the chat, because Q4 was not impacted by ChatGPT so much.
Looking at the GOOG Alphabet options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Calls with
2023-2-10 expiration date for about
$2.66 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google next support and resistances $GOOGLE Perfect bounce from the discount zone in confluence with the order blocks! 🚨🚨🚨
Price trading above 200 ma and dynamic reactor.
Below are my next targets and resistances!
100ma / dynamic reactor: Support 1
discount zone: Support 2
AI: Google challenges Microsoft and launches BardInvestment confirms how the Silicon Valley giants are ready to do battle over what is believed to be the new frontier of technology.
Google (NASDAQ:{{6369|GOOGL}}) is challenging Microsoft (NASDAQ:{{252|MSFT}}) and launching Bard, the rival to ChatGPT, the OpenAI application on which the Redmond giant has bet billions of dollars. The introduction of Bard, the name seems to evoke William Shakespeare, the Bard par excellence of Anglo-Saxon culture, confirms how the race for artificial intelligence is accelerating, with Silicon Valley giants poised to do battle over what is believed to be the new frontier of technology.
In recent days Mountain View had announced a $300 million investment in the start-up Anthropic, an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems. And now it is pushing further ahead with the introduction of Bard, which will initially be available for testing to trusted testers and then later be introduced to the general public, similar to how OpenAI did with ChatGPT.
"Secure, quality responses" - The testers have been selected, they are a geographically diverse group that will help Google improve and understand users' use of artificial intelligence. "We will combine external feedback with our internal testing to make sure that Bard's responses are quality, secure, and grounded in the real world," explained Mountain View CEO Sundar Pichai, stressing that the testing phase will help Google "continue to learn and improve Bard's quality and speed."
Bard aims to generate detailed answers to simple questions. Its operation is based on LaMDA, the Language Model for Dialogue Applications that made headlines last year for being called "sentient" by one of Google's engineers.
ChatGPT's success - Microsoft has invested billions of dollars in OpenAI, the company behind the popular ChatGPT and believed to be one of the world's top three labs for artificial intelligence. OpenAI has recently become a household name for millions of people thanks to the success of ChatGPT, which, since its introduction in November, has seen a boom in users and opened a heated debate about the potential and application of artificial intelligence, forcing schools and universities, among others, to begin rethinking their teaching models.
ChatGPT is indeed able to create text like a human being, using clear, defined prose and appropriate punctuation. For Microsoft therefore a huge chance to gain ground in the face of fierce rivals who, however, do not want to fall behind. As demonstrated by Google's Bard and Mark Zuckerberg's commitment to make meta one of the leaders in artificial intelligence.
Google Short IdeaThis is a hypothetical short position on Google.
The basis for this is that Google, despite being pioneers in AI and search have fundamentally been blind sighted by chatGPT and could legitimately go to zero (although it's more likely is a rebound ~68).
Here we have 3 positions.
The first is OTM PUTS just below S1 which should be short dated or put calendar spreads used for extra leverage.
The second is short the shares @market price, with a 2 year leap call @ 100 and CSP leap @ 75.
The goal here is to be hedged in such a way as to give someone flexibility to exit the short by being covered via the short put and the 100 call, as well as the ability to double down via short dated puts.
It should also ideally give someone the ability to transition into a synthetic long, if done right.
AAPL: LAST MAN STANDING / FIB / PREDICTION / MASSIVE CHANNELDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a detailed MACRO analysis of AAPL laid out in its MASSIVE MONTHLY CHANNEL of 180 - 123.75 that has been held since DECEMBER 2020. Out of 8 massive US market movers AAPL was the only one to hold a positive position at market close on Feb 3.
IMPORTANT LIST OF US MARKET MOVERS: AAPLE, COSTCO, NVIDIA, FACEBOOK, ALIBABA, AMAZON, GOOGLE, AMD
POINTS:
1. Deviation of 6.25 DICTATES SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT.
2. Dotted orange vertical lines represent a months time.
3. EMA'S: 45 (BLUE), 100 (YELLOW), 200 (RED).
4. Green dotted vertical lines represent top for AAPL top.
5. Optimal Target: 161.25
6. Notice EMA movement where current placement would signify price action has plenty to give to the upside.
RSI: Common Range for RSI to linger between 50 - 70 despite somewhat overbought territory.
MACD: Notice current uptrend of buying to selling pressure and not the similar trajectory and angle. MACD has yet to ride trend before drop occurs which is highlighted by sphere.
SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action lingers around 155 SUPPORT and we see sideways action OR we see a sudden drop in the coming days but bounce 148.75 SUPPORT without losing upward momentum and confirming a continuation of upward momentum and confirming current setup.
SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario price action 148.75 & continues with strong downward momentum to 145 and beyond that break uptrend and invalidate setup.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AAPL
GOOGL Potential for Bullish Continuation | 3rd February 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GOOGL is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market.
Looking for a pullback buy entry at 101.12, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 84.87, where the previous swing low is. Take profit will be at 122.41, where the previous swing high is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Google Earnings tomorrow. Google is near resistance but could push up a bit to tage and test the breakout trendline.
The Fear and Greed index has now been trading in the fear side for 2 weeks.
Usually prolonged trading in the Fear range foreshadows a near term downward pressure. What makes this intersting is the Fear index range was just tagged on the monthly & Daily time frame.
Google vs Apple; How Android will kill Apple.Fact;
- Apple (iPhone, etc.) is entirely (100%) sourced from China;
- Google (Android) is 100% sourced from S. Korea & Japan.
1) Considering the abject population collapse - and massive DE-industralization!! - of China, it will take YEARS for Apple to relocate it's entire supply chain. (To N. America?) E.g. Apple will be lucky to bring out a new iPhone every other year - even that being overly optimistic.
2) Barring an outright armed conflict between S. Korea and Japan (very unlikely) Google's supply chain should be just fine, mostly unaffected by the coming Chinese de-urbanization and de-industrialization. (... which China will be forced to endure in order to feed the *** 800 million Chinese ***, which is what will be left in that country, by 2035.)
When will this purported Chinese population collapse and total de-industrialization begin?? ... You are in it!
(It is well worth to pay attention to it because it will (continue to) be spectacular!!)
Simultaneously, the technical picture is also very favorable for the upside, in this spread.
$QQQ technology sector holds the keyTechnology sector can push the market up.
All depends on the earnings announcements next week:
Amazon
Apple
Meta
Google
Keep an eye on QQQ.
GOOGLE (GOOG) Trade UpdatesGoogle (GOOG) Trade Updates
I entered November (see previous post) near the bottom with a price of 85.87, a profit of 13% so far, but the road is still long.
The volume knot near POC held up well, but the upper areas are very well covered.
Here too, as for AMZN, my target is the historical highs, even if for the medium term, the target is $115-120.
To keep an eye on earnings, Google is a company that I personally consider on a par with Apple, despite having a lower market cap, but has recently had some internal problems, which have seen significant layoffs in the staff.
This could also be positive in terms of the budget, you always have to look at the bigger picture.
Artificial intelligence, automatic driving and augmented reality remain the sectors to be monitored, clearly the core business remains the search engine and the revenues from the ads generated, also pay attention to the technology used in the Stadia project; it could be resold under license to other giants of the video game industry.
In conclusion, very negative earnings could push the price towards the $70 level, where I would increase my position.
Targets:
short: get out now
medium: 115-120$
long : $151
Happy trading
Lazy Bull
NASDAQ 100 Index approaching 200 day moving averageTesla, Meta, Google and Disney all higher last 5 days
MARKET TALK
Big tech up sharply during the last 5 days, are investors discounting the “pending” recession and betting on the strength of the US consumer to support big tech earnings throughout 2023?
Tesla: up +9.43% last 5 days; earnings beats the street reported record revenue for Q4 2022
Meta: up +5.75% last 5 days; earnings due out on February 2nd; estimate to earn $1.5 per share against previous actual earnings of $1.64 per share (EPS)
Google: up +7.02% last 5 days; are the recent headcount and cost reductions good for shareholders?
Walt Disney : up + 6.10 % last 5 days; reports earnings on 8th of February; estimate to earn $0.8012 cents per share against the $0.3 cents per share earned during previous earnings period
TECHNICAL COMMENTARY
NASDAQ 100 Index (US 100 CFD)
Faceing hard resistance at its 200 day moving average….can the prevailing short term uptrend remain intact?
Multi week higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicate a prevailing short term uptrend (5-13 days), the index faces strong resistance around the 200 day moving average spotted near to the $11,950 (round number) while downside very short term (1-5 days) support seen at $11,740 and $11,550; provided price can hold above these supports or manage to break above its 200 day moving average (see chart) the prospects favor a continuation of the prevailing uptrend for short term (14-25 days) upside potential targets towards the $12,420s.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Big Tech woes lead to layoffs, resulting in stock surgeOver recent months, Silicon Valley has been struggling to keep its position as an endlessly burgeoning region of massive profits and possibilities.
Technology stocks listed on NASDAQ have been decreasing in value, making the chart pattern for the NASDAQ Composite Index quite sobering reading.
Indeed, so severely have the tables turned on Silicon Valley's 'big tech' giants that European stock markets, with their legacy companies which have been in establishment for in some cases hundreds of years, have been outperforming the giants of the electronic revolution for many months.
Something had to give, and yesterday some of the most popularly traded companies in North America's big tech sector began to announce significant redundancies of staff.
Following last week's well publicized redundancies at Alphabet, Google's holding company, there have been more wounded tech firms following suit.
The layoffs at Google actually had a positive effect on stock values, and now other firms in a similar position are announcing their intention to go down a similar path.
Swedish music streaming service Spotify witnessed its shares rally yesteda as it announced its plan to cut hundreds of jobs to help rein in costs.
Shares of Alphabet rocketed at the end of last week, jumping 5% and adding more than $50 billion in market value, following the tech giant’s decision to lay off 12,000 workers on Friday, demonstrating that it had overspent and grown its business to rapidly since the 'e-commerce revolution' which took place in 2020 when many Western governments locked their populations down.
This appears to be a proven strategy, as those with a keen eye who have been monitoring the performance of Meta (previously known as Facebook) will have noticed that its shares have skyrocketed about 50% since the firm announced in November it would cut more than 11,000 jobs.
Silicon Valley was notoriously bloated, and many highly paid staff were allegedly sitting in vacation homes and refusing to come to the office during 2021. The tables are now turning, and the need to keep shareholders happy appears to be paramount at last.
Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.
Google Analysis 22.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
GOOGL Potential for Bearish Continuation| 13th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GOOGL is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 91.61, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 99.53, where the minor high and 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Google WXY Pattern Targeting A $74 TestIn this update we review the recent price action in Google and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
$GOOG CONSOLIDATIONThere’s a few possibilities for GOOG here:
1. Forming a consolidating Pennant/Flag
or
2. Forming a Double bottom
Google Stock is DecliningGoogle is on a Downtrend since the beginning of 2022.
Now it's a good opportunity to jump on the trend at the level of 209 MA.
There is a huge R/R of 1/4.
the potential Targets could be 78.6% Fibonacci level and as second Target 100% Fibonacci level.
Google - Bullish Harmonic The tech stocks witnessed deep corrections of over 30% on Nasdaq.
Nasdaq was one of the most underperforming indices in US and the bearish momentum prolongs on the first day of 2023.
The Bullish Harmonic pattern on $Goog confirmed the reversal but today's dip seems an opportunity to go long.
The pattern negates on breach of $80.
GOOGLE STOP BLEEDING???? According to Elliot wave
-Wave 3 is @ 161% fib extension of wave 1 and 2 ( Usually the wave 3 is extended to the direction of the overall trend, so use caution)
(IF WE DO NOT GET A REVERSAL TOMORROW AND WE DUMP AND BREAK WAVE 5 SUPPORT WAVE 5 COULD BE WAVE 3) Extended
-Wave 5 is usually the length of wave 1 or extension of wave 3 and 4 @ at the 61% extension PRICE $96
-Wave 5 retracement levels 38% 51% 61% ($117, $124, $131)
-!I think we get relief rally tomorrow!
-I think the inflation data will be lower than expected due to oil prices being lower (energy sector)
-BUT more pain ahead so take profits
