My HIGHEST CONVICTION trades of 2022 - Amazon and GoogleThis is the chart video for my Best of Us Investors production detailing why I put Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and Google NASDAQ:GOOG as my highest conviction trades of 2022. The past tech stock splits of Apple NASDAQ:AAPL Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA and NVidia NASDAQ:NVDA inform my thesis going into these future splits.
$GOOGL: Google will break! After almost all the Big TEchs have been strongly corrected, there is only one left that has not been corrected. And that is Google!
I think a correction will follow in the coming days/weeks. The market situation remains bad and Google could use a correction.
In any case, I am preparing for a potential short if there is a retest after the breakout. Let's hope for the best.
Alphabet Trend Briefing - 24th March. 2022When looking at a combination of indicators on the 15-minutes chart that best represents Alphabet's recent volatility, Mutiple kind of resistance line was found. When examining the minimum threshold for MACD and RSI, it shows strong support at the $2518 level. Using the red line as a stepping stone, stock prices are currently active around the yellow line at the $2674. Additionally, It is speculated that the first downside is not the real downside on the indicator.
📈Google: Nothing Special at the momentHi Everyone!
Hope all is well on this lovely Thursday morning. Here is a brief outlook on google stocks at the moment.
As you can see we are currently in a descending triangle
So there is nothing interesting happening at the moment that has caught our attention, however there are two zones we are looking at for possible trade setups.
We are either looking for a move up to the $2700 - $2800 zone or a move down to the $2500 - $2400 zone. Until then there is not much for us to but to wait patently for price to get to these zones. For those looking to buy and sell the chart pattern look for rejections or support on the trendlines.
Happy Trading,
Wolf Pack team.
Google: Buy SupportAlphabet - Short Term - We look to Buy at 2511.77 (stop at 2443.90)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Previous support located at 2500.00. The medium term bias remains bullish. Although this gives the medium term bias a mild bearish edge, we expect intraday trading to continue to be mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 2719.44 and 2826.06
Resistance: 2700.00 / 2850.00 / 3000.00
Support: 2500.00 / 2400.00 / 2220.00
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How to look for Shorts in my Trading System (GOOG Double Top)Hello guys, welcome to my first Trade Idea published here on Trading View!
Right of the bat I apologize for if my english was hard to comprehend at any time, feel free to leave questions down in the comments if there's something you haven't understood.
As to the idea, it is based on my very simple trading system, in which I do as follows:
Look for congruences between the EMAs, my RSI Zones indicator and my personal technical analysis of the chart, to find important supports and resistances .
Look for Price Action patterns near the support or resistance, such as Double Tops or Bottoms, Pullbacks after the breakout of a pattern, or Inside and Outside Bars.
Try to find congruent fibonacci measurements that point to the same price target. (In the video I give examples of how to draw targets from pivots and flags, in that order)
Then I just look for a previous high for my stoploss, and enter the trade!
It might take a while to get used to, but I find this system very reliable and simple. As it doesn't generate a huge amount of trades, it also helps me keep my risk managent and trading psychology under control.
Hope you liked it, and if you did make sure to like, comment, and check out my RSI Supply / Demand Zones indicator!
Google getting smaller. GOOGLImmediate targets 2505,2384. Invalidation 3248.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the US company Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) at daily chart. Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational technology conglomerate holding company. It was created through a restructuring of Google on October 2, 2015, and became the parent company of Google and several former Google subsidiaries. It is one of the Big Five American information technology companies, alongside Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 10/03/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 8 days towards 2 815.67 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 2 517.22 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Google is in talks to buy cybersecurity consultancy Mandiant, which two years ago discovered the infamous SolarWinds hack, according to a person with knowledge of the discussion. A deal could bolster Google’s cloud computing business, which generates more than $19 billion annually but has been losing billions of dollars a year, and help it compete with bigger rival Microsoft, which also is reportedly interested in buying Mandiant.
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Google (GOOGL) |The best area to climb🔥Hello traders, Google in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The waves that we counted are the main waves 1 and 2 and the rest of the waves are related to the microwaves of the main wave 3.
From these microwaves, waves 1 and 2 are over and now we are inside wave 3.
Wave 3 itself forms wave 4 at a lower level.
This wave 4 can be counted as triangles and flats, and both patterns are probably in their last microwave.
It is expected that after one descent, correction and another descent, an upward movement corresponding to a 5 out of 3 out of 3 wave will be formed, and this movement will be confirmed after breaking the upper side of the channel.
But if this channel is broken, the counting will be fielded downwards and an upward movement will take place in another area.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
GOOGLE Excellent long-term buy opportunity for a $5000 target. GOOG has been trading around its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past weeks. The Ukraine - Russia war has managed to keep the stock on those low levels, longer than it should but this is a position Google is familiar with.
Ever since the beginning of its trading, the stock has been experiencing phases of growth and then pull-backs to the 1W MA50. Only during the peak of the U.S. - China trade war and the COVID crash, did the price manage to break considerably lower (still the 1W MA200/ orange trend-line supported).
As you see on the chart, every time the 1W RSI prints a Lower Highs sequence, GOOG posts the same Channel Down pattern to the 1W MA50. In all past cases, the price recovered and expanded rapidly to make new Highs on the next Fibonacci extension. The most recent All Time High (ATH) was just below the 4.0 Fib ext. Technically next to fill is the 5.0 Fib which is around the $5000 mark. That is our target for the next expansion cycle that should peak within 2023.
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GOOG (Google), Potential for bullish Bounce | 8th March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 2499.25 in line with horizontal swing low support level towards our Take Profit at 2226.73 in line with 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement. Technical indicators are supporting our bullish bias.
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Alphabet / Google (GOOGL) - DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueThis valuation analysis is based on a base case scenario DCF model.
Google DCF Model Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 16.2%
Discount Rate = 8.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
Transaction Date = 05/02/2022
Fiscal Year End = 31/12/2022
Current Price = 2,865.86
Shares Outstanding = 662
Debt = 26,206
Cash = 20,945
Capex = 24,640
Base Case Scenario:
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 18%, 16%, 14%, 13%, 12%. These revenue growth assumptions are slightly below the analysts' forecasts at the time of analysis.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $196,262
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $2,453,270
Intrinsic Value:
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,986,779
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = $1,981,518
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,992.69
DCF (5Y) GROWTH EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast FCFf (m) = $119,494
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $1,902,831
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,616,256
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = 1,610,995
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,433.09
DISCLAIMER:
All information and analysis are based on the author's views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing. Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information's reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors.
Any actions taken based on this information is strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information here or its website.
DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in GOOGL. We do not intend on altering this position in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
Predicting further drops on Google. GOOGGoals 2504, 2359, 2279. Invalidation at 2955 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Tech stocks that give you more than 50% returns in 1 year !There are tech stocks and there are TECH stocks ! If you have bought Amazon in 2021 Jan, by now , you will be earning a pathetic 5% returns at most.
However, the same pot of money pour into Google would gives you 10 fold more , that is 51% returns for the same time period.
So, diversification is key here as we cannot predict with certainty the future performance of a company. With Climate change, technological advancement, Omicron variant and the macroeconomic policies all rolling in, it can be quite a task to find the real gems. But once you identify it, ride it to the moon.
Navigating through a Bear MarketThis is not financial advice
Regression Overall Trend
Lower lows and Lower highs since beginning of November,
Short/Sell when it goes above blue line and Buy/Long below red line. you may also use the red middle line as support/ resistance
Stoploss if it breaks significantly above/below
Ucoming catalyst
US CPI Numbers
FOMC
State of mortgages/housing
BIG POST! Technical Analysis of 75 Stocks From The S&P 500 List!Hi followers and other TradingView users,
Baron Rothschild, a British banker and politician from a wealthy family, once said that the best time to buy is “when there is blood in the streets.” In simple words, when everyone else is selling, it's a great time to fill your portfolio.
At the moment, there have been quite scary times considering the current situation around Ukraine, plus S&P500 futures made a small break below 4300 , which might open the doors to lower prices. Actually, it is great because it can also open the doors to lower price levels for individual stocks as well.
Considering the potential "threat" to decline, I took over the entire SP500 list and analyzed all of them!! Those that caught my eye did a technical analysis to find the optimal entry points. Quite a lot of work, but I thought to share it with you guys as well, maybe you may find something useful here.
"Buy when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
The best stocks to invest in are the ones already existing in your portfolio. Maybe they are trading at lower prices, and your portfolio is in red. However, they are still the best options available to you. Why? If your's and your company's thesis are the same then you have already analyzed those stocks, and they are still in your portfolio only because you’re confident that they will perform well in the future. Then why not invest more in such stocks when they are down. As I have said previously take it as "SALE" in the mall. Look into your portfolio and find out those stocks which are currently trading at a cheaper price, hopefully, you find something from here as well.
Now, to talk about my given stocks below. These are just technical analyses, I can give the optimal entry prices for each one but you have to do your own fundamental analysis for them. One of my favorite "quote" about both analysis: Fundamental analysis tells you WHAT to buy, technical analysis tells you WHEN to buy. So, I share some ideas from where you can buy certain stocks but do your homework and do the fundamental analysis, do not follow them blindly!
In this post, you can find breakout opportunities to buy the strength after certain price levels have broken. Here are buying zones after corrections and some bigger names I have pointed out some price levels from where you can buy every dip to build up your long-term portfolio.
Use partial entries, long-term position builders can enter into certain stocks after it has reached inside the shown box and buy more if they should fall lower from the initial entry to average the entry price. Mid-term investors should start to build their positions somewhere in the middle of boxes.
Love it or hate it but here they are...
1) Apple (AAPL) - Buy the dip.
2) Adobe (ADBE)
3) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
4) Amazone (AMZN)
5) Arista Network (ANET)
6) Aptiv PLC (APTV)
7) American Express (AXP) - Buy the dip.
8) Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO)
9) BlackRock (BLK)
10) Ball Corporation (BLL)
11) Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) - Buy the dip.
12) Cardinal Health (CAH)
13) Ceridian HCM Holding (CDAY)
14) Charter Communications (CHTR)
15) Comcast Corp. (CMCSA)
16) Cummins (CMI)
17) Salesforce.com (CRM)
18) Cisco Systems (CSCO)
19) Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
20) Devon Energy (DVN)
21) Electric Arts (EA)
22) eBay (EBAY)
23) Enphase Energy (ENPH)
24) Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)
25) Meta Platforms (FB)
26) FedEx (FDX)
27) First Republic Bank (FRC)
28) General Motors (GM)
29) Alphabet (GOOG)
30) Genuine Parts (GPC)
31) Goldman Sachs (GS)
32) Hormel Foods (HRL)
33) Intel (INTC)
34) Ingersoll Rand (IR)
35) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
36) Johnson Controls International (JCI)
37) Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Buy the dip.
38) CarMax (KMX)
39) Kroger Company (KR)
40) Lennar Corp. (LEN)
41) LKQ Corp. (LKQ)
42) Southwest Airlines (LUV)
43) Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
44) Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)
45) Altria Group (MO)
46) Moderna (MRNA)
47) Morgan Stanley (MS)
48) Microsoft (MSFT) - Load it up ;)
49) Match Group (MTCH)
50) Netflix (NFLX)
51) NRG Energy (NRG)
52) NVIDIA (NVDA)
53) NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
54) Pfizer (PFE)
55) PerkinElmer
56) Pentair (PNR)
57) Public Storage (PSA)
58) PayPal (PYPL)
59) Qorvo (QRVO)
60) Rockwell Automation (ROK)
61) Rollins (ROL)
62) Snap-On Incorporated (SNA)
63) Seagate Technology (STX)
64) Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)
65) TE Connectivity (TEL)
66) Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
67) Trimble (TRMB)
68) Tesla (TSLA) - You can buy it now but save some ammo for lower prices!
69) Train Technologies (TT)
70) Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO)
71) United Rentals (URI)
72) Waters Corp. (WAT)
73) Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
74) Xylem (XYL)
75) Autodesk (ADSK)
And that's all. Some may say and think that some of the given prices will never reach these zones. I would like to tell them - whatever! At least we are prepared, and if something bigger could happen with to the stock market, those who are prepared will win, because in March 2020 the bottom was made in just a few days.
Prepare, wait, aim, and shoot!
Do your homework!!
Regards,
Vaido
GOOGLE STOCK MID TERM ANALYSISGOOGLE, just like virtually every other tech stock has had an outrageous run in 2020-2021, but is showing increased signs of weakness. Trend line is broken on both the weekly and monthly time frames, and technical indicators show bearish divergences across the board. In addition, growing fears of a Russian invasion in Ukraine don't make matters any better. Going short, this is another no brainer to me.
TP 1: $2200
TP 2: $1700