Googletrends
BTCUSD - Uncertain situationWell, I am really not sure what is going to happen the next days.
The BTC indicators I am currently seeing are:
- Fear and Greed Indicator is very low and 5-10 levels normally is a good buying opportunity
- Bitcoin on Google Trends is rising very fast, which could potentially mean a rising interest
- If we keep that level, this could be the biggest triangle and continuation I have ever seen. For that reason, I will keep my leveraged long open, just in case we skyrocket in seconds.
- Having lost important EMAs, we could as well be in a bigger bearish channel or something similar, that's why I'm saying that I really don't know which side to take position on.
- The 1h chart is contracting, which let's me believe, that there is going to be some action very very soon.
Overall market signals that I see:
- Not just stock markets have lost value, so did Gold. Which leads me to think that an economic crisis is on it's way. These would not end well for Bitcoin either.
- The inverted yield curve (cross from 2 year and 10 year treasury bonds) triggered already, which historically has always been the start of a recession.
- I expect certain markets such as DJI to recover a bit (maybe to 23500) and this could push us back up for a while. On the other hand, I don't believe in it too much, because COVID-19 is not yet over and this negates the pull-back IMO.
- The altcoin market has the potential to drop to 14B, which would be another 65% drop or around 40B of lost money.
If COVID-19 is not rapidly gone from mother earth or at least made treatable, markets are going to bleed more and more till the day we manage it.
It is probably better to stay on the sideline with bigger positions.
Changes in the bitcoin price predictions with google trends. I see, it exists alredy some changes of the behavior of google trends vs. bitcoin price ...
1.) The price falled in November 2018 AND the people wanted to know - Why?
2.) If the interesting falling (google trends lowers), some (big) investors trying to buy a big chunk - it results in a slowly (!!!) deflation... ((they don't want a hype!!! They are clever... They trying to regulate it... The Trustee at MtGox don't moved the remaining 165000 bitcoins to the market - so I am neutral with a little LONG of course. I investing already in ALTcoins again. Every bitcoin hype followed by an ALTcoin hype... But we have some ALT already, they are near to bitcoin: Bitcoin CASH, Bitcoin GOLD, ... AND RSK Smart Bitcoin :D But my favourites: Obyte (with DAG), Ignis, Ardor, ...))
Please see my post on the bitcoinlak also about this changes in the price analyse. I am ifinta on the bitcointalk.org since 2011. Please use my UNLICENCED ideas :) from bitcointalk.org also...
bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=28645;sa=showPosts
I use google trends in analyse since ~2013... I published this kind of price prediction here in Nov. 2015 :)
Bitcoin Google Trend Phrases Compared to Price Action.Google trends is commonly used to determine seasonality of a particular topic. The tool allows for the tracking of various words and phrases that are typed into Google's search-box. By researching phrases like “Bitcoin”, “Buy bitcoin” and “Sell bitcoin” an overview of potential new market users and general interest of the outside world can be obtained. The chart illustrates the use of these three phrases and compares it with price action and volume of the past year.
Orange Line: “Bitcoin”
Green Line: “Buy Bitcoin”
Blue Line: “Sell Bitcoin”
Worldwide weekly chart data is collected from google trends from 21 January 2018 up to 13 January 2019. Trend data is normalized and make fit on the price chart. The term “bitcoin” is searched much more extensive than that of “buy bitcoin” or “sell bitcoin”.
Note how the “bitcoin” phrase trend raised during the fall from 6K in November 2018, but steadily decreased since then. Also note how the "sell bitcoin" phrase has raised in the last weeks.
I would appreciate the likes if you found this interesting.
DISCA Contracting, possible BUY.This trade may be difficult to enter, but if it sets up right we can a good trade. I am waiting for a break from my triangle lines, expecting that to happen around or near Earnings Release.