Gpb
GBP/JPY - The Yen fallsSome time has passed since we reviewed the situation on the GBP/JPY pair. The reason for the review is the recent demand for it.
First of all the descending triangle pattern was broken. The reason now is clear, as there exists a dominant channel down pattern. The lower trend line of the channel provided the support needed for the Pound the rebound against the Japanese Yen.
In the aftermath of the rebound a short term ascending channel has been revealing itself.
GBPUSD INTRADAY TRADE SETUPGBPUSD is within an important sell-zone (fibs) + long-term downtrend + MACD looking to make lower lows + near resistance.
TRIGGER: If the uptrend line breaks, go short targeting next support level.
Trade becomes invalid on break of resistance.
==============================
ELEMONT FX
Experienced Proprietary Traders
==============================
FACEBOOK: goo.gl
BTC WEEKLY CHART: "The Panic Zone" The End of the WorldThe folks at Tradingview recommended using a catchy title. If the end of the world doesn't catch your attention then probably nothing will. This end of the world is probably not as endy as, say, Y2K where the only safe place to be was on top of the active volcano Mt. Shasta. It's just the end of the road for Deutsche Bank and the current basket of currencies deemed worthy by the IMF. Notice Bitcoin is not included. Feel the bias? Jim Rickards is predicting a currencyapolypse on September 30. Well, he's got a newsletter to sell. Will it really happen? He must be looking at my bitcoin chart because we agree on the date for a tide change.
Let's talk wedgy. Next week there is a trend convergence. The down trend emanating from the 2013 blow off top (blue solid trend line) and the current up trend (red hash trend line). I predict a break out up or down out of the wedge not sideways. What are the chances for a down breakout? There's no bad Bitcoin news. No problems with the blockchain. Bitfinex is healing with the BFX token gaining value. New exchanges opening around the world with the most significant being Mexico. I think the chance for downside breakout is minimal. What are the chances for an upside breakout? China is kicking up a storm. Japan is scrambling fighter jets. Another Yuan devaluation is rumoured. The US and Russia are threatening to radiate each other over Syria. Deutsche bailout is all but assured. This will devalue the Euro instantly. The IMF is threatening to dilute the USD reserve currency status. So, if the Euro and USD devalue at the same time does that make the Brexited GBP and gold more valuable? Whatever! There is huge upward pressure on Bitcoin if any or all happen.
I predict a BTC price rise to $750 by February is in the cards. By then we will know which clown will be President. All currency and metal vibration from that event will settle back to the fiscal reality of disaster ahead. Neither of the leading clowns knows how to solve the US financial problem.
Technically the Stochastic oscillator has bottomed!
Or, the solar storm heading our way could make all the volcanoes erupt at the same time completely upending the climate change agreement and Governor Jerry Browns assault on bovine flatulence. So be it... The end of the world is nigh.
GBPJPY - Approaching a perfect buy or sell situationDragon approaching a weekly resistance.
Just like GN a line had been on both sides been respected and bull power seemed to ease of on friday suggesting maybe its overbought and a short term retrace is on the cards.
I will be monitoring the action around the trendline and should price fail to break it throughout the week a short position back to support could be taken.
We are looking as well at the 140 area (price seemed to form a double bottom). Should Bulls take price beyond that level there is no doubt that 150 is the target as Bank Of Japan would love a weaker yen.
Based on the promise of a weaker yen, I will remain long term BULLISH on this pair but I am not discounting a retrace below the trend line to form a triple bottomed bull charge to the top.
High volatility has made this pair one of my favourite to swing trade.
Trade safely :)
GBPJPY : Timing the SELL SignalHello, guys
Here is my trading plan today
Waiting this candle stick for confirm downtrend
IF it is end of wave B, it will go to wave C (1-2-3-4-5)
Waiting for Wave 3 of C (easy trade)
IF still go up it can go to 61.8 and 78.6
Trade carefully , I bet first around this price (Fibo=50%)
COMING BACK TO TEST UNBROKEN SUPPORTPRICE IS MAKING ITS WAY BACK DOWN TO A CRUCIAL AREA A BREAK OF THIS LEVEL WILL SEND THIS PAIR INTO UNKOWN TERRITORY THUS CAUSING A PANICK, I THINK BUYERS WILL HAVE ENOUGH STRENGTH TO PUSH THIS BACK UPWARDS.
IF SO WE ARE AT AN AREA WHERE WE COULD POTENTIALY FIND A BRILLENT BUY SET UP
PLEASE FEEL FREE TO AD YOUR VIEWS AND OPINIONS
GBPUSD: Correction will continue for a whilePair was giving a trouble lot, we expected down trend after had channel breakout. But we were wrong and that breakout was just shallow wave B. However, same time this mess is clear now and we have more visibility of this pair move. We are expecting price to test 200 SMA on 240min chart and same time possibly we will re-test the bearish trend line.
FX CHART OF THE DAY: GBPUSD MEAN REVERTION DOWNWARDS TRADEGBPUSD is on risk of mean revertion downwards trade.
Price is tagging upper 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean) from inside amid compressing volatility (measured by 3.2 standard deviations)
Traders can take short positions at the 1st standard deviation (1.5450) with stop above relevant highs (1.5485) and targeting the weekly mean (now at 1.5365)
There are no major news incoming on Monday, so no extra volatility is expected...