Wheat Technicals: Wheat futures came within a stone's throw of 4-star support overnight, we've had that labeled as 1027 1/4-1034 1/4, the low was 1036 1/2. If you're Bullish (we aren't) that is a good spot to consider buying as the risk is fairly well defined. A break and close below that pocket could open the door for a break back below $10.00 and below, with...
Corn Seasonal Trends in Play: Short September corn from 6/13-7/27. This has been profitable for 13 of the last 15 years with the average gain being roughly 33 cents, or $1,650 per one 5,000-bushel contract. Technicals: Corn futures were able to defend the previous day's low during yesterday's session but didn't do much to change the technical outlook. Our pivot...
Corn Fundamentals: Yesterday’s weekly Crop Progress report showed corn is 97% planted, 88% emerged, and Good/Excellent conditions at 72%. All within the range of expectations. Yesterday’s weekly export inspections came in at 1,199,976. This was also within the range of expectations. Dr. Cordonnier increased Brazilian corn production by 3mmt to 110mmt. The USDA is...
Wheat Technicals (July): More of the same for wheat, as we continue to trade in a range, albeit a wide range. Wheat futures continue to chop around from about 1030 on the low end and 1100 on the high end. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could pop or drop the market 50 cents relatively quickly. Our bias is Neutral at the moment, but we would be looking to...
Wheat has been en Fuego... contributing to my ancient grain Bagels now cost $24 a dozen. Dave's Bread... $7.29 a loaf for 21 Grains. Lovely, nothing to see here, brad lines perhaps are lining up. ______________________________________________________ Perhaps when it hits $10... For now, the Global Supplies of Grains is at near historic lows.
Wheat has been the most volatile commodity since the war started and we have fallen back to $1000 as peace talks improved. Similar to Oil though peace will not fix the supply/demand issues with Ukraine and Russia accounting for 30% of wheat exports. The consolidation period is likely over and if we can get some positive price action more buyers are likely to...
A five-wave recovery on corn (March 2022) from 585'2 level suggests more upside on a larger scale, however after a three-wave correction a-b-c as bigger wave 2. Sub-wave v of 1 can be completed at the 619 high, in that case we will see a drop below the lower parallel channel line, which will be an indication that wave 1 is finished, and a three-wave corection as...
Took positions in BG last year, & ended up trading out too soon. Here is a good dip & options are cheap, not trading advice just a MACRO play. As long as food prices are going up & Russian Export Taxes are increasing then Wheat Grain & Biofuels might still be valid fundamentally. Bunge is a global player so please check out their Fundamentals, SEC Filings &...
I read some stuff on social media bashing General Mills about price increases. While I don't agree with corporate greed, rising prices and outlandish CEO pay, I also don't agree with sitting back & doing nothing. I don't have all the answers but I did get into supply side trades last year. I wont give away all the details, but not buying the obvious things that...
my eoy target is above 1000$. i have been following wheat for one year now lets see if we can reach all times high this year.
BG long term plan - short in Sept-Oct 2021 at 95 area. Expect to see -80% downside from peak to low. Looks like commodities won't be feeling well in 2022.
this is an idea based on fundamental and technical analysis, we are at a potential buy setup as the fundamentals(the report referred) suggest a minor supply and bad planting timing of the crop. it has to be remarked to read the comment of the acreage report at the end of the document and understand how the crop grows. if focused only on the first page of the...
This stock buys you land all over South America. 319,000 Hectares between Brazil and Paraguay, just to name a few (mostly in Brazil). Exposure to an incredible emerging market. Exposure to commodities long term (grain and sugar mostly, cattle as well) Management is a powerhouse. JP Morgan owns 7% of the float. George Soros made this company happen. Google...
Soybean has been a tough market for those traders seeking volatility as it has been on a “wait-and-see” mode for a couple of month now. I do not expect any major movement on the short/mid run; however, I do see a possibility to “widen” the current trading range. The wave counting above suggests that a B wave would be completed (or nearly completed) and a possible...
(Forgive the terrible joke, but I couldn’t hold myself). The 50% retracement on Corn suggests that a minor correction would be over making possible an “a-b-c” counting thus getting ready to resume the upward trend. However, at this point in time, it would be wise to keep an alternate count in sight as this correction could easily (and most likely, in my opinion)...
This long term top performer is now safely into uncharted territory.and appears to be a low risk BUY.