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Southern Company Stock Analysis (SO)Basic Facts: Southern Company is itself a holding organization who owns all of the Common Stock for Alabama Power, Georgia Power, Mississippi Power, and Southern Gas; all of which are publically operating utilities. Southern’s other holdings include Natural Gas Distribution, Marketing, Wholesale services, and pipeline investments. Growth Factors: The total customers served under Southern’s (SO) area are about 4.5 million. This looks to be one of the largest areas of growth for the next decade. The recent pandemic has forced many people to re-evaluate what they want out of life. Contemplation has resulted in a mass exodus from northern states to southern states (see census data) as many freedom sensitive and financially cognizant individuals seek more accommodative socio-economic environments. I see this trend to continue as COVID transforms from a persistent threat to a source of past-trauma and driver of personal reflection. The trend of “realization” will, in all likelihood, continue and grow to a nexus in the next couple years. This may well increase Southern’s customer base by an order of magnitude over the next decade. The number of customers will grow until economic pressures force northern and liberal states to seek conformity with their more free counterparts. I think these pressures will need to persist for ten years before changes in these sates become apparent enough to soften demand for family and individual relocation. Demand for Green Energy isn’t subsiding. Common notions of “green” energy typically involve: Solar, wind, and natural gas. Southern has a large presence in the Natural Gas industry along with very accommodative infrastructure and buy-back policies for solar generation. Political environment and other entities with SO’s area (Transmission entities, EMC’s, and Power Co-ops) are also accommodative to Solar Generation through buy-backs and Green Energy purchasing programs. These will bode well against the persistent narrative in favor of green energy. SO’s interest in the Vogtle Units 3 and 4 also paints a very good picture for the future of net-zero carbon emitting generation. Commonly repeated negativity surrounding the numerous cost over-runs and delays surrounding construction of the Units are, in my opinion, vastly over-stated. The new Vogtle Units are state-of-the-art (new cooling technology and new style Westinghouse alternator). Most of what’s being done at Vogtle has never been done before in scope, scale, or timeline. The bankruptcy of Westinghouse (the manufacturer of the alternator used for Units 3 & 4) also stretched expected completion date. Considering these pressures, miscalculations in costs and timelines are to be expected. However, I believe most investors have priced in delays within the present stock’s price (~$61.00 per share). I treat the inclusion of expanding Nuclear generation in my bullish assessment of Southern’s stock because, as the amount of traditional green energy (Solar and Wind) increases as a percentage of effective generation, it will become painfully clear the system becomes more fragile in exponential proportion to the amount of “green” generation expressed. Protecting the system against itself when this proportion of expressed green generation is large remains an evolving science. Many substations are adding high-voltage reactors to provide inertial frames for fault detecting relays but this will likely not be enough to appropriately protect the electric system. This will make classic rotating machines (steam turbines) necessary to provide base-generation and system stability (this is not opinion, but fact). Nuclear power is also cheaper to generate though maintenance costs can be substantive (there are few things more complex than steam turbines). This will create an economic pressure for Southern to generate more power through their nuclear units as other utilities looking to buy power off the wholesale markets demand the cheaper energy (this is my opinion). Monetary Environment: In the age of Central Bank debt jubilation it’s always appropriate to consider the actions of the Federal Reserve into one’s evaluation of American equities. This is no different for my evaluation of Southern Company. The Fed has provided markets with liquidity ad nauseam. This was true even before the repo crisis of summer 2019 and the liquidity crisis of March 2020. Looking at the chart, one can see the precipitous rise of SO’s stock price throughout 2019 as the Effective Federal Funds Rate (in purple) decreased rapidly in the aftermath of the “taper tantrum” in 2018. As the Fed has driven down the effective interest rate and costs of capital, investors can expect more capital appreciation for each dollar invested into financial markets. This has resulted in speculative waves in tech and other growth sectors which themselves have bred things like “meme stocks” and ESG investors. Narrative and “hopium” have become more significant than cash flow and asset valuations. This fact makes my present valuation of most equities included within the S&P remarkably over-bought and “bubbly” (death-gaze on TSLA). Over time, debt can never remain solvent at the present levels. The Fed will have to taper eventually and, once it does, capital will fly at super-sonic speeds away from growth investments (Amazon, Apple, Tesla, NVidia, and the tech industry as a whole) to value investments, like SO. This will not necessarily result in a rise in the stock’s price but those who are already positioned in value stocks once the Fed tapers will sleep easily. Stock Price: I expect the utility sector to languish through the summer as monetary conditions will remain accommodating throughout the rest of 2021. I don’t expect a rise of the stock price above $67.00 throughout the summer with no breakout above $70.00 for 2021. The short-term trend of SO is bearish with the equity in a noticeable downtrend. However, SO is approaching the lower bound of a regression trend with a buy price of $60.50. A longer-term regression trend shows a bullish trend with the present price approaching the lower bound of that trend as well. SO will need to hold $60.00 as a resistance. If this resistance fails the next price target would be $57.35. My longerm (3-10 years) valuations is: BULLISH
NYSE:SOLong
by forever_green
5
TESLA in 2020 vs APPLE in 2000, what if..I tried to compare the 2020 Telsa bull run vs apple during the dot com crisis what if we are in an EV bubble that is comparable to the dot bubble? could we predict how it will go this time? as we saw in 2000, the internet was intended to become a great thing, but not yet. what if the EV is intended to become a great thing, but not today? maybe in 20 years from now? I suggest you look for other stocks related to EV, green energy, and all the trendis right now, and by comparing those with the FAANG in the dot com bubble.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by camelot0707
1
Earth Day 2021Earth has gone through many transformations during the 4.543 billion years or so it's been around and will continue to do long after we're gone. One thing is certain — if we plan to inhabit this beautiful place for as long as possible we need to take better care of it. There are many ways we can all do our part to help improve the prospects for Earth's future, as well as for ourselves and thousands of other species. Investing in "green" companies just might be a great way to do it. Below are a few stocks possibly worth a look and you might even be helping the planet in the process. *note* it could be debatable what constitutes an entity as "environmentally friendly" and that includes the companies listed below; take it with a grain of salt and always do your research. UNITED NATURAL FOODS • 189% 1YR United Natural Foods, Inc. engages in the distribution of natural, organic, and specialty foods and non-food products WHERE FOOD COMES FROM NASDAQ:WFCF • 114.29% 1YR Where Food Comes From, Inc. engages in the provision of food production audits. It uses rigorous verification processes to ensure that claims made by food producers and processors are accurate. It operates through the following segments: Verification and Certification, Software Sales and Related Consulting, and Other. SHARP COMPLIANCE CORP NASDAQ:SMED • 100.78% 1YR Sharps Compliance Corp. engages in the provision of healthcare waste management services including medical, pharmaceutical, and hazardous. It focuses on developing management solutions for medical waste and unused dispensed medications generated by small and medium quantity generators. GFL ENVIRONMENTAL INC NYSE:GFL • 117.09% 1YR GFL Environmental, Inc. engages in the provision of ecological solutions. It operates through the following segments: Solid Waste, Infrastructure and Soil Remediation, Liquid Waste, and Corporate. GENERAL ELECTRIC CO NYSE:GE • 101.54% General Electric Co. engages in the provision of technology and financial services. It operates through the following segments: Power, Renewable Energy, Aviation, Healthcare, and Capital. TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC NYSE:TT • 108% 1YR Trane Technologies Plc engages in the provision of products, services, and solutions to enhance the quality, energy, and comfort of air in homes and buildings, transport and protect food and perishables and increase industrial productivity and efficiency. Know of any great "green" companies with promise? List them in the comments! About this chart: I used a decade old magic mouse to manually draw the Earth artwork shown on this chart. It took somewhere around 3-4 hours total drawing time and hundreds of individual lines which make up the design. If you guys and gals like my work and want more please feel free to give a thumbs up or if you're feeling super generous you can donate at any of the addresses listed below. Thank you for stopping by and until next time be safe :) BTC : 3QLbp6TduZwHEL7UBFXY8gvgC2V1h1pb6a ETH : 0x4e562172A5411452528DE43f882b2e3aE4655820 ALGO : Z2AOOJOFRX233JL7PMOOWQYWHFX5JFSG5XZ24DRXTRSXC5B26JXPLT6DMA
NYSE:UNFI
by ParityError
Potential parabolic growth beyond the line of least resistance.Pleas see complete sector analysis below. Here is an analysis on the hydrogen fuel cells, which is a part of Clean Energy campaign (solar, electric vehicles, hydrogen- this sector is encapsulated in etf- CNRG)... within this, solar and fuel cells are truly clean energy. Electric vehicles still run on electricity produced by coal. so the definition of clean energy is either carbon-neutral or negative. Nuclear should clearly qualify as is carbon neutral, but is not deemed clean. (sorry for this jargon... now to the point)... Fuel cells are considered a major future source of energy, with thousands of patents claimed every year. (search "Fuel-cell patent applications per year") A new etf was launched in march 2021, to reflect the HYDROGEN energy sector, which essentially is largely fuel cells. See the HYDRO line in the chart. In this chart you can see PLUG is a major player. the second largest players is FCELL. PLUG uses very expensive catalysts to generate energy.. so their technology is not really commercialized.. major car companies have spend lots of time with them. The chart compares FCELL vs SPY, the new HYDRO ETF, clean energy etf CNRG, and its peers in the sector PLUG and BLDP (not competition as they do not serve same markets). FCELL has outperformed all these benchmarks. Issues with PLUG are not only linked with the technology, they had issues with accounting and reporting. got warnings. Ballard's tech is lagging. FCEL did not have a favourable earnings quarter, but is positioned the best in this sector to deliver fastest growth. I believe the line of least resistance is $18.69, beyond which the volume profile is very thin. Stop loss at that point could very well be the current price of 15.47, with an expected return of 56%. See the long position plan. ___ not a financial advice____
NASDAQ:FCELLong
by amoleji
This is my long tem GEM EnergyWebTokenPlease before investing, do your own research and invest money, you are ready to lose, if the project fails. I am ready to take the risks, are you? If yes, then welcome Pare EWT/Bitcoin My targets are shown on the graph, I trade 10% of my holdings, to make it more interesting for me. My final target is 0,0042 or $250 per token and still I will keep many, which is for me, more then %2000, as I had been accumulating from the bottom (0,00018) Project is very promising Energy Web Token (EWT), exchanges to buy: KuCoin, Kraken, Liquid. I am sure once it starts pumping, we will see coibase, binance and many more exchanges listing this GEM! Don't put all of your eggs in one basket, in case it drops. Good Luck
Long
by ArturMemetov
$GRWG Target 69.09 for 23.57% Or next add level at 43.03$GRWG Target 69.09 for 23.57% Or next add level at 43.03 I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed. GL and happy trading.
NASDAQ:GRWGLong
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
ETHUSD ENTRIESETH is about to touch all time high resistance back in the middle of February. I believe that ETH not only kiss the resistance but bypass it and continue to moon. Correction seems to be over. But as always, nothing is guarantee. My Simple price action strategy will assure you with big gains with little losses. Message me if you want to know how to utilize my strategy. Love helping yall achieve what we all want to achieve. When resistance breaks (red) enter for a buy When support breaks (green) enter for a sell. Bonus: Sell right before resistance breaks with a clear mfi indication (15-20 pip loss if it goes south) Buy right before support breaks with a clear mfi indication (15-20 pip loss if it goes south) COMMENT OR MESSAGE ME IF YOU WANT ME TO EXPLAIN HOW MY SCALPING STRATEGY WORKS FOR THE 15M-1HR TIMEFRAME
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by HustlersCircleFX