The secret of trading is to be cowardly when others are greedyFor over 96 days now, Bitcoin has been planning a precise accumulation process, a process that initially managed to undermine quite a few of us, but at the current point, it appears to be a precise accumulation point after a second low, which appears to be a shakeout after strong and accelerated attempts to lower the price downwards. This is currently not visible on the horizon. The relative strength index is very low in all time intervals and combined with a very strong fundamental environment for the crypto market, it seems that the road to all-time highs is closer than ever.
Growth
(ETH) ethereumWhen can we expect to see reports on the new concepts about Ethereum in the future?
Buying mode, price of Ethereum well under the dotted line. Ethereum has not had a strong position for some time and is likely to find profits. One large drop in price does not usually follow another than another than another and especially not with such large volume and capital. Am I in control of the flow, no. Do I have billions to make heavy movements, no. Am I interested in the progress of Ethereum despite holding little to no value in Ethereum, yes.
HAL NV: Unlocking Hidden Value in a Discounted InvestmentCurrent Price: Approximately €117.40 per share
Target Price: €150 per share
HAL NV (traded via HAL Trust) has long been recognized as a unique investment vehicle, thanks to its diversified portfolio of high-quality assets. Despite a current trading level around €117.40, a closer look at the underlying holdings and operational performance reveals a significant value gap—one that suggests the stock should be priced nearer to €150.
Key Holdings and Their Strengths
Boskalis – A Fully Owned Flagship
• 100% Ownership: HAL NV owns Boskalis outright, giving it full exposure to the maritime and offshore construction market.
• Robust Order Books: Boskalis benefits from a full order book, which not only secures future revenues but also demonstrates strong market positioning.
• Operational Efficiency: With steady execution in its core business, Boskalis adds both resilience and growth potential to HAL’s overall portfolio.
SBM Offshore – Secure Order Pipeline
• Substantial Stake (22.9%): While not fully owned, SBM Offshore represents a key component in HAL’s strategy.
• Solid Order Books: Like Boskalis, SBM Offshore’s strong order backlog underscores its ability to generate future cash flow.
• Strategic Exposure: The offshore energy market, driven by both traditional and renewable energy projects, positions SBM Offshore for long-term growth.
Vopak – Consistent Performer with Upward Trends
• Major Stake (51.4%): HAL’s significant interest in Vopak captures exposure to the global tank storage and logistics sector.
• Earnings Fluctuation, But Upward Trend: Although Vopak’s earnings can fluctuate year over year, the overall trend has been strongly positive, reinforcing its role as a reliable income generator.
Additional Growth Catalysts
• Coolblue (56.4%) & TKH Group (5.2%): These holdings further diversify HAL’s portfolio, offering exposure to high-growth sectors such as retail technology and industrial services.
The Valuation Gap: NAV vs. Market Price
One of the most compelling aspects of HAL NV is the notable discrepancy between its Net Asset Value (NAV) and its market capitalization:
NAV Insight: Recent reports and annual filings suggest that the NAV per share of HAL’s underlying assets is approximately €165.95.
Market Discount: Trading at around €117.40, HAL NV is effectively offered at a significant discount. This “hidden value” implies that the market has yet to fully recognize the aggregate worth of its high-quality investments.
Equity vs. Market Cap: With the equity value of its portfolio (including fully consolidated companies like Boskalis and the robust valuations from quoted holdings such as Vopak and SBM Offshore) substantially higher than the current market cap, the potential for upward re-rating is evident.
Hal NV is poised for robust long‐term growth, with annual rates expected to reach around 15%. This optimism is driven by strong demand for the services of Boskalis and SBM Offshore, both of which continue to benefit from substantial order books. Additionally, the accelerated growth of Coolblue and the steady, consistent performance of Vopak—bolstered by emerging opportunities in India—further enhance the outlook. Coupled with a conservative balance sheet that ensures a low cost of capital, these factors collectively support the company’s promising growth trajectory.
Catalysts for Price Convergence
Several factors support the rationale for a price target of €150:
Strong Order Books: Both Boskalis and SBM Offshore are backed by extensive order books, which not only secure future revenue streams but also reduce operational risks.
Consistent Growth Trends: Vopak, despite some earnings volatility, has demonstrated a significant long-term upward trend in earnings—enhancing the overall stability of HAL’s portfolio.
Undervalued Underlying Assets: The current market price does not fully reflect the NAV derived from HAL’s diverse investments. As market sentiment improves and the intrinsic value becomes more widely recognized, a re-rating toward the NAV is likely.
Favorable Valuation Metrics: HAL NV’s relatively low Price/Earnings ratio compared to its growth prospects and asset quality makes it an attractive buy for value-oriented investors.
Conclusion
HAL NV represents an intriguing investment opportunity—a trust whose market price currently undervalues a robust portfolio of operationally strong and strategically significant companies. With full control over Boskalis and solid stakes in SBM Offshore and Vopak, combined with additional growth prospects from Coolblue and TKH Group, the underlying equity far exceeds the current market valuation. In essence, if the market were to recognize the full value of these assets, a price target of €150 per share appears not only justified but highly attainable.
Investors looking for a value play in the industrial and investment holding space should keep a close eye on HAL NV, as the convergence of market price to NAV could deliver significant upside potential.
Note: The analysis above is based on current market data (price ≈ €117.40) and recent annual reports, and reflects the author’s view on the intrinsic value of HAL NV. Investors should perform their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
Bausch + Lomb | BLCO | Long at $16.02Bausch + Lomb NYSE:BLCO , a strong name in the eye health world, is trading within my historical simple moving average area and appears to be gaining upward momentum. I usually do not like to enter companies this earlier (more data is always better), but this company has very strong earnings and a solid track record. Earnings are forecasted to grow 57% per year and it's trading at a good value compared to its peers (price-to-book: 0.87x, price-to-sales: 1.17x). Low debt-to-equity (0.74x). Product exposure is across the globe and revenue was $4.8 billion in FY2024. Profitability has fluctuated over the years, and tariffs or other global trade issues are always a concern. Also, it's very early in this stock's history to gauge future performance. I would not exclude a call to the $14.00 area in the near-term, so there absolutely risks with this pick.
But, at $16.02, NYSE:BLCO is in a personal buy zone.
Targets:
$17.50
$20.00
Walmart Earnings Trade Setup: Two Key Levels to WatchWalmart ( NYSE:WMT ) has earnings coming up tomorrow, and I’m eyeing two potential trade setups depending on how the market reacts.
Bullish Scenario : If Walmart pumps post-earnings, I’m targeting a move up to $115. Momentum could easily carry it to this key resistance level.
Bearish Pullback & Reversal : If Walmart sells off on earnings, I’ll be looking at the $96 area as a strong level for a long entry. This zone has historical significance and could provide a solid buying opportunity.
Earnings moves can be unpredictable, but these two levels give me a clear game plan.
Let’s see how it plays out!
What’s your take—will WMT rip or dip?
BTC | NEWS | Abu Dhabi Invests $436.9M in ETFAbu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala Investment Company, has made a significant investment in Bitcoin by purchasing $436.9 million in shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
This MUST be a clear indicator that they are bullish on BTC, at least for the longer term.
Investment firms most commonly invest with the eye on the longer term, and are usually unphased by short term swings like daily or even weekly corrections. This is, if anything, extremely bullish for BTC in the longer term (1 year and possibly beyond).
In similar news; the potential of the SEC approving XRP ETF is causing optimism for XRP.
XRP has recently made great progress in terms of fundamentals, more on that HERE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BABA - The company is so back!Partnership with Apple?Hi guys, we would be looking into BABA as a structure and a future proof company, which will give us a neccesary boost towars the price increasing!
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA) has recently demonstrated remarkable growth and resilience, positioning itself as a compelling investment opportunity.
As of February 18, 2025, Alibaba's stock is trading at $127.58, reflecting a significant upward trajectory. Over the past month, the stock has surged over 55%, indicating strong market confidence.
A pivotal factor contributing to this momentum is Alibaba's strategic partnership with Apple. Announced on February 13, 2025, this collaboration aims to integrate Alibaba's advanced AI capabilities into iPhones sold in the Chinese market. This alliance not only enhances the user experience but also solidifies Alibaba's position in the AI sector.
Furthermore, Alibaba's commitment to innovation is evident in its restructuring efforts. The company's "1+6+N" plan, unveiled in March 2023, reorganized its operations into six independently managed entities. This strategic move has empowered each unit to pursue growth autonomously, fostering agility and responsiveness in a dynamic market.
Analysts remain optimistic about Alibaba's future. The average 12-month price target stands at $129.13, with projections reaching as high as $151.00. This optimism is underpinned by Alibaba's robust earnings growth forecast of 11.1% per annum and a revenue growth rate of 6.3% per annum.
TIPRANKS.COM
In summary, Alibaba's strategic initiatives, innovative partnerships, and strong financial outlook underscore its potential for sustained growth, making it an attractive prospect for investors.
PARAMOUNT - EPS Beat 12 out of 17 Q's can we extract potential?Hi guys we are going to take a look into Paramount and see if we can extract some potential from this stock!
Fundamentals&Technicals below -
As of February 15, 2025, Paramount Global's Class B stock (ticker: PARA) is trading at $11.30 per share, reflecting a 4.5% increase from the previous close. This marks the fourth consecutive day of gains, though the stock remains 22.3% below its 52-week high of $14.54 achieved on May 3, 2024.
In the third quarter of 2024, Paramount reported net income of $1 million, a significant decline from $295 million in the same period the previous year. Earnings per share reached breakeven, missing analyst expectations of 24 cents. Total revenue decreased to $6.731 billion from $7.133 billion, influenced by a 6% drop in TV media revenue and a 34% decline in filmed entertainment revenue.Despite these challenges, the company's streaming segment showed resilience. Paramount+ added 3.5 million subscribers in the third quarter, bringing the total to 72 million. The streaming service reported an adjusted operating income of $49 million, defying analysts' predictions of a $160.1 million loss.
In 2024, Paramount undertook significant restructuring efforts, including a $6 billion write-down of its cable-TV business and the elimination of approximately 2,000 jobs, representing about 15% of its U.S. workforce. These measures aim to achieve $500 million in cost savings and address challenges in the traditional TV sector.
Looking ahead, Paramount is set to merge with Skydance Media, with the merger expected to complete in early 2025. This strategic move is anticipated to inject significant capital into Paramount, aiding in debt reduction and enabling investments in new content and technologies.
Entry: on market open
Target: 17.00 just below the weak resistance.
SL: 7.50
P.S. We are sitting on a very key support area which has been overviewd long term which is around the 9.00 and 11.00 area, so this gives us additional confidence in the stock increasing.Hopefully the positive earnings report will have another beat in EPS, and would yield great value.
Potential Growth of Apu Apustaja to a 10B Market Cap by May 2025The chart provided showcases the recent performance of Apu Apustaja ( SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:APU ) paired with Wrapped Ether on the Ethereum blockchain, indicating significant trading activity and price movements. From the data visible, Apu Apustaja's price trajectory has shown a substantial uptrend, especially noted in the recent spikes in price and volume. Here's an exploration of the possibility of this crypto asset reaching a 10 billion USD market cap by May 2025 based on the current trends:
Current Market Trends
The price of Apu Apustaja has seen considerable growth, with a real-time market capitalization of around 81.77 million USD. This surge can be attributed to a number of factors including increased investor interest, broader market recoveries, or specific catalysts within the Apu ecosystem.
Price Movements and Speculations
The trading volume appears robust, which often signifies strong interest and liquidity — both essential for sustained price increases. The series of higher lows and higher highs on the chart suggest a strong bullish sentiment in the market. Assuming this trend continues, driven by technological advancements, strategic partnerships, or expanded utility within the crypto space, reaching a higher market cap is plausible.
Predictive Analysis
Based on the exponential growth model and assuming that the current rate of growth doesn't face significant downturns or regulatory hurdles, a 10B USD market cap requires a substantial yet possible average annual growth rate. Considering the past performance and general volatility in crypto markets, such aggressive targets might seem speculative but are not out of reach, especially if accompanied by breakthroughs in technology or adoption.
Challenges and Considerations
To reach a 10 billion market cap, the Apu team would need to scale their operations, develop more use-cases, increase user adoption, and potentially benefit from broader market cycles. Additionally, they would need to navigate the regulatory landscape effectively, which remains a significant challenge for many crypto assets.
Conclusion
While ambitious, setting a target for a 10 billion USD market cap by May 2025 for Apu Apustaja is not unfounded given the current momentum and market conditions. Investors should keep an eye on upcoming developments within the Apu ecosystem and broader market trends that could either propel or hinder this growth trajectory.
This projection is speculative and should be seen as one of many scenarios that could unfold, depending on a myriad of factors influencing the global cryptocurrency market.
News affecting gold pricesNews:
Russia's nighttime attack damaged port infrastructure in the Odessa region of Ukraine.
Russian troops occupied Zelenpo and Dachne in eastern Ukraine.
In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,200 soldiers, as well as 17 tanks, 16 armored personnel carriers and 81 artillery systems and other equipment.
Geopolitics is continuing to heat up, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week.
Viewpoint
The market is in a volatile range.
It is expected to show an upward trend in the next trading cycle.
Keep an eye on the subsequent sharing of views
XRP - Beginning to Show Some HopeAs we wrap up the work week (February 14th) we have seen some recent progress upward for XRP. This week, XRP experienced a mix of significant events and market movements.
Price Fluctuations : XRP's price dropped by 22% this week, with technical indicators showing both bearish pressure and signs of potential stabilization. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests growing buying interest, indicating a possible shift in momentum. Despite the overall drop, XRP experienced a significant price movement, gaining approximately 42% from the low of the week to the high today. For a while, XRP had remained in a consolidation phase between USD $1.78 support and $2.48 resistance. Today we saw some progress with XRP briefly touching $2.83, which was a welcoming sight.
Whale Activity : There was a surge in whale activity, which then stabilized. This indicates a consolidation phase that could signal either renewed confidence or profit-taking among large holders. This whale activity might be large Financial Institutions trying to remove the retail traders from the picture while securing more XRP at a major discount.
Regulatory Developments : The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) acknowledged Grayscale’s XRP Trust 19b-4 filing, suggesting potential spot XRP ETF approval. This development sparked renewed interest from market participants.
Market Resilience : Despite market volatility, XRP showed steady growth, driven by policy announcements and the SEC’s decision on Grayscale’s XRP ETF application. Analysts remain optimistic about its future trajectory.
Institutional Adoption : Increased institutional interest and trading volume were observed, with XRP briefly reaching a price of $2.83 amid these developments.
Overall, XRP has shown resilience amid market volatility, with significant regulatory and institutional developments shaping its trajectory.
Trading Volume : This week, XRP's trading volume saw significant activity. Over the past 24 hours alone, XRP's trading volume surged by an impressive 24%, amounting to over $5.48 billion in transactions. This increase in activity highlights growing interest among market participants and reflects heightened user engagement.
Forecast: It appears that USD $2.31 is stabilizing as the new base with a potential support level of $1.81. On the upper side, the first area of resistance is firming up around $3.20 with an upper resistance of $4.34.
USDJPY CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN CONFIRMED!
Your target has been officially reached!
Congratulations on a successful trade! Your analysis and strategy paid off.
Now that your target is confirmed, what's your next step? Are you closing the trade, adjusting your strategy, or setting new targets?
EUR/USD CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS TARGET WIN Congratulations!
Your EUR/USD chart analysis has led to a successful trade, and you've reached your target!
Well done! Your technical analysis skills and market insight have paid off.
What's your next move? Are you:
1. Closing the trade and taking profits?
2. Setting new targets for further growth?
3. Refining your strategy for the next trade?
Share your next step!
Salesforce - Integration of AI with great earnings = growth!Hi guys today we would be looking into Salesforce - with the upcomming Q4 earnings report it's expected for some great growth : Fundamentals below -
Salesforce is poised for a promising earnings report, reflecting its robust performance and strategic advancements. In the third quarter, the company reported an 8% year-over-year revenue increase to $9.44 billion, surpassing analysts' expectations. This growth is attributed to strong client spending on its enterprise cloud services and data cloud, driven by the integration of artificial intelligence to streamline corporate workflows.
The introduction of Agentforce 2.0, an advanced version of its AI agent program, allows users to deploy AI agents within the Slack app and includes enhanced features such as improved reasoning, integration, and customization. The full release is expected in February 2025. Wall Street has responded positively, with analysts maintaining optimistic projections. Salesforce plans to hire 2,000 people to promote its AI software, countering the industry trend of layoffs due to the high costs of AI projects. Salesforce's stock surged by 11% after the initial announcement and has risen 33% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500. Analysts anticipate continued investor enthusiasm and potential gains of up to $80 per share as more businesses adopt the platform.
Analysts are optimistic about Salesforce's financial outlook. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives has raised the Q1 2026 earnings estimate to $1.90 per share, up from the prior estimate of $1.88, maintaining an "Outperform" rating with a $375 price target.
The consensus estimate for Salesforce’s current full-year earnings is $7.48 per share.
The company's stock performance has been strong, with shares trading at $361.99 as of the latest report. The stock has a market cap of $346.06 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 59.54, and a beta of 1.30. The business has a 50-day simple moving average of $309.97 and a two-hundred day simple moving average of $272.88.
In summary, Salesforce's strategic focus on AI integration, strong financial performance, and positive market reception position the company for continued success in the upcoming earnings report.
Target: 365 - Just below the ATH so we can have some protection of the trade
SL: 294 - just below the formulated GAP which we covered
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay.
We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry.
Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation.
According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play.
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NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
COINBASE - Can the great crypto bull run repeat good EPS?Hi guys we are going to have an overlook of Coinbase before their earnings so we can try and extract some great value!
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) is set to release its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings report on February 13, 2025. Analysts are optimistic, anticipating significant growth driven by increased trading volumes and strategic initiatives.
According to Coin Metrics, Coinbase's trading volumes reached approximately $430 billion in Q4 2024, the highest since 2021, fueled by renewed market optimism post-U.S. election. This surge is expected to result in revenues of around $2 billion, marking a 109% year-over-year increase and a 65% rise from the previous quarter.
Analysts project earnings of $1.90 per share, reflecting an 83% year-over-year increase, and revenues are expected to rise by 87% from the same quarter last year, reaching $1.78 billion.
Coinbase's efforts to diversify its revenue streams are also paying off. Subscription and services revenue is expected to grow by 46.7% year-over-year in Q4 2024, following a 66.3% increase in Q3 2024. This growth underscores the company's successful expansion beyond trading fees.
The company's strategic initiatives, including product expansion and improving regulatory clarity, are enhancing its role in the crypto industry. Notably, there has been strong user growth, with a significant rise in monthly active users and wallet activity, reflecting steady demand.
In anticipation of these positive developments, Coinbase's stock has surged approximately 81% over the past year, driven by a crypto rally linked to the presidential elections and declining interest rates.
Given these factors, Coinbase is well-positioned for a strong performance in its upcoming earnings report, reflecting its robust growth trajectory and strategic advancements in the crypto industry.
Entry would go as follows :
On market open
Target : 326 below the ATH so we can have a protective and reachable take profit
SL around the GAP which was formulated above the weak support line! : 215
Tesla a buy opportunity?Tesla: An Opportunity?
Despite mixed results in several of its quarterly reports, there are several catalysts that could indicate that the recent price pullback might be a buying opportunity.
Revenue Growth: Tesla is expected to continue its revenue growth, driven by the expansion of its product portfolio and the adoption of its North American Charging Standard (NACS) by other automakers.
Innovations and Launches: Tesla plans to launch several new models in 2025, including a more affordable vehicle with a base price of around $25,000.
Challenges and Competition: Although Tesla remains a leader in the electric vehicle market, it faces increasing competition, especially from Chinese manufacturers.
Financial Outlook: Despite some uneven financial results in recent quarters, analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Revenue is expected to grow steadily, and gross margins are expected to stabilize as the company reduces costs.
Impact of AI: Tesla is investing in artificial intelligence technologies, which could further drive its growth and solidify its market position.
Bonus: Tesla is expected to launch its robotaxi service in Texas in June 2025 and the Optimus humanoids in 2026.
Under Armour | UA | Long at $6.74Under Armour $NYSE:UA. Price may break my historical simple moving average area/lines and dip into the low $6s, but the convergence of price with these lines often means a future price increase. Fundamentally, the stock continues to surprise with earnings beat after earnings beat. While economic headwinds are likely ahead in the retail market, global exposure may ease the likely troubles. Starter position entered at $6.74.
Targets
$7.50
$8.00
Figs Inc | FIGS | Long at $5.24Figs Inc $NYSE:FIGS. Technical analysis play first, fundamentals second.
My selected historical simple moving average lines have converged with the stock price, which often leads to sideways trading and a reversal in the downward trend (i.e. future price increase). The downward trend is flattening, but that doesn't mean post-earnings drop to $1.50-$2.00 isn't out of the question...
The FIGS brand is growing within the healthcare world with significant opportunities overseas. While economic headwinds may impede near/medium-term growth, revenue is anticipated to grow into 2027. EPS is expected to rise from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.20 by 2027. While this is not a "value" play and there is high risk for rug pulls, something may be brewing within the chart for a move up. Tread lightly, however...
Targets
$6.00
$6.40
$7.00
$8.00
TESLA: Falling wedge recovery TESLA has not participated in any buying in the larger market. But it's fallen consistently. I see a channel forming from the range in 2024. Also a falling wedge pattern developing on the 1HR. This is falling towards a semi weak support zone with a 15 min reverse H&S. Although it's below the 0.5 fib level, my view is that downside is limited and can react at this level.
Teladoc Health | TDOC | Long at $9.91Teladoc Health NYSE:TDOC - Initial position started at $9.91 with the potential for the price gap in the $7's to be closed in the near future (likely another entry there unless fundamentals change)
Pros:
User base of over 90 million and growing
Revenue grew from $555 million in 2019 to $2.6 billion through Q3 of 2024
Positive free cash flow since 2021
Low debt (debt to equity ratio around 1x)
AI integration and partnership with Amazon and Brightline
Historical simply moving average is approaching price, which often leads to a jump or change in downward momentum in the longer-term
Cons:
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
Lots of insider selling and exercising of options
No dividend
Daily price gap in the $7 dollar range which may close prior to move up
Targets through 2027 :
$14.20
$20.00
$27.00
$35.00
$55.00 (long-term, positive outlook)