The Reasons Most Of The Traders Lose in The Beginning Most of Traders Lose Their Accounts in the beginning
Many new traders fail because they ignore key trading principles. Here’s a breakdown of the five biggest mistakes and how to avoid them:
**1️⃣ Emotional Trading – The Silent Account Killer** 😨
- Fear and greed drive impulsive decisions.
- **Example:** Chasing losses after a bad trade (revenge trading) or exiting too early due to fear.
- **Fix:** Follow a **trading plan**, stay disciplined, and never let emotions dictate trades.
**2️⃣ Poor Risk Management – Blowing Up Accounts** 💥
- Ignoring the **1-2% risk per trade** rule leads to massive losses.
- **Example:** A trader risks 20% on one trade—just a few losses can wipe out the account.
- **Fix:** Use **stop-loss orders**, position sizing, and proper risk management.
**3️⃣ Get-Rich-Quick Mentality – The Biggest Illusion** 💸
- Many expect overnight success, leading to **over-leveraging** and bad decisions.
- **Example:** Using high leverage to flip a small account quickly, only to lose it all.
- **Fix:** Focus on **consistent growth** instead of gambling with high-risk trades.
**4️⃣ Trading Without a Strategy – Gambling, Not Trading** 🎲
- No clear **entry, exit, or risk management plan** leads to random decisions.
- **Example:** Buying and selling based on emotions or social media tips.
- **Fix:** Follow a **proven strategy** with backtested results and clear trade setups.
**5️⃣ Overtrading – More Trades, More Losses** 📉
- The urge to trade constantly leads to bad setups and emotional exhaustion.
- **Example:** Taking 10+ trades a day without waiting for high-probability setups.
- **Fix:** Trade only **quality setups** that fit your strategy, not just to stay active.
**🚀 How to Avoid These Mistakes:**
✅ Follow a **disciplined trading plan**
✅ Develop **emotional control**
✅ Use **proper risk management**
✅ Stick to a **proven strategy**
✅ Be patient—**trading is a marathon, not a sprint**
By applying these principles, you can avoid being part of the 80% who fail and **build a profitable trading career**. 📈🔥
Growth
Angi's List | ANGI | Long at $2.00The historical simple moving average (SMA) I've selected for Angi Inc NASDAQ:ANGI is starting to enter stock price. This often means a directional change in price: up in this case. The price drop after the last earnings, I believe, was an algorithmic move for price entry/further consolidation. If true, the two large gaps above may be filled "soon". 70M float, 12% short interest...
Fundamentally, Angi maintains a solid financial foundation with $395 million in cash and cash equivalents. The company's free cash flow increased $29.2 million to $78.4 million for the first nine months of 2024, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The company's transition to a consumer choice model, already successful in its European operations, positions Angi to capture greater market share. Despite revenue headwinds, Angi demonstrates robust financial health with operating income increasing to $7.8 million in third-quarter 2024, a significant improvement from the previous year. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew 27% to $35.4 million, while year-to-date operating income reached $20 million with adjusted EBITDA rising 47% to $114 million, showcasing effective cost management and improving operational efficiency.
Thus at $2.00, NASDAQ:ANGI is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $2.25
Target #2 = $2.50
Target #3 = $3.00
Target #4 = $3.50
Target #5 = $3.70
Ksolves India Ltd: A Software Solutions Powerhouse GrowthIntroduction:
Ksolves India Ltd, a software development and IT solutions provider, has emerged as a promising player in the technology landscape. With a diverse range of services, strategic partnerships, and a growing client base, the company has demonstrated its ability to cater to the evolving needs of businesses across various sectors. As a stock market wizard with expertise in both technical and fundamental analysis, let's dive deep into the key aspects of Ksolves India Ltd and explore its investment potential. Fundamental Analysis:
Business Overview:
Ksolves India Ltd, incorporated in 2014, is engaged in software development, enterprise solutions, consulting, and providing IT solutions to companies across sectors such as Real Estate, E-commerce, Finance, Telecom, and Healthcare. The company is known for its expertise in Big Data, Data Science, Salesforce, DevOps, Java & Microservices, OpenShift, and Penetration Testing, among other technologies.
Revenue Breakdown:
Ksolves' revenue is primarily driven by its software services, which account for 97% of its total revenue. The remaining 3% comes from products and customization. Geographically, the company's largest market is North America, contributing 66% of its revenue, followed by India (23%), Europe (7%), and the Rest of the World (4%).
Clientele and Partnerships:
Ksolves' client base is widely diversified, with over 40 IT services clients across 25+ countries. The company's top 5 clients contribute 33% to its revenue. Ksolves has also forged strategic partnerships with industry leaders such as Salesforce, Adobe, Odoo, and Drupal Association, further strengthening its service offerings and market presence.
Financial Performance:
Ksolves has demonstrated consistent growth in its financial performance. Over the past few years, the company has witnessed a steady increase in its sales, operating profit, and net profit. The operating profit margin (OPM) has remained in the range of 40-45%, indicating efficient operations and cost management.
Technical Analysis:
Fibonacci Retracement:
The Fibonacci retracement drawn connecting the low of Rs. 811 (11-month depth) to the high of Rs. 1,470 shows that the current market price has broken above the 0.5 Fibonacci level, indicating the potential for further upside movement.
Trend Analysis:
The overall trend for Ksolves India Ltd appears to be bullish, with the stock price consistently making higher highs and higher lows. This suggests a strong positive momentum in the stock, which could continue in the near future.
Investment Thesis:
Growth Potential:
Ksolves India Ltd's diversified service offerings, strategic partnerships, and growing client base position the company well to capitalize on the increasing demand for IT solutions across various industries. The company's focus on emerging technologies like Big Data, AI, and Machine Learning further enhances its growth prospects.
Geographical Expansion:
The company's strong presence in North America, coupled with its plans to expand in other regions like Europe and the Rest of the World, presents opportunities for Ksolves to diversify its revenue streams and tap into new markets.
Margin Stability:
Ksolves' consistent operating profit margins, ranging between 40-45%, demonstrate the company's ability to maintain profitability and operational efficiency, which is a positive sign for investors.
Technical Outlook:
The Fibonacci retracement analysis and the overall bullish trend in the stock price suggest that Ksolves India Ltd may continue to see upward momentum in the near to medium term, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Conclusion:
Ksolves India Ltd, with its comprehensive software solutions, strategic partnerships, and strong financial performance, appears to be a promising investment opportunity. The company's growth potential, geographical expansion plans, and stable margins, combined with the positive technical outlook, make it a stock worth considering for investors seeking exposure to the thriving IT services sector. As a stock market wizard, I believe Ksolves India Ltd is well-positioned to capitalize on the industry's growth and deliver value to its shareholders.
Defensive Sector with Growth PotentialSupporting Arguments
Current Market Uncertainty Sustains Demand for the Defensive Sector. NEE represents the defensive utility sector. Given the current political and economic uncertainty in the market, there could be an additional catalyst for the company's stock price growth.
Demand for Green Energy from the IT Sector. More than 80% of the company's portfolio consists of renewable energy sources (RES). Demand from data centers in the IT sector may allow the company to outperform competitors.
Attractive Valuation Levels and Technical Outlook
Investment Thesis
NextEra Energy (NEE) has strong long-term growth prospects due to the increasing demand for RES and the electrification of various sectors. Their integrated business model, combining the regulated utility business FPL and the competitive renewable energy business NEER, ensures both stability and growth opportunities. NEE's leadership in RES production, along with investments in battery energy storage and gas infrastructure, allows the company to benefit from the growing demand for clean energy solutions.
Current Market Uncertainty Could Drive Stock Price Growth. Tariffs imposed by the administration on imports and their potential impact on the U.S. economy remain in investors' focus. The market has responded to high uncertainty with a significant correction in overheated sectors, and pressure may persist for some time. As a representative of the utility sector, NEE benefits from uncertainty and may continue its growth.
Demand for Green Energy from the IT Sector. The largest public companies continue to increase capital expenditures on AI infrastructure to stay competitive. A key component of such infrastructure is data centers, which consume large amounts of energy and contribute to increased environmental pollution. As a result, data center owners create strong demand for companies that provide access to RES. More than 80% of the company’s portfolio consists of renewable energy sources. Already, the company’s annual profit growth rate is twice as high as that of its competitors.
Attractive Valuation Levels and Technical Outlook. The company's stock is trading at the 200-day moving average and recently rebounded from the resistance line at the 50-day moving average, which could serve as a strong catalyst for movement toward the previous peak of $84.8. Based on the forward PEG ratio, the company is trading at about the same level as companies engaged in traditional energy sources for household supply, while maintaining profitability 5-15% higher than competitors. Based on the forward P/E ratio, the company appears cheaper than its closest direct competitors (18x vs. 20.5x).
Our target price is $82, with a "Buy" recommendation. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $64
Sabah Research Goes Long on Google: EW 2.0 Signals 45% Upside !Sabah Equity Research is taking a bullish stance on Alphabet (GOOGL) as Elliott Wave 2.0 suggests a 45% upside from current levels. With the stock trading at an attractive valuation, this presents a strong opportunity for long-term investors.
Elliott Wave 2.0 Predicts the Next Leg Up
After completing a healthy ABC correction, Alphabet is now primed for a Wave 3 expansion, historically the most powerful phase in the Elliott cycle. The technicals suggest that GOOGL’s recent consolidation is a launchpad for the next move higher.
Catalysts for Growth
Massive Cybersecurity Acquisition
Google’s parent company, Alphabet, is set to acquire Wiz, a leading cloud security firm, for over $30 billion—its largest deal ever. This strengthens Google’s cloud security dominance and accelerates revenue growth.
Undervalued Growth Potential
Despite its leading position in AI, cloud computing, and search, Alphabet trades at a discount compared to peers. This disconnect presents a compelling buying opportunity before sentiment catches up.
AI and Cloud Expansion
Google’s aggressive push into AI and cloud services positions it for massive future gains. With rising demand for AI-driven search, advertising, and enterprise solutions, Alphabet’s growth runway remains robust.
The Trade Setup: Positioning for the Upside
With Elliott Wave 2.0 pointing to a 45% rally, Sabah Equity Research sees Alphabet as a strong long-term play. The combination of cheap valuation, a game-changing acquisition, and a favorable technical setup makes this an ideal entry point.
Smart money is accumulating—will you? 🚀
Going Long on NVDA !NVIDIA (NVDA) has been a powerhouse stock, riding the wave of AI, gaming, and data center demand. Recently, the stock experienced a correction, which might have caused some investors to hesitate. However, from an Elliott Wave 2.0 perspective, this pullback was nothing more than a natural ABC correction following a classic 1-2-3-4-5 impulse wave—a textbook setup for long-term bulls.
Understanding the ABC Correction in NVDA
In Elliott Wave theory, after a strong five-wave rally, the market typically experiences a three-wave pullback (ABC correction) before continuing its long-term uptrend. This correction serves to shake out weak hands, reset overbought conditions, and set the stage for the next bullish impulse.
The A-wave is the initial drop as profit-taking kicks in.
The B-wave is the temporary bounce, often mistaken for a continuation.
The C-wave completes the correction, offering smart investors an ideal entry point.
NVDA’s recent pullback aligns perfectly with this structure, meaning the next leg up could be just around the corner.
Why NVDA Remains a Strong Long-Term Bet
AI Dominance – NVIDIA is at the center of the AI revolution, with its GPUs leading the industry.
Data Center Growth – Demand for high-performance computing continues to surge.
Technical Reset – The stock has worked off overbought conditions and is finding new support levels.
The Opportunity: A Strategic Long Entry
Now that the ABC correction has played out, NVDA presents an excellent long entry for those looking to ride the next bullish wave. With strong fundamentals and a technical reset, the stock is primed for another 1-2-3-4-5 impulse move, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
For traders who understand market structure, this is a golden opportunity to go long before the next explosive rally begins. 🚀
NIKE - will the best sportswear deliver?Nike (NYSE: NKE) remains a strong investment choice, driven by its market leadership, brand strength, and impressive financial consistency. With 95% positive quarters since Q2 2021, Nike has demonstrated resilience, profitability, and long-term growth potential. Here’s why it remains an attractive stock:
1. Consistent Financial Performance
Nike’s ability to deliver 95% positive quarters since Q2 2021 highlights its financial stability and strong management. The company has consistently outperformed expectations, maintaining steady revenue growth and profitability even in challenging economic conditions.
2. Global Brand Power
As the world’s leading sportswear brand, Nike commands strong customer loyalty and dominates the athletic apparel and footwear markets. Its global reach, premium pricing power, and continuous product innovation keep it ahead of competitors.
3. Expanding Digital & Direct-to-Consumer Sales
Nike’s digital transformation is driving significant revenue growth. Its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business, including the Nike app and online sales, has improved margins and strengthened customer engagement, making it less reliant on third-party retailers.
4. Strong Market Position & Innovation
Nike continues to lead in innovation with advancements in sustainability, performance gear, and technology-driven products. With ongoing investments in AI, automation, and eco-friendly materials, the company stays ahead in a competitive industry.
5. Long-Term Growth Potential
Nike’s strong brand equity, global expansion, and continued investment in emerging markets position it for sustained growth. Coupled with its impressive track record of positive quarters, Nike remains a reliable and strategic long-term investment.
Entry: 73
Target 107 (the target is set up around the very strong resistance area, if that area is broken we can deffinetely see more momentum to the upside!
SL:55 (Below the strong support area so we can protect the trade)
Neutral or sell COLPALThis is a clear case of raised valuations across most of the stocks. As seen in the Revenue Grid indicator, this stock was trading at 8 to 10 of Price to Revenue ratio, but from July 2023 it suddenly started going up and went to 18 times it's Revenue per share. Why? God knows! :)
Now naturally coming back to it's historic valuation. To get to it's fair price, within a short duration, such as couple of months, levels of 2230 can be seen. Happy Trading :)
XAUUSD WEEKLY ANALYSIS Hey everyone 👋🏾 Happy new week here’s my weekly analysis for Gold this week still bullish on Gold and if you check the chart you will see my buys projection of the zone am interested on for more buys so I will be waiting for a pullback to these zones to take buys to the upside or to a new ATH with a confirmation before execution and price might not pullback it might just create another ATH but these are my projections…Let’s see how it goes and and let’s have another win week…
Momentum Trading Strategies Across AssetsMomentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in asset prices. By identifying and following assets exhibiting strong recent performance—either upward or downward—traders aim to profit from the persistence of these price movements.
**Key Components of Momentum Trading:**
1. **Trend Identification:** The foundation of momentum trading lies in recognizing assets with significant recent price movements. This involves analyzing historical price data to detect upward or downward trends.
2. **Diversification:** Implementing momentum strategies across various asset classes—such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds—can enhance risk-adjusted returns. Diversification helps mitigate the impact of adverse movements in any single market segment.
3. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is crucial in momentum trading. Techniques such as setting stop-loss orders, position sizing, and continuous monitoring of market conditions are employed to protect against significant losses.
4. **Backtesting:** Before deploying a momentum strategy, backtesting it against historical data is essential. This process helps assess the strategy's potential performance and identify possible weaknesses.
5. **Continuous Refinement:** Financial markets are dynamic, necessitating ongoing evaluation and adjustment of trading strategies. Regularly refining a momentum strategy ensures its continued effectiveness amid changing market conditions.
**Tools and Indicators:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, aiding traders in identifying overbought or oversold conditions.
- **Moving Averages:** Utilizing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in smoothing out price data, making it easier to spot trends and potential reversal points.
**Common Pitfalls to Avoid:**
- **Overtrading:** Excessive trading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses. It's vital to adhere to a well-defined strategy and avoid impulsive decisions.
- **Ignoring Market Conditions:** Momentum strategies may underperform during sideways or choppy markets. Recognizing the broader market environment is essential to adjust strategies accordingly.
By understanding and implementing these components, traders can develop robust momentum trading strategies tailored to various asset classes, thereby enhancing their potential for consistent returns.
Source: digitalninjasystems.wordpress.com
Accumulate for Long TermNestle is trading at a little discount as compared to it's historic valuation for last 6-7 years. This is a growing stock, so it will be good to buy some shares now. Some details of it's strategies and products portfolio below - Happy Trading :)
Over the past six to seven years, Nestlé India has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, driven by a combination of strategic initiatives and a strong product portfolio. Key factors contributing to this sustained growth include:
1. Innovation and Product Diversification: Nestlé India has prioritized innovation, launching over 140 new products in the past eight years. These introductions span various categories, including science-led nutrition solutions, millet-based products, and plant-based protein options, catering to diverse consumer needs.
BUSINESS-STANDARD.COM
2. Strengthening Core Brands: The company has focused on reinforcing its flagship brands:
Maggi: Achieved the status of the largest market globally for Maggi, driven by balanced product mix, pricing strategies, and volume growth.
THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
KitKat: India became the second-largest market for KitKat worldwide, reflecting robust performance in the confectionery segment.
THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Nescafé: The beverage segment, particularly Nescafé, has seen significant growth, introducing coffee to over 30 million households in the last seven years.
THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
3. Expansion into New Categories: Nestlé India is exploring opportunities in emerging sectors such as healthy aging products, plant-based nutrition, healthy snacking, and toddler nutrition. These initiatives aim to tap into evolving consumer preferences and health-conscious trends.
CFO.ECONOMICTIMES.INDIATIMES.COM
4. Focus on Premiumization: The company is enhancing its premium product offerings, including the introduction of Nespresso and health science products. This strategic move aims to have premium products contribute to 20% of sales in the long term, up from the current 12-13%.
GOODRETURNS.IN
5. Strategic Partnerships: A notable collaboration with Dr. Reddy's Laboratories to form a joint venture in the nutraceuticals space underscores Nestlé India's commitment to expanding its health science portfolio and leveraging synergies for growth.
THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Collectively, these strategies have enabled Nestlé India to maintain a consistent upward trajectory in revenue, effectively adapting to market dynamics and consumer demands.
Long for Long Term - Discount price in terms of Revenue/shareAs seen in the Revenue Grid indicator, stock is currently trading at 2 to 2.5 times it's Revenue per share, which is a very low valuation historically. It crossed below this valuation, only at covid pandemic crash. Given the consistent Revenue increase, this is a fair value to buy for a long term view.
Don't Confuse "DYOR" with Confirmation Bias in Crypto TradingIn the crypto space, influencers and self-proclaimed crypto gurus constantly tell you to " do your own research " (DYOR) while presenting coins that will supposedly do 100x or become the "next big thing." They always add, " this is not financial advice ," but few actually explain how to do proper research.
On top of that, most influencers copy each other, get paid by projects to promote them, and—whether they admit it or not—often contribute to confirmation bias.
What is confirmation bias? It’s the psychological tendency to look for information that confirms what we already believe while ignoring evidence that contradicts it.
For example, if you want to believe a certain altcoin will 100x, you’ll naturally look for articles, tweets, and videos that say exactly that—while ignoring red flags.
How do you distinguish real research from confirmation bias?
This article will help you:
• Understand confirmation bias and how it affects your investments
• Learn how to conduct proper, unbiased research
• Discover the best tools and sources for real analysis
________________________________________
What Is Confirmation Bias & How Does It Sabotage Your Investments?
Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms what we already believe—while ignoring evidence to the contrary.
In crypto, this leads to:
✔️ Only looking for opinions that confirm a coin is "going to the moon"
✔️ Avoiding critical discussions about the project’s weaknesses
✔️ Believing "everyone" is bullish because you're only consuming pro-coin content
The result?
• You make emotional investments instead of rational ones
• You expose yourself to unnecessary risk
• You develop unrealistic expectations and are more vulnerable to FOMO
________________________________________
How to Conduct Proper Research & Avoid Confirmation Bias
1. Verify the Team & Project Fundamentals
A solid crypto project must have a transparent, experienced team. Check:
• Who are the founders and developers? Are they reputable or anonymous?
• Do they have experience? Have they worked on successful projects before?
• Is the code open-source? If not, why?
• Is there a strong whitepaper? It should clearly explain the problem, the solution, and the technology behind it.
Useful tools:
🔹 GitHub – Check development activity
🔹 LinkedIn – Verify the team's background
🔹 CoinMarketCap / CoinGecko – Check market data and tokenomics
2. Analyze Tokenomics & Economic Model
A project can have great technology but fail due to bad tokenomics.
Key questions to ask:
• What’s the maximum supply? A very high supply can limit price growth.
• How are the tokens distributed? If the team and early investors hold most of the supply, there’s a risk of dumping.
• Are there mechanisms like staking or token burning? These can impact long-term sustainability.
Useful tools:
🔹 Token Unlocks – See when tokens will be released into circulation
🔹 Messari – Get detailed tokenomics reports
3. Evaluate the Community Without Being Misled
A large, active community can be a good sign, but beware of:
• Real engagement vs. bots. A high follower count doesn’t always mean real support.
• How does the team respond to tough questions? Avoid projects where criticism is silenced.
• Excessive hype? If all discussions are about "Lambo soon" and "to the moon," be cautious.
Where to check?
🔹 Twitter (X) – Follow discussions about the project
🔹 Reddit – Read community opinions
🔹 – See how the team handles criticism
4. Verify Partnerships & Investors
Many projects exaggerate or fake their partnerships.
• Is it listed on major exchanges? Binance, Coinbase, and Kraken are more selective.
• Are the investors well-known VCs? Funds like A16z, Sequoia, Pantera Capital don’t invest in just anything.
• Do the supposed partners confirm the collaboration? Check their official sites or announcements.
Where to verify?
🔹 Crunchbase – Check a project's investors
🔹 Medium – Many projects announce partnerships here
5. Watch the Team's Actions, Not Just Their Words
• Have they delivered on promises? Compare the roadmap to actual progress.
• What updates have they released? A strong project should have continuous development.
• Are they selling their own tokens? If the team is dumping their coins, it’s a bad sign.
Useful tools:
🔹 Etherscan / BscScan – Track team transactions
🔹 DefiLlama – Check total value locked (TVL) in DeFi projects
________________________________________
Final Thoughts: DYOR Correctly, Not Emotionally
To make smart investments in crypto, you must conduct objective research—not just look for confirmation of what you already believe.
✅ Analyze the team, tokenomics, and partnerships.
✅ Be skeptical of hype and verify all claims.
✅ Use on-chain data, not just opinions.
✅ Don’t let FOMO or emotions drive your decisions.
By following these steps, you’ll be ahead of most retail investors who let emotions—not facts—guide their trades.
How do you do your own research in crypto? Let me know in the comments!
Learn To Invest: Global Liquidity Index & BitcoinGlobal Liquidity Index & BitCoin:
🚀 Positive Vibes for Your Financial Journey! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Look at this chart! It's the Global Liquidity Index , a measure of how much extra money is flowing through the world's financial systems.
Why is this important? Because when this index is high, it often means good things for investments like #Bitcoin! 📈
Think of it like this: when there's more money flowing, people are often more willing to take risks and invest in things like Bitcoin.
See those "BullRun" boxes? That means things are looking bright! It's showing that money is flowing, and that's often a good sign for potential Bitcoin growth. 🌟
Even if you're not a pro, it's easy to see the good news here. Understanding these trends can help you make smarter decisions.
Let's all aim for growth and success! 💪
Long SBIN - Trading exactly at Rev/share = 1.As per the Revenue Grid indicator, SBI is trading exactly at it's Revenue per share value. That means current price of 1 share is same as that of the revenue it is generating per share. Historically it has traded around this valuation. But given the steady growth of SBI over the years, This is a good price to buy for long term. Happy Trading :)
Long ICICI BankSince August 2021, ICICI Bank stock has been trading nicely between Revenue/share multiple of 3, 3.5 and 4. That means it is trading at 3 to 3.5 times it's revenue per share. It is clearly visible using Revenue Grid Indicator applied on daily chart. As per that, this is a good time to buy for a long term view. We can wait for 21 Apr 2025 for it's next earnings results also :) Happy Trading :)
The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) - Undervalued nowThe Hershey Company is an American multinational confectionery company, founded by Milton S. Hershey in 1894. The company initially focused on caramel and chocolate, eventually expanding into a wide range of confectionery products.
The company’s headquarters are located in Hershey, Pennsylvania, which is also home to Hersheypark and Hershey’s Chocolate World. ,
Business Model, Products, and Services
The Hershey Company is a leading confectionery manufacturer and marketer. Their core business revolves around producing and selling chocolate, sweets, mints, and other snacks.
Their key product lines include Hershey’s chocolate bars, Reese’s peanut butter cups, Kit Kat, Jolly Rancher, and Ice Breakers.
The company’s business model is centered on brand recognition, product quality, and extensive distribution networks.
Durable Competitive Advantage
Hershey possesses a strong durable competitive advantage primarily due to its iconic brand portfolio. Brands like Hershey’s and Reese’s have decades of consumer loyalty and strong brand recognition.
This aligns with the “unique product” business model, as these brands hold a distinctive place in the confectionery market.
Economic Moat
Hershey’s “economic moat” is built upon its powerful brand identity. The company’s brands have a long-standing history and strong emotional connection with consumers, creating a barrier to entry for competitors. Their distribution network also provides an economic moat.
Industry Outlook, Challenges, and Competitors
The confectionery industry is generally stable, but it faces challenges related to changing consumer preferences (e.g., healthier snacks), rising ingredient costs, and intense competition.
The company’s key competitors include Mondelez International (MDLZ), Kraft Heinz (KHC), Kellogg (K), and Campbell Soup Company (CPB). Additionally, increased competition from smaller, more innovative brands is also contributing to Hershey’s market share decline.
Health trends are a large challenge, sweet snacks have been under pressure as more consumers become aware of their calorie and sugar intake.
Supply chain risks are also a consistent threat for The Hershey Company, as disruptions in the procurement of key raw materials like cocoa, sugar, and dairy could impact production costs and margins. Additionally, geopolitical instability, trade restrictions, and transportation bottlenecks may further challenge the company’s ability to maintain steady inventory levels and meet consumer demand.
Comparative Analysis
The following is a comparative analysis of the company’s financial position and performance. The analysis evaluates eight key financial ratios to determine whether the company possesses a durable competitive advantage. The company’s financial ratios are compared with the median ratios of its main competitors.
Gross Margin %
Hershey maintains a consistent gross profit margin of 42%, which is significantly higher than the competitor average of 33.62%.
A high gross profit margin stems from the company’s durable competitive advantage, allowing it to price its products significantly higher than its competitors while maintaining strong profitability.
R&D to Revenue Ratio %
Hershey’s R&D expenditure is relatively low at 0.5% compared to its competitors’ 0.9%. This suggests that its competitive advantage relies more on brand strength and distribution than on product innovation.
Depreciation to Gross Profit Ratio %
Hershey’s depreciation-to-gross-profit ratio is a reasonable 9.48%, slightly lower than its competitors’ 9.65%, suggesting efficient asset utilization.
Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio %
Hershey’s Interest Expense to Operating Income Ratio is 7.4%, significantly lower than its competitors’ 16.3%, indicating a strong financial position.
Operating Margin %
Hershey’s operating margin is strong, consistently above 20%. This suggests efficient operations and pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin %
Hershey’s free cash flow margin fluctuates, but it consistently remains higher than that of its competitors. This is a strong indicator that Hershey has a durable competitive advantage.
Basic Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Hershey’s EPS shows a generally upward trend, indicating consistent profitability.
Return on Equity (ROE)
Hershey’s ROE is strong and significantly higher than that of its competitors, indicating efficient utilization of shareholder equity.
Based on the analysis of key financial ratios, we have determined the following: The Hershey Company’s financial condition is stronger than that of its competitors. We believe the company holds a competitive advantage within its industry.
Intrinsic Value Valuation
Intrinsic Value: $236.80
Current Price: $171.16
Margin of Safety: 27.72%
Based on the provided data, Hershey’s stock appears to be undervalued, with a significant margin of safety.
The company’s strong brand portfolio, consistent profitability, and efficient operations are positive indicators.
The 27.72% margin of safety provides a good buffer against potential market fluctuations or valuation errors.
Recommendation: Given the current undervaluation and the company’s strong fundamentals, a “buy” recommendation is warranted. However, investors should carefully monitor industry trends, competitive pressures, and potential risks related to changing consumer preferences and ingredient costs.
XAUUSD BUYS PLAYING OUT PERFECTLY Hey guys if you got in for the Gold buys that I posted when I executed I bet you’re in deep profit now, we up 1:1 so put trade at breakeven and hold to Tp I’m targeting $3000 tho I don’t know if price will get there so take your profits when you feel like is enough for you…let’s see how it ends…
NVDA Breakdown: Is a Trend Reversal Unfolding?NVDA is showing signs of weakness, with an A-B-C correction potentially unfolding, hinting at a trend reversal. The near-term peak in AI compute demand, proven by DeepSeek , and NVDA’s reliance on Taiwan-based TSMC amid geopolitical risks add fundamental pressure. Broader market sentiment hasn’t turned fully bearish yet either, with CPCE unchanged for March — suggesting market participants haven't fully priced in further downside.
$NYSE:VRT (Vertiv Holdings, LLC) Bullish Outlook NYSE:VRT
Company Overview:
Cooling for Data Centers. One of the very few.
Vertiv Holdings Co. engages in the design, manufacture, and service of critical digital infrastructure technology that powers, cools, deploys, secures and maintains electronics that process, store and transmit data. It also offers power management products, thermal management products, integrated rack systems, modular solutions, and management systems for monitoring and controlling digital infrastructure.
Vertiv Group Corp., established in 2016 after its acquisition by Platinum Equity, stands as a global leader in data center cooling solutions. Offering precision cooling systems and thermal management solutions since its inception, Vertiv has garnered recognition for its innovative technologies and commitment to sustainability. Recent developments, especially in energy-efficient cooling systems, underscore its dedication to meeting evolving market needs. Vertiv's focus on innovation, reliability, and customer satisfaction has solidified its position as a top choice for organizations seeking cutting-edge cooling solutions for their critical digital infrastructure.
Other companies may partake in Data Center Cooling but Vertiv (VST) specializes in it. That's the big difference. It's not a side piece of the business to make additional $. That's what makes it special. That's why I mentioned there really isn't many companies that specialize in this critical area especially with the growth of data centers.
Technicals:
Positive Divergence
RSI at 36 and as of now crossing RSI-Based MA
Descending Wedge (breaking out as of 3/12)
Downside: A lot of resistance to break through as in it 's under ALL Moving Average's.
Overall NYSE:VRT continues to to increase every single quarter and is in a very strong market of data centers as these will continue to increase and need cooling. Institutions own 83.77%
VRT Snapshot
VRT Growth
INTC | If Keeps This up it will get Past it's Technical IssuesINTC makes CNBC news as top mover today 3-12-25, it needs the attention, why... if Intel keeps this up it will get past it's technical issues which I think it will; buyout rumors are very real and possible and it's getting the attention it DOES deserve, I think it surprises the market with moves higher. Apple or Samsung could use all the patents and history on this mega-company, at this price I feel it's a steal absolutely. Someone must be eying taking it out outright IMO.
Strong technicals are forming right here and now.