Adobe AnalysisJust closed my position with a 39% gain! 🚀 Adobe is currently trading at $620, showcasing a strong bullish trend with potential for further growth. Based on current momentum, there are two key scenarios to watch:
1. Bullish Continuation: The price could surge towards the $640 mark, extending its bullish trajectory.
2. P otential Retracement: Alternatively, if it breaks below the $620 level, we might see a pullback to around $600.
Stay alert for these pivotal movements. Both scenarios offer significant trading opportunities. Keep an eye on the market and stay tuned for more updates! 🌟
#Adobe #StockAnalysis #TradingView
Growth
Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market.
On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance.
This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally.
Technology Analysis:
Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team:
With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications.
AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications:
Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications.
Competitors and Position in the AI Market:
In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market.
Financial Analysis:
Fundamental Rating of MSFT:
With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability.
Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock:
In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence.
Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase:
In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock.
Combined Analysis:
Synergy of Technology and Finance:
The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments.
With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
XAUUSD, NDX, XU100: Real Prices (Inflation Adjusted)A historical overview of inflation adjusted prices: XAUUSD, NDX, XU100USD
We are all blinded by "the price", and usually oblivious to the real price and real earnings.
As inflation silently erodes the market, it may be a cold shower to take a look in the long run.
The elephant in the room: the gap between the nominal and CPI adjusted price.
Asecending or decending wedge BLK Blackrock
most poplulary know for its 10 trillion dollar capital, has some excitment coming and itll be not so boring to watch from now up unitl early next year. YTD down 0.44% its bouncing like a lowrider a real gangsta mexican would be driving with the essays. i will be watching this and i am sure that i am not the only one.
Are Recession Fears Still Looming? Gold is Flying
Gold has enjoyed an impressive rally over the last 5 weeks - up 6% in the month of October. Historically, gold has always been the quintessential “flight-to-quality” asset. Whenever there are geopolitical or macroeconomic fears permeating financial markets, gold has outperformed. As it stands, December gold is on the brink of retesting the psychologically significant $2,000/oz level. So is the recent price strength evidence of investors’ fears of a looming recession? What other evidence would support this?
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Crude Oil is Crying
Crude oil has fallen as sharply as gold has rallied. Since the swing high to 89.85 on October 29th, crude oil prices have fallen more than $13/barrel - settling at $72.90 on Thursday. Price contractions of this magnitude are typically demand driven, which would be another feather in the cap of demand growth fears on behalf of market participants. But, how could you explain the recent performance of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000? In short - interest rates. As we near what is expected to be the end of the Fed’s rate hike cycle, equities have performed very well in anticipation of rates eventually coming down. The primary reason that the Fed would halt rate hikes, or begin lowering rates would come as a result of economic slowdowns.
Stocks Are Strong
All in all, the American economy has proven resilient. The rally underway in the equity markets has been substantiated by strong economic data, and disinflationary CPI readings. The proverbial “canary in the coal mine” could be consumer credit and lower-than-normal personal savings rates. However, there are very few signs of a robust economic breakdown coming in the immediate future in the United States.
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Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short Moon Preparing 285 pips long. 286 pips short. Long is in perfect status. Short position is incase for a downtrend. Short position is aligned with MTF. No need for an order block downtrend.
Swing High in place. Lighting icon is where the Bull is as it’s moving up with bullish arrows in process.
Top white rectangle includes 2 smart money order blocks, trend making its way up.
Pin pointed to the value line.
Bull has surpassed bottom order block.
Long position risk reward ratio pin points to entry which was long ago.
Pay attention to short position.
As of right now for new traders. No confirmation yet for entry. I’m using short position to confirm entry.
While the Bull is still in its BULL-PEN which will brake loose soon. I’ll update when entry is ready. Worst scenario, if entry is made now, you’re still safe.
When Bull brakes out, I’ll update. This is usually when traders join the trade. I’m eye balling smart money as well.
Understanding GDP Growth: A Key Indicator of Economic HealthIntroduction
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will explore the significance of GDP growth, its components, and the impact it has on various aspects of a nation's well-being.
Definition and Components of GDP
GDP is the total value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given time frame. It is commonly calculated quarterly and annually. There are three main ways to measure GDP: the production approach, the income approach, and the expenditure approach. Each approach provides a unique perspective on economic activity.
Production Approach: This method calculates GDP by adding up all the value-added at each stage of production. It includes the value of intermediate goods and services to avoid double counting.
Income Approach: GDP can also be measured by summing up all the incomes earned by individuals and businesses within a country, including wages, profits, and taxes minus subsidies.
Expenditure Approach: This approach calculates GDP by summing up all the expenditures made in the economy. It includes consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports).
Importance
Here are some of the primary reasons why GDP growth is considered important:
Economic Health - GDP growth is a fundamental measure of a country's economic health. A positive growth rate indicates that the economy is expanding, producing more goods and services over time. This growth is essential for creating jobs, increasing incomes, and improving overall living standards.
Job Creation - A growing economy often leads to increased employment opportunities. As businesses expand to meet rising demand for goods and services, they hire more workers, reducing unemployment rates and contributing to a more robust labor market.
Income Generation - GDP growth is linked to the overall income generated within a country. As the economy expands, incomes generally rise, providing individuals and households with more financial resources. This, in turn, contributes to an improvement in the standard of living.
Investment Climate - Investors and businesses often use GDP growth as a critical factor in assessing the attractiveness of a country for investment. A growing economy suggests potential opportunities for businesses to thrive, encouraging both domestic and foreign investments.
Government Policy - Policymakers use GDP growth data to formulate economic policies. High GDP growth rates may lead to expansionary policies aimed at sustaining economic momentum, while low or negative growth rates may prompt policymakers to adopt measures to stimulate economic activity.
Consumer and Business Confidence - Positive GDP growth contributes to increased confidence among consumers and businesses. When people perceive a growing economy, they are more likely to spend money, and businesses are more inclined to invest and expand.
International Competitiveness - A country with a strong and growing economy is often viewed as more competitive on the global stage. A robust GDP growth rate enhances a nation's economic influence and can attract international trade and investment.
Government Revenues - Higher GDP growth rates can lead to increased tax revenues for the government. This additional income can be used to fund public services, infrastructure projects, and social programs, contributing to the overall development of the nation.
Debt Management - Economic growth can help manage a country's debt burden. A growing economy typically generates more revenue, making it easier for the government to service its debt without relying excessively on borrowing.
Poverty Reduction - Sustainable GDP growth is often associated with poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, helping to lift people out of poverty.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth stands as a cornerstone in understanding and evaluating a nation's economic well-being. Through its comprehensive measurement of all goods and services produced within a country, GDP growth provides valuable insights into economic health, job creation, income generation, and various other facets that collectively contribute to the overall prosperity of a nation.
The three approaches to measuring GDP—production, income, and expenditure—offer distinct perspectives, ensuring a holistic understanding of economic activity. The importance of GDP growth cannot be overstated, as it serves as a fundamental gauge of a country's economic trajectory and influences crucial decision-making processes at both the individual and policy levels.
The positive correlation between GDP growth and job creation underscores the role of a thriving economy in fostering employment opportunities and contributing to a robust labor market. Additionally, the impact on income generation translates into an improved standard of living for individuals and households, reflecting the tangible benefits of economic expansion.
Investors and businesses keenly observe GDP growth as a key indicator when evaluating the potential for investment. Government policymakers, armed with GDP data, craft strategies to either sustain economic momentum or stimulate activity, underscoring the pivotal role GDP growth plays in shaping economic policies.
The ripple effects of GDP growth extend to consumer and business confidence, international competitiveness, government revenues, and effective debt management. A growing economy not only instills confidence but also attracts global trade and investment, positioning the nation favorably on the international stage.
Perhaps most importantly, sustainable GDP growth is intricately linked to poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, contributing to the uplifting of individuals and communities from poverty.
In essence, the study of GDP growth goes beyond mere economic statistics; it serves as a compass guiding nations towards prosperity, inclusive development, and an improved quality of life for their citizens. Recognizing the multi-dimensional impact of GDP growth enables policymakers, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions that foster long-term economic well-being and societal advancement.
$ALGO Supports And Resistance Zones - TIME TO BUYEURONEXT:ALGO Is an asset I have a lot of history with, Currently, it is trading well below what it realistically should be, considering the overall state of the crypto market right now.
In this Chart I have not only added updated support / Resistance and target zones, I have left the previous Levels up that I charted in 2021
The more relevant data to current trades will be the levels established at the lower parts of the chart. Namely, the price points that follow.
Here are my levels to watch out for,
Here are my recommended options for entry.
You can wait for a breakout of resistance zone 1, wait for a breakdown to the support level ($.1230), or enter right now and risk a breakdown while still in the trade.
At this level I do believe it is a more beneficial move to either enter now or wait until a break of resistance, I don't necessarily see us dipping to support unless the overall market declines over the next few days.
Here are the levels to watch.
Set alerts are applicable prices.
Support / Entry level: $.1230
Resistance Zone 1: $.1405-$.1520
Target 1: $.2390 +97%
Target 2: $.3610 +190%
Target 3: $.5070 +320%
BTC / 1H / 27 OctoberI predict a three-wave Elliott wave pattern for Bitcoin's movement. The first wave moved towards the bullish target after the 2-day correction. The second wave needs 4 or 5 days to complete its correction and move towards the end of the third wave. The bottom of the wave seems to be $38,000
This pattern shows itself on the 1-hour time frame and is just a prediction based on the three-wave pattern on the same time frame.
I have put the daily or 4-hour time frame forecast in other analyzes on my page
The World of ETFsIn the vast landscape of investments, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) stand as a unique bridge, merging the best of both stocks and mutual funds. While traditional managed funds pool investors' money into assets managed by professionals, ETFs introduce a compelling twist, allowing for the flexibility of stock trading.
Unlike managed funds, ETFs are akin to stocks, enabling investors to buy and sell them at any time during market hours . This accessibility aligns ETFs more closely with the dynamic nature of stocks, catering to the on-demand needs of modern investors.
However, just like any investment, ETFs come with their nuances and risks. Diversification, often touted as an investment safety net, does mitigate some risks but can't fully shield against market volatility.
Different ETFs carry varying levels of risk, making understanding these distinctions vital before investing. Additionally, the past performance of ETFs isn't always a reliable indicator of future results, underlining the importance of comprehensive research and sound decision-making.
Bitcoin ETFs: The Gateway to Crypto Investments
In recent years, the advent of Bitcoin ETFs has added an intriguing chapter to the investment narrative. These financial instruments enable investors to engage with Bitcoin's price movements without directly owning the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin ETFs, traded on conventional stock exchanges, provide an accessible avenue for traditional investors to venture into the crypto sphere.
Within the realm of Bitcoin ETFs, there are two primary types: spot and futures-based ETFs:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs offer direct exposure to Bitcoin's real-time market price, involving the actual cryptocurrency.
On the other hand, futures-based ETFs utilize Bitcoin futures contracts, enabling speculation on the asset's future price without owning the underlying asset.
The interest in Bitcoin ETFs can be attributed to several factors. First and foremost, they offer unparalleled ease of access. Trading on mainstream stock exchanges simplifies the process, allowing investors to leverage existing brokerage accounts without delving into the complexities of crypto exchanges.
Moreover, the regulatory oversight accompanying ETFs adds a layer of security, easing concerns related to fraud and market manipulation prevalent in unregulated crypto markets.
Additionally, the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs signifies a significant shift, indicating the integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems.
While the United States has yet to approve a spot Bitcoin ETF, several Bitcoin futures-linked ETFs have gained regulatory approval , broadening investment horizons.
Beyond Bitcoin: Exploring the Crypto ETF Spectrum
While Bitcoin has seized the spotlight, the crypto ETF landscape is not confined to it alone. Outside the United States, various Cryptocurrency Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) encompass a spectrum of digital assets beyond Bitcoin. These offerings enable diversification within the digital asset space, catering to investors keen on exploring a range of cryptocurrencies.
In the United States, ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies like Ether also exist, albeit in the futures-related domain. Although spot-based crypto ETFs are yet to make their debut, the evolving regulatory landscape and market demand may pave the way for these in the future.
As the financial world continues its digital transformation, understanding ETFs and their crypto counterparts becomes paramount. By bridging the gap between traditional stocks and the dynamic crypto sphere, ETFs empower investors with newfound opportunities and avenues for portfolio growth.
Stay tuned for the evolving of crypto ETFs, where the world of investments meets the future of finance.
Will Companies Like Square (Block) Ever Make a Comeback?Ah yes... I remember the good ol' days of Square (now known as Block). It was one my best investments in my short career as a trader/investor. Way back when, the story was quite obvious: they had created the best solution for small businesses to sell goods & services either in a store or online.
It was fast and effortless.
The rise of Block, and subsequent drop, has been something to marvel at. I had sold my position many moons ago, but it's remained on my watchlist because I like the company and what it stands for.
Some people have given it a very hard time for its rebranding to Block, its new logo, and mission. However, considering that they are payment experts, I think it's notable and worth watching.
Nevertheless, can the stock really make a comeback? The chart is horrendous.
One factor contributing to this downward trend is the significant acquisition of Afterpay, which required a substantial amount of cash and stock, impacting Block's balance sheet. I still have NO idea why they paid this much to acquire an average company.
I guess the hype and FOMO of BNPL really got to them.
In August 2021, Block announced its intent to acquire Afterpay, a prominent "buy now, pay later" fintech company. I think the story made sense - it gave them the capability to add their own credit network. However, the sheer size of the transaction was just bonkers.
Block currently has a market cap of $28 billion. BUT, they acquired AfterPay for $29 billion! Ouch... the company is now worth less than their recent buyout.
It's important to note that such significant acquisitions often take time to yield the intended benefits. The share price decline may be partially attributed to investor impatience and a lack of immediate clarity on how Block plans to integrate Afterpay into its broader ecosystem.
The question is simple: will AfterPay ever yield the payout that Block intended it to have? If the answer is anything but "yes - it's happening" there's no reason to trade or invest in this any further. HOWEVER, if there are glimpses that show, just maybe, Block made a smart acquisition, adding a new layer to their payment network that is only just starting, then the return to highs is not far-fetched at all.
The trade is simple: watch to see how Block continues to integrate AfterPay, and, it is starts to work, it's worth evaluating further over 1-3 year comeback in share price.
Modeling a shift in SRAS and AD over the past year, I think. I used the U.S PCE YoY as the base, I then overlaid the M1 YoY and Real GDP YoY. I used the beginning of this years as a reference point as that is roughly when the fed began increasing interest rates.
As the price level declines demonstrated by a decline in the money supply and PCE YoY declining
Real GDP YoY is seen increasing
To my understanding this visualizes how SRAS and AD have shifted to the left over the past year
Saudi Aramco Stock on Tadawul ExchangeSaudi Aramco made more than 94,5 billions in profits this year. This is a good order to win the situation. After last year losses this ship is going to deliver. As you can see on the presented chart, we have prepared more complex strategy for this Asset. Alpha+Beta is when interests of passive and active managers follow the same road. Sigma stayed the same. Theta, also the same. Omega+Kappa is when interests of minority investors are divided by conflict of interests for some reason. Why we think this is truth, and not a hogwash? Well, truth in numbers, try to not associate yourself with this, calculate it yourself. Good luck with Saudi Aramco Stock, investors.
Gala's All Time High Return Gain %Just so you long term fan boys can see it.
If you long now and set an alert at Gala's all time high, you could be looking at 3900% gain.
Say $1000 into $39,000.
Say $5000 into $200,000.
Of course no one knows the future.
I just like the long term in clear view of it's all time high.
Happy trading.
Not financial advice.
Lumn in Accumulation Phase ?Despite all the negative news around LUMN, negative cash flow, negative EBITDA and finally negative outlook from market analysts, LUMN remains a pioneer in data infrastructure and fiber provider in the US market + the market cap ($1.5B) is far below it is total equity fair value ( MUN:10B ).
in other words, the fair price to the current situation is around 7 time the current stock price with negative outlook, this can be reduced by 50% which means 3,5 * 1,4 == around $5. (this is my personal analysis taking the worst financials case of LUMN for the next 4 quarters).
The weekly and monthly charts show continues sell off with possible accumulation phase just started, in the coming months this can be confirmed if we see price stabilization around $1 and volume remains high.
As per Fintel data, the institutional ownership percentage is dropping for the (at least) second quarter in a row.
This is an opportunity to target 2026/2027 at least, less then 5% of the capital to be allocated.
return may exceed 1000% (not guaranteed in shorter term), loss of 100% is highly possible if the new CEO fails to save the company + worst debt with higher yields.
Position open, target price $10.
Good luck everyone :)