Halfway thereWe're halfway through the year of 2023. Mega Cap earnings season begins in July. The 8 largest companies by market capitalization are AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, BRK.B, META. Here's an 8 split frame, 6 month chart with financial data.
AAPL 3.05 T
+49% YTD
Earnings 8/3/23
MSFT 2.53 T
+42% YTD
Earnings 7/25/23
GOOGL 1.53 T
+36% YTD
Earnings 7/25/23
AMZN 1.34 T
+55% YTD
Earnings 7/27/23
NVDA 1.04 T
+189% YTD
Earnings 8/23/23
TSLA 830 B
+113% YTD
Earnings 8/19/23
BRK.B 745 B
+10% YTD
Earnings 8/7/23
META 735 B
+138% YTD
Earnings 7/26/23
Revenue = The total amount of money brought in by a company's operations, measured over a set amount of time.
EPS = Is calculated by subtracting any preferred dividends from a company's net income and dividing that amount by the number of shares outstanding.
PE = The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is the ratio for valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its per-share earnings.
PB = The Price-to-book value (P/B) is the ratio of the market value of a company's shares (share price) over its book value of equity.
PS = The price-to-sales P/S ratio is calculated by dividing the stock price by the underlying company's sales per share.
FCF = Free cash flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations and maintain its capital assets.
Cash to debt ratio = The cash flow-to-debt ratio is the ratio of a company's cash flow from operations to its total debt. A ratio of 1 or greater is best, whereas a ratio of less than 1 shows that a firm isn't generating sufficient cash flow to meet its debt obligations.
PEG ratio = The price/earnings to growth ratio (PEG ratio) is a stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divided by the growth rate of its earnings for a specified time period. Generally, a PEG below 1 means a stock is undervalued.
Current ratio = The current ratio is Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities. It's a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations or those due within one year. In general, a current ratio of 2 or higher is considered good, and anything lower than 2 is a cause for concern.
Growth
Snap: Is the Nightmare Finally Ending?Snap has struggled since growth stocks started crumbling two years ago, but now some traders may see chances of a recovery.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the potential basing pattern that began in August. Its bottom was slightly above the May trough. That could suggest that selling pressure is waning in the social-media stock.
Second are the pair of high-volume candles on October 16 and 25. The first came after The Verge reported that SNAP was setting ambitious internal targets for monetization and engagement. The second followed better-than-expected quarterly results.
At that time, investors were nervous about global tensions hurting growth. But if those worries fade, traders could target the third pattern: a large bearish gap that followed weak quarterly results in July.
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Supply Shock 2.0 - Before March 2024 Bitcoin[
Taking a break on this, but still traditional finance institutions refuse to release the data they have on the supply situation on Bitcoin meaning there's a big multiplier on every $1 that enters Bitcoin.
I always do Fundamentals on-chain before drawing macro trends on anything, Bitcoin would have to be the best asset for this as we can see everything on-chain unlike Gold or Stocks and Bonds to the exact unit.
Bitcoin cannot I repeat Bitcoin cannot remain under $200,000 if less than 2% of institutions allocate to Bitcoin. The supply is simply just not there.
ON-CHAIN DATA AS OF POST
Bitcoin: Total Supply Held by Long-Term Holders
14,850,716 BTC (Lost and holders who will not sell)
Bitcoin: Balance in Miner Wallets - All Miners
1,830,337 BTC
Bitcoin: Balance on Exchanges (Total) - All Exchanges
2,318,356 BTC
(I believe a lot of this balance is already allocated to the Spot ETF's so again it will be moved once launched and not sold)
End
SOL->AVAX Rotation trade, Point of maximum opportunityAVAX is now in the historic low of its range vs SOL and I've no information that Solana has somehow defeated Avalanche in terms of its value proposition, so it would make complete sense for there to be a rotation between the two platform tokens.
If you need fundamentals to drive a bullish position on AVAX, look at forthcoming blockchain games Shrapnel and Off the Grid, both very likely to be the biggest games in Web 3.0, also Avalanche appear to be courting RWAs and are said to appear in every conversation about asset tokenisation between the Big 4, see also Bank of America report on this.
All looking very good for Avalanche.
My Favorite AI Play - Bandwidth (BAND)Bandwidth (BAND) is my favorite AI play right now.
The chart looks really bad! I get it. Today, it trades for below even its IPO price.
But the reason why I think it's an AI play ready to double, possibly triple, is a fundamental reason that I'll explain in this post.
First of all, let me state something very interesting about Bandwidth - today it's one of the worst performing stocks in the entire market since 2020 and 2021. I don't entirely know why that's the case, but I do think the market has overreacted.
Let me now get the bad news out of the way: when BAND's stock was flying high, management took out several large loans to expand faster and grow globally. Those gains are starting to be realized, but it's key to mention this as the debt profile is still somewhat high. The question now is: can they keep paying it off? They're on target to have little to no debt within the next few years.
Okay, so why is Bandwidth an AI play? To understand this you need to know that Bandwidth is essentially the connector for data that is transmitted over the web. Bandwidth's platform helps data, messages, voice calls, video calls, email, and more travel from Point A to Point B.
For example, when you make a call on Zoom or even Slack or Google Hangouts, it's highly likely your call is being routed over Bandwith's network. The point is, Bandwidth is the toll keeper, the train conductor, for most modern communications that are triggered at scale.
So how does AI fit into this?
That's where this gets good. All of these AI companies NEED a company to help deliver the information to their end consumer. If OpenAI creates a chatbot that works on text message or sends push notifications or can even speak over calls, Bandwidth will most likely be the resource that delivers that information from business to consumer.
What's even more interesting is call centers and the future of talking to call centers to get help or support. In one scenario, you upload all your most frequently asked questions, pair it with an AI service, and then let users call that AI service over the Bandwidth network and now an AI customer support agent is solving issues at scale.
This is just one example.
I could go on and on.
But that's my play!
I own a little Bandwidth and will be watching closely in the coming years.
Supertrend + Hashribbons Showing a Long Term Trend for BTCIn this Video we discuss all the criteria I'm looking at right now for a bitcoin long position.
This includes:
- Hash ribbons smashing all time highs again after looking fairly weak a few days ago.
- Supertrend AI Indicator looking like it's giving a decent trending signal after the last few months of sideways action and traps.
- VWATR Bands expecting a retest/reclaim of the line after losing it(And why).
- And general structure looking a lot better for bitcoin.
Thanks and have a great day :)
Market Meltdown: Wall Street's Shocking Symphony Unveiled!In the heart of financial dynamics, where numbers narrate tales and markets hum a melody, we stand on the cusp of a riveting chapter. The surge in bond yields, the resonance of conflict in Gaza, and the corporate crescendos echo through Wall Street, crafting a narrative that captivates and challenges.
As we step into this unfolding saga, each market movement becomes a note in a symphony—a symphony where every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate revelation plays a crucial role. Join me as we unravel the Overture of Wall Street, decoding the melodies that shape the financial landscape and beckon us into the intriguing world of global finance.
Bond Yields Surge: Unraveling the Threads of Economic Sentiment
The recent surge in the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, cresting above 4.9%, serves as a seismic event with far-reaching implications. Traditionally, higher yields spell caution for equity markets, diminishing the allure of stocks in comparison to the safety of fixed-income assets. The market's reaction, characterized by a 1.3% dip in the S&P 500, underscores the anxiety stemming from heightened borrowing costs for both corporations and households.
This surge in bond yields is not merely a statistical blip; it's a harbinger of a delicate dance between the Federal Reserve and the broader economic landscape. The specter of swelling U.S. debt looms large, and as Bloomberg Economics warns, the increase in yields could act as a drag on economic growth, akin to the impact of a Fed rate hike.
Geopolitical Turmoil: A Catalyst for Market Volatility
The geopolitical tableau adds a layer of complexity, with the Gaza conflict acting as a catalyst. The deadly explosion at a Gaza hospital and the subsequent cancellation of a summit with Arab leaders have injected fresh uncertainties into the market psyche. Beyond the tragic human toll, the conflict reverberates through financial markets, notably elevating oil prices.
Oil, the lifeblood of economies, rose nearly 2% to $91.50 a barrel. The Israel-Hamas conflict and optimistic outlooks for Chinese demand became twin engines propelling oil's ascent. Investors, already grappling with bond yield tremors, now face the added challenge of navigating an energy market rife with geopolitical uncertainties.
Corporate Performance: A Tapestry of Triumphs and Tribulations
Against this backdrop, corporate performances play a pivotal role in shaping market trajectories. Morgan Stanley's stock stumbled after reporting a drop in quarterly net income, emblematic of challenges within the financial sector. Simultaneously, Procter & Gamble's shares surged as the company reported a quarterly profit boost, underlining the impact of strategic pricing decisions in an inflationary environment.
The corporate stage is set, with companies wielding the power to either fortify or erode market confidence. In the case of United Airlines, a 7% early decline in shares following a cut in year-end earnings forecasts exemplifies the tightrope walked by companies in a tumultuous market environment.
Market Performance: A Symphony of Red and Green
As the final notes of the market day resonated, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Industrials bore the weight of a 1.3%, 1.6%, and 1% decline, respectively. The Russell 2000, reflecting smaller companies, faced a more substantial 2.1% dip. This symphony of red underscores the impact of mixed corporate reports and the tightening grip of rising Treasury yields.
The decline is not confined to domestic shores; the MSCI World index echoes the sentiment, falling in tandem with its U.S. counterparts. The markets, in their collective wisdom, are sending signals of caution, reacting to the interplay of global and domestic variables.
Deciphering the Market's Sonnet
In conclusion, Wall Street's current state is akin to a sonnet, weaving together verses of bond yield surges, geopolitical tumult, and corporate performances. Each stanza contributes to the larger narrative of market sentiment, reflecting the delicate balance between risk and reward. Investors must read between the lines, understanding that every rise in bond yields, every geopolitical tremor, and every corporate report shapes the verses of the market's sonnet.
As we navigate these turbulent waters, an agile and discerning approach is paramount. The future remains unwritten, and while challenges abound, opportunities await those who can decipher the intricate melodies emanating from Wall Street's financial symphony.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) October 2023 to April 2024
Neutral to Long: The company's fundamentals and dividend history are strong, suggesting a potential long position. However, the recent underperformance (negative YTD return) and the volatility might be a concern, which introduces some caution, hence the neutral stance.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: $110.91 billion
Operating Margin (TTM): 13.43%
EPS (Earnings Per Share): $27.3
PE Ratio: 16.13
Revenue (TTM): $67.39 billion
Quarterly Revenue Growth YoY: 8.1%
Profit Margin: 10.48%
Return on Equity (TTM): 68.31%
Recent Earnings:
Q3 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.67 (actual EPS not yet reported).
Q2 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.45, and the actual EPS was $6.63, resulting in a positive surprise of 2.79%.
Q1 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.06, and the actual EPS was $6.61, resulting in a positive surprise of 9.08%.
Q4 2022: Estimated EPS was $7.39, and the actual EPS was $7.4, resulting in a slight positive surprise of 0.14%.
Technical Indicators:
5-Year Return: 9.02%
10-Year Return: 16.31%
1-Year Return: 13.94%
YTD Return: -7.52%
Dividend Yield: 2.72%
Volatility (1Y): 21.49%
Sharpe Ratio: 0.7561
Dividends & Splits:
Last Dividend Date: December 29, 2023
Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.86%
Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $12.6
Last Split: 2:1 on January 4, 1999
Analysis:
Lockheed Martin has shown consistent growth in its revenue, with a YoY quarterly revenue growth of 8.1%. The company's earnings have been positive, with recent quarters showing a positive surprise in EPS compared to estimates. The company's fundamentals, such as the operating margin and profit margin, are robust. The PE ratio is at a moderate level, indicating that the stock might be reasonably priced. The company has a strong dividend history, which is a positive sign for income-focused investors.
However, the YTD return is negative, indicating some recent underperformance. The volatility is also relatively high, which might be a concern for risk-averse investors.
In conclusion, Lockheed Martin appears to be a fundamentally strong company with consistent growth and a good dividend history. However, potential investors should be cautious about the recent underperformance and consider the company's volatility before making an investment decision.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Foxconn and Nvidia are building 'AI factories'Nvidia and Foxconn are working together to build so-called "AI factories," a new class of data centers that promise to provide supercomputing powers to accelerate the development of self-driving cars, autonomous machines and industrial robots.
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang and Foxconn chairman and CEO Young Liu announced the collaboration at Hon Hai Tech Day in Taiwan on Tuesday. The AI factory is based off an Nvidia GPU computing infrastructure that will be built to process, refine and transform vast amounts of data into valuable AI models and information.
"We're building this entire end-to-end system where on the one hand, you're building this advanced EV car...with an AI brain inside that allows it to interact with drivers and interact with passengers, as well as autonomously drive, complemented by an AI factory that develops a software for this car," said Huang onstage at the event. "This car will go through life experience and collect more data. The data will go to the AI factory, where the AI factory will improve the software and update the entire AI fleet."
The AI factory tie-up builds off a partnership between Nvidia and Foxconn announced in January to develop autonomous vehicle platforms. That agreement involved Foxconn becoming a primary supplier of electronic control units (ECUs) for automakers, which will be built with Nvidia's Drive Orin system-on-a-chip (SoC), a supercomputing AI platform that supports autonomous driving functions. On Tuesday, Foxconn also committed to manufacturing ECUs with Drive Thor, Nvidia's next-gen SoC, after production starts in 2025.
As part of that partnership, Foxconn -- which has been steadily unveiling off-the-shelf EV platforms for automakers to purchase -- said the vehicles it makes as a contract manufacturer will be built with Nvidia's Drive Hyperion 9 platform, which includes not only Drive Thor, but also a suite of sensors like cameras, radar, lidar and ultrasonic that are necessary for self-driving capabilities.
Foxconn is already contracted to build EVs for Fisker, even as it gets sued by its erstwhile partner Lordstown Motors. The automaker will need scale in order to make its AI factories viable, especially if it's going to compete with Tesla.
Pfizer's (PFE) Ulcerative Colitis Pill Etrasimod Gets FDA NodPfizer PFE announced that the FDA has granted approval to its oral, once-daily pill called etrasimod to treat moderately-to-severely active ulcerative colitis (UC). The oral, once-daily, selective sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P) receptor modulator will be marketed by the brand name of Velsipity (2 mg dose).
The approval for etrasimod was based on data from two pivotal phase III studies, ELEVATE UC 52 and ELEVATE 12. These studies evaluated the safety and efficacy of a daily 2mg dose of oral etrasimod in UC patients who had failed treatment with a JAK inhibitor. Both studies achieved their primary endpoint of clinical remission over placebo and all key secondary endpoints.
An application seeking the approval of etrasimod is also under review in the EU, with a decision from the European Medicines Agency anticipated in first-half 2024.
Velsipity (etrasimod) was added to Pfizer’s inflammation and immunology portfolio with the March 2022 acquisition of Arena Pharmaceuticals.
The oral, once-daily pill for UC, a chronic condition, is an advanced therapy, which, if approved, will offer patients an opportunity to achieve steroid-free remission.
Pfizer’s stock has declined 37.4% so far this year against an increase of 8.5% for the industry.
XAUUSD Bullish trend expected.On Friday, XAUUSD bounced off crucial support at 1820. From now on, we expect the price to be bullish after we retest the 1820 level, with our main target being 1923.
Economic News
The following economic news from last week is relevant to XAUUSD:
US Nonfarm Payrolls: The US economy added 372,000 jobs in August, beating expectations of 300,000. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.5%.
US CPI: US consumer inflation fell to 8.5% in July from 9.1% in June. This was the first time in over a year that inflation had cooled.
US PPI: US producer inflation fell to 8.5% in July from 9.8% in June. This was the first time in over a year that producer inflation had fallen.
Technical Analysis
The strong US jobs data and the cooling of inflation suggest that the US economy is still resilient. This is good news for the dollar, which is likely to remain strong in the near term. However, the fact that inflation is still high means that the Federal Reserve is likely to continue raising interest rates aggressively.
Rising interest rates are typically negative for gold, as they make it more expensive to hold non-yielding assets. However, gold can also benefit from rising interest rates if they lead to fears of a recession.
Based on the current economic news, we expect XAUUSD to retest the 1820 level before moving higher. If the 1820 level holds, we expect the price to continue its bullish momentum towards our main target of 1923.
Entry: 1820
Stop Loss: 1800
Target: 1923
Risk Management
It is important to note that all trading involves risk. The above trading idea is just a suggestion and should not be taken as financial advice. It is important to do your own research and understand the risks involved before placing any trades.
Disclaimer
I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice.
S&P 500 FallEarlier in the late summer we predicted S&P 500 drop and this worked out well. This autumn we see futher fall in the S&P 500 through the important psychological level. We see no roots for the US economy to produce more profits while China is openly against it. Military spending cut could be only solution to the problem if this won't happen we see further fall this autumn.
Something big is starting in 2023. Go longThe co-founder of Aptos (APT) says a lot of innovation is coming to the ‘Solana killer’ blockchain project in 2023.
In a new interview with crypto influencer Scott Melker, Aptos CEO and cofounder Mo Shaikh says that the blockchain will see significant development next year, especially catering to decentralized finance (DeFi).
“There’s some really cool DeFi stuff that’s going to be coming live soon that takes advantage of not only things like Move, but also parallel transaction processing. So, you know, central limit order books, AMMs (automated market makers), DEXes (decentralized exchanges) – all of these things will be really cool things to keep an eye on Aptos. That’ll be step changes in innovation relative to everything that we’ve seen in the previous generation of blockchain. So we’re looking forward to all of that.”
The Aptos chain uses a programming language called Move, which was originally created for Diem, Meta’s since abandoned crypto project. Aptos aims to advance Diem’s original goal of creating a fast and scalable blockchain.
Shaikh also says that Aptos was built with billions of users in mind, which appeals to larger entities.
“The other thing that we were focused on was, well, it was kind of frustrating to hear the large companies talk about Web3, but not really do anything. And partly that was because, ‘well, we’re going to do a little pilot and do some testing here, but we know that this stuff doesn’t really work for millions of people. And so we’re not risking bringing all our users to these layer twos or layer ones.’
Back in our early days of Meta, we were building principally for billions of people. So we had taken that approach to protect three-plus billion users. When we started having conversations with folks like Google and Npixel, which is a triple A gaming studio in Korea that has over 10 million users, those folks saw what Aptos can do for their users and actually innovate inside of their organization.
So all those folks have started building on top of Aptos. Web3 users are building new innovative products on Aptos, things that they could not do on the blockchains that were out before. And large entities and enterprises that were… excited about Web3, but weren’t comfortable are now building on Web3 in a meaningful way, and we’re excited to see all those use cases now come to life and in 2023.”
Massive growth is coming for the bull market and you want to make sure you buy the low price for APT.
Some tokens are in a buying range while a majority of the top 20 tokens are still bearish.
Buy up the liquidity before prices really shoot up.
Current price today is 3.73 and that is very low compared to predicted growth this project has.
The Solana killer APTOS will be in the top 10 during the next bull market.
Aptos is in my top 10 investments.
Been playing with 30DTE $MSFT Options, and I'm cautiously LONGBackground
- Been playing with 30DTE MSFT Options for the last 3 months, and I'm cautiously LONG since buyers always seem to buy at Bollinger Bands ranges rather than let it drop below those ranges, regardless of Earnings, News Cycles, or Open Trading Windows.
Growth Fundamentals
1. MSFT is a major holder in OpenAI pre-public stock
2. OpenAI: Will continue to benefit from first mover advantage at scale + API adoption (now part of many workflows)
3. Azure: Continues to benefit from cloud infrastructure adoption
4. Office: Continues to benefit from increased knowledge worker population
🧠 IMHO this combination is what will help us get to annotation #3. (Consumer hardware and gaming business is probably not going to make a significant difference any time soon.)
Technical Analysis
1. Weekly chart shows lots of support levels between now and 312.
2. Expecting buyers to come support 325 and bring us back to the "triple tap" level.
3. I believe we could also range here for awhile due to macro-uncertainty.
Investment Buy and Hold Potential:
1. Certainly a good pickup for the long haul, as MSFT sells to global markets, and has moats in across several different business solutions.
2. AI and Cloud Infra will continue to bring in revenue.
3. Most people are likely comfortable holding MSFT stock if they get assigned
4. Looking for AMEX:SPY to hit $470 before taking profits
Forecast White WAVE My forecast white wave is a range of days which travels from the top to bottom. As it moves to the top, candles seem to dip and as the wave moves down, candles move up.
I laid a yellow arrow pointing at the top of the white wave.
Every 2 vertical lines comes with a forecast of what’s likely to happen. The greenish ones shows it’s moving up to price value.
The orange top trend is my value line. Bottom orange moves along the candles.
Unveiling Alibaba's Secrets: A Technical Analysis of Its Future NYSE:BABA
Based on the weekly ElliotWaves analysis , BABA is currently in a corrective wave structure. The corrective wave structure is a complex wave pattern that can take many different forms. However, the most common corrective wave structure is a three-wave ABC pattern.
BABA appears to be in the wave B of the corrective wave structure. Wave B is a retracement of wave A.
We can expect to see BABA continue to move higher in the coming weeks . However, it is important to note that wave B retracements can be sharp and volatile, so we may have a final push on the downside, before the long-term uptrend begins.
Therefore, it is important to be cautious when trading BABA during the wave B retracement and a stronger price confirmation is needed.
BABA's RSI is currently at approx. 50, which is neutral territory. This suggests that BABA is neither overbought nor oversold. However, the RSI is trending higher, which suggests that BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks.
BABA's MACD is currently above its signal line, which is a bullish signal. This suggests that BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks.
Potential Direction of BABA on a Weekly Timeframe
Based on the ElliotWaves, RSI, MACD, and other technical tactics, BABA is likely to continue to move higher in the coming weeks. However, it is important to note that the market is unpredictable and there is always the possibility of a trend reversal. Therefore, it is important to be cautious when trading BABA and to use a stop-loss order to protect your profits.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents is based on the information at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
AAPL Downgraded by KeyBanc: Weak Sales Outlook Raises ConcernsIntroduction:
In a recent development, KeyBanc has downgraded Apple Inc. (AAPL) due to a concerning weak sales outlook. This downgrade has sent shockwaves through the market, prompting traders to reevaluate their positions and consider potential shorting opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the downgrade and discuss why traders should exercise caution when dealing with AAPL.
Understanding the Downgrade:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL stems from their analysis of the company's sales outlook. They have identified certain factors that indicate a potential decline in sales, thereby raising concerns about the stock's future performance. As traders, it is crucial to pay attention to such expert opinions and assess the potential impact on our investment strategies.
Reasons for Weak Sales Outlook:
Several factors contribute to the weak sales outlook for AAPL. KeyBanc highlights the following key concerns:
1. Slowing iPhone Sales: The iPhone has been Apple's flagship product, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue. However, KeyBanc predicts a potential slowdown in iPhone sales due to market saturation and intense competition.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have the potential to disrupt Apple's supply chain and negatively impact its sales. Any escalation in these tensions could further hamper AAPL's growth prospects.
The Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting AAPL with Caution
Given the weak sales outlook and KeyBanc's downgrade, traders should approach AAPL with caution. While shorting AAPL may present an opportunity for profit, it is essential to consider the following factors:
1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short position, conduct comprehensive research to understand the potential risks and rewards associated with shorting AAPL. Analyze the company's financials, market trends, and competitor performance to make informed decisions.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Shorting AAPL should be part of a well-diversified investment strategy. Avoid placing all your bets on a single stock, as this can expose you to unnecessary risks. Diversification helps mitigate potential losses in case the market responds differently than anticipated.
3. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on market sentiment and news updates related to AAPL. Any positive developments or changes in the company's outlook can quickly impact stock prices. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Conclusion:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL based on the weak sales outlook highlights potential challenges for the company in the near future. While shorting AAPL may offer profit potential, traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Diversification and monitoring market sentiment are essential for managing risks effectively. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategy accordingly to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AAPL's future performance.
Global Liquidity and BitcoinNow it is obvious that we are facing a scenario more similar to the second one. And no, this does not mean that CRYPTOCAP:BTC will necessarily fall, but it instead tells us that the wind on the market is blowing in the opposite direction🌬️
And growth, most likely, will be insignificant until the trend of quantitative tapering(QT) from the largest central banks does not change.
💡What I mean by "insignificant" is for example no ATH until the halving or no 100k+ in the first half of 2024. Nevertheless, there will be growth, and it will be more than the classic markets can suggest
CYBIN Cybin is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company on a mission to create safe and effective psychedelic-based therapeutics to address the large unmet need for new and innovative treatment options for people who suffer from mental health conditions.
Cybin’s goal of revolutionizing mental healthcare is supported by a network of world-class partners and internationally recognized scientists aimed at progressing proprietary drug discovery platforms, innovative drug delivery systems, and novel formulation approaches and treatment regimens.
Billionaire Steve Cohen Buys 19M Shares Of Cybin Stock For Psychedelics R&D, Blake Mycoskie $100M Pledge.
The considerably large acquisition puts Cybin in the limelight with credibility status in ongoing and future work - see Cybin’s recent acquisition announcement of DMT therapeutics developer Small Pharma DMTTF.
Blake Mycoskie On His $100M Pledge To Psychedelics Research
Following a sound pledge of $100 million for psychedelics research, billionaire Blake Mycoskie has updated on how his funding agenda -representing around 25% of his wealth- will unfold.
Mycoskie says he is planning to “give $5 million a year for the rest of the time, until the $100 million runs out,” a yearly sum that “feels right, because the industry still feels nascent.”
That could change in the presence of “a huge opportunity” or in the need of “a huge campaign push.” Although he understands other donors are waiting for further regulatory and scientific success, his personal standpoint is that those aren’t needed in view of solid works authored by Johns Hopkins and New York University, among others.
Banks Across Europe Pause for Breath after Mammoth Rate Hike RunHello guys, my idea on EURGBP is that we are overall in a uptrend and due to the pause for breath after the mammoth rate hike run the trend might reverse or continue little higher before we expect a reversal to the downside.. trade safe. James ❤
SCHW: One of the worse performers in 2023. Cautiously $LONGMain Idea/Insider "Alpha": Many large tech companies like NASDAQ:GOOG and NASDAQ:META use Schwab as their vendor to manage RSU grants. This makes me think Schwab is a great long-term investment and will continue to have good cash flow, assets under management, etc.
In the idea above, I present a bull case and a bear case. At worse, this will be neutral and you can sell options against your position and/or collect dividends.
In high interest rate environments, usually "banks" do well, and so schwab will benefit from halo effect if we see finance stocks continue to do well over the long-term.
Other data points
This website seems bullish as well:
simplywall.st
REWARDS
Trading at 12.7% below our estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 14.51% per year
Earnings grew by 10.8% over the past year
Pays a reliable dividend of 1.81%
Analysts in good agreement that stock price will rise by 35.2%
RISK ANALYSIS
Significant insider selling over the past 3 months