ALTS | TOP Altcoins for 2025Altcoins are forever growing and expanding, but it's important to look at coins that have a future BEYOND the first month of trading.
Note that these will not be NEW alts, no microcaps, but rather alts that are worth considering in a portfolio.
Let's first run through the several distinct types of altcoins, each with unique characteristics and purposes. With that, I will list some of the top altcoins to consider for 2025 in that category:
Security Tokens
These represent ownership in a traditional asset, such as shares in a company. They are subject to securities regulations and offer fractional ownership.
Currently, the ones I'm watching are tZERO and SPiCEVC. The whole idea behind tZERO is to make trading digital securities just as easy and seamless as trading stocks on conventional markets. This makes it a game-changer for both investors and companies looking to tokenize their assets. SPiCE VC is a venture capital fund that’s making waves in the blockchain world by offering tokenized access to its portfolio. If you're not familiar with it, SPiCE VC is one of the pioneers in the security token space, and it gives investors the chance to gain exposure to a range of tokenized assets.
The SPiCE token itself represents a share in the fund’s future profits, making it a really interesting option for those who want to diversify their investments without going through the traditional venture capital route.
Payment Tokens
Designed to function as a digital currency, these aim to facilitate peer-to-peer transactions and act as a medium of exchange. Bitcoin is the original example, and many altcoins attempt to improve upon its features such as transaction speed or scalability.
1) XRP | BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
I'm no fan of XRP, but the potential collaboration with Bank of America could prove to be good for the price.
2) BNB | BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Initially created to pay for fees on the Binance exchange, now used in various applications and transactions.
Stablecoins
These aim to minimize price volatility by pegging their value to a stable asset, most commonly a fiat currency like the US dollar. This peg can be maintained through various mechanisms, such as holding reserves of the pegged asset (fiat-backed)/ using algorithms to manage supply (algorithmic stablecoins)
1) USD Coin (USDC) | CRYPTOCAP:USDC
Issued by Circle, USDC is known for its strong regulatory compliance and transparency. Circle is a regulated financial institution that holds reserves of US dollars and other highly liquid assets in segregated accounts at regulated financial institutions.
2) Tether (USDT) | CRYPTOCAP:USDT
Issued by Tether Limited, USDT is the largest stablecoin by market capitalization.
Utility Tokens
These provide access to a specific product or service within a blockchain-based ecosystem. They are not designed as investments but rather as a means of accessing functionality within a network or platform.
1) ETH | COINBASE:ETHUSD
Ethereum keeps growing, and its still the king of ALTs.
2) SOL | MEXC:SOLAUSDT
Sol could be regarded as a major competitor to ETH, and at the current moment still has a bright future.
3) TON | OKX:TONUSDT
Developed to offer payment services using technology created by Telegram, Toncoin could see growth in 2025.
4) ARB | BINANCE:ARBUSDT
Arbitrum is a Layer-2 scaling solution for the Ethereum blockchain, designed to improve transaction speed and reduce costs and could grow in 2025 and beyond.
5) AVAX | BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
Focusing on high performance and scalability, Avalanche supports the creation of custom blockchain networks and decentralized application.
Meme Coins
These cryptocurrencies often originate as jokes or based on internet memes and trends. They typically lack underlying utility or technological innovation and their value is driven primarily by community hype and social media sentiment.
1) DOGE | BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
Dogecoin is a classic, and still shows much room for growth both in upside potential (price) as well as adoption.
2) PEPE | BINANCE:PEPEUSDT
Pepe has grown to an impressive market cap, and seems to be one of the meme's that are here to stay. (At least for a while).
3) WIF | CRYPTO:WIFUSD
Dogwifhat is a little scary, fairly recently released and still has to retest opening levels. However, there is a large hype surrounding it and the general market seems to be optimistic about its future.
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Note that these are just SOME of the great options. I'll do a dedicated post on promising microcaps soon.
Growth
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !?
TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle.
YES the markets will still go to Valhalla.
LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP.
Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield.
Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down.
THE SETUP
We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office.
M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY.
Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded.
To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES.
This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long.
In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years.
As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018.
THE PLAYBOOK
M2 Global Money Supply: Higher
Dollar: Lower
Fed Funds Rates: Lower
10YY: Lower
Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral
Inflation: Neutral
TOOLS
Tariffs
Deregulation
Tax Cuts
Tax Reform
T-Bills
HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR?
Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS.
Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar.
The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing.
The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE.
At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation.
Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting.
WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY?
In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt.
THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt.
In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T.
That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense.
The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt.
As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa.
It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)…
hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting.
HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING?
We’ve seen this before.
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook.
In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations.
Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity.
Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply.
We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world.
The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US.
Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks.
Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities.
Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity.
Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING !
That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
NVDA Multi-Asset Income StrategyRecently, I've been looking a lot at Yield Max ETFs and other options-based yield ETFS more generally such as QDTE, XDTE, RDTE, QQQI, SPYI, YQQQ (inverse), etc.
One possible way to outperform SPY & QQQ, may be to consider investing in such ETFs, though this is purely theoretical s tradingview does not provide a quality backtesting software for a complex multi-asset, multi-directional strategy like this. Nothing in this strategy should be considered financial advice and there are various factors to consider, such as beta decay, mismanagement of the ETFs, tax advantages/disadvantages, reinvestment risk, risks associated with options in income-based derivatives, risks with leveraged assets, and the obviously risks with inverse assets.
In this chart, we are looking at the leveraged ETF NVDL, which tracks NVDA. It's important to note that this asset will decay whenever NVDA trades sideways or goes down over substantial periods of time, and when NVDA goes down the negative % returns are multiplied. Therefore a trader or "sophisticated investor" (FINRA term) needs to not only optimize their position size for a trading period, but also optimize the timing of entry's and exits on multiple position. They will also want to model, volatility, decay, and reinvestment risk (arguably the hardest in this case. This post will not discuss the specifics of those and instead, these topics should be considered as a form of "homework" for you, the reader to think about and discuss in the comments as food for thought.
In this theoretical multi-asset income strategy, risk is managed through the use of income based ETFs that are either bullish or bearish, I think of this as " directional income ". In this case, NVDY is the bullish income asset and DIPS is the bearish income asset, both of which pay dividend monthly and their price performance behaves very similar to a leveraged ETF, in the sense that they only really increase when the underlying the underlying asset moves in the direction of the income derivative. Theoretically, by managing position size with the use of a modified Kelly Criterion which accounts for fed rates, the decay of the asset, and timing (through technical analysis, seasonality and quantitative analysis), I wonder if a trader could swing-trade between various income-based derivatives and leveraged assets, in order to optimize both income and grow irrespective of market conditions.
In truth, I'm still not sure if this is a completely degenerate idea no different to the way banks stacked bad loans together in 2008 and slapped a Grade A rating, and in the process over valued quantitative methods (see the book "Quants") as a sort of grad delusion to completely avoid risks, like a doctor wishing to delete pain from the world with an addictive pill, shilled by Big Pharma... Only in this case, instead of CMBS, it's ETF, leveraged ETFs, options on both, creating a derivative, then stacking more derivative on top of that...
Who knows, though... Maybe this could be a way to profit from this madness?
I honestly don't know.
What I do know is, I find the idea of " directional income " as a hedge more appealing than an inverse leveraged ETF and I'm curious how to apply this to either a single asset or multi-asset portfolio. It's a very interesting idea and I plan to spend the year exploring this idea at the cost of my own capital, rather than someone else's capital.
Why is the GBP Selling Off?The GBP/USD pair has seen a significant drop, plunging to 1.2191, a level last witnessed in November 2023. This decline comes despite rising UK bond yields, with the 30-year yield reaching 5.47% and the 10-year yield at 4.8%, both historic highs not seen in decades. Typically, such yields would support the pound; however, lingering fears of inflation and fiscal instability have outweighed this effect. The UK faces economic challenges, including increased borrowing costs and fiscal constraints under Chancellor Rachel Reeves' leadership. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain momentum, driven by strong economic indicators and rising Treasury yields. As traders monitor the unfolding fiscal policies in the UK and any shifts in US trade strategies, the GBP/USD pair is likely to remain volatile. Keep an eye on these developments, as they will be key drivers in determining future price action in this currency pair.
Still DCA on TargetStill DCA (dollar-cost-averaging) down on TGT as this is in my swing trade setup. Currently down around 9% on this position, but im still overall optimistic on Target as a company.
Will likely look at closing my position at a 10% gain, so will continue to invest and hold my cash in Target until that 10% ROI comes into play.
NASDAQ - In preparation for the great Q4 earnings!Hi guys, we would take a look into the NASDAQ 100 today.
Currently we have some of the biggest companies which will show their Q4 earnings by the end of January, just to name a few - Microsoft,AMD,Netflix,Google,JP Morgan,BlackRock,TSM,Tesla
These companies represent a very big portion of the NASDAQ Composite, and if they deliver some great numbers this would give the necessary boost that we need to push the price towards our target.
Currently from a fundamental perspective these earning calls , would end up providing the necessary benefitiary to boost up the prices , due to the sheer volume that would be generated.
From a Technical perspective : We can see that the price is currently situated on a very strong support level, with an additional boost from the RSI indicator which is showcasing a formulation of an Ascending pattern ahead.
Entry: 21,135
Target 1: 21,500
Target 2: 21,855
Target 3: 22,350
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Is the Dollar Set to rally Before Trump is in office? #USDCHF In this video I go in depth as to why we believe we are set to see higher prices on USDCHF and the US Dollar as a whole.
On the monthly timeframe we can see a large ranging market for USDCHF but we believe this time it will different. Check out the video to find out why in detail! - @BlueOceanFx
Deutsche Bank: Unlocking New Heights!Deutsche Bank AG ( NYSE:DB is currently trading at $17.48 , reflecting a slight decrease of 0.11% from the previous close.
Our proprietary quantum probability indicator signals a strong buy, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock.
The technical chart reveals a bullish flag formation, characterized by an initial surge to the $17.20 resistance level, followed by a consolidation phase.
A decisive breakout from this pattern indicates potential for continued upward movement, with a mid-term target of $24.31 .
From a broader perspective, the development of a cup and handle pattern is evident.
This bullish continuation pattern suggests a long-term projection above the major resistance at $27.28.
Recent developments further support this positive outlook.
Deutsche Bank has shifted its stance to "overweight" on European equities, citing lower interest rates and expectations of a strong corporate earnings season amid an improving political landscape.
Analysts highlight that Europe offers the most attractive equity risk premium among developed markets, with the European benchmark index projected to rise by 15% by the end of 2025 .
Additionally, Deutsche Bank's CEO, Christian Sewing , has emphasized the need for structural reforms and reduced regulations to enhance Germany's economic competitiveness, which could positively impact the bank's performance.
In summary, the technical indicators and recent strategic positions of Deutsche Bank point to a positive trajectory, with significant upside potential in both mid-term and long-term projections.
TSSI to $81 or higherOverview
Total Site Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSSI ) is an information technology company that provides software and services to its clients. They are involved in the setting up, maintenance, and deployment of various technological hardwares and softwares that assist their clients in remaining competitive.
Technicals
TSSI is up by 1,257.6% since May 2024. While no substantial trading patterns may be available to assist with navigation, fibonacci retracement levels could help in finding entry and exit points.
If the share price can garner significant support between $11.55 and $12.25 then a potential bull flag may be in development.
Fundamentals
I like to do my research before investing in a company to make sure they are either profitable or have consistent revenue growth, even if the technicals look like a good opportunity at face value. I pulled annual reports as far back as 2020 in addition to reviewing all 2024 quarterly reports. Here is what I found:
Annual Revenue has consistently increased since 2021-Q4 (average annual gain of 16.72%)
Annual Gross Profit has consistently increased since 2021-Q4 (average annual gain of 19.06%)
Annual Net Income has consistently increased since 2022-Q4 (average annual gain of 147.87%)
The annual reports provoke confidence but it was the quarterly reviews that sealed the deal for me. After comparing the accumulative (Nine Months Ended) totals to the 2023 Annual Report, here is what I found:
YTD Revenue has increased by 80.37% since 2023-Q4 Annual Report
YTD Gross Profit has increased by 37.60% since 2023-Q4 Annual Report
YTD Net Income has increased by 5,390.54% since 2023-Q4 Annual Report
Price Target
There are approximately 24,587,000 outstanding shares according to the Q3-2024 quarterly report, leaving the current market cap around $307M. At a modest market cap of two billion then this would leave TSSI's share price near $81.
Now whether or not I would consider selling at this price range is completely dependent on the health of the company at that moment in time. If TSSI can continue its trajectory and growth, then this roller coaster ride could extend beyond the $81 price target.
BUY Rating: SBC Medical Group – A Compelling Growth StorySBC Medical Group Holdings (NASDAQ: SBC), a leader in end-to-end solutions for aesthetic clinics, has earned a "BUY" rating, reflecting its robust growth trajectory and strategic expansion initiatives. The company’s recent performance and forward-looking plans justify its valuation, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors.
Valuation and Market Position
Compared with SBC’s current price with a valuation target of $11, underscores its growth potential. Despite facing challenges like fluctuating exchange rates and integration costs from recent acquisitions, the company’s fundamentals remain strong. SBC’s market capitalisation stands at $697 million, supported by an annual revenue estimate of $217 million for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12%.
While SBC operates in the competitive medical aesthetics space, its comprehensive suite of consulting, marketing, and equipment leasing services distinguishes it from peers. The company’s ability to generate steady revenue and expand profit margins highlights its efficiency in leveraging its unique business model.
International Expansion Driving Growth
A pivotal driver of SBC's growth is its strategic acquisition of Aesthetic Healthcare Holdings (AHH) in Singapore. AHH operates 21 outlets under established brands like SkinGo! and The Chelsea Clinics. Singapore's business-friendly regulatory environment, strong economic growth, and status as a regional hub make it an ideal base for SBC’s expansion into Southeast Asia.
Singapore’s GDP growth and high levels of U.S. foreign direct investment further validate SBC’s choice to focus on the region. This acquisition not only accelerates SBC's regional footprint but also positions the company to capitalise on the growing demand for aesthetic services across Asia.
Financial Highlights
SBC’s Q3 2024 revenue reached $53.1 million, a 12.3% year-over-year increase, with gross profit rising to $43.2 million and margins improving to 81.5% from 70.9% in the prior year. This growth was driven by a shift toward higher-margin revenue streams, including royalty income (29.6% of revenue) and procurement services (33.1%).
The company’s decision to discontinue its lower-margin management services business has further enhanced its profitability. Net income for the quarter was $2.8 million, or $0.03 per share, with strong contributions from franchisee expansion and increased demand for aesthetic treatments.
Financial Flexibility
SBC's financial position is robust, with $137.4 million in cash and equivalents and less than $15 million in long-term debt as of Q3 2024. This financial flexibility enables the company to fund its growth strategies, including further acquisitions and geographic expansion.
Strategic Initiatives
Beyond its international expansion, SBC has entered partnerships to enhance customer loyalty and corporate wellness offerings. Its alliance with MEDIROM Healthcare in Japan integrates the loyalty programs of both companies, providing access to over 4 million members. SBC also launched SBC Wellness to offer corporate clients improved employee benefits, tapping into the growing demand for wellness services.
Growth Catalysts
The rising global acceptance of aesthetic medicine, coupled with SBC’s established expertise in high-demand procedures such as liposuction, breast augmentation, and eyelid surgery, positions the company for continued growth. With low market penetration for these services in Japan (estimated at 10%), there is significant upside as demand grows among younger and middle-aged demographics.
Risks and Outlook
While SBC faces risks such as foreign exchange fluctuations and potential challenges in integrating new acquisitions, its strong balance sheet and strategic focus mitigate these concerns. As the company continues to execute its growth initiatives, share price appreciation and valuation multiple expansion are likely.
Conclusion
SBC Medical Group Holdings presents a compelling investment opportunity, with a clear path to growth through strategic international expansion, enhanced profitability, and innovative partnerships. Its current valuation offers an attractive entry point for investors seeking exposure to the growing medical aesthetics sector. With strong financials and a proven business model, SBC is well-positioned to deliver long-term shareholder value.
Microsoft preparing for Q4 earnings - positive outcome?Hi guys , we are looking into one of the Magnificent 7 - and one of the biggest TECH giants - MSFT.
Microsoft had a fantastic 2024 growth wise and stability / expansion wise.
The stock remains a strong investment choice due to its diversified business model, consistent revenue growth, and leadership in key sectors like cloud computing (Azure), enterprise software, and AI innovation. With its robust balance sheet, steady dividend payouts, and adaptability in evolving markets, Microsoft is well-positioned for long-term growth, appealing to both growth and income-focused investors.
I am expecting some great numbers from their Q4 earnings which would lead towards us reaching our targets.
Entry: 429
Target: 456
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Bumble | BMBL | Long at $8.34Arguably, Bumble NASDAQ:BMBL , Match NASDAQ:MTCH , and Grindr NYSE:GRND have an enormous amount of *highly* valuable data on its past and current users. Like any industry, it often simply takes time for this recognition by market makers to occur before price aligns with the "true" future value. If you are an AGI company looking to enhance user companionship with machines and AI bots, these companies hold the keys.
NASDAQ:BMBL has low debt, paying users are still growing (caution if recession begins), and revenue is rising. Personally, the value is in the company's data.
From a technical analysis perspective, my historical simple moving average lines are working their way toward the price. Often, this means a rise in price as the lines flatten and then inevitably rise with the trend reversal. However, I would not be surprised if there were some shakeouts in the near-term if the price suddenly dropped near $5 post-earnings, etc. Regardless, it will personally likely be an opportunity to gather more shares. Thus, at $8.34, NASDAQ:BMBL is in a personal buy-zone.
Target #1 = $12.00
Target #2 = $15.00
Target #3 = $22.00
Almost Every Bank in Japan Will Use Ripple’s XRP by 2025! 🌏🇯🇵 Almost Every Bank in Japan Will Use Ripple’s XRP by 2025! 🚀
By 2025, 🇯🇵 Japan is set to make history by integrating Ripple's XRP across its banking system. This bold move positions Japan as a global trailblazer in digital currency adoption, making XRP the gold standard for seamless payments.
Here’s a list of major Japanese banks embracing XRP:
📍 SBI Holdings – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Mizuho Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Resona Bank – Osaka 🇯🇵
📍 Bank of Yokohama – Yokohama 🇯🇵
📍 The Chugoku Bank – Okayama 🇯🇵
📍 The Tokyo Star Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 The Toho Bank – Fukushima 🇯🇵
💼 These banks are part of a 61-member consortium championing worldwide cryptocurrency adoption, with a spotlight on XRP. This initiative is set to revolutionize cross-border transactions, making them:
✅ Faster
✅ Cheaper
✅ More secure
🌟 🇯🇵 Japan leads the way in digital finance innovation! ✨
PEPE Ready for Rebound after Multi-Week HiatusMarket update on COINBASE:PEPEUSD
After a multi-week downtrend, PEPE looks like it is signaling an entry into breakout territory on the 4h view here. Look for some heavy waves during the next days or week timeframe, as there are many whales dumping millions into the market right now, ready to take blood in the choppy waters ahead. The overall trend should continue to rebound into positive territory now that the consolidation and down waves are signaling they are done here as two green indicators have popped on our chart, signaling entry now, or when you have the liquidity from resolving other open trades.
In other news, watch out for COINBASE:PRIMEUSD which is also indicating a strong buy signal right now. There could also be potential synergy between PEPE and COINBASE:GIGAUSD meme markets where profits could be diverted from PEPE to GIGAchad empire for new Power Gym and Rolexes.
Remember Habibi, never look for financial advice in camel's ass.
The desert tests your will, not your strength.
Viva El Pepe!
Incredible Super Guppy Signals BTC Crazy Price ActionCrazy price action continues today on the heels of Softbank $100B AI investment in the United States to show confidence in American President Trump economy success.
The incredible growth indicated on Super Guppy is a chart technique which gains insight on the strength and dimensions of the price movement. When things are going strong in a pump like we are seeing today, this indicator is very beautiful to witness. The world is reacting strongly in favor of American economic recovery and 2025 growth fueled by the AI technology boom. Japan clearly sees this and wants to support the action, provide jobs, and encourage innovation. We can see how Bitcoin reacts and how traders can use the continuing positive opportunity in BINANCE:BTCUSDT and other tokens.
www.bloomberg.com
finance.yahoo.com
For Super Guppy Indicator in your technical analysis, visit the page on TradingView:
Remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
The Golden Journey: Historic Milestones and a Glimpse into 2025Gold Price Analysis: A Historical Overview and Future Outlook
Gold has always played a crucial role as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty. Over the years, its price movements have been shaped by various global events. Let’s take a step-by-step look at the key historical moments and their implications for the future.
[ b]Historical Highlights:-
March 2008: Financial Crisis Escalation
Gold prices surpassed $1,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by the Global Financial Crisis.
Key Factors:
- The collapse of Bear Stearns fueled fears of systemic financial instability.
- Aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts weakened the U.S. dollar, increasing gold’s appeal.
Impact: Gold surged as a safe-haven asset during one of the most critical financial crises of the modern era.
October 2008: Global Financial Crisis Peak
Gold prices dropped to $681 per ounce initially due to forced liquidation but rebounded later, stabilizing around $730-$800 per ounce.
Key Factors:
- Forced selling to meet margin calls during the crisis.
- Central banks introduced aggressive interventions, including interest rate cuts, to stabilize the economy.
Impact: Despite short-term declines, gold regained its safe-haven status as market uncertainty persisted.
Profits and Losses of New York Stock Exchange Broker-Dealers 2000 to 2008:
Cost of the 2008 Financial Crisis :
August 2011: All-Time High Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
Gold reached a record high of $1,917 per ounce amid the U.S and Eurozone debt crisis and concerns about the U.S. economy.
Key Factors:
- Investors were concerned about the U.S. economy after the S&P downgrade of U.S. credit from AAA to AA+ earlier in August.
- The 2011 U.S. Debt Ceiling Crisis was one of a series of recurrent debates over increasing the total size of the U.S. national debt.
- Safe-haven demand surged as central banks maintained low interest rates.
Impact: This period underscored gold's reliability during global economic turmoil.
November 2015: Multi-Year Low
Gold prices dropped to $1,050 per ounce, the lowest since 2010.
Key Factors:
- Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike reduced gold’s appeal.
- Low inflation diminished its role as a hedge.
Impact: The decline highlighted gold’s sensitivity to monetary policy and inflation expectations.
August 2020: Record High During COVID-19
Gold hit an all-time high of $2,075 per ounce, driven by the global economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Factors:
- Massive monetary and fiscal stimulus from central banks and governments.
- Weak U.S. dollar and negative bond yields boosted demand.
Impact: Gold cemented its status as a hedge against both inflation and economic uncertainty.
September 2022: Aggressive Rate Hikes
Gold dropped to around $1,615 per ounce as the U.S. Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation.
Key Factors:
- Rising bond yields and a strong U.S. dollar reduced gold’s appeal.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty.
mpact: This period reflected the inverse relationship between gold and rising interest rates.
October 2024: Record Peak
Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,790 per ounce due to heightened geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts.
Key Factors:
- Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
- Central banks’ easing policies and inflation fears supported the rally.
Impact: This continued gold’s bullish momentum, driven by its safe-haven demand.
Future Outlook for Gold in 2025
Key Expectations:
1. Bullish Momentum to Continue:
- Gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory, potentially breaking the $3,000 per ounce barrier.
- Geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns will continue to drive demand.
2. Consolidation and Corrections:
- Gold may face short-term corrections, with support levels at $2,600-$2,500, before resuming its bullish trend.
3. Critical Drivers:
- Geopolitical Tensions: Persistent global conflicts will boost gold’s safe-haven appeal.
- Monetary Policy: Central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve, will influence gold prices. A pause or reversal in rate hikes will support bullish momentum.
- Inflation Hedge: Rising inflation expectations will sustain demand for gold as a store of value.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance Levels: $2,800, $3,000, and beyond.
- Support Levels: $2,600, $2,500, and $2,300.
Summary:
Gold has consistently demonstrated its value as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. With its recent surge in October 2024 and the ongoing macroeconomic conditions, the outlook for 2025 suggests further bullish potential. However, investors should be prepared for short-term corrections before the continuation of its long-term upward trend.
Gold's remarkable performance over various timeframes highlights its strength:
- In 2024 alone, gold rose by 27.25%, marking a stellar annual performance.
- Over the past 5 years, gold has gained an impressive 79.25%, showcasing sustained upward momentum.
- Over the past 10 years, gold has soared by 121.00%, reflecting its resilience and importance as a long-term asset.
Disclaimer:
The insights and expectations shared in this analysis are based on my personal experience and deep understanding of the market. While these projections are grounded in my expertise, it is important to exercise caution and perform your own research before making any investment decisions. Remember, the market carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Goldman Sachs - The desired growth,earnings will help capitalizeHi guys, continuing with our Banking trend, we are going to take a look at Goldman Sachs -
Fundamentals
Goldman Sachs is set for a strong 2025, driven by robust U.S. GDP growth forecasts of 2.5%, fueled by AI-driven investments and federal incentives. The firm expects the S&P 500 to rise to 6,500, supported by steady earnings growth and favorable monetary policy, with Fed rate cuts stimulating economic activity. Strategic initiatives in asset management, emphasizing portfolio recalibration amidst shifting economic conditions, position Goldman Sachs to capitalize on market dynamics. These factors align to create a favorable financial outlook for the year.
Technicals :
Similiar to the previous banking groups, they had a fantastic 2024, with great growth after the beggining of the year. Their stock formulated a very strong Ascending channel after it crushed the previous storng Resistance level at 390 around april last year.
Entry: 577
Target: 678
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Bank of America - Follow up on already great bull run?Hi guys, today we are starting with an overview of Bank of America.
Fundamentals :
Bank of America is positioned for a strong financial year in 2025 due to several factors: anticipated economic growth, Fed interest rate cuts stimulating loan demand, and significant growth in net interest income from well-managed portfolios. The bank expects a boost in investment banking and trading revenues, supported by regulatory changes and market activity. Additionally, technological innovation and a shift toward an "asset-light" economy are seen as long-term growth drivers. Positive analyst outlooks further reinforce confidence in its prospects for the year.
Technicals : Currently from 2023 until and through 2024 , BAC has had a fantastic ascending year, with good revenue which showcased a great Ascending channel formulating. Currently I want the gap which was a strong resistance to be tested again, so we can move forward to the higher levels.
Entry: 44.50
Target 55.60
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
AI: The Future, and NVIDIA’s Crown !Artificial Intelligence? isn't just the next big thing—it's the thing.
The stock market? It’s not always about valuation—it’s about vision. Investors flock to what’s sexy and transformative, and AI is just that. NVIDIA's high profit margins and dominant position make it the clear winner. Yes, the stock might look expensive on paper, but the market rewards growth, potential, and leadership in the next frontier.
AI is the future, and NVIDIA is writing the playbook. Fundamentals matter, but in this era, the narrative of being the leader in a groundbreaking field is what drives the market.
Not a financial advice.
Don't Make My MistakeCRYPTO – Don’t Make My Mistake
I first heard about Bitcoin in September 2010, when a business associate asked if I knew anything about it. I didn't, but to spark my interest, he gave me $100 worth of Bitcoin, valued at $0.06 each. The following month, when BTC doubled, he encouraged me to invest, so I bought $900 worth at $0.11 each. This made me the owner of 13,636,363 BTC. At the time, there weren't many places to use BTC, so I happily sold my BTC for $0.54 each. As they say, hindsight is 20/20. If I had held onto my BTC, it would have been worth around $1.44 billion USD when BTC hit $106,000.
Will there ever be another BTC story? I believe so. If the US Securities and Exchange Commission stops targeting Ripple, we might see it. But there are other ways to make a good amount of money in crypto.
Take AI16ZUS (often referred to as ai16z) for example. With a market cap of $2.5 billion USD, it rose 287.66% in 12 days, 582.81% in one month, and 889.56% in one quarter.
These are impressive numbers, and managing this and other DeFi tokens correctly can make you financially comfortable. Worth $1.44 billion USD? Probably not, but who knows—the financial world is changing right before our eyes.
I will start sharing thoughts on other tokens that might be interesting to watch or invest in. Like I did, start small—$100 USD—and see where you end up. A $100 investment with a 287.66% gain gives you an account balance of $387.66. Take back your initial $100, and you now have $287.66 risk-free to invest in other fast-moving tokens. Don’t gamble; take your time, do your research, and reap the benefits.
Until next time…