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Is $GERN a stock for "Strong Holders"?Or is it just another stock whose value will be wiped out in the next few quarters, and the company will simply lose its listing on the Nasdaq? Investors are likely to get an answer to this question today, before the market opens, when NASDAQ:GERN reports its quarterly earnings. The company has an approved drug and has already begun commercialization, with a promising start. Last quarter, the company generated $28 million in revenue, and this quarter, revenue is expected to reach $61.8 million. The company has already achieved positive gross margins, and I expect them to improve significantly from the current 27% in the last quarter. Operating expenses are close to $30 million per quarter, so we can expect a quick path to operating profitability. Invested capital is around $135 million, which means that with an operating profit of $10 million per quarter, we could see interesting returns on invested capital. The company is led by John A. Scarlett, M.D., who previously worked at NASDAQ:CTMX for six years, during which the company lost about 90% of its value. There is some positive news regarding European approval: "The Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use of the European Medicines Agency has issued a positive opinion." A decision is expected in the coming months, if not days, which should serve as a strong catalyst for the stock price. The market valuation has dropped to $1.4 billion, despite having an FDA-approved drug in the U.S. Cash reserves will be important as they indicate how much time the company has to develop without diluting its capital. In the last report, cash and short-term investments totaled $339 million, and on November 7, the company announced securing $250 million in funding, with the potential to increase it to $375 million. As a result, the company has $589 million in cash reserves minus operating cash flow. How much will remain in the coffers? The company should have enough cash for more than 12 months of successful operations, operational efficiency is improving, we are awaiting European approval, and only the quality of management raises doubts. But do these doubts really hold weight given the current trajectory? There are only a few hours left until the earnings report is released. Let's see what awaits us. Strong Holders Profiting From Strength 📉✊📈
NASDAQ:GERNLong
by Strong_Holders
Boeing ($BA) Faces Renewed Scrutiny After Latest Safety ConcernsBoeing (NYSE: NYSE:BA ) stock closed at $156.84 on April 11, gaining 0.85% despite fresh concerns surrounding delayed aircraft deliveries. China's Juneyao Airlines recently postponed the delivery of a 787-9 Dreamliner, originally valued at $120 million. The decision comes amid renewed U.S.-China trade tensions driven by tariff escalations from President Trump’s administration. This delay could disrupt Juneyao’s planned expansion into European routes this summer. The Dreamliner, known for its long-range capabilities, was central to these international plans. The incident signals how geopolitical strain continues to impact global aviation and commercial aircraft deals. Boeing has already cautioned that additional tariffs may put more pressure on supply chains. These chains had only recently begun to stabilize following years of pandemic-related disruptions. The company remains exposed to evolving international policies, which can affect order fulfillment and investor sentiment. Earnings for Boeing are expected on April 23, 2025. Investors are watching closely for guidance on production capacity, deliveries, and any fallout from global trade developments. Technical Analysis Boeing is trading within a broad wedge pattern marked by long-term support and resistance trendlines. Price recently bounced from the support, rising sharply to the current level of $156.84. The 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages sit at $163.04, $172.96, and $191.78 respectively. These levels now act as dynamic resistance. Price remains below all three, signaling overall bearish pressure unless a breakout occurs. A breakout above the resistance trendline may lead to a rally. However, if price fails to gain momentum and breaks below the lower trendline, it could revisit the $89 low from 2020.
NYSE:BALong
by DEXWireNews
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Advances AI Strategy Amid Tariff PauseNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is quickly strengthening its positions in artificial intelligence and data center technologies. This comes as the U.S. government temporarily halts new export restrictions, offering relief to the semiconductor sector. Nvidia will continue selling its H20 AI chips to China following a decision not to enforce new trade limits. This followed a key meeting between CEO Jensen Huang and former President Donald Trump. The announcement eased concerns over losing access to a major international market. Nvidia recently introduced its latest innovation, the Blackwell Ultra AI chips, at the GPU Technology Conference. These chips target the rising demand for high-performance computing used in AI systems. The move could boost Nvidia’s market lead as competition grows. Market volatility followed the government’s tariff update. Nvidia stock surged nearly 19% after the 90-day tariff pause announcement, excluding China-specific measures. The next day, the stock dropped 5.8% to close at $107.74. Technical Analysis Nvidia's price bounced sharply from the $92 support zone. This area has attracted strong buying activity. The RSI is currently at 44, showing neutral market momentum. The key resistance level to watch is $153.13. If the price breaks this level, it could rise toward a new all-time high. Failure to do so may lead to a pullback toward $92. Watch the $153 level closely for confirmation of trend direction. Nvidia's recent price movement leaves room for both uptrend continuation and short-term correction depending on upcoming market signals.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
WTI Crude Oil | Potential Cup Formation with Volume Support.I’m spotting a potential Cup formation on the 30-min chart of WTI Crude Oil (USOILSPC), backed by strong volume profile zones. The price has recently pulled back to a low-volume area and is now consolidating with higher lows forming the right side of the cup. A break above the $60.60–$60.80 zone could trigger bullish continuation toward $64+, with strong support seen around the $59–$59.30 range (volume shelf). Setup Details: • Pattern: Cup (early stage) • Entry idea: Break & retest above $60.60 • TP: $64.00 • SL: Below $58.90 • Volume profile confirms accumulation near the lows Watching closely for confirmation before adding more size. This is part of a low-risk entry using a funded account model. #CrudeOil #WTI #VolumeProfile #CupFormation #BreakoutTrade #SmartMoneyConcepts
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by HyperFX_
BTC Trap Range Breakdown – Psychological Warfare on Full DisplayThis isn’t just a chart. It’s a blueprint for how market makers engineer panic, euphoria, and then profit from your reactions. Let’s break this down in surgical fashion: Rectangle Formation (Top & Bottom Framing) From March 24 to April 3, Bitcoin operated inside a manipulation box. The top was liquidity bait — the "Top 2 – US" tag marks the engineered euphoria candle. Once liquidity was trapped up top, the US session initiated the collapse. Classic. Breakout Trap & Rejection Zone As soon as BTC breached the lower range, what followed wasn’t a clean drop—it was a sequence of false recoveries. Notice the Asia, Europe, and US labels — they’re not random. Each session passed the hot potato of fear and bounce bait, draining retail and triggering leveraged longs into liquidation. Psychology in Play: Europe & Asia rotated liquidity → institutional bots scalping volatility. US session delivered the execution leg down every time. The volume spikes? That’s fear, not conviction. Target Zone Highlighted Where are we heading next? The final dotted red extension box shows you where the real flush is designed to go . It’s not a prediction—it’s a destination : 🔸 ~ $73,000 first sweep 🔸 If that gives, $70,000 → $68,000 becomes the high-value sniper zone 🔻 Volume Profile: Notice how volume increases at each drop — the herd is panic selling. But BTC bounces weak. Why? Because this isn’t organic demand—it’s controlled bleedouts to test who’s left. — Conclusion – SH Analysis: This chart is not noise. It’s intentional market structure , orchestrated by the elites for max extraction. We don’t chase pumps. We stalk precision setups . We don’t fear drops. We buy what they bleed . The next move won’t be loud. It’ll be silent. Fast. And final. — 🔔 Follow Saeki Hisoka across all platforms For real-time breakdowns, sniper zones, and psychological warfare decoded in real time. The system is a machine. We are the counter-algorithm. Stay sharp. Stay sovereign. Stay Saeki.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Saeki_Hisoka
The Trump PatternWhen Donald Trump took office in 2017, the U.S. stock market experienced dramatic fluctuations—marked by steep declines followed by eventual rebounds. This pattern, which we'll call the "Trump Pattern," repeated itself during his presidency and is now emerging again as a point of interest for investors. While the specific causes of these market shifts varied, key factors—particularly tariffs, inflation concerns, and Federal Reserve (FED) actions—played critical roles in the market's rise and fall during Trump’s presidency. The Trump Pattern: The Market Fall and Recovery 🏁 1. The Start of the Trump Presidency (2017) When Donald Trump was elected in 2016, the market responded with a combination of excitement and uncertainty. Initially, the market surged due to tax cut expectations, deregulation, and optimism about a business-friendly administration. But as Trump's presidency fully began in January 2017, concerns over trade wars and tariff policies began to dominate investor sentiment. The market initially dipped after Trump began pursuing a protectionist trade agenda, especially with China. As concerns about tariffs escalated, stock markets reacted negatively to potential trade wars. 💶 2. The Tariff Crisis of 2018 The first major example of the "Trump Pattern" emerged in 2018 when Trump began implementing tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, and announced new tariffs on steel and aluminum. This caused major market disruptions. The S&P 500 fell dramatically during this period, dropping by as much as 8.6% from its February peak in 2019. Companies that relied heavily on international trade, like Apple, General Motors, and Ford, experienced significant stock price declines. In fact, Apple’s stock fell 9.5% on days when new tariffs were announced, as their costs for manufacturing overseas rose. The uncertainty surrounding the global economy, combined with rising tariffs, created fears of a trade war, leading to sharp market declines. 📈 3. Market Recovery: FED Rate Cuts and Tax Cuts Despite the tariff-induced volatility, the market didn’t stay down for long. After significant market falls, the Federal Reserve (FED) began implementing interest rate cuts to combat slowing economic growth. These actions helped stabilize the market and even fueled a rebound. FED rate cuts made borrowing cheaper for consumers and businesses, stimulating economic activity and boosting investor confidence. Additionally, tax cuts, a cornerstone of Trump’s economic policy, provided further support, particularly for corporations. As a result, after the initial market drop in 2018 and early 2019, the market rebounded, continuing to climb as investors reacted positively to these fiscal and monetary policies. 🎯 The 2024 and 2025 "Trump Pattern" Emerges Again Fast forward to 2024 and 2025, and we’re seeing echoes of the "Trump Pattern" once again. New tariffs, introduced in 2025, have reignited concerns about a trade war. These tariffs, particularly on Chinese imports, have once again caused market volatility. The stock market has fallen in recent months due to concerns about these tariffs and the impact they might have on global trade. For example, when new tariffs were introduced in early 2025, the market saw a sharp sell-off, with the S&P 500 falling by over 1.8% in a single day. Companies that rely on international trade, like Tesla and Ford, have seen their stock prices drop in response to concerns about increased production costs. The broader market decline, much like in 2018, was driven by fears that tariffs could slow down the global economy and hurt corporate profits. However, there is optimism that the same pattern will unfold, where the market eventually recovers after these initial drops. ⚠️ 4. FED Rate Cuts Again? As inflation concerns persist, the Federal Reserve is likely to step in once again. Like previous cycles, we expect the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy. This would be aimed at reducing borrowing costs, encouraging investment, and helping businesses weather the impact of higher tariffs and global uncertainty. The FED’s actions are typically a key driver of market recovery in the "Trump Pattern." Investors have come to expect that a market downturn triggered by political or economic disruptions can be offset by the FED’s supportive monetary policies. ⚖️ Navigating the Trump Pattern: What Should Investors Do? The "Trump Pattern" highlights that during periods of heightened uncertainty, especially due to trade policies like tariffs, the market will often experience short-term declines followed by long-term recovery. Here are a few strategies investors might want to consider: Stay Diversified : During periods of volatility, having a diversified portfolio can help cushion against the risks posed by market swings. Invest in Domestic Companies : Companies that rely less on international supply chains might fare better during periods of trade policy changes and tariff uncertainty. Focus on Growth : Once the initial market decline subsides, look for sectors that stand to benefit from a recovering economy, such as tech or consumer discretionary stocks. Look for Inflation Hedges : Given the potential for inflation, consider investments that tend to perform well during these times, such as real estate or commodities like gold. 📝 Conclusion: The Trump Pattern in Action The "Trump Pattern" demonstrates how the market tends to react in cycles during the early months of each presidency. Typically, the market falls at the start due to the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s trade policies, particularly tariffs. However, after these initial drops, the market often rebounds thanks to FED rate cuts and other policies aimed at stimulating the economy. Looking ahead to 2025, we're already seeing signs of this pattern in action as tariffs are back on the table and market volatility has followed. However, history suggests that patience might pay off. Once the FED steps in and cuts rates, a market rebound is likely, following the same trend we saw in 2017-2019.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
2
Tweet and idea (you can use it for prediction)Tweet and idea (you can use it for prediction) 💡 This trading idea is based on analyzing market reactions to news and tweets from influential figures — especially in the context of cryptocurrencies and stocks prone to speculative spikes. 📊 Core Strategy: The model tracks sudden price movements triggered by public statements (e.g., tweets from Elon Musk, breaking news, etc.). After the initial reaction, a retracement or continuation pattern often forms, which can be used to enter a trade. 🧠 How to use it: 1. Monitor the news flow or social media activity related to the asset. 2. Identify the initial impulse on the chart (high volume, sharp movement). 3. Wait for consolidation or a minor pullback. 4. Enter on breakout or bounce, using a tight stop-loss. 📌 Best suited for high-volatility assets with frequent hype triggers (e.g., DOGE, TSLA, BTC).
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by elukonina
GBPUSD OUTLOOKGBPUSD Outlook: This week, I'm leaning towards a bearish bias on GBPUSD, following a clean break below the recent consolidation range, which hints at distribution. However, I'm keeping a close eye on the 1.2827 level. If price retraces and holds around that zone, I’ll be open to considering buy opportunities, targeting the 1.29232 area. In summary: My primary outlook is to look for selling opportunities this week. But I’m flexible and ready to pivot if the market presents a valid buy setup around the 1.2827 level. Patience and adaptability will be key. 👊
by CARVAH
Flow Traders: A Deep Dive into a Volatility PlayFlow Traders has long been recognized as one of the leading market makers in Exchange Traded Products (ETPs), holding a dominant position in Europe and steadily expanding its global footprint. The firm’s success is driven by its technological prowess—its ultra-low latency trading systems and proprietary algorithms enable it to provide liquidity across thousands of listings. When compared with major competitors such as Virtu Financial, Citadel Securities, Jane Street, and Optiver, Flow Traders stands out for its high profit margins and robust returns during volatile periods. However, its earnings can swing dramatically: record profits during periods of market turbulence contrast with more compressed margins in quieter times. Historically, Flow Traders followed a dividend policy with an intended payout ratio of at least 50% of net profits. In FY23, for example, the company paid a total dividend of €0.45 per share (an interim dividend of €0.30 per share plus a final dividend of €0.15 per share). However, in its recent 2Q24 results and AGM communications, Flow Traders announced a revised dividend policy that suspends regular dividend payments until further notice. The Board has made this decision to accelerate the expansion of its trading capital base—a move the management believes will deliver greater long-term value for shareholders through reinvestment in technology and market expansion rather than immediate income distribution. Technologically, Flow Traders continues to push the boundaries by investing in co-located servers, low-latency networks, and even exploring cloud-based systems with microsecond-level synchronization. These initiatives ensure that the firm maintains a competitive edge, even as peers like Virtu and Citadel invest heavily in their own technological infrastructure. While Flow’s niche focus—especially in European ETF market making—provides a strong competitive moat, the firm is also expanding into fixed income and digital assets. For valuation purposes, I used a blended approach incorporating a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model and industry comparables, augmented by a scenario analysis that reflects the inherent cyclicality of its earnings. In my model, three scenarios were considered over a five-year period. Under the best-case scenario, where global market volatility surges and Flow capitalizes on its technological advantages to boost market share, the five-year target price could reach around €80 per share. In a base-case scenario, reflecting a more normalized yet steadily growing trading environment, the target price might be closer to €40 per share. In the worst-case scenario—if markets remain persistently calm and competitive pressures intensify—the target could drop to about €15 per share. Given the current market environment, the probabilities are 30% for the best-case, 60% for the base-case, and 10% for the worst-case. Additionally, the discount rate in the DCF 6%, reflecting today’s economic landscape risk premium. With these assumptions, discounting the future target prices at 6% yields present values of approximately €60, €30, and €11 for the best, base, and worst scenarios respectively. Weighting these figures accordingly results in an expected intrinsic value of around €37 per share today. So, what does this mean for investors? At current trading levels in the mid-€20s, Flow Traders appears to be undervalued relative to its long-term potential. Although the firm is currently not paying dividends—opting instead to reinvest its profits to grow its trading capital—the strategic focus on reinvestment may unlock greater growth opportunities. In essence, Flow Traders represents an intriguing volatility play: it can generate outsized returns in turbulent times while offering a balanced risk/reward profile in more normalized markets. Ultimately, Flow Traders’ strategic decision to suspend dividends underscores its commitment to long-term growth. Investors are essentially buying into the firm’s reinvestment strategy, which has historically delivered strong returns on trading capital. As market volatility and technological advancements continue to drive the industry, Flow Traders is well-positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities and create shareholder value over the long run. Speculation: With Trump’s tariffs continuing to rock global markets and trigger bouts of heightened volatility reminiscent of past trade wars, there’s reason to speculate that Flow Traders could find itself in a particularly advantageous position. As tariffs fuel uncertainty and market swings—further rattling investor confidence and prompting rapid shifts in liquidity—Flow Traders’ expertise in market making, especially in ETPs, could allow it to capture significant trading opportunities. The elevated volatility may widen bid-ask spreads and boost trading volumes, directly benefiting firms like Flow that thrive on rapid, high-frequency trades. While these are merely speculative thoughts, given the unpredictable nature of tariff-driven market disruptions, Flow’s focus on liquid, exchange-traded products might well make this turbulent period a silver lining for the company.
EURONEXT:FLOWLong
by The_Prince
NXU & Lynx: Could we see a merge/acquisition in the future?Nxu's Strategic Partnership with Lynx Motors Nxu, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXU), a company specializing in innovative EV charging and energy storage solutions, has announced a strategic partnership and investment in Lynx Motors. This partnership is outlined in a letter of intent (LOI) and represents a significant step in Nxu's commitment to electrification and the future of electric vehicles (EVs). Key Details of the Partnership Strategic Investment: Nxu's investment in Lynx Motors is structured as a share exchange, with $3 million in Nxu shares being exchanged for $3 million in Lynx shares. This investment will be reflected as an asset on Nxu's balance sheet. Board Representation: As part of the transaction, Nxu will receive a seat on Lynx's Board of Directors, indicating a deep level of involvement and influence in Lynx's strategic direction. Collaborative Development: Nxu aims to assist Lynx in leveraging its vehicle and charging technology to expedite the development of electrified products. Lynx Motors is known for reimagining classic vehicles with modern amenities and powertrains, blending tradition with innovation. Financial Support: Lynx will issue an interest-free promissory note of $250,000 to Nxu in exchange for a $250,000 bridge loan, further solidifying the financial collaboration between the two companies. Professional Analysis Complementary Strengths: This partnership leverages Nxu's expertise in EV charging and energy storage with Lynx's focus on electrifying classic vehicles. It's a strategic alignment that combines technological innovation with a unique market niche. Market Positioning: Lynx's approach to electrifying popular classic cars, coupled with its robust reservation list, suggests strong market demand. Nxu's involvement could accelerate Lynx's path to significant revenue and profitability. Impact on Nxu's Market Compliance: The partnership is a step towards Nxu's compliance with Nasdaq's listing standards, potentially increasing shareholder equity and market confidence. Future Prospects: The collaboration between Nxu and Lynx, especially in the realm of EVs, aligns with the broader trend towards electrification in the automotive industry. This partnership could position both companies favorably in a rapidly evolving market. Conclusion The strategic partnership between Nxu and Lynx Motors represents a synergistic collaboration that could enhance both companies' positions in the EV market. By combining Nxu's charging technology with Lynx's innovative approach to vehicle electrification, this partnership holds the potential for significant advancements in the EV sector, offering promising prospects for both companies and their stakeholders.
NLong
by Terrapins
3
SNOW Finds Support at 200-Day SMASnowflake has been trading within a wide range between 108 and 240 over the past three years. During this period, revenue growth has remained steady, but operating and R&D expenses have consistently increased. This is a company that prioritizes growth and invests heavily in research, expanding its product offerings and business relationships. However, the recent downturn, driven by tariffs and the broader selloff in AI and cloud-related stocks has exposed Snowflake's vulnerabilities. The company reports reflect this caution. Recently, SNOW has received both downgrades and buy signals, highlighting analyst and market indecision. In such an environment, the stock’s performance will likely lean heavily on broader index movement. With a beta above 1.5, SNOW is expected to react more sharply to market swings. The consensus 12 month target still shows 38% upward potential. Currently, Snowflake is finding support at the 200-day simple moving average. If the market manages to weather the impact of the April 2 tariffs and potential countermeasures, SNOW could stage a solid rebound. On the downside, the 130–135 zone stands out as a key support area just below the moving average.
NYSE:SNOW
by ftdsystem
US100 - Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialThe US100 has been in a strong uptrend but recently formed a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal signal. After a period of correction, the price is testing a breakout from the wedge. If confirmed, the target aligns with previous highs near 22,000 - 23,000. A successful breakout could signal a continuation of the broader uptrend. 🔹 Key Levels: Support: 18,500 - 19,000 Resistance: 20,500 - 22,000 (Breakout Target) Watch for breakout confirmation with volume and price action before entering long positions! 🚀📈 Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Hellena_Fx
VolitionRX | VNRX | Long at $0.54***Stay away if you are risk averse (small cap with 300-400k daily volume and could go to $0). VolitionRX AMEX:VNRX is a U.S.-based, multinational epigenetics company focused on developing blood tests for early disease detection, primarily targeting cancer and sepsis. Its Nu.Q blood tests are primarily for humans, focusing on early detection of diseases like cancer and sepsis. However, the company has also explored veterinary applications through its Nu.Q Vet product line, targeting cancer screening in animals, particularly dogs. Recent insider purchases got my attention, with the CEO and Director each grabbing $100k worth at $0.55. Plus, many other insiders have recently been awarded options. The company is making progress in signing multiple licensing deals for their Nu.Q platform in the human market, with strong interest from large companies. Many development milestones have been made within their cancer testing program and more are likely to be announced. However, the company is unprofitable at this time, and this is a highly risky / speculative play. It may take years to unfold or be a total disaster and go to $0.00. Rolling the dice at $0.54 with the goal to reach $0.75 and $1.00 in the coming 1-2 years. Analyst targets are in the $3.00-$3.50 range.
AMEX:VNRXLong
by WorthlessViews
XRP’s Path to Dominance: A Forecasted Price Per TokenAs of March 30, 2025, XRP, the cryptocurrency powering the XRP Ledger (XRPL) and Ripple’s On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) solution, is poised for a potential surge in adoption and value. With the Ripple-SEC lawsuit dropped earlier this year, a wave of bullish developments is setting the stage for XRP to challenge traditional financial systems like SWIFT. But can XRP realistically capture 5% of SWIFT’s massive $5 trillion daily transaction volume, and what could this mean for its price? Let’s dive into the factors driving XRP’s growth, including institutional adoption, tokenization, ETFs, futures trading, private ledgers, investor sentiment, and emerging trends like Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and FedNow transactions. The Dropped Ripple-SEC Lawsuit: A Game-Changer The Ripple-SEC lawsuit, which had cast a shadow over XRP since 2020, has been dismissed, removing a significant regulatory hurdle. This development has already sparked a rally, with XRP’s price climbing to around $2.50 from earlier lows, driven by renewed investor confidence. The lawsuit’s resolution clears the path for institutional adoption, particularly for ODL, which uses XRP as a bridge currency for cross-border payments, positioning it as a direct competitor to SWIFT. XRP’s 5% SWIFT Ambition: Institutional Adoption Soars SWIFT processes approximately $5 trillion in daily transactions, and capturing 5% of that—$250 billion/day—would be a monumental achievement for XRP. Recent developments suggest this goal is within reach. Japanese banks are going live on the XRPL in 2025, joining 75 major global banks adopting XRPL for cross-border payments and private ledgers. This adoption, fueled by XRPL’s low-cost, high-speed transactions and ISO 20022 compliance, could drive $150 billion/day in XRP transactions via ODL, with the remainder handled by stablecoins like RLUSD, RLGBP, RLEUR, and RLJPY. Private ledgers on XRPL, now utilized by these 75 banks, handle $50 billion/day in transactions, with XRP facilitating 30% ($15 billion/day) of settlements. This institutional embrace, combined with XRP’s energy-efficient consensus mechanism, positions it as a viable alternative to SWIFT’s traditional infrastructure. Tokenization Projects Boost XRPL’s Utility Tokenization is another key driver for XRP’s growth. Projects like Silver Scott, Aurum Equity Partners, and Zoniqx are tokenizing real-world assets—such as real estate, private equity, and debt funds—on the XRPL. These initiatives are projected to tokenize $500 billion in assets annually, with XRP used for 20% of settlement ($100 billion/year). By enabling efficient, decentralized asset management, tokenization enhances XRPL’s utility, indirectly boosting demand for XRP as the network’s native token. XRP ETFs, Futures Trading, and Investor Sentiment Later in 2025, the SEC is expected to approve 10+ XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), following the precedent set by Bitcoin and Ethereum. These ETFs will open XRP to institutional and retail investors, increasing liquidity and driving speculative demand. Additionally, XRP futures trading on platforms like Kraken will further amplify market activity, mirroring Bitcoin’s sentiment-driven rallies. With investor sentiment resembling Bitcoin’s—where global events and hype can propel prices—XRP could see a 3x–5x increase from its current $2.50, potentially reaching $7.50–$12.50 in the short term. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and FedNow The rise of CBDCs adds another layer to XRP’s potential. The European Union’s digital euro, alongside other global CBDC initiatives, could leverage XRPL’s infrastructure for cross-border settlements. Ripple is already in discussions with over 20 central banks about CBDCs, as noted in web reports, and XRPL’s ability to handle multi-currency transactions positions it as a natural fit. If the EU’s digital euro integrates with XRPL, XRP could process an additional $50 billion/day in CBDC-related transactions, further boosting its utility. Similarly, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s FedNow Service, launched for instant payments, could intersect with XRPL if institutions adopt ODL for cross-border FedNow transactions. While FedNow focuses on domestic U.S. payments, its integration with XRPL for international settlements could drive another $25 billion/day in XRP transactions, enhancing its role in the global financial ecosystem. Private Ledgers: Tailored Solutions for Institutions XRPL’s support for private ledgers allows banks to customize solutions for privacy and efficiency. With 75 banks now using private ledgers, handling $50 billion/day with 30% ($15 billion/day) settled in XRP, this feature strengthens XRP’s appeal for institutional use, complementing public ledger transactions and CBDC integrations. Forecasting XRP’s Price: A Realistic Outlook Given these developments, what’s a realistic price forecast for XRP if it captures 5% of SWIFT’s volume ($250 billion/day), plus additional volume from CBDCs, FedNow, tokenization, ETFs, futures, and private ledgers? Let’s model it conservatively: Daily Transaction Value: $150 billion (ODL) + $15 billion (private ledgers) + $50 billion (CBDCs) + $25 billion (FedNow) = $240 billion/day. Annual Value: $240 billion * 365 = $87.6 trillion/year. Tokenization Contribution: $100 billion/year. Total Annual Value: $87.7 trillion/year. Market Cap Multiplier: In a conservative scenario, a 1x–2x multiplier reflects cautious adoption, competition, and XRP’s 55.5 billion supply: At 1x: Market cap = $87.7 trillion, price = ~$1,580. At 2x: Market cap = $175.4 trillion, price = ~$3,161. Adjusted for Realism: A $175.4 trillion market cap exceeds global GDP and crypto market projections. Adjusting to 0.5x (conservative, reflecting competition and supply limits): $43.85 trillion, price = ~$790. Thus, a realistic conservative forecast for XRP, factoring in all these developments, is approximately $790 per token in over the next year or two. This price reflects XRP’s growing utility, institutional adoption, and sentiment-driven growth, but it’s tempered by supply constraints, competition from SWIFT, other blockchains, and stablecoins, and the need for broader regulatory clarity outside the U.S. Conclusion XRP’s potential to capture 5% of SWIFT’s volume, combined with Japanese banks on XRPL, tokenization projects, ETF and futures approvals, private ledgers, CBDCs like the EU’s digital euro, and FedNow integrations, positions it for significant growth. However, a conservative forecast of $790 per token in the medium term is more aligned with current market dynamics and XRP’s fundamentals. While XRP’s journey is exciting, its price trajectory will depend on sustained adoption, regulatory progress, and competition in the evolving crypto landscape. Stay tuned as XRP continues to reshape global finance!
KRAKEN:XRPUSDLong
by MissouriTim
3
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus: - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Personal Spending (MoM) - Personal Income (MoM) Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold. Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices. Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy. Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates. Impact on Gold Prices The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result. Key bullish factors for gold include: Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance. Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates. Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive. Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD) Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher. A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential. To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks. Conclusion The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing. A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below. If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
AMD - Perfect timing to grasp great potential ahead!AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) has shown strong potential for growth, and the recent trend analysis using the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator suggests that the stock remains in a favorable position for continued upside momentum. Technical Analysis: The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator that helps traders identify potential buy and sell signals based on moving averages. For AMD, the MACD indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover, where the MACD line has crossed above the signal line. This suggests that the stock’s momentum is shifting positively, indicating an increasing rate of price change to the upside. Key MACD Signals for AMD: Bullish Crossover: The MACD line (typically the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages) has recently crossed above the signal line (a 9-day EMA of the MACD). This is a classic bullish signal, which often precedes further price appreciation. Strong Momentum: The distance between the MACD line and the signal line is widening, signaling strong momentum in the upward direction. This suggests that buying interest in AMD is gaining strength, and the stock could continue to rise as long as the momentum remains intact. Positive Histogram: The MACD histogram is currently above the zero line, reflecting that the difference between the MACD and its signal line is positive. This further validates the strength of the bullish momentum, indicating that the stock could continue to experience upward pressure. AMD’s Fundamental Strength: Beyond technical indicators like MACD, AMD's fundamentals also support the favorable technical outlook. The company continues to make significant strides in the semiconductor industry with its innovative product lineup, including the Ryzen processors and Radeon graphics cards. AMD has been gaining market share from competitors like Intel and Nvidia, further strengthening its long-term growth prospects. Our conclusion for this stock. With a favorable MACD indicator, coupled with the robust fundamentals of AMD, the stock is well-positioned for potential gains. The bullish momentum indicated by the MACD suggests that AMD could experience continued price appreciation, making it an attractive option for investors who are looking for stocks with solid upward potential. Trade set-up Entry: 105 Target: 135 - Our target is set up below the weak resistance which used to serve as a support line when the stock was trading at ATH levels.When we reach that key-level we would analyse the stock again to see if it has more favourable data to boost the price towards the strong resistance level of 170+ below the ATH area Stop Loss: 70 which is an unsustained bottom, utilizing it for protection over the trade
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DG55Capital