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Tesla Stock Down 30% This Year. What Happened to the EV King?The electric-car maker is in dire need of charging after losing more than $260 billion this year and turning Elon Musk into the biggest loser among the world’s wealthiest. Table of Contents » How It Started vs How It’s Going » Nothing Magnificent About It » Competition Revs Up » Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand » If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This 📍 How It Started vs How It’s Going Tesla (ticker: TSLA ) kicked off the year as the big tech highflyer we all know. With a valuation of more than $780 billion, the electric-car maker stepped into 2024 as the world’s largest EV seller. Deliveries were standing at record highs and chief executive Elon Musk was the world’s richest person and was looking at a gargantuan $55 billion pay day. All of that was taken away in one way or another. Chinese automaker BYD (ticker: 1211 ) dethroned the EV kingpin by selling 526,000 EVs for the fourth quarter of 2023, more than Tesla’s 484,000. Even as Tesla reclaimed the top spot in the January through March quarter, it flagged a worrying signal that its business was shrinking. As for Elon Musk, he lost a court battle over his lofty $55 billion pay package when a judge called it “an unfathomable sum.” Shortly before that, he handed the World’s Richest title to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos . 📍 Nothing Magnificent About It Chugging through first-quarter twists and turns, Tesla drifted away from the highly exclusive club called the “Magnificent Seven.” The group of companies with a snappy nickname is made up of Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ), Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ), Facebook parent Meta (ticker: META ), Google parent Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL ), Amazon (ticker: AMZN ), Apple (ticker: AAPL ), and outsider-in-the-making Tesla (ticker: TSLA ). How did that happen and why is Tesla at risk of falling out of the Magnificent Seven? Tesla’s valuation — which is notoriously volatile and hard to pinpoint — saw a massive 30% drop over the first three months of 2024, turning the stock into the worst performer in the S&P 500. More than $260 billion has been washed out since early January, giving the EV maker a price tag of around $520 billion today. Zoom further out, and you see Tesla peaked during the Reddit stocks meme-trading era of 2021 when shares hit an all-time high of $417. Back then, Tesla became the first car manufacturer to break into the $1 trillion club. Tesla stock has lost about a third of its valuation this year. Source: TradingView The drastic fall spotlights a stark difference between Tesla and the rest of the Magnificent Seven big shots. The other tech giants are at the top of well-developed yet competitive industries. Take for example Microsoft — the software mainstay has created for itself a competitive moat in the enterprise and retail software business. Tesla, on the other hand, is the trailblazer for the EV revolution but charged up rivals are shifting gears, threatening to soak up market share fast. 📍 Competition Revs Up Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi (ticker: 1810 ) last week unveiled a slick-looking, tech-rich electric ride. The model is called SU7 and it clocked up 10,000 reservations in the first 4 minutes after launch. Then it got to 89,000 in 24 hours. The successful launch bumped Xiaomi’s market cap by $4 billion to around $50 billion, or 10 times less than Tesla. The SU7, however, is priced lower than a high-end Model 3. Tesla has more rivals to outsell, among them BYD (ticker: 1211 ) and the more-niche player Rivian (ticker: RIVN ). Rivian is an EV startup that marked a 70% increase in sales for the first quarter. The number, however, is a tiny 13,980 units delivered. 📍 Teslas Pile Up on Weak Demand Tesla’s year went from bad to worse this week when it announced it had delivered 386,810 EVs in the first quarter. The number was about 20,000 below the most bearish forecast on Wall Street. It was also 9% lower than last year’s first quarter, indicating that the company’s business is shrinking. More importantly, Tesla produced 433,371 units, leaving about 46,000 waiting to be purchased by customers. The difference between production and deliveries meant that unsold models are piling up. A demand issue maybe? 📍 If You’re Having a Bad Day, Read This In all that chaos, Elon Musk emerged as the world’s worst moneymaker, taking a huge blow to his net worth so far this year. According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index , the eccentric engineer is down $45 billion to roughly $180 billion, taking the number one spot on the loser board. Elon Musk owns a 20.5% stake in Tesla worth about $120 billion, according to a December 31 filing . The stake consists of 411 million shares of common stock and 303 million stock options with a strike price of $26 a pop. The majority of Musk’s wealth is concentrated in his EV company, but he also owns private social media platform X, former Twitter, and space exploration company SpaceX, among other businesses. 📍 What’s Your Take? Are you buying the dip in Tesla stock? Or are you waiting for a deeper drop before scooping up some shares for yourself? Let us know your thoughts on Tesla’s future in the comments below! 🚀if you liked this article, give us a follow to make sure you don't miss any. 💖 TradingView Team
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
38
If Seize the Day was a Company: Nvidia’s Formidable RiseUnhinged demand for Nvidia’s AI chips bumped the company’s valuation to $2 trillion, adding half of that in less than four months. Read how it happened. Table of Contents Genesis Compiling Speedrun Benchmark Spillover Overclock Much? Rage Quit More Players Exit Wild Rivals Appeared! Runtime Genesis It’s a crisp, sunny morning in 1993. You’re at your local diner in Silicon Valley, casually sipping your coffee and waiting for your meal. At the table next to you, three engineers are cranking on caffeine and dreaming up a gig that would end up changing not only their lives, but also usher in a new era of computing. It’s the three founders of a company called Nvidia (ticker: NVDA ). A business-savvy 30-year-old Oregon graduate Jensen Huang, hardware savant Chris Malachowsky and software geek Curtis Priem spun up the business more than 30 years ago. Together, they set up their venture in a bid to bring 3D graphics to the gaming space. Compiling Today, the thriving company is doing much more than that. Nvidia, which traces its humble origins back to a Denny’s diner, is now the backbone of the artificial intelligence revolution. Nvidia was for a long time shoved into the deeper corners of the gaming space and was barely known to the public. For most of its existence, it’s been making graphics cards, which are used by gamers, crypto miners, plain PC users and professionals from various industries. The company’s booming business line right now is AI chips—hardware pieces essential for training large language models, the type that underpins systems like OpenAI’s ChatGPT.  AI chips have also underpinned another side of Nvidia—they’ve touched off a monster rally in its share price. Enough to catapult its valuation to the Top 3 of America’s biggest companies , right after iPhone maker Apple and software heavyweight Microsoft. Speedrun It took just about 24 years for Nvidia to step into the exclusive $1 trillion club, having started trading as a public company in 1999 at a $625 million valuation. Then in the span of just four months—November 2023 through February 2024—Nvidia added its second trillion, largely thanks to its timely expansion from its flagship products to the powerful AI chips. Now, Nvidia is comfortably sitting in the Top 5 of the world’s largest companies . “A whole new industry is being formed, and that’s driving our growth,” chief executive Jensen Huang told shareholders right after the company published jaw-dropping 265% revenue growth for the final quarter of 2023. The chip darling picked up $22.1 billion in sales, up from $6.05 billion a year ago. Profits swell to more than $12 billion. Source: Stock Analysis Benchmark The earnings release fueled a never-before-seen $277-billion boost to the chip maker's valuation. It was the biggest one-day gain in history of the stock market, surpassing Meta’s recent $204.5 billion pump . On the second day after the December-quarter financials were published, Nvidia went on to soar above $2 trillion in value with shares changing hands at more than $800 a pop. Not only that, but the AI trailblazer’s report jolted markets so much it set off a buying spree on a global scale. Spillover In the US, the broad-based S&P 500 index notched an all-time high, joined in record territory by the Dow Jones Industrial Average. In Japan, the diverse Nikkei index broke out to a fresh record after 34 years of languishing performance. Nvidia’s magnificent rise has propelled Huang’s personal fortune to roughly $70 billion, a reflection of his 86.6 million shares, or 3.6% of the company. Is it time for an attire upgrade away from the black leather jacket? Shares of the company more than tripled in 2023 and pumped over 60% for the first two months of 2024. Jensen Huang wearing his signature leather jacket—an outfit picked by his wife and daughter. Source: nvidianews.nvidia.com Overclock Much? The fundamentals behind the company’s breakneck growth are undoubtedly real. Demand for Nvidia’s most advanced GPUs, called H100s, is so big the chips are being delivered in armored trucks. Each one of them weighs about 290 lbs (130 kg) and will set you back about $30,000 if you’re lucky to get one. With that said, supply isn’t too loose with Nvidia holding about 80% of that market. What’s more, a new, more powerful H200 chip will be hitting the market in the second quarter of this year. So what does this mean for the unstoppable rally? Analysts are quick to say that as long as Nvidia maintains its tight grip over supply, outweighing demand should continue to drive the up-only narrative. Presently, Nvidia has the capacity to develop about 1.2 million AI-focused chips a year, far insufficient to meet the insatiable demand. To illustrate, Meta chief executive Mark Zuckerberg popped on Instagram to brag about his plans of securing 350,000 units of that good H100 stuff by the end of 2024. Besides the Facebook parent, Nvidia’s biggest customers are Microsoft, Google and ChatGPT owner OpenAI. Rage Quit The stampede by investors rushing to buy up stock wouldn’t be complete if it weren’t for the naysayers and doom-and-gloom forecasters. You’d be surprised to see who is on that list of permabears, slamming the chip maker and getting their short positions ready to fire. Or already fired. Following Nvidia’s post-earnings explosion, short sellers were left nursing paper losses in excess of $3 billion. Staring at giant drawdowns might sting just as badly as missing out the ride. Disruptive-tech investor Cathie Wood, CEO of investment firm ARK, said in 2023 that Nvidia was “ priced ahead of the curve .” By the end of the year, Wood had offloaded a stake worth more than $100 million. Estimations point that this early leave may be equal to more than $500 million in missed-out profits. There are other notable names in the investment space who got rid of—or heavily trimmed—their Nvidia shares by the end of last year. (Hedge funds and other investment managers who oversee at least $100 million are required to disclose their holdings in public companies each quarter through a form called 13F.) More Players Exit In its 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, George Soros’s family office Soros Capital had completely exited Nvidia in the third quarter, selling shares worth $4.9 million. Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller’s family office held 875,000 shares of Nvidia going into 2023’s third quarter. By the end of the fourth quarter, that hefty stash had been reduced by roughly 40%. Druckenmiller still owns some $300 million in Nvidia shares and even scooped up call options with a notional value of $242 million. The sellers’ argument wraps around the heavily cyclical nature of chip demand. While in good times there’s euphoria and chip companies triumph, they could also be prone to setbacks once the tide turns. A fresh example from Nvidia’s recent performance is the 60% drop in its share price in the time span April through September 2022. Nvidia's share price endured a 60% drop between April and September 2022. Wild Rivals Appeared! Competitors from the hardware corner of the economy don’t sit idle while Nvidia goes on an all-out expansion mission. Advanced Micro Devices (ticker: AMD ) is already selling chips similar to the H100s and projects revenue to land at $3.5 billion in 2024. If that number is met, or even doubles, it still will be a blip compared with Nvidia’s $100 billion full-year revenue Wall Street expects. SoftBank-backed Arm Holdings (ticker: ARM ), whose stock is just as volatile , is in the AI race too. So is Intel (ticker: INTC ) — the US tech mainstay makes and sells chips that power generative AI software. Nvidia, meanwhile, is busy taking steps to try and cement its dominance in the AI space. It’s already in talks with big tech giants such as Microsoft, Amazon and Google over developing custom chips. Meanwhile, all three are manufacturing their own chips. Runtime The big question lingering on everyone’s mind is when will that dizzying AI boom come to a halt or at least pause for breath? Nvidia’s formidable rally, fueled by the rush for graphics processors, is the very definition of what seizing the day means. What’s a reason that may extend this run? One reason is that the company keeps adding blockbuster earnings quarter in and quarter out. A second one—Nvidia will need to find a way to work together with tech giants seeking to cut into the AI business. And thirdly, all that effort should eventually pay off by laying out the infrastructure that will foster the much-anticipated AI-driven productivity gain.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
21
RPAY Double digit growthRPAY managed to grow card payment volume by 25% in 2022 and aims for a modest growth in 2023. The company provided a better than estimated EPS and Revenue Growth. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 34% and increase dits Gross Profit Margin from 76.8% to 78.8% Consumer payments consist of 80% of total CPV, both Business and Consumer grew by 25%. RPAY stock could be a very good bullish play with around 40% TP and 17% SL #notfinancialadvise #adjustyoursposition
NASDAQ:RPAYLong
by alpha62539
Does WING's Earnings Bounce Have Legs?WING has been an interesting story in the restaurant sector over the past 7 years. Wingstop has experienced above-average growth in both top and bottom line figures over this timeframe. Let us explore why this is the case and where the stock may go from here... Fundamentals: WING's fundamentals are nightmarish. Incredibly high levels of debt (likely why WING has been able to expand so quickly), negative stockholders equity, 17% of shares float are short, a forward P/E of 70, yoy revenue beginning to stall with current year-end revenue expectations up only 2-3% from 2021 year-end. WING's total liabilities make up more than double its total assets. The company is grossly overvalued, Wingstop's intrinsic value is roughly 35-45 dollars a share. This bounce off of earnings is unsustainable, to say the least. The company did not even post a beat, and its shares surge 20%... this move simply does not make sense. Technicals: Long-term uptrend still intact. This will change if a move below the A trend line occurs. Currently, WING is struggling to break above the short-term bearish trend line labeled as B . A touch at 128.43 resistance and a quick retreat back to trend line B leads me to believe this is a temporary bull run in what is a longer-term downtrend for WING. Global macro conditions: Tightening of financial conditions, supply chain woes, war, sanctions, Supply crunches in energy commodities, climate crises, hot inflation, political unrest, and sovereign default concerns intensifying -along with other factors- all play a role in a rapidly worsening macroeconomic narrative. These factors are often talked about by economists but I fear they are overlooked in cases such as these when the market rewards a weak growth stock such as WING with a massive bounce in price off of an average earnings report, all during an unprecedentedly difficult global economy. Targets: Unclear as to when WING will significantly fall in price. I think the deterioration of financial markets over the next few years will be serious- things will get worse and stay worse for longer than expected- and companies with trash fundamentals like WING will be the first to suffer. Needless to say, I would be short WING if given an option. I see a fall to 113.92 as a short-term lock. Longer term I expect a choppy downward trade from lower support levels to lower support levels eventually forming fresh lows at the 49.89 support level. Seems like a bit of a wild prediction I'm sure, but this is what I see. As always this is not trading advice, good luck!
NASDAQ:WINGShort
by Gooby_Trades
$VSBGF VSBLTY Groupe UpdateBroader markets are pulling back and $VSBGF has found it's footing. There's been recent communication from the CEO regarding partnerships and what's shaping up to be potential of an acquisition (rumor). VSBLTY continues to land deals and the recent fundraising wasn't received well in the markets during a down cycle... but peeling back the layers, it's evident this isn't a dilution so much as giving runway for takeoff. The market downturn has impacted the price, but it's not throwing money away imo... I am continuing to DCA into a company with a significant value add to to retail and security. Strong Buy from my perspective.
OTC:VSBGFLong
by R0MM3LL
TWLO/USD Daily TA Neutral BullishTWLO/USD Daily neutral with a bullish bias. *Twilio has fallen 81% from its ATH ($457.65) and is approaching the end of a massive Falling Wedge from March 2021.* Recommended ratio: 55% TWILIO, 45% cash. Price is currently testing the lower trendline of the Falling Wedge from March 2021 at $100.65 support. Volume has been shrinking since early May as Price trades within the second largest supply/demand zone on the chart; this is mildly bullish as it is indicative of an incoming breakout (due to it being a Falling Wedge the bias is to the upside). Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $105, this is mildly bullish. RSI is currently trending down slightly at 40 as it continues testing 37.47 support for the sixth consecutive session. Stochastic remains bullish and is currently trending up at 85; the next resistance is at max top. MACD remains bullish and is currently trending up slightly at -10; the next likely target is a test of the descending trendline from May 2020 at -4.57 resistance. ADX is currently trending sideways at 33 as Price is attempting to establish support at $100, this is neutral at the moment. If Price is able to defend $100.65 support then the next likely target is a test of the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge at $120-$125 (this is also the largest supply/demand zone on the chart) before potentially breaking out of the formation to the upside. However, if Price breaks down below the lower trendline of the Falling Wedge at $92.60, the next likely target is a test of $70 support. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes below) $95.50.
NYSE:TWLO
by dailytaguy
DoorDash: The Stock that Hedge Funds LoveIn this post, I'll be taking a fundamental and technical approach to DoorDash ($DASH), an American delivery & takeout platform. For more information on the company since its IPO, make sure to check out the post I uploaded in Dec. 2020 by clicking the chart below. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk. Fundamentals - DoorDash has shown tremendous growth compared to its counterparts like GrubHub and UberEats, during the Covid pandemic. - In terms of meal delivery shares, DoorDash currently covers 57%. - Dashers - the deliverymen on DoorDash - are gig workers, but the Biden administration has signaled that they should be classified as employees - This would induce additional costs, and with DoorDash still not being a profitable company yet, this could negatively impact the stock's price. - While this company is still not profitable, their Q2 financials demonstrate great growth trajectory - Their increase in revenue isn't amazing, but the absolute value is quite high. - Their Gross Order Value (GOV) has been growing for 5 consecutive quarters. Technical Analysis - The chart demonstrates that the stock is very volatile. - But ever since we tested the IPO price support in May, we have been in an uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs. - The price is trading above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Ribbon - A break and close above $214 could lead this stock to retest its all time highs at $256 Institutional Investors - SoftBank holds the most stocks, owning 12.89% of the company (43.5m shares) - The runner up on the list is Sequoia Capital, with 11.66% - Tiger Global Management holds 3.23%, and Morgan Stanley Investment Management holds 3.13% - Among known hedge fund managers as well, the top holders on the list (by order) are: - Chase Coleman (Tiger Global Management) - Jim Simons (Renaissance Technologies) - Ray Dalio (Bridgewater Associates) - Ken Griffin (Citadel) Conclusion DoorDash is a very interesting company with a business model proven successful by other companies overseas. It would be important to see the continuation in growth momentum and the company turning profitable in the next few years. Especially with a lot of institutional interest, this stock could definitely be added to your watchlist. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight :)
DLong
by Michael_Wang_Official
2
First global 5g/4g global satellite network and Lassonde curve.First ever global 4g/5g cellular phone network beeing built by $ASTS seems to follow similar market mechanisms and psychologies as that of junior mining operations: The Lassonde curve, with it’s two waves of share price increase. Only competitor so far (possible duopoly) is Lockheed Martin and Omnispace cooperstion. Technology is proven with Bluewalker 1 satellite. Huge TAM, small market cap. Founder shares in lockup for 12 months. There was an manipulation down starting April 6, which is in steep reversal presenting an excellent entry opportunity. Well timed public offering in first wave means first phase fully financed. Institutional ownership increasing signals exit of orphan period, entering development phase of Lassonde curve. Optimal entry.
NASDAQ:ASTSLong
by CatSE
Waiting for $CELH to skyrocketI like the way $CELH is looking right now!! After dipping on earnings report, where expectation were too high, the company is bouncing back. IMO the selloff was due to a few factors coming together: - Broader market selle off and repositioning, - increase in 10 years treasury yield, - inflation pressure From a stock prospective, $CELH had some issue with inventory management, in the sense that they could not bring enough products on shelves or stores. This was due, not for a problem with distribution, but the way that the company sells to stores. Because they do not keep inventories, after the demand surged, there were no product available.. On the plus side, I believe that if the company can fix this temporary problem, is well position for the future. I like $CELH especially because is a mix of growth and re-opening stock. From the technical side, MACD just turned positive and RSI is trading in the mid range. I will be waiting for volume to kick in before adding in a meaningful way. However, for transparency, today I entered a small position of 1000 shares and look to increase in the weeks ahead on any pullback or on any positive news. As usual, do your own DD Happy hunting!
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by aristocks
$UAVS AgEagle Aerial Systems, Inc. designs, develops, produces, distributes, and supports unmanned aerial vehicles for the precision agriculture industry in the United States and internationally. It offers FarmLens, a subscription based cloud analytics service that processes data collected with a drone for use by farmers and agronomists; HempOverview, a software-as-a-solution web- and map-based technology platform to support the operations of domestic industrial hemp programs for state and tribal nation departments of agriculture, growers, and processors; and ParkView, a proprietary aerial imagery and data analytics platform for assessing and supporting sustainability initiatives involving municipal, state, and federal public parks and recreation areas. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Wichita, Kansas.
AMEX:UAVSLong
by UnknownUnicorn19246015
Square is shifting gears! Low risk 65% gain in < 3 months.Square ( NYSE:SQ ) is a serious growth company and is certainly a long-term investment. I'm bullish on NYSE:SQ long term, but I believe especially today, the stock has presented us with an excellent buying opportunity. As usual, I don't talk fundamentals. I'm only looking at the chart from a technical analysis perspective. Sometimes, after a stock is running inside an ascending parallel channel, there comes a point when it seems to be dropping below the channel, but the reality is it's only changing gears to enter a an even faster ascending parallel channel. It's kind of like the small moment of deceleration a racer has to suffer in order to shift to a higher gear, a phenomenon that coming generations will never know thanks to Tesla's single-speed transmission taking over the world. Anyway, back to NYSE:SQ . Let's look at the chart. I have two parallel channels. The current one, and the new one I expect price to be bound within in the near future. I also have a set of steeper-inclined parallel lines which delineate local bullish movements. I believe this inclination will keep supporting price much longer in the coming bullish moves. I also believe that it will be the slope of a parallel channel later this year, but I'll sit on that idea for now. Based on that, I drew a price path prediction. My target is $355 in 76 days, by 7 April 2021. My stop loss is at $195. Picking the stop loss was rather hard and somewhat arbitrary. I picked it based on historic RSI levels, how long I expect a drop to last in case a drop occurs, and basic support and resistance levels. Most importantly, the last close has hit the very bottom of the parallel channel. My estimation is that this is a golden buying opportunity. My only worry is that even though the parallel channel has held the price four times since September 2020, it has failed one time (30 Oct - 3 Nov) which I marked in the red circle. It wasn't a serious break though. However, we must be prepared for it to happen again. That's why I set the stop loss a little bit lower. However, I am confident it will hold the price, and even if it doesn't, it will make an even better buying opportunity. And even if it breaks lower, Square is a solid investment and is certainly a hold. Conclusion : If you're in it for a trade, then decide the size of your position depending on how much you are willing to lose. If you're willing to lose $100, and our stop loss is at -10%, then open a trade with $1000 and set your stop loss. If you're in this for investment, this is a good opportunity to add to your long-term position. So, buy and hold.
NYSE:SQLong
by TechNerdOmar
39