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GBPUSD about to make a big move down?I've been closely monitoring current LTF price action and about to go short on this pair. We've retested last weeks broken dynamic support, and running out of steam right now. I'm seeing DXY continuing to grow, to at least 105 in the coming week or so. BoE hawkish sentiment, failure to get inflation under control, despite hikes gives the mark no confidence, and therefor a risk off mentality. My ultimate target is 1.185 area, but will be taking partials on the way down. Happy trading!
Short
by Finchcliffe
2
GBPUSD Outlook for the Week AheadThe GBP/USD currency pair has recently seen bullish pressure take control, with bears unable to invalidate the crucial demand/support zone at 1.23823. Over the past two weeks, the 1.25044 supply/resistance level has successfully held, prompting the question: what's next for the GBP/USD pair? To answer this, we'll analyze the daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour candlestick charts. The daily chart reveals a significant supply/resistance level at 1.26080, near the psychological 1.26000 price level. The bullish trend is evident as long as the 1.25044 level holds, with the price above the 20-day EMA and MACD zero level. Should the 1.25000 zone fail to hold the price, a push down to the nearest demand/support zone at 1.21821 is expected. Similar bullish trends are observed in the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, with the price trading above the 20-period EMA and MACD zero level. The multiple timeframes support the uptrend, with the next week's price movements being closely watched. However, the technical outlook for GBP/USD remains uncertain, with market sentiment being the key driver. The range between 1.2350 and 1.2550 offers potential range-bound opportunities, with a daily candle close above or below the range top or bottom being key for bullish continuation or a deeper correction to the downside. Retail traders are currently short on GBP/USD, but a contrarian view suggests a short-term bullish bias. While no major news is expected for the GBP next week, the USD has several high-impact news events, such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate, and Unemployment Rate, among others. These events could potentially affect the GBP/USD pair, making it essential to monitor technical indicators and upcoming news to identify potential shifts in market sentiment.
Long
by ClintOnos
Time for GBPUSD to give up?I'm short on GBP USD, it's failed to make a new high, failed to break back above the dynamic ascending trendline. Inflation is still high, despite rate hikes. Economy is in a pickle, with really poor retail data today. UK is the worst performing economy in Europe. There's RSI divergence. We're on a longer term downward trend so if this is to be broken I think we'll see retracement first. Conversely there's been a double bottom on DXY, it's due a retracement after 5 weeks of decline. USD doesn't look great either, but to me it looks better than GBP. This is why I'm short on cable, with a great R:R.
Short
by Finchcliffe
2