Beginning of a reversal...been waiting for GU to turn back bearish. Now it looks like its ready to start making that turn. At this point just waiting for further confirmation going into London session. If we can manage to break above 1.258 before London open then I will expect for price to make a new high for the week. if we maintain below that zone until after London session then I will look for a test and reject at that level.
Gu
GBP/USD BUY TO SELL (up towards 1.26500)This week's analysis for GBPUSD presents promising opportunities based on anticipated price movements. Near current price levels, there's a nearby 4-hour demand zone that could potentially trigger a bullish reaction, although I'm cautious about its strength. However, my primary focus is on the daily supply zone.
If price fails to reach the daily supply, it might delve deeper to interact with a stronger demand area, possibly sparking another bullish rally. In such a scenario, I'll align my trades with the prevailing uptrend, considering the recent pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Once price reaches the daily supply zone, I'll be prepared to enter significant sell positions.
Confluences for buys are as follows:
- Price has recently been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
- Daily supply zone that needs to get mitigated eventually.
- Good demand zones left that price might pick up another bullish rally from.
- Liquidity to the upside as well as substantial imbalances that need mitigation.
- price has also recently broke structure to the upside once again to confirm the trend.
P.S. If price reaches the supply zone without eliciting a reaction from any of my demand points of interest (POIs), I'll patiently wait for a wyckoff distribution to develop on lower time frames before initiating my short positions.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBPUSD $GBPUSD | 4H BREAKDOWN OR BREAKOUT? - Apr. 17th, 2024GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD | 4H BREAKDOWN OR BREAKOUT? - Apr. 17th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): 1.25350 - 1.26215
Can be extended to: 1.24820 - 1.26215
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): 1.24260 - 1.25350
Can be reduced to: 1.24260 - 1.24820
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): 1.23000 - 1.24260
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
FX:GBPUSD fell through the bottom of the previous bearish zone so I've decided to create a new chart. The 4H is currently developing a range, bulls should be looking for breakouts above the top levels of either 1.24820 or 1.25350, bears should be looking for breakdowns below the bottom level of 1.24260. TradingView is not allowing me to publish properly with multiple timeframes so I attached a small image of the weekly and daily timeframe views. The image is anchored and cannot be resized but it gives a small visual of what I was looking at.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
EDUCATIONAL/ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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GBPUSD - Feb. 19th, 2024GBPUSD - Feb. 19th, 2024
By request.
BUY/LONG ZONE (not shown): Starts at 1.26250, adjustable to channel low.
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (not shown): 1.25910 - 1.25250, adjustable to channel levels.
SELL/SHORT ZONE (not shown): Starts at 1.25910, adjustable to channel high.
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bullish
1H: Bearish
Weekly: Bullish, bearish if there's a close below 1.25350.
Daily: Bearish, supporting structure & breakdown of zone but respect to level below.
4H: Bullish structure with ascending channel.
1H: Bearish but has respect to channel low.
I personally would not trade this at the moment but if I had to I'd go short just because high frame respect to zones and most recent low frame pushes. Keys here are the zone that the daily frame broke and respected and the channel drawn on the 4H. Bulls should want to see the channel respected into a breakout of the zone around 1.26250 - 1.26350. Bears should want a breakdown of the channel lower level or a rejection of the zone bottom at 1.26250 or a breakdown of structural lows at 1.25910.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
GBPUSD $GBPUSD - Mar. 12th, 2024GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD - Mar. 12th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE: 1.27970 - 1.29425
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE: 1.27550 - 1.27970 (Extended area would be 1.26950 - 1.27970)
SELL/SHORT ZONE: 1.25355 - 1.26950 (Extended area would be 1.25355 - 1.27550)
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bearish
1H: Bearish
Previous bullish target is shown and for the visual I did extend it on the screen. The expanded DNT and bearish zones are shown for either later or earlier entries, just depends on how the lower timeframe structure develops. Some lower timeframe levels and zones are drawn in a lighter blue for some reference areas on when to enter.
There is no indication on the weekly and daily timeframe other than current momentum that the price is going to turn bearish.
Dropping down to the 4H timeframe: structure has turned bearish and has broken down through the zone that was used to determine the bullish zone.
Dropping down to the 1H timeframe: price has created clear bearish structure and is currently holding, with a retest of the previous low, now the current structural lower high.
Bears can enter as soon as 1.27550 or wait for a later entry around 1.26950, both are displayed on the chart.
Bulls should wait for structural reversals to develop on the 1H/4H timeframes and/or for price to break back above 1.27970.
trend analysis, technical indicators, support and resistance, gbpusd, gbpusdlong, gbpusdshort, gbpusdanalysis, gbpusdtrend, trendtrading, pounddollar, gu, gulong, gushort, forex, fx, FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD 14/4/24GU showing us the same here a super clean cut move for more sell side on this trend into our new daily low, we called this way back and we are all now seeing this play out perfectly so we follow our bias in hope that this will continue! Now looking for a new daily low to come into play for a trending move to tale the pair back into the same move we have above. New low followed by a shift back up into an area of supply to then drop lower again carrying on our trend giving us our overall structure we have been waiting for. We have 2 areas to watch here firstly our nearest OB marked by red line at its 50% ad secondly the daily OB that caused the shift overall!
Look for the bearish move to carry over and the trend to continue!
Trade your plan and use the correct risk! have a great trading week all!
GBPUSD Analysis (12th April 2024)
Market Analysis PT1/2 (12th April 2024)
GBPUSD Analysis
On the Weekly timeframe, price action yesterday took out the weekly low and retraced extremely hard. This shows that the weekly low that broke was more of a liquidity sweep, not a proper break of the low.
On the 1 hour timeframe, i would like to see the 1 hour Fair Value Gap get tested. Once tested there are 2 scenarios that could play out.
1) Price rejects of the FVG, and creates a bearish Change of Character. This would created bearish confirmation for me to continue going short on this pair.
2) price breaks past the FVG with a body candle close above the FVG. In this scenario, i will be waiting to see how the candle playout to capitalise on longs to potentially play the pullback, retracing the move from CPI.
GBPUSD 7/4/23GU following our markups from way back at the start of this year, i am really liking the look of this markup along with its sister pair EU.
Overall breakdown of this pair is for the weekly chart to produce a new low... we got this last week, following that structure bring made we now have to put in our weekly high to follow down again into a new low which again will lead us straight into our overall bias which is for price to follow the down trend direction and hit the liquid sorted out our major low to the left.
Hourly chart gave us a shift higher breaking our last high as marked, showing us that we are most likely going to follow the bullish trend we created from that shift meaning we either go bullish to our POI above as marked or we hit our buyside origin and come down to put in a new hourly low to then carry price higher, either of these will work for us but i am more interested in the major sells to follow after this shift.
follow price action trade your plan and read what price is telling you!
GBP/USD short term longs to shorts 1.26000 back up to 1.27200I am currently holding a bearish view on GU, and I'm patiently waiting for a deeper pullback toward the primary supply zone. However, there's a nearby 1hr demand zone where we might witness a bullish reaction. If this zone fails, which is possible given the ample liquidity below, there's also a deeper demand zone just beneath it. We need to wait patiently to see how price behaves.
If price continues to rise, reaching the Asian high and trend line, it would strengthen my bearish bias and provide additional confluence for potential sells. Conversely, if price declines further, I'll be on the lookout for Wyckoff accumulation to unfold in either of the demand zones.
Confluences for GU short term buys are as follows:
- Price left lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an asian high that needs to get taken
- There is two 1hr demand zones that could initiate the expected pullback yet to come.
- For my sell bias to come into play, price must rally up which hasn't happened yet.
- Imbalances are left above that need to get filled.
P.S. If price continues to decline, I'll wait for a new supply zone to form and then consider selling from that point. Ultimately, the majority of liquidity remains situated below, influencing this decision.
GBPUSD 31/4/24GU giving us another pretty simple view on price here, bearish across the board which is telling us 2 things, a new low is likely to be created soon or we will pullback before we put in this new low!
so it gives us 2 ideas of what we want to see, firstly we sell off from the BOS on the hourly timeframe and we put in a new low before we have any kind of bullish PA overall that would mean dropping off from where we closed on Friday. the second option for us is price to pullback and give a higher zone for entry into the new low, this would of course be the nest pace to sell from but i am not banking on it happening.
Main view is put in a new low and follow the higher timeframe bearish PA!
Trade safe and follow your rules!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27200 back downMy bias for GU is downward, expecting a minor retracement before a continuation of the downtrend. Currently, I'm monitoring for price to rise and reach the newly identified supply levels, particularly focusing on the 20-hour supply zone for its high quality.
Observing the reaction at the first 4-hour supply, I anticipate a possible minor reaction, though I foresee it ultimately failing due to the presence of an Asian high above. Once price reaches the 20-hour supply area, I'll be watching for signs of a Wyckoff distribution pattern to form, signaling a potential opportunity to sell back down.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 20hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. While I anticipate further price drops, it's improbable without addressing the imbalances and supply levels above before further downward movement occurs.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSD 24/3/24GU chart here on the hourly timeframe i am looking at again 3 setup ideas all will a line with the higher timeframe analysis as we spoke about in the EU markup.
so overall we have a bearish shift into the higher timeframe bias alignment, i am looking for the following, a bearish shift to follow the current order flow on the hourly chart, this would lead us into the demand zone lower or we see a bullish run early on to lead us into the bearish supply zone highlighted above current price, mainly i don't expect it to shift bullish on the higher timeframe and think we will remind bearish for the start of this week at least. As always i stand open for price to either confirm or deny my idea and then we trade based off our rules being met!
have a great trading week guys and trade safe!