Gu
GBP/USD short term longs to shorts 1.26000 back up to 1.27200I am currently holding a bearish view on GU, and I'm patiently waiting for a deeper pullback toward the primary supply zone. However, there's a nearby 1hr demand zone where we might witness a bullish reaction. If this zone fails, which is possible given the ample liquidity below, there's also a deeper demand zone just beneath it. We need to wait patiently to see how price behaves.
If price continues to rise, reaching the Asian high and trend line, it would strengthen my bearish bias and provide additional confluence for potential sells. Conversely, if price declines further, I'll be on the lookout for Wyckoff accumulation to unfold in either of the demand zones.
Confluences for GU short term buys are as follows:
- Price left lots of liquidity to the upside as well as an asian high that needs to get taken
- There is two 1hr demand zones that could initiate the expected pullback yet to come.
- For my sell bias to come into play, price must rally up which hasn't happened yet.
- Imbalances are left above that need to get filled.
P.S. If price continues to decline, I'll wait for a new supply zone to form and then consider selling from that point. Ultimately, the majority of liquidity remains situated below, influencing this decision.
GBPUSD 31/4/24GU giving us another pretty simple view on price here, bearish across the board which is telling us 2 things, a new low is likely to be created soon or we will pullback before we put in this new low!
so it gives us 2 ideas of what we want to see, firstly we sell off from the BOS on the hourly timeframe and we put in a new low before we have any kind of bullish PA overall that would mean dropping off from where we closed on Friday. the second option for us is price to pullback and give a higher zone for entry into the new low, this would of course be the nest pace to sell from but i am not banking on it happening.
Main view is put in a new low and follow the higher timeframe bearish PA!
Trade safe and follow your rules!
GBP/USD Shorts from 1.27200 back downMy bias for GU is downward, expecting a minor retracement before a continuation of the downtrend. Currently, I'm monitoring for price to rise and reach the newly identified supply levels, particularly focusing on the 20-hour supply zone for its high quality.
Observing the reaction at the first 4-hour supply, I anticipate a possible minor reaction, though I foresee it ultimately failing due to the presence of an Asian high above. Once price reaches the 20-hour supply area, I'll be watching for signs of a Wyckoff distribution pattern to form, signaling a potential opportunity to sell back down.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure the downside and left a clean 20hr supply zone.
- Imbalances that needs to b filled before tapping into the supply.
- Lots of liquidity below in the form of asian lows.
- Price is overall bearish on the higher time frame.
- I can see the dollar to rising more to the upside.
P.S. While I anticipate further price drops, it's improbable without addressing the imbalances and supply levels above before further downward movement occurs.
Have a great trading week!
GBPUSD 24/3/24GU chart here on the hourly timeframe i am looking at again 3 setup ideas all will a line with the higher timeframe analysis as we spoke about in the EU markup.
so overall we have a bearish shift into the higher timeframe bias alignment, i am looking for the following, a bearish shift to follow the current order flow on the hourly chart, this would lead us into the demand zone lower or we see a bullish run early on to lead us into the bearish supply zone highlighted above current price, mainly i don't expect it to shift bullish on the higher timeframe and think we will remind bearish for the start of this week at least. As always i stand open for price to either confirm or deny my idea and then we trade based off our rules being met!
have a great trading week guys and trade safe!
GBPUSD 17/3/24Second mark-up of this week from GU, now overall you will see this is again following the same basis as the last weekly mark-up we gave out expecting price to drop lower before moving up and taking out our highs.
We got our drop last week with some short term bullish price action to follow but we now have price sitting at the ideal point within the market and we are now ready for the main move to play out!
As shown we have 2 setups we would like to follow coming into this week, firstly would be more bearish PA leading us down into the lows and then going bullish once confirmed.
second setup would be a run of the highs then longing into the new high after a sort pullback.
Trade what we are given not what you want to see!
GBPUSD the Bullish Wave continues ? (150pips+ trade idea)hello guys ,
as you can see gbpusd just started a major bullish wave last week .
the price first was consolidating (accumulation) , formed a double bottom reversal pattern on a support level (manipulation) then continued with an expantion (distribution).
a classic AMD / PO3 pattern.
am waiting for the price to retrace towards the poi where there is an overlap of a breaker caused by last cpi a bullish orderblock and the fibbonacci golden zone .
GBPUSD Pullback Pending (1.29500 back down)My bias for GU this week is centered around anticipating a pullback to address the imbalances left behind. This week has witnessed a significant bearish trend for the dollar, leading to increased bullish pressure on GU. Given this scenario, it's evident that price hasn't experienced a healthy pullback yet, which is overdue.
Therefore, I'll be patiently waiting for price to reach my 8hr supply zone, where I anticipate a wyckoff distribution to form. Once I receive confirmation on the lower time frames, I'll initiate sell positions. However, if price decides to drop before reaching the supply zone, I'll consider buying opportunities from the 6hr demand level back up to the designated supply zone.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price overall on the higher time frame like weekly and monthly is still bearish.
- Bullish pressure has been excessive and its due for a pullback.
- Nice supply zone on the 8hr that has caused recent break of structure.
- Lots of imbalances left below left from NFP event that needs filling.
P.S. Given the premium level of this supply zone, I prefer to observe price action slowing down. However, I'll exercise caution and focus on trading opportunities primarily on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Tuesdays and Thursdays are notably packed with significant economic events such as CPI & PPI.
Have a good week traders and preserve capital on those days!
GBPUSD | MY SHORT TERM VIEW | M30Why did the inducement fail? It failed because it was only minor/medium inducement. It gave a reaction, trapped traders to start selling. Not only support and resistance players got trapped but also people that look at liquidity (SMC etc.)
Before shorts I at least expect GU to fill the imbalance curve.
LQP = Liquidity Pool
2WT = 2 Way Trap
Arrows = inducement
GBPUSD 3/3/24GU is almost a carbon copy of EU except for some small points, we are used to seeing the EU and GU pairs be almost the same as they are in my eyes almost sister pairs along with many others, but we also have to look at each of them for the unique signs they give us, now EU dropped lower and stayed within a bearish swing range. BUT GU has shifted back into a bullish swing range meaning we have alot more of a chance of seeing an A setup (sweeping the swl) before going higher, leading into the same idea we have for EU a drop lower and then a push higher!
trade safe follow price action and have a great week!
GBPUSD Longs from 1.26200 back up to 1.27400I still maintain a bearish outlook on GU; however, there's significant liquidity gathering around the marked trendline above. Consequently, I anticipate this liquidity to be taken out first, creating a CHOCH to the upside. Once this transition occurs, I expect a retracement back to the newly identified 4hr demand zone.
This temporary upward movement is envisioned to enable price to address the existing imbalance fully, eventually reaching the 20hr supply zone where potential selling opportunities lie. I'll be monitoring for the emergence of a Wyckoff distribution pattern within that zone, signalling the continuation of the bearish trend.
Confluences for longs are as follows:
- Price has swept liquidity now pushing higher with momentum.
- There's a new 4 hourly demand zone that has been created.
- lots of liquidity to the upside like asian highs and trendline liquidity.
- For price to continue going down I see imbalance getting filled as well as the 20hr supply being respected.
P.S.This is a temporary idea that I have but I wouldn't be shocked if this recently established 4hr zone is breached, potentially reaching the 10hr demand zone I've identified below. However, considering that price has now cleared out liquidity, I anticipate further upward momentum for now.
Have a great trading week guys!
GBPUSD 30m | UpdateGU and EU are mirroring. GU has some laying liquidity above. Have this in mind.
Asia SSL was taken. I took profits there.
EU looks like it's going down and GU also looks like it should go down but there are also signs that there might be a RAID for the orders above first. There are also news soon.
I'm taking it easy.
LQP = Liquidity Pool
Arrows = Inducement Points
2WT = 2 Way Trap
Will there Be another Weekly High Made?Now that it is Tues day I'm waiting to see where price will stall out at and turn around. There is not much strength pushing price bullish and we have USD News for NY session coming up. Monitoring for signs that the bears want to take control and push price down. But also trying to remain aware incase anything happens to change my bias.