Example of how to trade without chart analysis
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Since the coin market can be traded 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, gaps do not occur as often as in the stock market.
(However, gaps may occur frequently in exchanges with low trading volume.)
In any case, I think that these movements provide considerable usefulness in conducting transactions.
Sometimes I told you to buy when the price drops by -10% or more.
Today, I will tell you why.
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In order to trade, you must have basic knowledge of charts.
Otherwise, you are likely to conduct transactions incorrectly due to volatility.
However, such cases are less common in the coin market than in the stock market.
One of the reasons is that the current coins (tokens) are not being used for actual business purposes.
So, I think there are quite a few issues that cause volatility other than charts like stocks.
-
If the price falls one day and falls by about -10% from the high before a new candle is created, I buy.
The next day, if it falls by about -10% from the high again, I buy again.
When it falls by about -10% like this, I continue to buy in installments.
That's why I need to adjust my investment ratio.
-
If I buy like that, there will come a point where my price rises more than the average unit price.
In that case, when I'm making a profit, I sell the amount corresponding to the purchase principal in installments and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
If you want cash profit, you can sell a certain portion in installments.
Also, on the contrary, when it rises by about +10%, we proceed with a split sale.
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As shown in the example chart, you can see that there are not many cases where it rises by -10% or +10%.
However, since it occurs more often in the case of altcoins than in BTC or ETH, you should pay special attention to adjusting your investment ratio when trading altcoins.
That is why you must check the price fluctuation range 1-3 hours before a new candle is created on the 1D chart.
This method is a method that can be traded even if you lack knowledge about charts.
If you let go of your greed a little and have the ability to split sell when you are making a profit, you will be able to meet the moment when a crisis becomes an opportunity.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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HA-MS
After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
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-------------------------------------
USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
-
The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
-
Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 9.39
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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-------------------------------------
(APTUSDT 1W chart)
It seems that the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart has started to be created.
Accordingly, the 7.41-9.39 section is an important support and resistance section.
When it shows support in the 7.41-9.39 section, it is a time to buy.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must be received above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 9.39.
-
The high point boundary section is formed in the 12.06-14.50 section, so if it rises above this section, it is expected to create a new upward wave.
If it falls below 7.41, it is expected to enter the mid- to long-term investment area.
Therefore, if possible, I think it would be better to trade when the price is maintained above 7.41 and wait and see if it falls below 7.41.
-
(1M chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise from BW(0) is the key
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-------------------------------------
(PEPEUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator point of 0.00001898.
To do so, the point to watch is whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if it falls, you should check whether it can be supported near 0.00001463.
The strong support area is around 0.00000723.
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(1D chart)
Since the BW(0) indicator was created at the 0.00001767 point, it is important whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
If it falls, it is important whether it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator must rise above and maintain the price.
To do so, it must rise above 0.00001898 and be supported.
-
From this perspective, if it rises, the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is likely to be the first resistance area, and the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to be the first support area.
------------------------------------------------
(1000PEPEUSDT.P 1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Check support at important support and resistance zones
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 0.37778
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1W chart)
As the price falls, the HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 0.37778 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 0.37778.
If not,
1st: 0.26850-0.28000
2nd: M-Signal on the 1M chart
You need to check whether it can rise with support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has fallen below the overbought level, it seems likely to continue to decline further.
However, when looking at the StochRSI indicator, volatility may occur when it reaches around the 50 point, so caution is required.
-
(1D chart)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Whether it can be supported and rise around 92K-93.5K is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
What we need to look at is whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator and rise.
When a new candle is created, it is expected to pass around 83.6K.
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether it will meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart around 87.8K-89K.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend from the 100 point, and if a new candle is created, it is expected to change to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is still in the overbought zone, it is likely to rise after receiving support around 92K-93.5K.
-
(1D chart)
The next volatility period is around December 17 (December 16-18).
Therefore, the key is how it will look after this volatility period.
It is currently showing a short-term downtrend, but looking at the overall picture, it is ambiguous to say that it has yet to break out of the sideways zone, so the key is whether it falls below 90586.92.
-
Therefore, we need to check whether it can rise above 95904.28.
If not, it is expected to touch around 92K-93.5K.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it needs to rise above 97821.5-98892.0 to be supported.
Since the Momentum indicator is showing a low, it may lead to an additional decline.
You can see that the Body color of the candle changed to red from the December 20 candle.
This is because the OBV fell below the midpoint.
Therefore, if the Body color of the candle changes back to Green, it can be seen as a buying period.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 3707.61
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
As I mentioned in the BTC idea, when the StochRSI indicator is moving, the value of the StochRSI indicator fluctuates when it passes a meaningful point.
Currently, the value of the StochRSI indicator seems to have fallen from the 100 point.
However, if it rises above a certain point, it is possible that it will show the 100 point again.
Also, you can check the exact value when a new candle occurs.
-
In the previous idea, I said that the time to buy is when it is below 3438.16.
The reason is that if it goes up more than that, you may feel psychological anxiety due to volatility.
If you bought an altcoin during this buying period, I think it is likely that it is currently at a similar price range or making a profit.
Otherwise, if it is losing money, the coin (token) can be considered a subordinate coin (token).
In other words, it can be seen as being neglected in the market.
-
(1D chart)
It has fallen below the HA-High indicator (3831.12).
It has also fallen below the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 3644.71 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, or if possible, above 3831.12.
If not, and it falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Before that,
1st: 3438.16 ~ 0.618 (3548.07)
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
You need to check if it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
When the decline progresses, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to check whether there is support near it.
In particular, if the HA-Low indicator is generated, it will close the current wave and create a new wave.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
-------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Entering the volatility period
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-------------------------------------
If USDT and USDC continue their gap uptrend, I think it is a sign that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or continue to fall.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator or Fibonacci ratio 0.5 (57.95) on the 1W chart.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
The USDT dominance is expected to touch around 2.84 at the most.
Therefore, the key is whether it can fall after receiving resistance near 3.99-4.16.
If the USDT dominance rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to show a sharp decline.
Therefore, if it is maintained above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
If BTC continues to rise like this, I also hope so.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is maintained at 100 and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching 100, BTC will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, even if it continues to rise further, it will touch the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and show a downward trend.
The StochRSI indicator does not tell us how much the fluctuation will occur.
If it starts to decline,
1st: 87.8K-89K
2nd: 79.9K-80.9K
There is a possibility that it will touch the 1st and 2nd areas above.
If not, and it shows a sideways pattern, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The volatility period on the 1W chart is around the week including December 23rd.
Therefore, it can be seen that the volatility period is from December 16th to January 5th.
If the BW(100) indicator or the HA-High indicator is newly created during the volatility period, it is important to see if it can be supported near it.
-
(1D chart)
I will update after a new candle is created.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 3644.71
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the upper section of the HA-High indicator box on the 1M chart.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
The reason is that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator has not touched the 100 point so far, it will eventually show a downward trend.
However, since the StochRSI indicator cannot predict how much fluctuation will occur, you should refer to the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore,
1st: 3438.16-3644.71
2nd: 3265.0-3321.30
The point to watch is whether it can receive support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point for a long time, you should keep in mind that even if a small decline occurs, the decline in the StochRSI indicator is likely to be quite large.
In other words, it means that there are cases where it pretends to decline and moves sideways and then rises.
To determine this, it is good to refer to the movement of the OBV indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Example of how to select a volatility period
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
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-------------------------------------
The date that I am talking about as a volatility period refers to a period in which there may be a movement that may change the trend.
In other words, it means that there is a high possibility of creating a new wave as the volatility period passes.
Basically, the volatility period is expressed as an issue regarding the coin (token) or a global issue, but the volatility period that I am talking about is expressed by the support and resistance points and trend lines drawn on the chart.
-
The support and resistance points refer to the points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
In other words, they refer to the points of the HA-Low, HA-High, BW(0), BW(100), and OBV indicators displayed on each chart.
When indicating support and resistance points, indicators connected to the current price candle are unconditionally drawn.
Also, indicators that are not expressed up to the current price candle are drawn starting from the one with the longest horizontal line.
Among indicators that are not expressed up to the current candle, horizontal lines expressed less than 5 candles are not drawn if possible.
If there are support and resistance lines that are expressed too closely, the support and resistance lines that are closest to the current candle are used.
-
The StochRSI indicator is used to draw a trend line.
When the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold or overbought zone and reverses, that is, when a peak is created, those points are connected and expressed.
Therefore, the peak created in the 20~80 range of the StochRSI indicator is ignored.
Therefore, the trend line is created by connecting the high and low points of the StochRSI indicator.
However, the high point connection line connects the opening price of the falling candle.
If there is no bearish candle at the peak of the StochRSI indicator, move to the right and use the first bearish candle.
When drawing the trendline for the first time, it is better to draw it from the vicinity where the current wave started.
If the StochRSI indicator has two peaks in the overbought or oversold area, use both when it leaves the overbought or oversold area and then re-enters it.
Otherwise, use only one peak at a time.
-
Draw support and resistance points and trendlines on each chart.
-
Find and mark points where trend lines or support and resistance points intersect at least two times.
The importance is determined in the order of trend lines drawn on the 1M chart > trend lines drawn on the 1W chart > trend lines drawn on the 1D chart.
Therefore, in order to express a period of volatility with a trend line drawn on the 1D chart, there must be at least two intersecting points.
In other words, there must be at least two intersecting points when indicating a period of volatility, such as when trend lines intersect each other or when trend lines intersect support and resistance points.
In addition, support and resistance points are also important in the order of 1M > 1W > 1D charts, so when they intersect with support and resistance points, they are selected according to this importance.
-
Then, if you hide the trend line, you will complete the chart showing the period of volatility.
-
When drawing for the first time,
1. When indicating support and resistance points, if you do not understand the arrangement of candles, it may be difficult to select.
2. It may be difficult to select the peak and candle of the StochRSI indicator.
3. It may be difficult to select which intersection point to select when indicating the volatility period.
Since you cannot get used to everything at once, it is recommended to draw and observe one by one and try to solve the difficulty of the next step once you get used to it.
-
The StochRSI indicator on this chart is an indicator whose formula has been changed from the basic StochRSI indicator.
Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to use the StochRSI indicator on my chart.
If you use your own StochRSI indicator,
Settings: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Source value: ohlc4
If you change the values above, it will be expressed similarly.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can be supported around 224.93-228.97
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-------------------------------------
(AMZN 1M chart)
It is already showing an upward trend.
The point to watch is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If it fails to rise, it is expected to fall to around 172.55-186.98.
-
(1W chart)
Since the BW indicator is maintained at the 100 point, even if the price rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
If not, it is expected to touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator.
If it falls further, it is necessary to check whether there is support near 176.77-188.07.
-
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 224.93 point.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 224.93 point, the key is whether it can be supported near this point and rise above 228.97.
If it falls after the HA-High indicator is created, it is important whether it can touch the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator and rise.
If not, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls and maintains in the overbought zone, if it shows resistance near 224.93, it is likely to lead to further decline.
If it leads to a decline,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
You need to check whether it can be supported and rise near the 1st and 2nd above.
Therefore, when it is confirmed to be supported in the 224.93-228.97 range, it is the time to buy.
The first sell period is near the Fibonacci ratio 1 (238.57).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Future Outlook with StochRSI and OBV
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-------------------------------------
I used TradingView's index chart to see the overall flow of BTC.
--------------------------------------
(BTCUSD 1M chart)
OBV is showing an upward breakout of the High Line.
Accordingly, we should look at how the High Line is expressed when the candle of the next month is created.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above 50 points, and has changed to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we should look at whether it will maintain the current state and show an upward trend.
Looking at the movement of the indicators on the 1M chart, I think it is highly likely that the uptrend will continue.
-
(1W chart)
There is some ambiguity in analyzing BTC due to the movement of the 1W chart.
The StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point, and the StochRSI EMA indicator is approaching the 100 point.
As of now, the StochRSI EMA has never touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, I think the pressure for a decline is increasing as time goes by.
The OBV indicator has risen above the high line.
Accordingly, if a high line is created next week, we should see if it enters the high line.
If so, BTC is expected to show a downward trend.
However, the StochRSI and OBV indicators cannot tell the extent of the decline.
Therefore, if the decline begins, there is a possibility that the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1W chart) indicator will be touched.
-
(1D chart)
BW(100) indicator is created at 101197.25.
Accordingly, in order to continue the uptrend, the price must rise above 101197.25 to maintain it.
The OBV indicator is near the high line.
Accordingly, when it rises above 101197.25, we need to see if the OBV indicator breaks through the high line upward.
The StochRSI indicator is below 50, and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, we need to see if it rises above 50 points and switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and is maintained.
If not, and BTC falls below 95961.82, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, then the important issue is whether there is support near that indicator.
------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period around December 3, it is important to see whether the price can be maintained near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0 until the next volatility period.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while moving sideways unless it falls below 95904.28.
The key point is what I said on the BTCUSDT 1D chart.
If it rises above the BW(100) indicator point of 101109.59 and maintains the price, and if the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point and changes to the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, there is a possibility that it will rise further.
However, as I mentioned earlier on the 1W chart, the StochRSI EMA indicator on the 1W chart is approaching the 100 point, so it will eventually show a downward trend.
As explained in the big picture below, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend until the end of 2025.
Therefore, I think that even if there is a short-term decline or a downward trend this time, it will eventually rise above the current price.
-
Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Need to check support near the new high point
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It seems that funds have flowed into the coin market through USDT and USDC.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall below 55.01.
If BTC dominance rises, it means that funds are concentrated on BTC, so altcoins are likely to show a downward trend.
However, you cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC prices based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The movement of USDT dominance can be used to roughly estimate the overall trend of the coin market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend, and if it rises, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, the movement of prices can be identified by the movement of USDT dominance.
Therefore, you can roughly estimate the movement of funds with BTC dominance and the trend with USDT dominance.
------------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Although the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 50, the price of BTC is actually showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and whether it turns into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
It is currently showing an upward trend near 101109.59, which is the BW(100) indicator point.
Accordingly, whether there is support near 101109.59 is the key.
If the StochRSI indicator fails to turn into a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and shows a downward trend, it is expected to fall again to the 95904.28-98892.0 range.
-
Therefore, what we should consider important in the current movement is whether we can reset the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart while maintaining the price around the newly formed high point range of 97821.58-101109.58 until around December 27th.
Based on the high point range of 97821.58-101109.58, this means that 101109.58 or higher is the high point.
Therefore, it is better to interpret the high point range as a high point boundary range.
Therefore, if it rises above the high point range and then falls below the high point range, it is highly likely that it will lead to an additional decline, and we should consider countermeasures for this.
When the decline begins, the downtrend will stop as it finally creates a low point range (low point boundary range).
That is, when it meets the HA-Low indicator and BW(0) indicator, it will create a low point section.
If it creates a low point section and then creates a bottom section, an upward trend will begin.
If we organize this movement,
1. It rises in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator and most of the movement appears within the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicator.
That is, the HA-Low, BW(0) section ~ HA-High, BW(100) section forms a sideways, box section.
2. If it falls in the section composed of the HA-Low, BW(0) indicator, it is highly likely to create a downward wave and show a stepwise downward trend.
However, since this step-down trend will eventually play a role in creating a bottom section, if the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators show a rise higher than the previous HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that a bottom section will be formed at that time.
3. If it rises in the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators, it is highly likely that it will create an upward wave and show a step-up trend.
Therefore, it is recommended to set a stop loss point when trading because there is a high possibility that it will turn into a downtrend when it falls above the section composed of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators.
However, it is necessary to check the correlation with the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can rise above 134.27-143.90
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(AMD 1M chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the 139.15 section.
If not, and it falls, it can fall until it meets the HA-Low, BW(0) indicators, so be careful.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise after receiving support near 134.27-143.90.
If not,
1st: 108.10
2nd: 81.99
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
However, if you meet the HA-Low indicator while the decline is in progress, the support near that area is an important issue.
It is expected to create an upward wave if it rises above 177.25-180.49.
-
(1D chart)
It is currently located near the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 130.24-153.60.
If not, there is a high possibility of falling to the point mentioned above, so caution is required when trading.
-
What we need to look at is whether the HA-Low indicator turns upward.
The fact that the HA-Low indicator is created means that a low point has been formed.
However, since it does not mean that a bottom section has been formed, it can be seen that a bottom section is likely to be formed only if it shows an upward trend after the HA-Low indicator is created.
Therefore, you can buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator.
However, you need to consider whether the bottom point of the HA-Low indicator box can be designated as a stop loss point.
-
If the HA-Low indicator rises, the trend will be determined again by touching the HA-High indicator.
In other words, if it rises above the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
However, if it fails to rise, there is a possibility that it will meet the HA-Low indicator again.
- It slowly creates waves by moving sideways within the HA-Low ~ HA-High range, or
- It creates an upward wave by rising above the HA-High indicator, or
- It creates a downward wave by falling below the HA-Low indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Whether it can rise above 3831.12-3996.22 is the key
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
There are several lines on the chart, but what is important to look at at the current location is whether it can rise above the 3831.12-3996.22 section.
The 3831.12-3996.22 section is a section composed of HA-High and BW(100) indicators, so it can be seen as a high point section.
If it rises above the high point section and maintains the price, it is highly likely to show a stepwise upward trend.
However, if it fails to rise above the high point range or falls above the high point range, there is a possibility that it will form a high point and turn into a downtrend, so caution is required when trading.
Therefore, it is necessary to check the correlation between the high point range (the range consisting of the HA-High, BW(100) indicators) and the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to determine whether it is a movement that is turning into a downtrend or creating a pull back pattern.
Since the current high point range and the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart are close, it can be seen that the possibility of turning into a downtrend is actually increasing.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the high point range (3831.12-3996.22) this time and whether it can be supported near the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
The next volatility period for ETH is around December 16th, so the point to watch is whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators are generated at this time, it is a meaningful section.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Watching whether it can rise above 98821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It's the same idea as the previous one.
The key is whether it can maintain the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart until around December 27.
In order for the uptrend to start, it is expected to start by rising above 97821.58 and showing support.
If it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the 95904.28-98892.0 section is an important support and resistance section.
-------------------------------------------
USDT, USDC are still showing an upward trend.
(BTC.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can fall below 55.01 by falling near the MS-Signal indicator.
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point of interest is whether it can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and maintain a downward trend.
-
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing into the coin market.
On the other hand, I think the gap decrease is a trace of funds flowing out of the coin market.
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, an altcoin bull market is expected to begin.
USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84 and maintain an upward trend in the coin market.
Accordingly, if it touches around 2.84 and rises, the coin market is likely to face a sharp decline.
Also, if it rises above 4.97, I think the coin market is likely to turn into a bear market.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The point to watch is whether it can receive support and rise around the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
The next period of volatility is expected to be around December 27, so we need to check whether it can continue sideways until then.
This movement can be seen as a task to reduce the gap of the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts or to reset the StochRSI indicator.
If it falls below the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, if the HA-Low and BW(0) indicators are generated, the key is whether there is support around that area.
-
When the StochRSI indicator falls below the 50 point range, if it shows resistance below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is necessary to first check whether there is support around 87.8K-89K.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 97821.58 and show support.
Therefore, if it fails to rise above 97821.58, it will eventually fall below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Possibility of sideways until the next volatility period
(Title) The key is whether sideways can occur until the next volatility period
------------------------------
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT 1D chart)
(USDC 1D chart)
(BTC.D 1D chart)
(USDT.D 1D chart)
The point to watch for USDT and USDC is whether they can maintain their upward trend.
BTC dominance failed to fall below 55.01 and is showing signs of touching the MS-Signal indicator.
The key is whether it can meet resistance near the MS-Signal indicator and fall.
The key is whether USDT dominance can meet resistance near the 3.92-4.31 range and fall.
I think that for the altcoin bull market to start, BTC dominance needs to fall below 55.01 and remain there or continue to fall.
For the coin market itself to maintain an upward trend, I think that USDT dominance needs to remain below 4.97 or continue to fall.
Therefore, we need to check whether the content I mentioned above is maintained or whether it satisfies the content for BTC.
----------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As I mentioned yesterday, there has been a movement in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
However, I think that for the trend to change, it depends on how BTC moves around 95904.28-98892.0.
That is, if the price is maintained around 95904.28-98892.0 until around December 27, I think it is highly likely that the StochRSI indicator will be reset and the upward trend will continue.
Otherwise, if it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, below the MS-Signal indicator, and shows resistance, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
This movement can be seen as a pull back due to profit taking to relieve fatigue from the upward trend that has continued so far.
I think this can be seen as profit taking for the upward trend that started in 2023.
-
Due to this decline, the BW(100) indicator is showing signs of being created at the 101109.59 point and the HA-High indicator at the 97821.58 point.
Accordingly, we can see that the high point section has risen.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator is generated at the 97821.58 point, the key is whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
In any case, what we need to look at importantly is whether it can be supported and rise around the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be maintained until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
To do so, I think funds should flow out of altcoins and the price of BTC should be defended.
I think it is currently showing that pattern, but I will have to wait and see a little longer.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire section of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported around 3438.16-3644.71
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
If you look at BTC Idea, I think you can understand the current movement.
-
The important support and resistance range for ETH is 3265.0-3321.30.
If the price maintains above this range, ETH is expected to continue its upward trend.
To do that, we first need to check whether it is supported around the 3438.16-3644.71 range.
The reason is that if it is supported and rises near this section, it is highly likely to lead to an increase to renew the ATH.
-
Similar to the movement of BTC, the high section is showing an upward trend.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is created at the 3831.12 point, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above that area.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart near the important support and resistance area.
At this time, if the HA-Low indicator is created, I think it will reset the uptrend so far and determine the trend again.
-
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that the low section has been formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and shows support near that area, I think it is highly likely that a new upward wave will be created.
However, if it falls below the HA-Low indicator and shows resistance, it is likely to show a step-down trend because it is falling below the low point, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
For now, you should check whether the price can be maintained and rise near the M-Signal and MS-Signal indicators on the 1D chart.
The next volatility period for ETH is around December 16, so the point of observation is what kind of movement it shows at that time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
The point of interest is whether BTC.D can fall below 55.01
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTC.D 1D chart)
If it falls below 55.01 this time and fails to maintain, it is possible that it will touch the MS-Signal indicator.
Since the BTC dominance is rising, it means that funds are concentrated toward BTC, so altcoins are likely to move sideways or show a downward trend.
-
(USDT.D 1D chart)
As USDT dominance falls below 4.97, it can be seen that the coin market has started an upward trend.
Therefore, in this upward trend, USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 2.84.
We can see that support and resistance points are concentrated in the 3.92-4.31 range of USDT dominance.
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it can meet resistance in this range and continue the downward trend.
If USDT dominance touches around 2.84 and rises or rises above 4.97, the coin market is expected to show a sharp decline.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to be in a downward trend.
If it touches around 2.84 and rises, I think the coin market is likely to show a movement to form a high range.
Therefore, it is expected to form a high point while shaking up and down and start a downtrend.
--------------------------------------------------------------
1W chart will be updated after a new candle is created.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise near the important support and resistance area of 95904.28-98892.0.
If it falls below the important support and resistance area, it is likely to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
If the price maintains near the 95904.28-98892.0 area during the period for the StochRSI indicator to reset, it is expected to start an uptrend to rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 2.24 (116940.43).
Accordingly, the point of interest is whether the price can be maintained around the 95904.28-98892.0 range until the next volatility period, around December 27th.
-
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 56204.13 point.
If the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is generated when the decline proceeds below the 95904.28-98892.0 range this time, I think the key point will be whether there is support around that area.
-
Whether ETH can renew the ATH when moving sideways until the next volatility period of BTC is also a point of interest.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Viewing Point: 2.2181-2.5102 Support -> 3.618 (3.2983) Up
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(XRPUSDT 1D chart)
I think that coins (tokens) that are renewing their ATH are in a virtually unpredictable range.
However, it is only possible to roughly predict support and resistance points based on the movements of indicators generated by price movements or Fibonacci ratios.
-
The Fibonacci ratio currently displayed on the chart is drawn using Trend-Based Fib Extension.
The selected point is marked with X.
The final point of the Fibonacci ratio drawn this way is 3.618 (3.2983).
After that, you need to draw it again using a different wave.
-
However, when the price falls while making waves, you need to think about a response plan by checking whether there is support from the movement of indicators such as BW(100), HA-High, BW(0), HA-Low, M-Signal (1M, 1W, 1D charts).
HA-High, BW(100) indicators indicate high point ranges, so if the price is maintained above the 2.218-2.5102 range, it means that it is in the high point range.
Therefore, if the price is maintained in this high point range, it is highly likely to lead to an additional rise.
If it fails to do so and falls, it is highly likely that a downtrend will eventually begin.
-
Even though the price has risen, the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold range.
Therefore, when the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, if it is supported near the high point range (2.218-2.5102), it is expected to rise near the Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (3.2983).
At this time, the BW indicator should be maintained above the 50 point.
-
When the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart rises to around 2.2181, if XRP falls, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, so you should think about a response plan for this.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------