Hang Seng: Symmetrical patterns show an extended uptrend to at lThe index has broken above the multi month descending channel that started on April's peak with a clear cross over the Lower High trend line (dashed line) on very healthy bullish 1D price action (RSI = 66.138, MACD = 47.598, Highs/Lows = 433.2348).
Since both 1W and 1M turned neutral (RSI = 54.126 and 51.251 respectively) we are looking at previous candle patterns for clues. So far we have spotted striking similarities with the October 2018 - January 2019 price action. Similar lows, High and rejection around 27,300 and then a continuous bullish sequence.
Based on that symmetry we have set the following targets: 29,000, 29,500 and 30,200, which should be used in accordance to each trader's risk approach. A Golden Cross on 1D (as it happened in March) will further validate this outlook.
In September we've made a similar analysis with targets based on Fibonacci retracements and is already near the first target:
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Hangseng
Hong Kong Stock Index (Is it about to Go UP?)View On Hong Kong Stock Index (27 Oct 2019)
HSI was trying to form a HIGHER HIGH, HIGHER LOW formation (HH-HL) and it is about to do a break.
We will need a strong break out with strong vol to validify the move and it is likely yo happen.
If it advances, it shall reach 27,000 and 27,100 regions pretty fast.
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Whatever method you use if you do not follow the proper rule of risk management, it will have detrimental effects on your account.
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HSI, are we going to 31600 ?Here is all patterns i can see with current HSI structure.
At 31600, there is a bearish gartley (78%).
At this exact same level, there is a 5-0 pattern (161% extension) which would lead to a ~50% drop in a form of AB=CD .
I tend to think, when fibs are nicely aligned (confluence) the probability is high to touch the level.
HSI could rally up to 31600, falls down 27400 and bounces back to 31600 again and higher...
Hang Seng: Symmetrical Golden/ Death Cross. Long term Buy SignalHang Seng has been devastated by the recent negative geopolitical climate, reaching in August the 24,900 1W Support. The rebound that followed on 1D was rejected near the Lower High trend line (dashed) and 1D MA200 (orange line) thus keeping 1W bearish (RSI = 43.695, MACD = -309.550, Highs/Lows = -317.3100).
We have had a Death Cross formation on that bottom and interestingly enough it is symmetrical with the Golden Cross in March. Since we already tested the 1W Support there are more probabilities now to resume the uptrend and reach at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (currently at 28,200) like Hang Seng did on its 2019 top. Anything above that will be bullish towards at least 30,200 (2019 High).
If however by any chance the index dip again to the 1W Support (the 2018 bottom was at 24,500) then that would be an even stronger long term buy signal towards the 33,500 ATH.
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Hang Seng to continue Lower?Not the textbook example of a head and shoulders pattern on the Hang Seng, but nonetheless showing us a transition from higher lows (uptrend) to now lower highs (downtrend).
I wouldn't really want to trade equities given world equity markets are remaining poised for the Federal Reserve rate decision...but I do like the break, and if we can confirm the retest here with a close below 27980 it would have my attention.
The 27400 zone is a potential first profit target.
China has come out saying they will not accept the protests in Hong Kong. They want things to cool down. If you follow my work, I have said China wants more control over Hong Kong (mostly getting rid of British Law) because it is a way for people to get money out of the country (also through Bitcoin as well), but also a way for Mainland China to get away from US Tariffs. Hong Kong is not targeted by Tariffs so Mainland can export from Hong Kong.
HSI Approaching Support, Prepare For A BounceHSI is bouncing off its 1st support(100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance).
ichimoku cloud is also showing support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
LONG HSI is approaching its support at 27240.6
HSI is approaching its support at 27240.6 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 30197.0(61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
HSI is approaching its support at 27240.6 (100% Fibonacci extensHSI is approaching its support at 27240.6 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 30197.0(61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
HSI Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce
HSI is approaching its support at 27240.6 (100% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 30197.0(61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
HSI Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce
Buy above. Stop loss at. Take profit at.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
HSI is approaching its support at 27240.6 (100% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 30197.0(61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Hang Seng bearishEnded last week with a daily that bearishly engulfed the prior 3 days and it's rally back towards its all time high stopped right around the .618. I'd have to call that a dead cat. Also a hanging man at the top where the rally ended along with an island. Currently losing this fib level as we speak. looks bad.
Hang Seng index Approaching Support, Prepare For A Bounce
HSI is approaching its support at 28788.6 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 29422.9 (50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support where a corresponding bounce could occur.
HSI (Hang Seng) - Market Crash Cycles | Indices | Macro Trends*Please support this idea with a LIKE if it helps you. Thanks!
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HSI has been labeled within a Sub-Millennium degree wave 4 (blue), which has been unfolding ever since the 2007-2008 Recession.
Structure - Expanding Flat Formation
Oct 2007 peaks and down until Oct 2008 bottoms - Grand Super-Cycle wave a (red)
Oct 2008 bottoms and up until Nov 2010 tops - Super-Cycle wave (a) (purple)
Nov 2010 tops and down until Feb 2016 lows - Super-Cycle wave (b) (purple)
Feb 2016 lows and up until present times - Super-Cycle wave (c) (black)
Super-Cycle wave (c) (black)
Pattern - Ending Diagonal
Sequence - 5-Wave Sequence, with Cycle Waves I II III IV V (black) decomposed as Primary A-B-C (blue)
Current PositionCycle Wave III (black)
Next expected swing
Bearish sequence in Primary B (blue)
Market Crash Forecast
Support granted at or around the 28000.00 mark and then a bull run towards the 33000.00 levels, where the Grand Super-Cycle Wave b (red) is expected to complete.
Grand Super-Cycle Wave c (red) would reflect the next Larger Degree Recession.
Structure change
Breach of the lower trend-line of the Ending Diagonal could reflect the fact that the Market Crash already started.
Hang Seng index Approaching Resistance, Prepare For A ReversalHang Seng index is approaching its resistance at 29416.2 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance) where it is expected to reverse down to its support at 28788.6 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Ichimoku cloud also shows a corresponding reversal is expected.