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Hangsengforecast

Hong Kong50 Hang Seng Short Bears Remain in Controlbearish start to the week, with hawkish central banks and growth fears continue weighing on investor sentiment ahead of a busy week. The theme remained the same, with investor jitters over the economic outlook weighing on investor sentiment. There were no economic indicators from the region to change the mood. Market Overview It was a bearish morning session for the Asian markets. The ASX 200 led the way down, with the Hang Seng and the Nikkei also struggling. The Asian equity markets tracked the US equity markets into the red, with fears of central banks sending the global economy into a recession weighing. Hawkish Fed Chair Powell testimony continued to resonate this morning. Last week’s Bank of England 50-basis point interest rate hike was a reminder of central bank commitments to tame inflation. Despite softer US private sector PMI numbers on Friday, the markets are still betting on a Fed 25-basis point interest rate hike in July. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25-basis point July Fed rate hike stood at 71.9% versus 74.4% one week ago. Significantly, the chances of the Fed lifting rates to 5.75% in September stood at 11.5%, up from 8.9% one week earlier. Bank stocks also had a mixed morning. HSBC Holdings PLC and The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (HK:1398) saw losses of 0.33% and 0.24%, respectively, while China Construction Bank (HK: 0939) rose by 0.40%. Strategy Bearish Short RSI confirming permanent trend continuation Bulltraps can be used to sell more and stronger Trendlines shold be used in 2 ways: bearish breakout of the trendlines should be sed to new bearish enries or position sizing only. Bullish breakouts should be used as profit taking or trading the 2nd wave only. Bullish breakouts are often traps.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Short
by DaveBrascoFX
Hang Seng: Thumbed 👍Exemplarily, Hang Seng has thumbed our target zone and turned upwards from there. Thus, we classify wave 2 in turquoise as complete. Now, wave 3 in turquoise should carry Hang Seng above the resistance at 21 056 points. The counter movement of wave 4 in turquoise should then push the index back toward this mark before the ascent can be resumed once again. However, there is a 39% chance that Hang Seng could interrupt the current upwards movement, shifting southwards to develop the new low of wave alt.2 in turquoise, which should then be established before the support at 17 948 points.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
Hang Seng: Wait for It… ☝️Hang Seng is still busy in the magenta-colored zone between 20 867 and 18 707 points. On the one hand, the index has slowed the descent and could very well have completed wave (4) in magenta by now, readying itself to take off. After all, the requirements for the current movement’s conclusion have already been met by touching at the magenta-colored zone. On the other hand, Hang Seng still has got some room to expand wave (4) a bit deeper and could indeed make use of the whole magenta-colored zone. As soon as this low is established, though, the index should turn upwards and climb above the resistance at 22 798 points. However, there is a 36% chance that Hang Seng could develop wave alt.A and alt.B in turquoise first, the latter leading it out of the magenta-colored zone. In that case, wave alt.C should push the index back down into this area, where it should finish wave alt.(4) in magenta as well before moving northwards again.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
1
Hang Seng Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction HappeningHello Traders, In this Elliott Wave Analysis, we will have a look at the Hang Seng Index. Short-term view suggests that the rally to 31521.13 high on 6/07/2018 peak ended blue wave (2). Down from there, the decline to 27990.45 low is proposed to have completed blue wave (3). The internals of blue wave (3) unfolded as Elliott Wave Impulse structure with extension. This suggests the sub-division of each wave lower (i.e. red wave 1, 3, and 5) unfolded as 5 waves structure. Below from 31521.13 high, Red wave 1 of blue wave (3) ended in 5 waves at 30874.1 and red wave 2 of (3) ended at 31242.86 high. Then down from there, red wave 3 of (3) took place in extended 5 waves & ended at 28169.1. Up from there, red wave 4 of (3) ended at 28962.29 high, and red wave 5 of (3) ended at 27990.45 low. Above from there, the index is correcting cycle from 6/07 peak in blue wave (4) bounce. The internals of that bounce is expected to unfold as an expanded flat. As far as a pivot from 6/07 peak (31537) peak stays intact, the index is expected to fail 1 more time within blue wave (5) towards 27588-26540 target area next. Afterward, the index is expected to find buyers there for larger 3 wave reaction higher at least. We don’t like selling the Index
TVC:HSIShort
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Our Forecast of Hang Seng Index in the following weekHang Seng Index has been in a near-term uptrend since the beginning of December 2017. The question is whether HSI will close at 30000 by the end of next week. Please take note that the market will be closed for 25 & 26 December 2017 in observance of the Christmas Holiday. HSI made a recent high of 30,200 on 22 November 2017 and since then it went all the way down to 28135 on 7 December 2017. Investors like you may be wondering the price movement of HSI in the following week. From a technical outlook, the index has a near-term upward directional bias since 7 December 2017. Based on our forecast, if the bullish momentum continues, we could potentially see the index test the 29760 as the first level of resistance. If this level is clear, it is possible for HSI to retest the 30000 psychological level, followed by 30200 which is the high on 22 December 2017. On the other hand, if this move is not sustainable and the index were to make a U-turn to the downside, we could potentially see the index test 29140 as our first target level, and if this level cannot provide the necessary support, the index could potentially be retraced to 28950. Good trading NinjaSingapore 23 December 2017 DISCLAIMER Our research materials are provided for information purposes only. They should not be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. The research materials are prepared for general circulation and general information only. They do not take into account the specific investment objectives, investment knowledge and experience and financial situation of any recipient. Investors seeking to buy or sell any securities discussed or recommended in our research materials, should seek independent financial advice relating thereto and make his/her own appraisal of the tax or other financial merits of the investment. Any opinions expressed are subject to change without prior notice. Our research materials are based on information from various sources believed to be reliable. Although all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that such information is not misleading, we make no guarantee, representation or warranty, expressed or implied as to its accuracy, adequacy or completeness. We do not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or incidental, special or consequential loss of any kind arising out of the use or reliance on the information in our research materials.
TVC:HSI
by NinjaSingapore