xauusd#XAUUSD
According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went up very fast by BREAKING the TREND LINE, due to which US10Y went down.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Among them, CPI DATA and FOMC MEETING are scheduled to be held today for USD. Be sure to keep an eye on it. So we have to wait a bit until we get them.
Anyway, with US10Y DOWN, GOLD is going up a bit now. Anyway, we expect GOLD to go down to 1605 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD can definitely go up to 1707 LEVEL. Be careful..
Harmonicforex
AUDCAD DAILY SHORT - BUTTERFLY PATTERNOANDA:AUDCAD
30 September 2022
TRADE PLAN
INSTRUMENT: AUDCAD
TIMEFRAME: DAILY
DESCRIPTION
It appears that AUDCAD develops a Butterfly pattern on a Daily Chart. Apparently, it appears that leg CD of Butterfly pattern back to 0.85300 region is active.
ENTRIES, STOP LOSS AND PROFIT LEVELS ARE INDICATED IN THE CHART.
Disclaimer
Charts are educational, not investment recommendations
GBPUSD LongTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.111
TP: 1.132
SL: 1.108
Bias: Long
We are bullish for this instrument as price is oscillating between two extremes, there is a possibility of moving upward.
GBPUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.10860
TP: 1.07896
SL: 1.12855
Bias: Short
The possibility of phenomenal price swings is meagre. We do not see any significant bias in either direction but we want to exploit some sweet spots from the low volatile market conditions. Considering trend, momentum and various fundamental factors, we have decided to project the depicted projections.
Long Term NasDaQ Trading IdeaDon't have much to say here. It's just an old-school way of trading, the market has created a "W" pattern or you can say Double Buttom inside a range and the prince is sitting on a demand zone where they are too much liquidity and where buyers will re-enter and where the institutions left their buy stops, you can also confirm it with a Fibonacci retracement if you wish. Lost? Try going back to your notes
Bat Harmonic Pattern - Made Easy For Everyone !The BAT pattern gets its name from the bat-shaped end product. Identified by Scott Carney in 2001, the BAT pattern is made up of precise elements that identify PRZs.
The bat harmonic pattern follows different Fibonacci ratios. One of the major ways to differentiate it from a Cypher pattern is the B point which, if it doesn’t go above the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg then it is a bat, otherwise it can turn into a cypher structure.
The market strategy of the pattern is suitable for all time frames and all markets types. Traders have to keep in mind that on lower time frames using the bat pattern market strategy has some challenges because the pattern tends to appear on less frequent on lower time frames.
How to Draw a Bat Pattern :
As mentioned earlier, the bat harmonic pattern looks very similar to the Gartley pattern . It has four different legs marked as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D.
X-A: In its bullish version, the first leg appears when the price sharply increases from point X to point A. This is the longest leg of the pattern.
A-B: The A-B leg then sees the price switching direction and retracing 38.2 to 50 percent using the Fibonacci retracement of the distance covered by the X-A leg. Have it in mind that the A-B leg can never retrace beyond point X. But if it does, the pattern is considered invalid. As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point under 50% but with the body above, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
B-C: Here, the price changes direction for a second time and moves back up, retracing anything from 38.2 to 88.6 percent of the distance covered by the A-B leg. If it retraces up above the high of point A, the pattern is considered invalid.As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point above 88.6% but with the body is below, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
C-D: This is the last and most significant aspect of the pattern. As with the Gartley pattern , this is where the bat harmonic pattern ends and traders place their long (buy) trade at point D. ( PRZ Potential Reversal Zone )
The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A leg is our Entry Point. D POINT or PRZ
Before trying and trading the pattern, confirm from this checklist that the pattern is real. It should include these vital elements:
A-B : 38.2 to 50% max percent using the Fibonacci retracement
B-C : An 38.2 to 88.6% max percent Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg
C-D : The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A
Market strategy:
Step 1: Drawing the pattern
Begin by clicking on the XABCD pattern indicator that is found on the right-hand side toolbar of Tradingview
Identify the beginning point X, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart.
You should get 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join and form the harmonic bat pattern strategy as explained Above
Step 2: Trading the pattern
The 88.6 percent Fibonacci ratio provides traders a more reliable risk/reward ratio which is why the market strategy of the bat pattern is such a very popular as a market strategy. The best entry point is the 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement which is a very accurate market turning point.
It is recommended that traders should enter as soon as they touch the 88.6 percent figure. Oftentimes the harmonic bat pattern strategy doesn’t go much above this level.
Step 3: Placing a stop-loss
Usually, traders should place their protective stop-loss lower than the point X of a harmonic bat pattern . That is the only logical location to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the pattern.We use as manual the 113% Fibo of X-A as a picture below.
Step 4: Take-profits
There can be several ways to manage your trades, but the best target for this pattern should be to use a multiple-take profit formula. For this pattern strategy, take the first partial profit once you hit wave-B level and the remaining half wave-C.
Once the price reaches the first target you should move the Stop Loss at BE ( breakeven - entry point ) or close the position in profit.
By doing this you will accomplish two things:
first, you’ll ensure that you accumulate profits and secondly, if the markets reverse, you ensure you’re stopped at BE and don’t lose any money.
There are many ways to calculate the Take profits Target, this is one of the most used and we suggest starting in this way.
Identical rules to draw and set parameters like stop loss and take profits are for the Bearish version. Nothing changed.
Please note this is an introduction to the BAT pattern , for beginners. I tried to make it more easy and simple as I can.
GBPUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.12664
TP: 1.09349
SL: 1.15489
Bias: Short
The price movement structure of this instrument is not very strong for any sort of directional bias. The dynamics that move the market lack significantly in current price context. From our projection we have decided to use the current set up to cope with the current trend.
GBPUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.13057
TP: 1.09444
SL: 1.15918
Bias: Short
Current price pattern is in a tight range and the expectancy of the directional moves is mediocre. As we see the oscillations of price from support to resistance and resistance to support is dynamically drawn towards tighter ranges which may signify lack of interest from the prospective investors interests. However, we can project our trade plan as we have depicted in the pictures.
USDCHF ASCENDING TRIANGLE SETUPPair: USDCHF
Timeframe: 4H, 1H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, consolidation period, ascending triangle pattern
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Key Takeaway: Price has tested this level of resistance more than once now and we are seeing possibilities of price coming back through bearish. We have spotted a very strong trend line on the 4H chart that will act as support if this where the case as we could just see price bounce from where it is bullish
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Level needed: need a close by —
—————
Trade: Long
RISK:REWARD —
—————
DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
GBPUSD LongTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.13709
TP: 1.17535
SL: 1.11053
Bias: Long
The study of dynamic support and resistance displays a narrow range and the price is oscillating between two extremes but the volatility factor is low. That is why we cannot expect a high potential trade from the current price context. Considering the price pattern we can expect some price move from support to resistance and resistance to support.
USDCAD RESISTANCE BREAKS Pair: USDCAD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, consolidation period, triple touch
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Key Takeaway: Loads of strength for USD at the moment and we have seen that this pair has been consolidating for some time. We have seen weakness of CAD also last week so we are looking for long entries of this pair. We want to see a break of this strong level of resistance and a re-test to make sure we are not faking out before entering long
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Level needed: need a close by 1.38360 (after restest)
—————
Trade: LONG
RISK:REWARD 1:4
—————
DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
Bat Harmonic Pattern - Made Easy For EveryoneThe BAT pattern gets its name from the bat-shaped end product. Identified by Scott Carney in 2001, the BAT pattern is made up of precise elements that identify PRZs.
The bat harmonic pattern follows different Fibonacci ratios. One of the major ways to differentiate it from a Cypher pattern is the B point which, if it doesn’t go above the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the XA leg then it is a bat, otherwise it can turn into a cypher structure.
The market strategy of the pattern is suitable for all time frames and all markets types. Traders have to keep in mind that on lower time frames using the bat pattern market strategy has some challenges because the pattern tends to appear on less frequent on lower time frames.
How to Draw a Bat Pattern :
As mentioned earlier, the bat harmonic pattern looks very similar to the Gartley pattern. It has four different legs marked as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D.
X-A: In its bullish version, the first leg appears when the price sharply increases from point X to point A. This is the longest leg of the pattern.
A-B: The A-B leg then sees the price switching direction and retracing 38.2 to 50 percent using the Fibonacci retracement of the distance covered by the X-A leg. Have it in mind that the A-B leg can never retrace beyond point X. But if it does, the pattern is considered invalid. As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point under 50% but with the body above, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
B-C: Here, the price changes direction for a second time and moves back up, retracing anything from 38.2 to 88.6 percent of the distance covered by the A-B leg. If it retraces up above the high of point A, the pattern is considered invalid.As you can see, if the price with a spike reaches a point above 88.6% but with the body is below, this will be Valid. The candle Body's important.
C-D: This is the last and most significant aspect of the pattern. As with the Gartley pattern, this is where the bat harmonic pattern ends and traders place their long (buy) trade at point D. ( PRZ Potential Reversal Zone )
The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A leg is our Entry Point. D POINT or PRZ
Before trying and trading the pattern, confirm from this checklist that the pattern is real. It should include these vital elements:
A-B : 38.2 to 50% max percent using the Fibonacci retracement
B-C : An 38.2 to 88.6% max percent Fibonacci retracement of the X-A leg
C-D : The 88.6% percent retracement of the X-A
Market strategy:
Step 1: Drawing the pattern
Begin by clicking on the XABCD pattern indicator that is found on the right-hand side toolbar of Tradingview
Identify the beginning point X, which can be any swing high or low point on the chart.
You should get 4 points or 4 swings high/low points that join and form the harmonic bat pattern strategy as explained Above
Step 2: Trading the pattern
The 88.6 percent Fibonacci ratio provides traders a more reliable risk/reward ratio which is why the market strategy of the bat pattern is such a very popular as a market strategy. The best entry point is the 88.6 percent Fibonacci retracement which is a very accurate market turning point.
It is recommended that traders should enter as soon as they touch the 88.6 percent figure. Oftentimes the harmonic bat pattern strategy doesn’t go much above this level.
Step 3: Placing a stop-loss
Usually, traders should place their protective stop-loss lower than the point X of a harmonic bat pattern. That is the only logical location to hide the stop-loss because any break below will automatically invalidate the pattern.We use as manual the 113% Fibo of X-A as a picture below.
Step 4: Take-profits
There can be several ways to manage your trades, but the best target for this pattern should be to use a multiple-take profit formula. For this pattern strategy, take the first partial profit once you hit wave-B level and the remaining half wave-C.
Once the price reaches the first target you should move the Stop Loss at BE ( breakeven - entry point ) or close the position in profit.
By doing this you will accomplish two things:
first, you’ll ensure that you accumulate profits and secondly, if the markets reverse, you ensure you’re stopped at BE and don’t lose any money.
There are many ways to calculate the Take profits Target, this is one of the most used and we suggest starting in this way.
Identical rules to draw and set parameters like stop loss and take profits are for the Bearish version. Nothing changed.
Please note this is an introduction to the BAT pattern, for beginners. I tried to make it more easy and simple as I can.
NZDUSD PENNANT BREAKPair: NZDUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance, support break, retest, pennant pattern break
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Key Takeaway: We have seen price break the pennant pattern to the downside and a bounce off of resistance trend line, we have entered short and are aiming for the next major swing low
—————
Level needed: need a close by 0.56670
—————
Trade: SHORT
RISK:REWARD 1:6
—————
DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
AUDUSD CONTINUATION TREND CHANNEL TRADE Pair: AUDUSD
Timeframe: 4H
Analysis: Round number level, trend line, volume profile, support and resistance,trend channel, consolidation period
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Key Takeaway: Price has been ranging in consolidation for some time in this downward trend channel and it about time we see some bearish movement. We are waiting for a bounce off high volume level, top of trend channel and resistance before we enter short as there is still a bit of bullish steam that we need to wait to finish
—————
Level needed: need a close by 0.64780
—————
Trade: short
RISK:REWARD 1:6
—————
DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
GBPUSD ShortTime Frame: 4H
Symbol: GBPUSD
Entry: 1.05663
TP: 1.02108
SL: 1.08631
Bias: Short
Today we do not see any promise of significant price movement. The current price context reveals some mediocre buying and selling opportunities across various instruments. Our goal is to go for our plotted projections while trading respective currency pairs. The most important thing is money management . If we can properly handle the position ,any bias can be turned into positive outcome. Our projection is guided by short and long term technical and fundamental analysis.