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Harmonicmoves

EURUSD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKIt is over 150pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); The “risk-off” situation going on globally appears to favor the US dollar as the Euro rejected the Demand zone and fell during the trading session on Friday to close below $1.17500 (making this level a Supply zone as Selling pressure increases from this area). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. The Breakdown of the $1.17500 level mid last month followed by a rejection of this level last week insinuates a risk of further decline in the coming week(s). ii. As the selling pressure continues to accumulate around $1.17500 - chances of a Breakdown of $1.1700 (Key Level) become greater. iii. It is worthy to note that the rejection of $1.17500 is exactly at a 61.8% retracement of AB Leg with a better chance of forming the AB = CD pattern as stated below; iv. ABCD parameters; a. Impulse A-to-B will be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 180 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
NZDCAD | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE NEW WEEKWith over 350pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes); we are at a zone where the rejection of the Weekly resistance(Trendline) is happening with a tendency of decline in the coming week(s) feasible. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand Observation: i. As price continues to respect the Bearish Trendline since it hit peak @ $2,075.50 (August 2020) forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows, my Bearish bias becomes emphatic. ii. Rejection of the Supply zone coincides with 61.8 retracements of Impulse leg XA with the possibility of a 1.272/1.414 Extension as a Profit target. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 10 to 20 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Short
by darcsherry
EURUSD | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKRisks continue to shift in favour of an overdue correction lower on this pair as the need to take a very critical approach to find accurate trading opportunity in the following week(s) becomes very necessary. The appearance of a harmonic pattern at this juncture suggest that we might be experiencing a Bullish run to test 1.19000 with my sincere intention of observing how the price will react at this level in anticipation of either a further decline or Breakout and retest for a rally. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) and Downtrend ( Bearish ) possibility Structure: Trendline | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. Bullish Trendline continues to pave way for price action as indecision grips the market in consolidation structure since the beginning of the month (August 2020) ii. Breakdown and Retest of 1.19000 zone suggest an affirmative shift in direction. iii. Price making a Harmonic move to test Demand zone (1.17500) could be a clue for a "quick" buying opportunity in anticipation of a decline in the nearest future. iv. ABCD parameters; a. Impulse A-to-B in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. v. My perspective to this supports a Buy and Sell (depending on how price reacts if it gets to 1.19000 as I hope to see how European PMI will incite the market) opportunity on this one. Trading plan: BUY/SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips (total). Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 1 to 5 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
USDJPY | MY PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKWith 30pips against our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair, the price has found its way to complete a 127.2 extension to incite a reversal structure. It is worthy to note that the Japanese and US statistics headed in opposite directions this week to make the USD/JPY the only major pair to witness the Greenback appreciate last week. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD) | Supply & Demand Observation: i. The Bullish run since the beginning of the month appears to be stalling at my Supply zone as those who took advantage of the run are doing quick sells. ii. Confirmation of a Harmonic move (AB = CD) might be a result of a rejection of my Key Level @ 106.500 for a decline. iii. ABCD expectations; a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDJPY | PERSPECTIVE FOR THE WEEKAfter waiting all week, the US payrolls delivered numbers good enough to rally the Greenback back to its recent high but not strong enough to cushion the negative COVID inspired dent on the US economy. After moving over 200pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), price did a correction to form what looks like a Double Top at my Supply zone in anticipation of what looks like a decline in the following week(s). Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish) Structure: Supply & Demand | Retracements Observation: i. Retracement of Impulse Leg culminates at Supply zone with a structure similar to a Double Top after a Bullish run on Friday. ii. The expectation of a Harmonic move (AB = CD pattern) will be high after completion of retracement is confirmed. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:5 Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Editors' picks
Short
by darcsherry
10
GBPCHF | WEEKLY FORECASTThe Pound to Swiss Franc (GBP/CHF) exchange rate rose by 0.02% in the wake of Friday to drop in value in the latter part of the day; with the pairing currently fluctuating around 1.195. I am expecting a temporary downtrend in the form of correction at this juncture in the following week(s). Tendency : Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure : Harmonic (3 Drive) Observation : i. Anticipation for a reversal appears to be high as price goes through a series of three consecutive Higher Highs indicated on the chart as Drive 1, 2 and 3 to hit my Supply zone. ii. Corrective wave is at 61.8 retracements for each leg. iii. Drive 1, 2 and 3 falls at 1.272 extensions of the corrective waves. iv. A sharp rejection of Supply zone @ 1.20000 could be a signal inciting the Bears presence. Trading plan : SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration : 1 to 4days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EUR/ USD Here on the Euro we have a 222 pattern that fits due to the 3% tolerance outlined in the Harmonic Trading Volume 3 book Scott Carney published in 2016 (I THINK). The white line is the HOP Level for the Pattern! We have a classic Bullish Flag Pattern that has formed on the Daily chart and there is about 300 pips from PA now to the HOP Level. If PA closes above the trend line i will be entering the trade to take the trade to the HOP Level. **Reasoning Later** The HOP Level is the make or break for any pattern and i do expect this pattern to give us atleast a T1 setup. Reasoning for the entry... The Euro has been a strong buy for the past couple of weeks with the Commercials selling decent amount of shares and the Non-Commercials buying the shaes up driving the Euro Higher. I do see the euro driving this pair higher as more and more traders are shorting the pair thinking we have hit the ceiling and yet the paradox continues because we think it cant go higher and it does. and the COT suggests it is. And in combination with that the DXY is finally bearish on the COT and the dollar is about to fall some more with the Commercials and Non-Commercials finally switching sides. The Commercials are buying shares off the non-Commercials and the Non-Commercials are selling which is causing the dollar to sink. which will cause this pair to easily go higher. I suspect this pair to make it to the HOP level by the end of the week and reverse to a Type One set up off the HOP making the move the correction in the trend and continue higher. it is very possible for this pair to exceed the HOP and just keep moving higher. only time will tell!
Editors' picks
Long
by ARegularGuy
1
USDCNH | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVEWith over 800pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes), it appears that the Chinese Yuan is not reversing any time soon as USD/CNH risks a potential decline to the 6.9500/6.9300 area in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD) Observation: i. The fall of the USD since the beginning of this month (July 2020) appears to continue as we anticipate a Breakdown of my Key level 6.98000 leading to a Harmonic pattern. ii. ABCD pattern expectations: a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 450 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:2.5 Potential Duration: 1 to 4 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
USDJPY | WEEKLY PERSPECTIVEIt was all Bears for the US Dollar especially during the latter part of last week as it continues to lose value against multiple currencies and the Yen was not left out in the gains! Breakdown of my Key level @ 107.300 last week evolved into a structure similar to AB = CD pattern with an expectation of correcting into 107.300 in anticipation of a down rally in the following week(s) seems feasible. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakout | Harmonic (AB = CD)| Support & Resistance Observation: i. The fall of the USD since the beginning of last month (June 2020) appears to continue as it Breaks down my Key level once again. ii. ABCD pattern a. Impulse A-to-B in harmony with the potential B-to-C leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg falls at 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. iii. Expecting a possible correction into my Key level zone before downtrend continuation in the following week(s). Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 250 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 8 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. NirvanaForex Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry