BTC - Double Top after Liquidity Sweep?Price has recently executed a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep just above the previous high. This type of move often signals a potential shift in market direction, especially when followed by signs of exhaustion or failure to push higher. In this case, price has formed a double top near the 106,600 level, a classic sign of weakening bullish momentum and hesitation at a key resistance area.
Following the Sweep, the projection suggests a possible rejection from this region, leading to a corrective move to rebalance the inefficiencies left behind by the sharp upward impulse. These inefficiencies are marked as Fair Value Gaps —areas where price moved too quickly, leaving imbalanced zones between buyers and sellers. The market tends to return to these areas over time as it seeks equilibrium.
The first Gap lies just below the 0.28 Fibonacci retracement and may serve as an initial area for a reaction. If price slices through this level without meaningful support, attention shifts to the second Gap, which aligns closely with the 0.50 to 0.618 retracement zone. This region is historically significant for pullbacks and could offer a temporary pause or bounce.
Should the move extend further, the third and deepest Gap, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels , becomes a key area of interest. It marks a critical rebalancing zone that could attract stronger buying interest. If this area fails to hold, the 0.786 retracement level sits just below and may act as a final point for support before any broader directional change.
For refined entries, traders can watch lower timeframes like the 5-minute chart. Look for signs of weakness, such as an inverted Gap or a lower-timeframe break in structure, to time positions with tighter risk. This allows participation in the broader move while maintaining tactical precision.
The confluence of a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, a double top , and multiple Gaps below provides a clear framework for a potential downside play. As always, let the price action lead.
Patience, confirmation, and context are key to executing with confidence.
Harmonic Patterns
Ethereum at Key Resistance After Short Squeeze BounceEthereum recently found a local bottom at $2,111, triggering a sharp bounce that resembles a short squeeze. However, the rally has met a significant resistance zone—a former support level now flipped into resistance. This zone is technically loaded with multiple confluences: the point of control, the VWAP, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the $2,550 weak resistance area. Reclaiming this zone is essential for Ethereum to regain bullish momentum.
Structurally, the daily market structure has shifted. The previous trend of consecutive higher highs and higher lows has been broken with the recent drop, signaling a bearish structural shift unless key levels are reclaimed.
If Ethereum fails to break and hold above $2,550, the current move may confirm as a bearish retest, increasing the likelihood of a rotation back to $2,227 in the near term. A loss of $2,227 would open the door for a much deeper correction, targeting the $1,790 support zone—a critical level that acted as a base during previous consolidations.
At this point, Ethereum sits at a pivotal juncture. The reaction at current resistance will determine whether bulls can regain control or if bears will drive the next leg lower.
BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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#EURAUD: Two Swing Bullish Entry Worth Thousands Pips! EURAUD is currently at a critical level, and the price isn’t yet decided for the next move. However, the current price behaviour suggests strong bullish volume presence in the market. There are two areas to buy from. The first is activated, and we think price could just be starting the next bull run from this point. The second entry is a safe point if price does decide to drop further and fill up the daily Fair Value Gap.
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AUDJPY DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully completed a breakout from a bullish pennant structure on the 4H timeframe, signaling the beginning of a strong upward continuation move. After a sustained consolidation below descending resistance, price action has now pierced through the upper trendline with volume and follow-through momentum. The breakout is aligned with the prior bullish leg from mid-June, indicating trend continuation. I’m now targeting 96.500 as the next key price level, with current price holding firm at 94.500.
Fundamentally, the Australian Dollar remains supported by recent hawkish RBA expectations. Traders are now pricing in the possibility of another rate hike following sticky inflation data out of Australia. The latest CPI print showed an annualized rise above 4%, exceeding forecasts, and reinforcing the case for tighter monetary policy. In contrast, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains its dovish tone, with no immediate signs of rate normalization. The ongoing yield divergence continues to fuel bullish flows into AUDJPY.
Today’s market sentiment favors risk-on assets, and AUD typically benefits in such conditions. Global equity strength and higher commodity prices are further backing AUD's upside momentum. Moreover, with carry trade flows increasing as investors seek higher-yielding currencies, AUDJPY is well-positioned to benefit from both fundamental tailwinds and technical breakout confirmation.
This setup is technically clean and fundamentally strong. Pullbacks toward the 94.100–93.900 zone could be retested as new support before the pair extends higher. As long as price holds above the breakout level, I remain bullish with 96.500 as my primary upside target. This pair is offering a high-probability continuation play in alignment with both macro and micro structure.
XAUUSD Sell Setup – 4H Timeframe📍 Entry: 3,328
❌ Stop Loss: 3,351
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,273
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,217
🎯 Take Profit 3: 3,151
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🧠 Trade Analysis:
The market has reacted strongly from a key resistance zone, forming a potential bearish structure on the 4-hour timeframe. Current price action suggests seller strength and a shift in momentum toward the downside.
This setup offers a well-defined short opportunity with a clear stop loss and three take profit levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable for swing traders targeting medium-term moves.
Confirmation of bearish continuation can strengthen this idea. Monitor price behavior and volume closely near entry level.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Use proper risk management and conduct your own research before executing any trade.
Pullback Before Bullish ContinuationGold is currently facing resistance near the mid-Keltner Channel zone. Based on current structure and momentum, we anticipate a two-phase move:
🔻 Phase 1 – Short-Term Pullback:
Price is likely to reject the current resistance and move lower into the demand zone around 3310–3315. This retracement aligns with a healthy correction within a larger structure.
🟢 Phase 2 – Bullish Reversal:
After the pullback, we expect a strong bullish continuation toward the 3370–3373 area. This level represents the next significant resistance and profit target for long positions.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Demand Support: 3310–3315
Bullish Target: 3370–3373
Stop-Loss for Longs: Below 3308
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P500 1D Golden Cross, middle of 3y Channel, much upside to go!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the final sell-off of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The only time this pattern broke was for 4 days during the bottom formation (April 2025) of the recent Trade War.
Ahead of the first 1D Golden Cross since January 26 2023, the market looks more bullish than ever as it is trading within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range of this Channel Up, suggesting that there is considerable upside before it tops.
The last Bullish Leg that started on the Channel Up bottom and peaked before a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test grew by +28.30%. Expecting a repeat of that, we may see the price targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 6550 before the next 1D MA50 pull-back.
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$ETH 4H Falling Wedge Breakout: Ethereum has successfully brokeCRYPTOCAP:ETH 4H Falling Wedge Breakout:
Ethereum has successfully broken out of a clear falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. ✅
🔸 Support at $2,400 – $2,380:
After the breakout, ETH is holding above the wedge and this support area. This zone will be crucial for confirming the breakout's strength.
🔸 Upside Target: $2,800
If momentum continues, ETH could rally toward $2,600 first, followed by a move to the $2,800 level as shown by the projection in the chart.
🔸 Risk Level at $2,300:
If ETH dips below $2,300 and re-enters the wedge, it could invalidate the breakout setup and lead to downside pressure.
🔸 Outlook:
Watch for a retest of the breakout trendline (around $2,420) with bullish confirmation (like a strong wick or engulfing candle) to consider long positions. Target higher levels gradually while managing risk.
The downward trend is strong.The easing of the situation in the Middle East weakens the demand for safe havens
The direct trigger for the decline in gold prices was the news that Israel and Iran announced a ceasefire. This news quickly cooled the market's risk aversion, and the attractiveness of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset weakened. In the past few weeks, the military confrontation between Israel and Iran once pushed up the safe-haven buying of gold, but with the conclusion of the ceasefire agreement, the market quickly turned to risk preference mode, global stock markets rose, and the US dollar fell. This change in market sentiment directly led to the decline in gold prices.
This decline will still intensify, pay attention to your trading orders, I will continue to update this article, I wish you a smooth trading.
SPX500 Short There are multiple patterns on M15 and H1
All timeframes up to H4 are overbought
There are multiple double tops with divergence
This is at the all-time high, suggesting there will be a lot of resistance
Markets look like they are due for a drop after such a sharp move up\
Stop loss above 6130
Wednesday, Trade of the day 📊 Wednesday Trading Update
Tuesday didn’t give us any tangible plays — price action was choppy, unconvincing, and mostly noise. But that’s behind us. Let’s see what Wednesday brings, especially with London and NY sessions ahead.
Midweek is notoriously volatile for BYC, and historically, Wednesday has often been the day that breaks the range or gives us a proper deviation setup — so eyes sharp today 👀.
My trades today will stick to standard range plays, nothing forced. We're still sitting above 4H supply, and unless we get a clean breakout with structure shift, I’ll remain cautious and reactive, not predictive.
Here’s what I’m watching today:
👉 Look for clear market structure shifts on the LTF (lower timeframes)
👉 Divergences can give early signs if you're using oscillators
If I get time, I might record a quick session later. No promises, but I’ll update if that changes.
🎥 If you're unsure what to look for, go back through the video archive — everything you need has already been broken down in detail.
📅 Weekly Schedule:
Wednesday – ❌ No class
Thursday – ❌ No class
Friday – ❌ No class
Let’s stay sharp — volatile Wednesdays tend to reward patience and precision.
CAD/JPYSince my ascending triangle formation has violated its characteristics it is no longer valid. I took this opportunity to revisit this pair and start again. I still believe price is operating from the Double Bottom Formation so I'm still looking for price to go up. Here we have 4 touches on our Trendline & A Expanding Flat Formation (highlighted in blue letters). I have entered a position after the 4hr close but im still looking for a retrace for a better position.
XAUUSD eyes potential bearish batOn the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD stabilized and rebounded in the short term. Currently, we can pay attention to the upper resistance near 3382.5. After it reaches that level, we can pay attention to the potential bearish bat pattern. At the same time, this position is in the previous supply area.
ETHEREUM Massive rally up ahead.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading on its 1M MA50, having recovered half of the Trade War losses. Still underperforming against most of its peers but as we've entered the 2nd half of the year, the traditional Bull Cycle rally is up ahead. We expect at least a 0.5 Fibonacci level test of the Channel Up, targeting 7500.
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