GOLD - FVG-Based Long & Short Setup Within Range ContextPrice action remains range-bound with well-defined FVG zones acting as both support and resistance, offering reactive trading opportunities on both sides.
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1. Upper FVG as Resistance — Short Setup Trigger Zone
The highlighted upper green zone marks:
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): A clear inefficiency from the previous bearish impulse.
- Structural Significance: Price has struggled to break and hold above, showing signs of supply reactivation.
This zone is likely to attract sellers upon revisit, offering a clean risk-defined short opportunity.
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2. Lower FVG as Support — Long Setup Zone
The lower blue zone serves as:
- FVG Rebalance Area: A region where price previously left inefficiency, now acting as strong support.
- Accumulation Interest: Smart money often reloads in such imbalanced areas on retests.
This zone is optimal for positioning into the next bullish leg should price dip lower.
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3. Liquidity Sweep Mechanics — Trap Both Sides
The market structure hints at:
- Step 1: Induce buyers into breakout longs into resistance.
- Step 2: Reverse from FVG, triggering short entries and trapping longs.
- Step 3: Collect liquidity from lower range, potentially initiating new accumulation.
This movement pattern is characteristic of engineered liquidity grabs in both directions.
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4. Mid-Range Reaction — Key Pivot Area
Price currently hovers around the mid-range zone:
- Serving as a temporary balance point before volatility expansion.
- Acting as a launchpad for the next impulsive move, depending on order flow dominance.
Patience here is key — waiting for clean confirmations near FVGs provides optimal entry quality.
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5. Summary:
- Upper FVG Resistance → Short Bias
- Lower FVG Support → Long Bias
- Structured Reactions Around Imbalances Suggest Smart Money Activity
This is a dual-sided setup ideal for reaction-based traders awaiting price confirmation at extremes.
Harmonic Patterns
BabyDoge to Pump from range lows? high time-frame trading rangeBaby Doge is once again trading at a historically significant range low—a level that has previously acted as a base for strong bullish expansions. The current setup mirrors past consolidations that lasted over 270 days, each leading to a rapid move toward the range high.
The confluence of extended consolidation time, strong support holding, and low-volume accumulation suggests another potential build-up phase. This gives credence to a bullish bias if the range low continues to hold firm in the coming weeks.
However, the flip side remains clear: a clean breakdown of this level will invalidate the structure and likely trigger a deeper retrace. Given Baby Doge’s status as a high-risk, low-cap coin, position management and risk-to-reward remain key.
In summary, Baby Doge is sitting at a pivotal zone. If accumulation sustains here, history may repeat with another breakout rally toward the highs.
GBPCHF Technical & Order Flow Analysis Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
EURAUD H2 compression BUY/HOLD +150/300 pips🏆 EURAUD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 7650/7700
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 8050/8150
🔸Status: compression wedge
🔸getting ready for a PUMP
🔸noteworthy compression in April
🔸Price Target Bears: 7650/7700
🔸Price Target BULLS: 8050/8150
📊 Forex & Gold Market Highlights – April 30, 2025
💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1400
- Trading around 1.1390 amid softer U.S. economic data
- Investors await German economic indicators and U.S. PCE report
- April shows a 5.1% gain, the largest monthly increase since November 2022
💷 GBP/USD Hovers Near 1.3400
- Sterling trades at approximately 1.3379 after testing YTD highs
- U.S. JOLTS and Consumer Confidence data missed forecasts, fueling Fed rate cut speculation
🥇 Gold Retreats Below $3,310
- Spot gold at $3,302.58 per ounce, down 0.4%
- Decline follows easing trade tensions and a stronger U.S. dollar
- Investors focus on upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payrolls report
📌 Market Outlook:
- EUR/USD: Potential to test 1.15 if German data supports euro strength
- GBP/USD: Eyes on U.S. economic data for direction; support around 1.3300
- Gold: Volatility expected; watch for U.S. economic indicators influencing Fed policy expectations
EURGBP DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSEURGBP is currently trading around 0.85, having completed a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance-turned-support level. The price action aligns with a classic bullish continuation pattern, suggesting that the pair is poised for another upward move. My target for this bullish wave is 0.88, which corresponds to the next significant resistance zone.
Technical indicators support this outlook. The formation of a falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart has been confirmed, with the breakout leading to a sustained upward trajectory. The retest of the breakout level has held firm, indicating strong buyer interest and the potential for continued bullish momentum.
From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength due to improved economic indicators in the Eurozone, while the British pound faces headwinds amid ongoing fiscal policy uncertainties in the UK. This divergence in economic outlooks is contributing to the euro's relative strength against the pound, further supporting the bullish case for EURGBP.
In summary, the combination of technical patterns and fundamental factors suggests that EURGBP is well-positioned for a move toward 0.88. Traders should monitor key support levels to manage risk and look for confirmation of continued bullish momentum as the pair approaches the target zone.
Is EURUSD getting ready for another 600 pips bull run?🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: mixed/range
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 2000
🔸Status: accumulation in range
🔸previously x2 waves +600 pips
🔸clearly strong uptrend in progress
🔸Price Target Bears: range
🔸Price Target BULLS: 2000
🔸strategy: accumulate in range
🔸TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips
🔸SL 60 pips / below accum range
📈 EUR/USD Bullish Drivers
🏦 ECB staying cautious on rate cuts while Fed signals easing
📉 Weak U.S. job and manufacturing data pressuring the dollar
🌍 U.S. trade policy uncertainty pushing investors toward euro
📊 Technicals show strong support, RSI confirms bullish momentum
🔮 Outlook
⏳ Short-term: Targeting 1.1500 if U.S. data stays soft
📆 Medium-term: 1.20 possible on policy divergence and EU fiscal boost
XAU/USD Trade Plan 30/4/2025XAUUSD Trade Setup:
We are watching the 3260 resistance level closely. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for a buy opportunity, targeting the 3390 level.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of rejection, we will consider a sell setup, with a potential move down toward the next support at 3200.
BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3338
1st Support: 1.3276
1st Resistance: 1.3442
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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SOLANA's massive 1W MA200 rebound hints to enormous rally ahead.Solana (SOLUSD) made a very strong rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the very first week of April. Now that the month is about to close, it has already completed three straight green 1W candles and is aiming for the critical 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test.
If broken, we expect it to turn into a long-term Support again and target the Higher Highs of the Wedge at $350. After all, the 1W MA200 rebound also made contact on the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line of the Bull Cycle, so technically it is a massive Bottom cluster. The 1W RSI also broke above its MA last week, confirmed the buying pressure.
Given that the recent 3-month correction was -67.23%, identical to the last correction (May 2021) of the previous Cycle, we expect one final rally to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $900, if the Higher Highs trend-line breaks.
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Mega FartCoin Analysis - Is it the beginning? $3 when?SO previously if you have seen me analyzing fartcoin, its on this basis that all OB works in place so well, So would decipher it better. Also you can see my old posts to get a conclusion on whats to be done.
Coming to the Market Profile -
we can see that the market has built a solid volume base around the $1.08–$1.11 zone, with multiple POCs (Point of Control) stacking here — indicating strong buyer interest and fair value acceptance. This region is acting as a strong demand zone. The structure is developing a higher-low pattern since April 22nd, suggesting bullish intent, especially as price is trying to hold above the VAL/POC levels of the last two profiles. However, each upward push is still getting capped near the $1.14–$1.16 VAH area, which now becomes a critical breakout zone. If price can close above $1.16 with volume, we can expect expansion towards $1.20+. On the flip side, if price loses $1.08 and starts building value below it, that would shift the bias bearish again with potential retest of $1.03–$1.00.
Now based on this, ive drew a lower TF 1H parabolic steep curve, which is also marked on my channel for better understanding. Now at this very point of time on 4H LTF the same pattern is being formed where invalidation is done (which is a prior to a swing before a UTAD move)
As you see cyan boxes say the pattern to get achieved and for the green is yet to be achieved!! Also have marked a major block, where most settlement of big longs and new buyers would be encouraged!!
#NZDCAD: Two Areas To Sell From! Swing SellThe NZDCAD has hit a critical level, and it might start going down from where we set our selling points. We also have two targets for when we should enter the market.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Alibaba - This Chart Speaks In Money!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) prepares for a significant pump:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Basically since Alibaba was listed on the NYSE, it always perfectly respected market structure. With the recent rejection away from the key neckline, Alibaba is now creating a bullish break and retest. After bullish confirmation, this forms a bottom and we might see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin will return to 100K!!Hello, traders
After a fairly rapid growth (rally) bitcoin did not correct, the price could not reach 0.382 within the local correction, the range is squeezed between resistance and 0.236, which indicates a bullish interest in the current situation
The price has been in consolidation for the last 4-5 days. This is enough to break the resistance at 95600 and give us a good momentum.
Scenario: If bitcoin continues to slowly and gradually approach the 95600 resistance, there is a high probability of triggering a crowd when the resistance is broken, which will push the price to 100K.
CADCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCADCHF is currently trading around 0.59 and is showing a strong bullish wave setup on the 8H chart. Price has bounced cleanly from a key demand zone, with a visible bullish engulfing structure, suggesting buyers are stepping in aggressively. My target for this setup is 0.61, aligning with a previous major resistance level seen on the chart.
Fundamentally, CAD is supported by firm oil prices and hawkish sentiment from the Bank of Canada, while CHF has been under mild pressure due to reduced demand for safe-haven assets amid improving global sentiment. This macro backdrop favors CAD strength in the near term, adding fuel to the bullish technicals.
If the current momentum sustains, we could see a smooth continuation toward 0.61, with a favorable risk-reward ratio. As always, trade management and patience are key, especially as the pair approaches resistance. I remain bullish on CADCHF in the short term, based on both structure and fundamentals.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $90K– GETTEX:92K zone after a sharp 32% correction from its all-time high, closing the week strongly above this critical area.
As long as price holds above $90,000, the primary bias remains bullish. The $90K– GETTEX:92K area now acts as a key support zone, ideal for pullback buying opportunities.
A breakout above $101,000 could trigger a strong acceleration toward the next major targets at $115K–$125K.
A weekly close below the green support zone would invalidate the bullish scenario and suggest caution.
What’s your outlook? Will Bitcoin maintain momentum and break $101K? Share your thoughts below!
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Again Sell at 3305As Market is moving still in Falling wedge from 3330-3270
Key area 3305-3307
What possible scenario we have?
Bearish scanario:
- market Is in falling wedge channel
-if market give closing below 3305 (body of candle)then ready for the next Drop towards 3280 then 3250
Bullish Scenario:
- 3305 multiple rejection support resistance cluster
-if candles remains above 3305-3308 then buy owards 3330 then 3380 target
Overall im on bearish on THIS chart