86K for another short sellMorning folks,
So, not occasionally we said in previous 2-3 updates that BTC action doesn't look bullish and we suggest a new nosedive. Now we have bearish engulfing pattern on weekly chart . And consider these two Fib levels for another short entry attempt. Of course, 86K would be just perfect, but it could start earlier. One of the possible shapes we consider a downside butterfly.
In general, re-test of 70-73K area on average fits to our long-term view.
In a case if 86K will be broken, it could mean that market is tending to 93.5K target, based on daily AB=CD pattern . But we consider this scenario as less probable due on overall BTC heavy performance in a recent few weeks.
Thus, for now, if you want to make a scalp long trade, you could try, but better to set initial target not higher than 86K.
Our major scenario is bearish and we consider 84K and 86K Fib levels for accumulation of a bearish position, unless something extraordinary will happen.
Profit to everybody, Peace.
Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin's Explosive Move Ahead? History Repeating?Looking closely at Bitcoin’s weekly chart, a fascinating pattern emerges that could hint at the cryptocurrency’s next major move.
📌 Historical Pattern Similarity: Bitcoin’s recent price behavior closely mirrors the significant cycle observed in 2021-2022. Both patterns involve a sharp and rapid upward rally, hitting a new all-time high, followed by a dramatic and sharp correction.
📌 Cycle Consistency: These movements align remarkably well with Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, typically driven by halving events every 3-4 years, resulting in explosive price actions followed by deep corrections.
📌 Market Psychology Match: This scenario perfectly illustrates classic market psychology—from euphoria at the peak to panic in the subsequent crash. Given current market sentiment, such a scenario remains plausible.
🔸 However, Exercise Caution:
Historical Repetition Not Guaranteed:
Although history often rhymes, it rarely repeats exactly. Today’s global economic landscape, increased institutional involvement, and regulatory changes could influence outcomes differently this time around.
Liquidity and Market Size:
Bitcoin's larger market cap and deeper liquidity might limit the severity of corrections compared to previous cycles, potentially leading to less dramatic percentage declines.
Beyond Technical Analysis:
While technical patterns are compelling, integrating fundamental analysis and macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical stability) is crucial for a robust forecast.
🎯 Conclusion & Outlook:
Technically speaking, the scenario of an imminent, sharp rally followed by a significant correction is highly plausible. Traders should remain vigilant, combining technical setups with fundamental insights.
👉 Stay Alert, Trade Smart! 📈📉
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop your comments below! 🔥
Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF but..Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF.
However, Breakout on Daily TF from 452 - 453.
Weekly Closing above this level would
be a positive sign.
Upside Targets can be around 495 - 500
& if this level is Sustained, with Good
Volumes , we may witness 540 - 550.
Should not break 400, otherwise, we may see
heavy Selling pressure.
Another Shot At Catching EURGBP Longs. So for some of you that already follow me, you'd have seen that I first made a attempt to catch the longs of EURGBP the first time and it didn't age well (Link Below)
Now because HTF bias is still bullish, I'm repositioning for a re-entry here. Let's hope this goes as analyzed
DAX H4 | Downtrend to extend further?DAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 22,277.36 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,640.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 21,746.73 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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Will the price of gold continue to rise today?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more below 3080-3060, and only above 3135 can further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, small range 3110-3135, large range 3100-3150, short-term can be in the small range of high and low fast in and out. I will give orders online in real time after the data is released.
ETH/USDT- Buy!ETH is still trading inside a descending channel, showing signs of a possible reversal. The price is bouncing off support levels around $1,750-$1,830, with a possible retest of higher resistance levels. The 50-day moving average (red line) is acting as a dynamic resistance above the price.
Bullish scenario: ETH needs to sustain above $1,830 to confirm a short-term correction. If ETH breaks the $2,200-$2,400 resistance zone, a rally toward $2,800-$3,000 could follow.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at the resistance could push ETH back towards $1,830 and possibly $1,750. A loss of $1,750 could trigger a further decline towards $1,600.
Resistance: $2,200, $2,400, $2,800
Support: $1,830, $1,750, $1,600
US 100 IndexIt would seem within the coming week, the first potential support to monitor on a closing basis is still the 19065 retracement, with 20307 continuing to represent possible resistance.
While closing breaks of either of these levels won’t guarantee a significant price movement with much still dependent on the outcome of events across the week, a closing breakout may lead to a more extended price move in the direction of any break.
Support: Closing breaks under the 19065 support might suggest resumption of recent declines, with risks possibly then emerging to test 18111, which is the deeper 50% retracement, may be even further if this is in turn breached.
Resistance: If 20307 is broken to the upside on a closing basis, it may lead to a further retracement of the February to March weakness, with the 50% level standing at 20679, or even 21050, which is the higher 62% retracement.
#TRUMPUSDT - Breakout or to the Target? Hey there, folks! Today, we're checking out #TRUMPUSDT! 🚀📊
It looks like there's a bull flag forming, but we’re not at a decision point yet. Will the flag break down, or will it keep pushing up and hit the target? We shouldn’t open a trade until we have an answer to that question. 🧐🔍
Let’s stay cautious and make sure we catch the right opportunities at the right time! 💰⚡
Manage your risk, stay in the game! 🎯🔥
#AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #TRUMPUSDT
#PENGUUSDT.P - Will it fly as a bird or dive as a fish?Hey there, folks! Today, I think I've caught a big fish! 🐟 Well, when I say fish, science calls it a bird 🐦 :) Anyway, the coin we're talking about is #PENGUUSDT.
It looks like our bird-like fish is getting some solid volume support and is about to step into an uptrend. And as you'll see on the chart, the targets are pretty clear. We’re looking at around a 35% rise for our big target.
So, we’ve done our homework. Now, it's up to our bird to fly! 🚀
Catch you in the next analysis!
Manage your risk, stay in the game! 🎯🔥
#AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #PENGUUSDT
COIN - what to expecthi traders
COIN stock looks bad.
Monthly close is upon us and it looks like it's gonna be a bearish engulfing candle.
In the next few weeks I expect a bounce and retest of the previous support around 245$ where we should get a rejection and the continuation of the downtrend.
We can see a bearish divergence in the monthly time frame.
COIN's chart looks pretty similar to the BTCUSDT chart that we analyzed today:
Recommended strategy:
1. Short around 245$ area and take profit near 180$.
2. Play the bounce from 180$
Good luck
Silver Golden butterflyThe silver butterfly's decline from the 34.57 level is being observed as a golden Fibonacci level. This particular point holds significance for analysts and enthusiasts who closely monitor Fibonacci retracement levels in various contexts, whether in nature, art, or even financial markets.
It’s fascinating how these mathematical patterns appear in diverse areas, sparking curiosity and deeper exploration.
SEYED.
Gold made huge profits after falling short, 3100 may breakGold fell back under pressure at 3150, testing the 3100 mark, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bulls, and the daily line turned negative for correction. Don't expect the market to turn to short and fall sharply when it reaches here. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and it is still a bullish trend now, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to short. If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative. The previous trend line support broke and turned into a pressure line, which basically coincides with the 3135-3138 line of pressure. If the decline weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break. If it continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149.
EUR/USDEUR/USD is looking to break a streak of six consecutive down days after running into Fibonacci resistance at 1.0943.
That pullback spanned more than 200 pips at its peak, with support finally showing up yesterday in the 1.0730-1.0750 zone previously highlighted.
The question now is which trend will take over - as the prior bullish trend had quickly went overbought with RSI divergence showing into last Wednesday's FOMC meeting.
For today, the 1.0800 level has capped bulls' advance and the next levels up are prior price swings at 1.0823 and 1.0861, followed by a Fibonacci extension at 1.0909 and then the longer-term Fibonacci level at 1.0943
USDJPY- Bullish momentum continues!USD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance.
GOOGL - bears taking controlhi traders,
GOOGL ready for more downside.
The monthly time frame is pretty straightforward here.
Huge bearish engulfing is almost confirmed.
STOCH RSI with a bearish cross.
It's a time to retest the 50 simple moving average.
Bears will drag the price towards 135$ where we should see some bounce.
Lower prices are coming.
Check out our SPX analysis: