Trump kindness to the World Interest rates are set to go down quicker than we expected, as the act of kindness of President Trump is put into force
Harmonic Patterns
XAUUSD Today's analysisOn Thursday (April 3rd), as Asian markets opened for trading, Trump’s bombshell announcement of a slew of tariff measures sent shockwaves through the market. In an instant, a wave of risk - aversion swept across, propelling the spot gold price to a staggering $3,167.60 per ounce. This not only marked a new all - time high but also set a new benchmark in the gold market’s history.
However, the market’s exuberance was short - lived. Fearing potential uncertainties in the aftermath of these policy changes, a significant number of profit - oriented investors decided to cash in on their gains. Their aggressive selling pressure caused the gold price to reverse course sharply. Before long, the price turned negative for the day, slumping to a low of $3,054.19 per ounce.
As the trading day wore on, investors adopted a wait - and - see approach. The growing consensus was that US tariff policies would likely throw the global economy into disarray. In such a climate of uncertainty, gold’s traditional role as a safe - haven asset reasserted itself. Buoyed by this renewed interest, bargain - hunting buyers flocked back into the market, driving the price back up to $3,125 per ounce.
Macroeconomic data and geopolitical dynamics will continue to influence the direction of the gold market. Key data such as the unemployment rate and non-farm payroll employment figures that the US Department of Labor is about to release are highly likely to affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance, which in turn will impact the gold market. If the data indicates a weakening of the US job market, the Federal Reserve may consider easing its monetary policy. This will undermine the US dollar and enhance the attractiveness of gold to investors.
At the same time, there are still uncertainties in the global trade situation. Countermeasures taken by other countries against the US tariff policies may further intensify trade frictions and increase the uncertainty of the global economy. In such an environment, as a safe-haven asset, gold is expected to attract more capital inflows.
From the perspective of technical analysis and the price trend of gold, the price level of $3,100 per ounce has become an important support and resistance level. If the gold price can firmly stay above this level, it may attract more bulls to enter the market, driving the price towards higher targets. Conversely, if the price breaks below this level, the bears may take the initiative, triggering a new round of selling. In addition, the performance of gold mining stocks is also worthy of attention. They not only reflect the short-term fluctuations in the gold market but are also affected by the operational conditions of mining companies themselves and the impact of geopolitics on mining production, forming a linkage effect with the gold price.
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XAUUSD Short IdeaHere it is, gold is very bullish but if it drops below the orange line and keeps there I do see a very rewarding short trade there.
$TiaI am ready to get wrong (again) in Tia,
Buying zone: (3$ - 2$)
Selling for around ATH or new lows against BTC.
GT’s fundamentals and industry prospects are optimisticIn the current market environment, GT’s fundamentals and industry prospects are optimistic, providing a solid foundation for the stock price. The bullish technical signals are also backed by fundamentals.
GT’s MACD has formed a golden cross above the zero lineGT’s recent multiple green closes on the daily chart and the breakthrough of the descending highs’ resistance line jointly fuel its upward momentum. Technically, GT’s MACD has formed a golden cross above the zero line, with red histogram bars lengthening, indicating strengthening upward momentum. The RSI is also in the strong zone above 50 without clear overbought signals, suggesting ample room for further gains. Overall, GT’s short-term and long-term trends are upward, with positive market sentiment and technical indicators supporting further gains, leading analysts to be bullish on GT’s future performance.
Gold trading on April 3, 2025Market Summary:
The market was shaken as Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports, triggering fears of a trade war after China announced retaliatory measures. This sparked concerns over a potential economic downturn, pushing gold prices to record highs as the USD faced heavy selling pressure.
Investors, worried about a recession, are now pricing in a 70% chance of a Fed rate cut in June. Bond yields fell as the USD remained under pressure. Meanwhile, ADP data showed 155K new jobs, but it failed to support the USD.
Trading Plan:
XAUUSD Buy Zone: 3082 - 3080
Stop Loss (SL): 3077
Take Profit (TP): 3085 - 3088 - 3095 - Open
Wishing everyone an amazing trading day!
CFXUSDT UPDATECFXUSDT is a cryptocurrency trading at $0.0788, with a target price of $0.1400. This represents a potential gain of over 80%. The technical pattern observed is a Bullish Falling Wedge, indicating a possible trend reversal. This pattern suggests that the downward trend may be coming to an end. A breakout from the wedge could lead to a significant upward movement in price. The Bullish Falling Wedge is a positive indicator, signaling a potential price surge. Investors are showing optimism about CFXUSDT's future performance. The current price may present a buying opportunity. Reaching the target price would result in substantial returns for investors. CFXUSDT is positioned for a potential breakout and significant gains.
EURGBP - Sell ideaEntry: 0.84018
SL: 0.84203
TP: 0.83700
Selling EURGBP looks favorable due to recent price action showing a rejection at a key resistance level , indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Technical indicators like the RSI are approaching overbought territory, suggesting a pullback is likely. The pair has also broken below a short-term ascending trendline, signaling a shift to bearish momentum. Declining volume on recent upward moves supports the case for weakening buyer interest. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as stronger UK economic data compared to the Eurozone, could further pressure EURGBP downward.
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedThe current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support below is still the 3100 line. The strong bullish thinking remains unchanged above 3100. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and gradually move up near 3116. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds but does not break the high, then short the US session at highs. Pay attention to the resistance of 3140-45 above.
EURSEK to resume Bullish monthly uptrend in Q2/25The Bear failed to keep EURSEK sustainably below 10.78 in Mar25, the level where the harmonic aligned as shown in the chart.
The 41-month cycle or 3.5 years has also been consistently observed since 2012. Counting from Oct21 low, the next pivot is at where are i.e. Mar25-Apr25.
Given the alignment in both price and time, 10.78 would've been the pivot point for EURSEK to rebound and resume its monthly uptrend starting from Apr25.
The first two key catalysts would be the tariffs announcement on 2 Apr followed by NFP on 4 Apr. The CPIF inflation reading in Q2 is expected to be benign given the strong SEK in Q1.
US30 Testing Major Demand Zone – Reversal Incoming?🔎 Market Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has dropped into a strong demand zone (41,200 - 41,350), which has historically acted as a major support area. Will buyers step in for a rebound, or will we see further decline?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 41,932 | 42,605
🔹 Current Price: 41,234
🔹 Key Support Levels: 41,347 (demand zone) | 41,200
📉 Recent Price Action:
1️⃣ Strong Sell-Off into Demand Zone:
After testing resistance at 41,932, US30 faced heavy selling pressure.
Price has now entered a high-volume support area (41,200 - 41,350).
2️⃣ Potential Reversal Setup:
If buyers hold this zone, we could see a bullish push back to 41,932 (first resistance).
A breakout above 41,932 could open the door for a move to 42,600+.
3️⃣ Breakdown Scenario:
If 41,200 breaks, expect further downside towards 40,800 - 40,500.
This would confirm a bearish continuation pattern.
📊 Trade Plan:
📍 Bullish Setup:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 41,200 - 41,350 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could provide an entry targeting 41,932 and 42,600.
📍 Bearish Setup:
🔹 If price fails to hold 41,200, a short opportunity exists targeting 40,800 - 40,500.
🔹 Wait for a clean break and retest of 41,200 before shorting.
🔥 Will US30 bounce back from this demand zone, or will we see further drops? Comment your thoughts below! 👇
📊 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀
#US30 #DOWJONES #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DayTrading #Forex #SupplyAndDemand
Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)📘 Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)
🔹 Timeframe: Monthly | Strategy: Structure + Type 1.4 + Context Targets
✅ Entry Zone:
Buy between 145 – 155 PKR (near the marked "M Type 1.4" level).
📉 Stop Loss (SL):
Below 92 PKR
("This low to be held as protected low" – the ITL zone).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets (TP):
Target Price (PKR) Gain % Description
TP1 240 ~60% First context target
TP2 314 ~120% Previous major high
TP3 411 ~165% Final potential rocket move 🚀
📌 Context & Narrative:
Price broke key structure levels and is forming a bullish base.
Multiple STL levels swept – shows smart money accumulation.
"M Type 1.4" indicates institutional interest.
Targets are based on historical price action and FVG-based projection.
💡 Position Strategy:
Buy 50% at current price (150–155)
Add 25% on a pullback to 140
Add 25% if price dips toward 130
XAUUSD Rejected from Supply Zone – Where Next? 🔎 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has faced a strong rejection from the $3,141 - $3,150 supply zone, indicating a potential bearish move ahead. The rejection was accompanied by increased selling pressure, pushing the price below $3,130.
🔹 Key Resistance: $3,141 - $3,150 (Supply Zone)
🔹 Current Price: $3,128
🔹 Key Support Levels: $3,088 | $3,030
📉 Bearish Breakdown:
1️⃣ Failed Breakout Attempt:
Price reached the high of $3,150 but failed to hold above it.
A strong rejection in this zone signals that institutional sellers are active.
2️⃣ Lower High Formation:
The price structure shows a series of lower highs, confirming bearish intent.
This suggests potential downside movement unless bulls regain control.
3️⃣ Key Support at $3,088:
This level has previously acted as a strong demand zone.
A breakdown below it could accelerate selling pressure.
4️⃣ Final Target: $3,030 Demand Zone:
If the price fails to hold above $3,088, we could see a further drop to $3,030, where major buying interest exists.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bearish Setup:
🔹 If price retests and rejects $3,141 - $3,150 again, it presents a short opportunity targeting $3,088 first.
🔹 A confirmed break below $3,088 could trigger a deeper decline toward $3,030 - $3,020.
📍 Bullish Setup:
🔹 If price holds $3,088, buyers may push back towards $3,141 for another test.
🔹 A breakout above $3,150 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door to higher prices.
🔥 Will gold continue its downward move, or will buyers step in at support? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
📊 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀
#gold #XAUUSD #forextrading #technicalanalysis #priceaction #daytrading #supplyanddemand
ENVA: Time to go short!ENVA: Time to go short!
-Quasimodo pattern.
-Backtest with low demand volume and hard key level ressistence.
.
See more plans at US STOCKS- WALL STREET DREAM
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices
1. Impact of tariff policies
- Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold.
3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded
Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
4-hour cycle:
Confirmation of strong structure:
3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend.
Target forecast:
Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion).
Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points.
1-hour chart strategy:
Key watershed 3100:
This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change.
Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130:
Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion".
Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105.
Patiently wait for the callback
Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
KAYNES 1DA cup and handle pattern formation is observed the breakout has seen with a huge volumes I think there will be a good rally in future
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USDJPY- Bullish momentum continues!USD/JPY is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 150.11 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements.
Stop loss is at 149.30 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance.
GBPUSDThe GBPUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation towards the previous resistance.
The key trading level is at 1.2940 level, the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 1.2940 level could target the upside resistance at 1.2994 followed by the 1.3070 and 1.3123 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 1.2940 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 1.2866 support level followed by 1.2813 and 1.2740.
DMART Bearish Butterfly Pattern with Divergence🔍 Pattern Identified:
Butterfly Bearish Harmonic Pattern complete near the top.
The right shoulder of the pattern has shown Positive Divergence:
On Awesome Oscillator (AO) — price made higher highs while AO made lower highs.
On Volume — clear divergence showing weakening momentum even as price tried to rise.
These are strong early warning signals that smart money is exiting.
🧠 Technical Confluence:
📉 Bearish Divergence: Suggests exhaustion of bullish momentum.
📐 Harmonic Pattern Target: Typically, butterfly patterns suggest:
Target 1 at 38.2% retracement of leg CD.
Target 2 at 61.8% retracement or more — you have identified this beautifully with a likely target near ₹3800.
📊 Impulse Wave Forecast:
Your projected 5-wave Elliott impulse indicates a sharp, fast corrective leg is expected.
Wave I and III are typically the strongest — if wave I begins soon, the fall could be steep.
🎯 Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹4180–4200 zone (top of butterfly).
Breakdown Trigger Zone: Below ₹4100–4080 can accelerate fall.
Support Levels:
₹4000 (psychological & previous structure)
₹3900 (near wave iii completion)
Final Target Zone: ₹3800 – aligns with the butterfly harmonic projection.
⏱ Time Expectation:
You mentioned 2–3 days for the full fall — this is reasonable given:
"Volume divergence indicates smart selling is already happening.
Once the neckline or structure breaks, algo selling may kick in, pushing the price rapidly toward the target."
📌 Conclusion:
Bearish bias is very strong based on pattern + divergence.
Expecting a sharp move toward ₹3800 in a short period.
High probability trade setup with clearly defined entry, stop-loss, and target.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. The analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading in the stock market involves risk, and you should trade or invest only based on your own judgment.
Gold prices will continue to fluctuate in a flag patternGold prices will continue to fluctuate in a flag pattern
As shown in the figure:
Four-hour cycle
Today's gold price rose sharply, approaching 3170, breaking through the original (ABC) flag space and forming a new ABD structure flag structure.
A channel oscillation was formed between the two.
This performance is completely within the expectations of the rise
Then the support near 3105 will be very obviously regarded as a watershed support.
In other words, it is very likely to determine the future direction of gold prices. Above 3100-3105 can be identified as a strong bullish cumulative oscillation, a continuation of the bullish trend.
What we need to study is the cost-effectiveness of the transaction.
The focus of today's trading is to test whether the support near the 3130 area is effective.
(3100+3170)/2=3135
Focus on testing the following support in the falling range
3125
3115
3105
Above 3105 points, there is only one strategy, that is, long
Stop loss 3105-3100
Try to make good use of this 25-point space to layout, this is the safest, most effective and most profitable strategy
Trading is that simple
Bitcoin will drop below $70,000 in the channel!Bitcoin remains within a descending triangle, printing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. The latest move saw an impulse pump into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning perfectly with the descending channel range high. This resulted in a rejection, reinforcing the probability of a move lower.
Key Points:
• BTC is trading within a descending triangle with a clear lower high and lower low structure.
• The recent rejection occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning with the channel range high.
• The next key support is at the lower channel boundary around $65,500.
Bitcoin’s price action has solidified this descending trading channel, and until a breakout occurs, the market will likely continue to respect this structure. If sellers maintain control, a move toward the channel low remains the most probable scenario.
However, BTC can still range within this formation until a decisive break occurs. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as any strong reaction at these areas could indicate the next major move
