Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF but..Bearish Divergence on Weekly TF.
However, Breakout on Daily TF from 452 - 453.
Weekly Closing above this level would
be a positive sign.
Upside Targets can be around 495 - 500
& if this level is Sustained, with Good
Volumes , we may witness 540 - 550.
Should not break 400, otherwise, we may see
heavy Selling pressure.
Harmonic Patterns
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone.
We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel.
For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level.
After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity.
💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us.
The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top.
On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal.
As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025.
As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib.
So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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EURSEK to resume Bullish monthly uptrend in Q2/25The Bear failed to keep EURSEK sustainably below 10.78 in Mar25, the level where the harmonic aligned as shown in the chart.
The 41-month cycle or 3.5 years has also been consistently observed since 2012. Counting from Oct21 low, the next pivot is at where are i.e. Mar25-Apr25.
Given the alignment in both price and time, 10.78 would've been the pivot point for EURSEK to rebound and resume its monthly uptrend starting from Apr25.
The first two key catalysts would be the tariffs announcement on 2 Apr followed by NFP on 4 Apr. The CPIF inflation reading in Q2 is expected to be benign given the strong SEK in Q1.
Another Shot At Catching EURGBP Longs. So for some of you that already follow me, you'd have seen that I first made a attempt to catch the longs of EURGBP the first time and it didn't age well (Link Below)
Now because HTF bias is still bullish, I'm repositioning for a re-entry here. Let's hope this goes as analyzed
NAS100 Testing Demand Zone – Major Reversal or More Drops? 📊 Market Overview:
The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) just tested a strong demand zone (18,900 - 18,950) and is showing signs of a potential reversal. Can buyers push the price higher, or will bears take control?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 19,568 | 20,160
🔹 Current Price: 18,977
🔹 Key Support Levels: 18,896 (demand zone)
📉 Price Action Breakdown:
1️⃣ Sharp Drop into Demand Zone
Price recently fell from 19,568 after failing to break higher.
Buyers are now defending the 18,900 support zone, which has historically held strong.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Setup?
If the price holds above 18,900, we could see a bullish rally toward 19,568.
A breakout above 19,568 may open the way for 20,160+.
3️⃣ Bearish Breakdown Risk
If the price drops below 18,896, expect further downside towards 18,600 - 18,500.
Sellers would regain control, confirming a bearish continuation.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bullish Case:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 18,900 - 18,950 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could target 19,568, then 20,160.
📍 Bearish Case:
🔹 If price fails to hold 18,896, a short setup targeting 18,600 - 18,500 is possible.
🔹 Wait for a clean break & retest before shorting.
🔥 Will NAS100 bounce back from this demand zone, or will sellers dominate? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇
📊 Like & Follow for more trade insights! 🚀
#NASDAQ100 #TechStocks #Trading #StockMarket #SupplyAndDemand #Forex #PriceAction
US30 Testing Major Demand Zone – Reversal Incoming?🔎 Market Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) has dropped into a strong demand zone (41,200 - 41,350), which has historically acted as a major support area. Will buyers step in for a rebound, or will we see further decline?
🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 41,932 | 42,605
🔹 Current Price: 41,234
🔹 Key Support Levels: 41,347 (demand zone) | 41,200
📉 Recent Price Action:
1️⃣ Strong Sell-Off into Demand Zone:
After testing resistance at 41,932, US30 faced heavy selling pressure.
Price has now entered a high-volume support area (41,200 - 41,350).
2️⃣ Potential Reversal Setup:
If buyers hold this zone, we could see a bullish push back to 41,932 (first resistance).
A breakout above 41,932 could open the door for a move to 42,600+.
3️⃣ Breakdown Scenario:
If 41,200 breaks, expect further downside towards 40,800 - 40,500.
This would confirm a bearish continuation pattern.
📊 Trade Plan:
📍 Bullish Setup:
🔹 Look for bullish confirmation in the 41,200 - 41,350 zone.
🔹 A strong bounce could provide an entry targeting 41,932 and 42,600.
📍 Bearish Setup:
🔹 If price fails to hold 41,200, a short opportunity exists targeting 40,800 - 40,500.
🔹 Wait for a clean break and retest of 41,200 before shorting.
🔥 Will US30 bounce back from this demand zone, or will we see further drops? Comment your thoughts below! 👇
📊 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀
#US30 #DOWJONES #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DayTrading #Forex #SupplyAndDemand
Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)📘 Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)
🔹 Timeframe: Monthly | Strategy: Structure + Type 1.4 + Context Targets
✅ Entry Zone:
Buy between 145 – 155 PKR (near the marked "M Type 1.4" level).
📉 Stop Loss (SL):
Below 92 PKR
("This low to be held as protected low" – the ITL zone).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets (TP):
Target Price (PKR) Gain % Description
TP1 240 ~60% First context target
TP2 314 ~120% Previous major high
TP3 411 ~165% Final potential rocket move 🚀
📌 Context & Narrative:
Price broke key structure levels and is forming a bullish base.
Multiple STL levels swept – shows smart money accumulation.
"M Type 1.4" indicates institutional interest.
Targets are based on historical price action and FVG-based projection.
💡 Position Strategy:
Buy 50% at current price (150–155)
Add 25% on a pullback to 140
Add 25% if price dips toward 130
Silver H4 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 32.69 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support.
Take profit is at 34.02 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD Rejected from Supply Zone – Where Next? 🔎 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has faced a strong rejection from the $3,141 - $3,150 supply zone, indicating a potential bearish move ahead. The rejection was accompanied by increased selling pressure, pushing the price below $3,130.
🔹 Key Resistance: $3,141 - $3,150 (Supply Zone)
🔹 Current Price: $3,128
🔹 Key Support Levels: $3,088 | $3,030
📉 Bearish Breakdown:
1️⃣ Failed Breakout Attempt:
Price reached the high of $3,150 but failed to hold above it.
A strong rejection in this zone signals that institutional sellers are active.
2️⃣ Lower High Formation:
The price structure shows a series of lower highs, confirming bearish intent.
This suggests potential downside movement unless bulls regain control.
3️⃣ Key Support at $3,088:
This level has previously acted as a strong demand zone.
A breakdown below it could accelerate selling pressure.
4️⃣ Final Target: $3,030 Demand Zone:
If the price fails to hold above $3,088, we could see a further drop to $3,030, where major buying interest exists.
📊 Trading Plan:
📍 Bearish Setup:
🔹 If price retests and rejects $3,141 - $3,150 again, it presents a short opportunity targeting $3,088 first.
🔹 A confirmed break below $3,088 could trigger a deeper decline toward $3,030 - $3,020.
📍 Bullish Setup:
🔹 If price holds $3,088, buyers may push back towards $3,141 for another test.
🔹 A breakout above $3,150 would invalidate the bearish setup and open the door to higher prices.
🔥 Will gold continue its downward move, or will buyers step in at support? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
📊 Like & Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀
#gold #XAUUSD #forextrading #technicalanalysis #priceaction #daytrading #supplyanddemand
DAX H4 | Downtrend to extend further?DAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 22,277.36 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,640.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 21,746.73 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURJPY: Selling Pressure Likely in the 162.723-163.434 ZoneHello Traders,
I trust you're doing well. It’s been a while!
Since March 18th, the EUR has been in a corrective pullback, and I anticipate further downside movement to complete Wave 4 of the correction. However, this afternoon, we witnessed an unexpected surge in the EUR pairs, driven by the EU’s emergency plan to shield its economy from U.S. tariffs. Despite this rally, I believe it may be short-lived.
EURJPY has reached a significant resistance zone where sellers could potentially push prices lower. Another key resistance level within this zone, where I believe sellers', activities are great, is last week’s high at 163.353. A confirmed break below 162.723 would strengthen the bearish outlook, with potential downside targets at 161.914 , 161.114 , 160.750 , and 160.350 , respectively. However, a breakout above 163.444 would invalidate this bearish.
Cheers and happy trading.
Gold Trade Plan 03/04/2025Dear Traders,
today i expect price will be Start Correction to 3080-3060,
i specified 2 Alternatives for correction ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold H1 | Approaching multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 3,106.58 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 3,071.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 3,162.54 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Aussie H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci projectionThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6324 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6370 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% projection and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6264 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish on All Time Frames.Bullish on All Time Frames.
Monthly Closing above 211 - 212 would
be very positive for OGDC.
Retested the Previous Breakout Level
around 194 - 195.
Hidden Bullish Divergence on Daily Tf.
227 - 228 is the Weekly Resistance that
seems to break this time.
If this level is Sustained, we may witness
250+ initially.
4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices4.3 How to operate after the sharp rise in gold prices
1. Impact of tariff policies
- Base tax rate 10% + "reciprocal tariffs": Trump's radical tariff policy far exceeds market expectations, directly triggering concerns about escalating global trade frictions and triggering market risk aversion demand.
2. Expectations of a weaker US dollar: Tariffs may weaken the competitiveness of US exports, and the Federal Reserve may introduce loose policies, which will put pressure on the US dollar and further support gold.
3. Gold's safe-haven properties have exploded
Gold, as a hard currency without sovereign credit risk, has become a "safe haven" for funds.
4-hour cycle:
Confirmation of strong structure:
3100 support: Multiple retracements have not been broken, forming an "ascending triangle" consolidation pattern, and a sharp breakthrough in the early trading confirms the continuation of the trend.
Target forecast:
Short-term: US$3,200 (integer psychological barrier + fermentation of risk aversion).
Medium-term: If it breaks through 3,200 points, the next resistance level is 3,218 points.
1-hour chart strategy:
Key watershed 3100:
This week's lows gradually moved up (3076→3100→3106). If the callback does not break this position, the trend will not change.
Intraday strength and weakness dividing line 3130:
Yesterday's box top broke through and turned into support, which is in line with the principle of "top and bottom conversion".
Ideal intraday long position: 3115-3120 area, stop loss 3105.
Patiently wait for the callback
Aggressive strategy: If the gold price stands above 3150, you can chase long with a light position, with a target of 3173→3200.
Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4274
1st Support: 1.4156
1st Resistance: 1.4325
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.