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Harmonic Patterns

EUR/AUD H1 | Bearish downturn to extend further?EUR/AUD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.7133 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 1.7160 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 1.7055 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
DJIA H4 | Potential bullish bounceDJIA (US30) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 41,282.01 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 41,080.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 42,240.15 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:US30Long
by FXCM
USDJPY --> Retesting key level. Attempting trend reversalFX:USDJPY during the correction phase, the market is retesting the boundaries of the downward trend channel that price previously broke through. The market is attempting to shift its trend based on the dollar's adjustment. The dollar faces challenges due to economic and geopolitical nuances related to the United States, as well as high inflation. Theoretically, the index could continue deeper corrections, with prolonged interest rate cut rhetoric potentially putting pressure on the market. Technically, this currency pair has attempted to overcome the previous downward trend resistance level and succeeded, but this alone is insufficient for a trend change - it requires confirmation. Support levels: 148.92, 148.21 Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95 Focus remains on 148.92 - 149.5, if buyers maintain their defensive position above these levels, we have excellent opportunities to catch up with the trend change. This would signal readiness to approach the resistance threshold in the 150.16 range, and a breakthrough of this level with price fixation above it would confirm the trend reversal.
Long
by AdrianBennett
WTI Oil H4 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 69.99 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 68.40 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 72.94 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILLong
by FXCM
GOLD: The rally is getting stronger. Growth after a false crashOANDA:XAUUSD breaking upward and attempting to consolidate above the previous high of 3127 as part of the adjustment process. This will serve as an ideal support level for buyers. The price increase, against the backdrop of political and geopolitical issues, only intensifies. Tariff increases are driving gold demand higher. Trump has rejected the idea of lowering tariffs and the Treasury Secretary has named 15 countries on the list for new measures. This has weakened the dollar and increased concerns about stagflation, boosting demand for gold as a protective asset. Additionally, tariff tensions are unlikely to end after April 2, especially with auto tariffs taking effect on April 3, and this combined with growth uncertainty will keep buyers interested in gold if prices decline. Technically, we have a strong upward trend, selling carries risk, and we are looking for strong areas or levels to buy. For example, if prices consolidate above 3127 or after breaking through the false 3119/3111 levels. Before continuing growth, there may be adjustments to key support areas to normalize market imbalances and capture liquidity. Consolidation above levels after false breakouts will be a positive signal for growth. But! There is upcoming news and high volatility potential!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AdrianBennett
5
BITCOIN This is where the most aggressive part begins.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways amidst the tariffs implementation today and on the longer picture (1W time-frame) it remains supported just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). On this chart we display our Parabolic Growth Channel (PGC), which is the long-term Zone where BTC is a buy opportunity. Throughout the market's historic Cycles, the time when BTC was supported above the 1W MA50 but still within its PGC was known as an Accumulation Phase (blue ellipse) before the final parabolic rally of the Cycle and its eventual Top (green Arc). Based on this model, so far we haven't seen any such rally, despite the undoubtedly strong rallies of October 2023 - March 2024 and October 2024 - December 2024. Only the March 2024 and then the recent Tops can be counted as marginal breaches above the PGC and it's been no surprise that the market corrected back inside the Buy Zone but remained supported by the 1W MA50. As long as it does, the probabilities of that final, most aggressive Cycle rally get stronger. On the last Cycle the peak was priced just above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That is currently a little below $170k and that is why our final Target is just below at $160000. Also right now we are marginally below the 0.618 Cycle top-to-top Fib, which is in line to where all previous final Cycle parabolic rallies started. So do you think the 1W MA50 will now push BTC to its final Cycle rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
CADCHF Bullish Outlook In DevelopmentCADCHF Bullish Outlook In Development CAD/CHF recently completed a bullish harmonic pattern near 0.6055, and the initial price reaction has been promising so far. From the our previous analysis we can see that CADCHF already reached the first target. SNB rate cut certainly created a less favorable outlook for the Swiss Franc. Given the ongoing volatility from Trum's tariffs, it’s prudent to adopt a conservative approach, however the price is well positioned to continur rising more as shown on the chart even if it moves down before the news today. Key resistance areas: 0.6225 and 0.6265 ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
Gold waited for a clear move!Currently, gold prices are attracting some dip buyers after the previous day's pullback from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns over a global economic downturn due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of a Fed rate cut and the lack of USD buying interest provide additional support for FX:XAUUSD From a technical perspective, we see the Bollinger Bands showing signs of price narrowing, indicating that long-term buying or selling at this moment is risky. We are looking for key areas to buy or sell as the main trend remains sideways. For instance, if the price drops below 3145, we might consider selling, while a rise above 3105 could signal a buying opportunity. Happy trading, and may your trades be profitable!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Rowan_TradingFX
GBPJPY Under Pressure: Potential Sell Opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has recently broken structure to the downside on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling bearish momentum. The pair is currently under significant selling pressure, with price action suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Here's a deeper analysis of the situation: Market Structure: The recent break of structure to the downside indicates that sellers are in control. The pair has failed to reclaim previous highs, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key Levels: Range High: The stop-loss level should be placed above the recent range high to manage risk effectively. This level acts as a key invalidation point for the bearish setup. 🚫 Range Low: The target is the previous range low, which aligns with a strong support zone. This level could act as a magnet for price, given the current bearish momentum. 🎯 Bearish Pressure: The pair is trading below key moving averages (e.g., 50 EMA and 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), further confirming the bearish bias. Additionally, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD may show bearish divergence or oversold conditions, which could provide further confluence for the trade idea. 📊 Risk Management: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Ensure that the position size aligns with your trading plan, and avoid over-leveraging. 🔒 Fundamental Context: Keep an eye on any GBP or JPY-related news that could impact the pair, such as central bank decisions, economic data releases, or geopolitical developments. These factors could either accelerate or invalidate the current technical setup. 📰 Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any trading decisions. 📢
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Today, the gold price needs to be alert to fall back to 3080.Today, the gold price needs to be alert to fall back to 3080. As shown in the figure: Four-hour cycle: The gold price has clearly begun to build a peak. So at present: The 3145-3150 area will become an important pressure stage. The 3115-3110 area will become an important support stage. From the perspective of structure and selling pressure, once the gold price falls below 3100 points, it is very likely to touch around 3080. So my strategy is divided into two types: (1): Try to go long around 3110-3115, stop loss at 3100 (aggressive strategy) (2): If it falls below 3100, wait for it to stabilize around 3080 and continue to go long, stop loss at 3080 (conservative strategy) Note: As long as it is above 3080, gold trading will mainly focus on callbacks and go long.
FX:XAUUSD
by Louisa00000
Gold accumulated motivation for promising increasing!Today, gold continues to attract some buyers after yesterday's retreat from record highs amid persistent safe-haven demand, driven by concerns about a global economic recession due to tariffs. Furthermore, expectations of Fed rate cuts and lack of interest in buying USD provide additional support for XAU/USD. Currently, the metal is moving around $3,130 and upside potential remains highly rated as the EMA 34 and 89 lines continue to act as dynamic support levels. Additionally, historical bullish patterns are repeating themselves, suggesting that after this period of retreat and consolidation, an impressive upward movement is expected.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_Scalper
EURUSD: Further decline continues!Hello dear EURUSD traders, let's dive deeper into this currency pair with Smith! Today, EURUSD couldn't resist the downward trend, aligning with our predictions from yesterday. This pair is under pressure as USD begins to regain strength, significantly impacting this major currency pair. On the analysis chart, EURUSD is struggling to break through the resistance level of 1.080 and the nearby 34.89 EMA. Additionally, a bearish wedge is gradually forming, signaling the likelihood of this downward trend continuing soon. With the breakdown of the 1.078 level, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.076. Let's closely monitor EURUSD's upcoming movements and prepare for the next investment opportunities!
Short
by Smith_Scalper
GBP/NZD 1-HRGBPNZD Approaching Key Resistance: A Closer Look at the Megaphone Pattern and Potential Reversal Zones The current price action of GBPNZD on the 1-hour chart reveals the formation of a prominent megaphone pattern, a significant technical formation characterized by fluctuating price swings and widening ranges. This pattern, which often indicates increased market volatility and uncertainty, is an important signal to watch as it nears the upper resistance zone. Understanding the intricacies of this pattern and the key levels that are in play can provide valuable insights for traders seeking to capitalize on the upcoming potential price movements. What is the Megaphone Pattern? A megaphone pattern, also known as an expanding triangle or broadening formation, is typically seen when the price creates higher highs and lower lows. This type of formation suggests that market participants are uncertain, leading to erratic price swings. The pattern often serves as a warning of increased volatility and potential reversals, which is exactly what we may be witnessing with GBPNZD. As the price moves toward the upper boundary of the megaphone formation, it’s essential to recognize that this resistance line represents a crucial point for potential market exhaustion. Typically, price reactions around this zone can lead to significant retracements or reversals. This creates an opportunity for traders to anticipate potential short positions or to watch for signs of reversal before making their move. Key Resistance Levels and Potential Reversal The current price is fast approaching the upper resistance line of the megaphone pattern, which has proven to be a critical zone where selling pressure could build up. If the market fails to break above this resistance, we could see a shift in momentum, where sellers step in, pushing the price lower. This could be triggered by a number of factors such as exhaustion of buying pressure, a failure to sustain higher prices, or the onset of bearish sentiment in the broader market. Here are the key resistance and support zones to monitor carefully: Resistance Zone (Key Upper Boundary of Megaphone Pattern): This is the critical level where the price may encounter substantial selling pressure. A failure to break above this resistance could lead to a swift reversal. Watch for candlestick patterns like bearish engulfing, shooting stars, or evening stars, which could indicate that the market is ready to turn. Support Zones: Should the price fail to breach the resistance level, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the support areas where the market could react and potentially reverse upward. These levels include: 2.2670: A strong support area where the price has historically shown signs of consolidation and upward movement. If the price retraces to this level, we may see a bounce, especially if it coincides with other technical indicators such as RSI or MACD signaling oversold conditions. 2.2560: This level represents another potential support zone where previous price action has indicated short-term reversals. If the market consolidates around this level, it could provide the foundation for a potential bullish reaction. 2.2445: As we move further down, this level represents a deeper support zone. A price drop to this point could trigger more significant buying interest, especially if the broader market sentiment remains favorable for the pair. 2.2200: This is one of the most critical support levels to watch. A price move toward this zone would suggest a strong bearish trend, and if it holds, it could lead to a more substantial price correction or the continuation of a downtrend. What to Look For: Signs of a Reversal When approaching key resistance levels such as the upper boundary of the megaphone pattern, it’s important to watch for signs of a reversal. These may include: Candlestick Patterns: Reversal candlestick formations such as doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing patterns around the resistance level could signal that the market is losing momentum and that sellers may step in. Volume Indicators: A decrease in volume at the upper boundary or increased volume on bearish candles could provide additional confirmation of a potential reversal. A sudden surge in volume after a failed breakout could signify that the price is ready to move lower. Momentum Indicators: Tools such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), or Stochastic Oscillator could also help identify overbought conditions or divergences, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent. The Bigger Picture Traders need to consider both the short-term and long-term outlook when analyzing GBPNZD. On a broader scale, the megaphone pattern may indicate a market that is in a state of indecision, but as the price moves toward key levels, the likelihood of a major price shift increases. A breakout above the upper resistance would suggest continued strength for the bullish trend, while a failure to break above and a subsequent price rejection could set the stage for a bearish move down to the key support levels outlined. Conclusion In summary, GBPNZD is at a pivotal moment. The formation of the megaphone pattern is signaling increased volatility, with the price nearing key resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring the price action closely around these levels, looking for signs of reversal or confirmation of a breakout. The key support levels at 2.2670, 2.2560, 2.2445, and 2.2200 should be watched carefully, as they will likely play a significant role in the upcoming price movements. By staying informed of these levels and patterns, traders can position themselves effectively for potential price shifts in the near future.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0