Avalanche (AVAX): Signs of Upcoming Bullish MovementWe noticed a similar pattern, where each time after liquidity hunting near a local support area, we were entering into the next buyside movement, which might indicate that we are about to enter another one pretty soon.
We are looking for upward movement from this region, which would lead the RSI into overbought zones, giving us from there then an opportunity to short, but meanwhile we are longing!
Swallow Academy
Harmonic Patterns
Bullish ABC
Hello awesome traders! I hope you're having a great trading week so far. This week is a bit shorter due to the U.S. Independence Day — with partial closures Thursday and a full close on Friday. But as always, we keep doing what we do best: identifying high-probability patterns, managing our risk, and pulling pips out of the market.
Let’s break down this solid technical opportunity shaping up on CADJPY (4H) – presenting a bullish ABC structure into PCZ with clean symmetry and mapped targets.
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bullish
Asset: CADJPY
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Long – Bullish impulse expected from confirmed completion at PCZ
Key Levels:
A Point: 103.819 – Major swing low off the 200 EMA
B Point: 107.334 – Recent swing high, strong resistance reversal
C Point: 104.837 – Completion zone aligning with fib extension confluence
Entry Level (EL): 105.100–105.200 – Price now entering PCZ with reversal structure
Stop Level (ST): Below 104.780 – Invalidation if structure fails
Target 1 Zone: 107.000–107.600 – Key retracement and 78.6% cluster
PCZ (Potential Completion Zone): 127.2–161.8% BC extension @ 105.402–104.876
Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios:
BC 127.2%: 105.402 – First PRZ alert
BC 161.8%: 104.876 – Extended completion zone
AB=CD (Symmetry): Confirmed with nearly equal projection
38.2%–78.6% Retracement: 106.180–107.600 – Major resistance for profit-taking
Price Action & Setup:
Strong downside correction from B (107.334) to C (104.837) completed with confluence at PCZ.
Price is reacting near the 200 EMA and forming a minor reversal wick.
ABCD symmetry leg confirms with C leg near equal length projection from A–B.
If bullish momentum confirms, a move back toward the retracement zones is expected.
Market Sentiment:
Market testing the PCZ zone with wicks forming — early buyers showing presence.
200 EMA support coincides with D-leg completion, a common bounce area in structure trades.
No major USD flows this week due to holiday impact — JPY and CAD flows dominate.
Next Potential Movement:
Reversal confirmation from PCZ could send price up into:
Target 1: 107.000 (61.8% retracement of BC)
Target 2: 107.600 (78.6% extension and previous structure resistance)
Invalidation below 104.780 (break of C low)
Risk Management:
Entry: 105.100–105.200 on confirmation signal (bullish engulfing / hammer / breakout)
Stop Loss: Below 104.780 (below structure + fib invalidation)
Targets: 107.000 and 107.600
Risk Profile: Tight invalidation, high reward-to-risk structure
Conclusion:
CADJPY is offering a clean ABC Bullish structure, completing right at the fib confluence and 200 EMA zone.
With a solid base at the PCZ and mapped target levels ahead, this setup aligns well with structured traders looking to enter on confirmation.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and trust your patterns.
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3324 line of the bull-bear watershed pressure, and the short-term support on the lower side is the short-term pressure around 3295-3301 yesterday. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold at 3321-24, stop loss at 3332, target at 3295-3301, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Long gold at 3295-3301, stop loss at 3287, target at 3320-24, continue to hold if it breaks;
aapl just got great news, great stock! ATH coming?? YEA???aapl just got great news, great stock!
bullish. so very bullish
let us know!
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PCE data week gold under pressure! Rebound high altitude strategFrom the analysis of the 4-hour trend of gold, the price of gold continued to decline after opening today. In view of the particularity of the closing stage of the weekly line, it is recommended that you avoid blindly chasing shorts and should adhere to the idea of swinging short trading. The technical level shows that the Bollinger Bands in the 4-hour cycle show a clear closing trend, and the price is constrained by the operation below the middle track, and the short-term weak pattern is established. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to adopt a rebound short-selling-dominated strategy, focusing on the key pressure range of 3311-3316. It is necessary to arrange short orders in batches according to the strength of the rebound, and the lower target is to look at the support area of 3265-3260. Based on the comprehensive technical indicators, gold currently maintains a short trend, and it is recommended to use a rebound short-selling strategy as the main operation.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to rebound in the 3311-3316 area to short, stop loss at 3324, target 3300-3280
Gold Accurate Trading StrategyThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system.
Gold trend analysis:
Gold technical aspect, yesterday's Asian and European sessions continued to rebound and repair, and the highest reached 3350 and then continued the previous decline. In the US session, it reached the lowest level of 3309 and then continued to rebound to 3336, and also touched the high point of the previous day again. Combined with yesterday's 3350, an effective head and shoulders top pattern was formed in the short term, and the market started to continue to expand the decline in the morning. It started to fall directly after the morning opening. So far, the lowest reached 3288, and the integer support of 3300 was directly broken. Then the short space in the later period has been further expanded. The later target below is maintained at 3250. If this position continues to be lost, it may continue to challenge the 3200 line, and the upper pressure is maintained at the top and bottom conversion of 3310 in the near future. This position is also the limit position of the short-term rebound.
At present, gold's hourly and multi-hourly lines show the shape of a falling channel. The daily line is under pressure below the moving average system. The support below the day will also be maintained at 3280. This position is likely to be the day's extreme retracement position, but since the current general trend is in a short position, we will not consider long orders in the short term, and patiently wait for the pullback before continuing to short. The tolerance rate may be higher. During the day, we will still wait to short near 3308-3309, with a target around 3295-3280 and a stop loss of 3318. If the European session is under pressure below 3300 for a long time, we can also consider shorting directly, with a target around 3280.
Gold fluctuates and rebounds, so don’t short at low levels!Gold is now focusing on the short-term pressure of 3301-3306 above, focusing on the pressure of 3314-16 above, and the support of 3276-80 below, and shorting again when it rebounds under pressure
Strategy thinking:
Gold rebounds to 3301-3306, short lightly, rebound to 3314-16, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85;
BTC Preparing for Final Sweep Before Breakout?I’m currently waiting for a long opportunity on BTCUSDT. Price is consolidating in a range, and I believe we’re approaching the final support zone within this structure. The key area I’m watching is the 4H imbalance zone between ~102,968 and ~104,535, which also aligns with a strong structural support level.
I expect price to sweep this area, potentially triggering stop-losses below recent lows and then show a bullish reaction If confirmed, I’ll look to enter long targeting the liquidity resting around 108,762.
I’ll be watching closely for a reaction and confirmation
C3.ai (AI) Shows Signs of Wyckoff AccumulationAI Stock (C3.ai)
C3.ai (Ticker: AI) is currently trading just above key long-term support levels, exhibiting behavior that closely aligns with the Wyckoff Accumulation model. The stock has shown resilience after a prolonged downtrend and is now forming a potential accumulation base near its recent lows.
Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 level, indicating that momentum is still in the early recovery stages—offering room for a potential breakout as accumulation matures.
Historically, C3.ai has demonstrated a tendency to fill prior downside gaps, especially during periods of low volatility followed by volume spikes. This current structure suggests smart money may be stepping in quietly, absorbing selling pressure in preparation for a markup phase.
If price holds above the current base and begins to show a Sign of Strength (SOS) with increasing volume, a breakout toward previous gap levels becomes a strong technical possibility.
BTCUSD - The Binary Set of Possible Futures for BitcoinBitcoin priced in dollars will eventually go to infinity or to zero.
This chart is a more precise model of an idea I've been toying with for a few months. It fits the past price cycles extremely accurately, if we are willing to disregard the lower end of the Covid crash wick and stick to monthly closes. It also predicts the binary set of possible futures for Bitcoin in an extremely elegant way.
According to this model, regardless of which path Bitcoin price takes after this cycle, we will see a top around $111,800 around spring 2025 - April 2025 if it hits the nadir of the arch exactly.
We will have a strong clue about which of the two futures (infinity or zero) Bitcoin is headed towards when we see whether it bottoms near $16,000 (Bitcoin to Zero) or bottoms near $24,000 (Bitcoin to Infinity) next bear market.
The model predicts hyperinflation of the dollar in 2037 on the "Bitcoin infinity path," or alternatively Bitcoin to digital trash in 2036 on the "Bitcoin zero path."
Will gold be corrected or revoked next?1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
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2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
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3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
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4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
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5. Final thoughts
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
Bearish Setup for GoldGold is currently in a retracement phase after breaking below the mid Keltner channel zone. The small upward arrow marks this temporary relief rally, which I anticipate will be short-lived.
Price is testing the lower band of the inner Keltner channel after rejecting from the upper zones. The structure suggests a classic lower high formation before a potential major sell-off, targeting the deeper liquidity zones around $3,218 – $3,160 and possibly $3,080 if momentum accelerates.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📌 Invalidation: A clean break and close above the red resistance block (~$3,320+)
📌 Target Zones: $3,218 → $3,160 → $3,080
🔔 Look for volume drop and wick exhaustion confirming the next leg down.
This retracement may offer one final short entry opportunity before a deeper correction unfolds.
Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery.
Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum.
Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes):
Near-Term: ~3,360
Mid-Term: ~3,400
Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone)
🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows):
1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440.
2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible.
📊 Current Momentum:
Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure.
If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
Gold prices are gathering momentumThe key position of the four-hour gold chart dominates the short-term rhythm. At present, the 3300 resistance has completed the transformation to support, and the price remains stable above this position to maintain a short-term bullish pattern. The hourly chart shows that after a strong overnight close, the previous high has been broken in the morning session today. The gold price is expected to continue the offensive and test the core resistance area of 3360 at the daily level. The operation strategy is mainly to do more on the callback, focusing on the pressure performance after the price is above 3360. If a reversal K-line pattern appears, a short position can be arranged. Losing the 3300 support indicates the risk of a trend reversal. Focus on the two-way breakthrough signal of the 3300 support band and the 3360 resistance range during the day
Bitcoin Short Setup at Key Daily ResistanceIn this analysis, you will find a clear scenario for a potential short setup with precise conditions for confirmation and invalidation. No fluff or guesswork—only institutional analysis of capital footprints and pure price action. I will provide updates for every stage of price interaction with the POI in near real-time, so you can make timely trading decisions, not just observe events after the fact.
Context: What Happened Before?
Bitcoin has perfectly played out Scenario 2 from my previous long analysis. After the liquidity sweep below, which confirmed that the instrument is locked in a large global range, it began an aggressive, correction-less rally. This is often the case after absorbing a large amount of liquidity, which essentially became the fuel for this rise.
The Short Setup
To break out of the range to the upside (or at least make a deviation above it), Bitcoin must overcome the first serious resistance zone. This zone consists of:
The 78.6% Fibonacci level from the daily structure.
Liquidity from the Previous Week's High (PWH).
My plan is to look for a short position if we see a reversal reaction from this zone after the liquidity is taken. The minimum target for this move would be the lower boundary of the range and the daily order block located there. This local move inside the range can be seen as a shorting opportunity.
Invalidation of the Short Scenario:
A break of the 78.6% level with the price closing firmly above it would cancel the short scenario. In that case, Bitcoin would likely continue its move towards the next resistance level.