chil guy chillinsome possible scenarios
observation
rsdi over stretched
wedgee breaout and retrace
btc entering a corrective wave
similar price action
result
with over 20 % for eveyr move 10x leverage you can secure atleast 200%
good luck
Harmonic Patterns
Namat Wolf went, is he cheating? If so, will he do the full waveNamat Wolf went, is he cheating? If so, will he do the full waves? The last 3,750. I expect more rises.
Gold accurate top judgment and high efficiency one-way follow-upGold, the general trend is as described in yesterday's analysis. The market is currently in an irrational upward cycle dominated by risk aversion. Although there is no reversal signal in the daily chart structure, the price is running on the upper Bollinger track of the daily, weekly and monthly charts at the same time. The attached indicator is overbought, and we need to be alert to the risk of selling at high levels; on Tuesday, the white plate hit 3500 and then fell back. The 4H chart recorded the first entity engulfing and continuous negative in the past two weeks. The market outlook is actively bearish, and the initial target looks back at 3400; violent selling, a sharp drop to 3314, the idea is verified;
The daily chart transcribes a long upper shadow and a big negative, visible It is a signal of stagflation, so just follow the trend today; short-term resistance during the white session is 3350-3358, strong resistance gap 3366-3372 and 3314-3500 connecting 38.2% node 3384; short-term support 3330-3320, strong support 3314, break down to 3284;
Strategy 1: Sell near 3358, protect 3368, target 3314; hold after break;
Strategy 2: Sell near 3384, protect 3394, target 3314; hold after break;
Has the gold high diving reached its peak?The 1-hour inverted V reversal, the 1-hour moving average of gold also began to show signs of turning. There was no risk aversion news stimulus in the second half of the night, so the daily line could not go up, it was a high shooting star, the high points of the US rebound were successively lower, and the short-term trend of gold has formed a short position. The second rebound of the US market was under pressure and fell again near 3430. Then the US rebound below 3430 continued to be shorted, and the US rebound near 3420 could continue to be shorted. The market is changing rapidly. Since gold can't go up, and it starts to fall, the gold bulls have been declared over in the short term.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to short on rebounds and go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3420-3430 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3280-3285 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3420-3425, stop loss 6 points, target around 3380-3350, break to see 3300 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3285-3290, stop loss 6 points, target around 3325-3350, break to see 3380 line;
4/22 Gold Trading StrategyGold continued its upward movement yesterday. Short positions around 3380 yielded limited gains, while those near 3410 are currently underwater. Many traders may be in a similar position, and I want to emphasize: there’s no need to panic—today offers a strong opportunity for the bears.
Technically, gold is now in the final stage of a five-wave upward structure . The bullish momentum is fading. The remaining upside is likely limited to within $50 , while the downside potential could exceed $80. In short, there’s an 80%+ chance of a pullback or consolidation today, offering a solid exit or profit opportunity for short positions.
The price is expected to retrace below 3360, and once profit-taking begins, the decline may accelerate.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3450–3480
Buy between 3330–3310
Trade flexibly within 3440–3400 / 3410–3355
EURUSD Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Bearish drop?EUR/NZD has rejected off the pivot and could drop tothe 1st support.
Pivot: 1.92325
1st Support: 1.88101
1st Resistance: 1.93451
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 18.42633
1st Support: 18.12402
1st Resistance: 18.77859
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
XLMUSD - LongLong entry price at 0,2628 USD with a stop loss at 0,1985 USD.
Profit taking: 0,436 USD and 0,54 USD.
NVDA, CONFIRMED BAT, SWING TRADEWait for PA to pullback to VWAP after recent advance (100). VWAP may provide a good entry for a swing to TP2. Good risk to reward, stop just below lower band (light blue) loss = 1% of acct. 30% profit taking at TP1, exit at TP2 or if PA closes under TP1 after hitting TP1.
AUDUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Bearish Butterfly on the pet rock.pretty textbook if you ask me. Seems like they want some more noob moonboi liquidity before they REK you next month.
BABALICOUS OUTLOOK BABA is Super bullish on higher time frames.
Great entry at current prices.
A move to the $200 level is expected.
Lets see!
TRBUSDT Breakout from Falling Wedge — Next Stop $32+?🕊️ TRBUSDT breaks out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern with clean structure and increasing volume.
✅ Entry: $26.90 - 24.00
🔻 Invalidation: Below $22.50
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $32.63
TP2: $40.10
TP3: $48.95
The 100 EMA overhead may act as resistance, so watch how price reacts near $32.
Are you watching TRB? Let me know your thoughts below 👇
#TRBUSDT #Altcoins #BreakoutTrade #CryptoTrading #ChartPattern #FallingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendReversal #CryptoSignals
ETHUSDT Breakout — Reclaiming Structure, 1940 Next?📈 Ethereum breaks downtrend with strong daily candle reclaiming key structure at $1,679.
🔥 Volume confirms the move, and price now targets the next resistance levels:
TP1: $1,754
TP2: $1,846
TP3: $1,941
A retest of $1,679 would be healthy before continuation.
🚨 If bulls hold this level, we may be seeing early signs of a broader recovery.
Thoughts? Are you long ETH here or waiting for confirmation?
#ETH #Ethereum #Breakout #Trendline #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins #PriceAction #SupportResistance #ChartPatterns
USDMXN BULLISH FOR 27069 PIPS27,069 pips (43.769 USD/MXN) is unrealistic under normal conditions.
A 3,000-5,000 pip move (20.00-22.00) is possible in a crisis scenario.
Monitor Fed policy, Mexico’s politics, and oil prices for clues.
Crypto Total Market CapCrypto is currently below significant resistance that may turn to support once price breaks above the trendline and closes above. Price is in a channel which i believe will be broken to the upside. This break can lead to a tremendous amount of activity in the crypto world. Stay tuned as price climb to a new ATH.
Bitcoin UpdateCurrent Price: $91,160 (+4%)
📊Technical Overview
• 200-Day MA: $88,356 – BTC is trading above it → Bullish sign
• RSI: 78 – Overbought zone → Possible pullback
• Resistance: $90,000 – Key psychological level
• Support: $85,000 – Watch this level on retracement
On-Chain Insight
• Long-Term Holders: Some distribution happening → Profit-taking
• Network Activity: Steady → Healthy usage
• Sentiment: Bullish → Weak USD + institutional inflows
Macro & Fundamentals
• U.S.–China tensions + Fed uncertainty → BTC seen as safe haven
• Institutions are increasing their exposure → Positive market signal
Summary:
BTC shows strong bullish momentum, but RSI is overheated. Stay alert for potential short-term correction. Key levels: $85K support / $90K breakout.
GOLD 1H TIME FRAMEThis image is a price chart of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from the TradingView platform, showing data up to April 15, 2025. Let’s analyze it and explore possible price paths.
Chart Analysis:
Overall Trend and Trendlines:
The price is in a long-term uptrend (red ascending trendline at the bottom of the chart).
However, recently, the price has hit a resistance zone (red shaded area between 3360 and 3380) and is forming a Descending Triangle pattern. This pattern typically indicates a potential continuation of a downtrend or a breakout.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: The 3360 to 3380 zone, where the price has reacted multiple times and failed to break through consistently.
Support: The ascending trendline around 3300 and a horizontal level around 3280 (the lower boundary of the triangle).
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The descending triangle is formed with a horizontal resistance line (at 3360) and a descending support line (blue line). This pattern generally suggests selling pressure, making a downward breakout more likely, though an upward breakout is also possible.
Volume and Indicators:
Volume is not visible in the image, but if volume increases during a breakout, it can confirm the move.
The current price (3327.89) is near the triangle’s support line, indicating a potential for a significant price move (breakout) soon.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently near the triangle’s support (around 3320) and has formed a bearish candle. This could indicate selling pressure.
Possible Price Paths:
Based on the descending triangle pattern and the current price position, there are two main scenarios:
Scenario 1: Downward Breakout (Higher Probability)
If the price breaks below the triangle’s support (around 3320):
Price Target: The vertical height of the triangle (from the high at 3380 to the low at 3320 = approximately 60 units) is subtracted from the breakout point (3320). Thus, the target would be around 3260.
Path: The price could move toward the next support at 3280 and then to 3260.
Confirmation: A strong bearish candle with increased volume can confirm this scenario.
Scenario 2: Upward Breakout (Lower Probability)
If the price breaks above the triangle’s resistance (3360):
Price Target: The vertical height of the triangle (60 units) is added to the breakout point (3360). Thus, the target would be around 3420.
Path: The price could move toward the next resistance at 3400 and then to 3420.
Confirmation: A strong bullish candle with high volume can confirm this scenario.
Drawing Possible Paths:
Assuming the price moves from the current point (3327.89):
Downward Path (Breakout Down):
The price moves from 3320 to 3280 (horizontal support) and then to 3260 (triangle target).
Path: A straight line from 3327.89 to 3280, then to 3260.
Upward Path (Breakout Up):
The price moves from 3327.89 to 3360 (triangle resistance), breaks it, and heads toward 3400 and then 3420.
Path: A line from 3327.89 to 3360, then to 3400, and finally to 3420.
Recommendation:
Entry/Exit Points: If you plan to trade, wait for a confirmed breakout (with candle and volume confirmation). For a downward breakout, you can sell at 3320 with a stop loss at 3360 and a target of 3260. For an upward breakout, buy at 3360 with a stop loss at 3320 and a target of 3420.
Risk Management: Use proper risk management, as false breakouts are common in triangle patterns.
Beware of Bitcoin falling below 80K!Hello, traders
BTC has had a nice little bump over the last few days, but let's not forget that there is a massive profit taking crowd behind it. We are reaching the tip of the gravy train and now profit taking will take into effect. Candles are shorter and slope is less steeps. Can't say for sure, but it def looks like it will drop to 81k support levels, as no one in their right mind will be buying at the top. You've been warned! All the best, always do your own due diligence, and this may be a nice time to look into BTCZ (inverse)!
Gold selling plan!Gold prices have soared to a new record high of $3,500 per ounce, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and escalating concerns over Federal Reserve policies and trade tensions. The dollar index has fallen to 98.164, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge reflects a strong bullish sentiment, with traders buying into the rally despite traditional overbought indicators.
- Analysts are now eyeing a potential temporary pullback for gold and profit taking.
GOLD the retreat after hitting $3,500 is a natural market pause amid strong buying pressure, profit-taking, and technical overextension rather than a reversal of the bullish trend. The overall outlook remains positive, with gold continuing to benefit from safe-haven demand amid geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar has weakened amid political and economic uncertainties, making gold more attractive as an alternative store of value.
Trade War Fears: Escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China have increased economic uncertainty, prompting investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold.
President Trump’s Criticism of the Fed: Trump's attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and calls for rate cuts have unsettled markets, weakening the dollar and boosting gold demand.
Strong Momentum and Overbought Conditions: Gold’s rapid ascent has pushed technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory (around 79), which can lead to minor price pullbacks or consolidation but does not indicate a sustained sell-off.
