TUSDT Forming Descending Channel TUSDT is currently trading within a clearly defined descending channel pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal when identified in the right market context. After a prolonged period of correction, the price is now consolidating within the lower boundary of the channel, signaling that a potential breakout could be near. Historically, descending channels often precede strong bullish reversals, especially when accompanied by rising volume and increased investor interest—which we’re now starting to see in TUSDT.
The volume profile has remained consistently good during the consolidation phase, indicating that buyers are gradually absorbing supply at lower prices. This accumulation zone within the channel adds strength to the probability of a breakout. Once the upper resistance of the channel is breached with conviction, technical targets point toward a 60% to 70% move to the upside, making this a highly attractive setup for short-to-mid term traders.
Market sentiment is shifting, and as investor focus returns to quality altcoins, TUSDT’s setup becomes even more compelling. With more traders scanning for high-reward plays in the altcoin space, TUSDT's technical pattern places it in a strong position to capture breakout momentum. The alignment of price action, pattern structure, and investor participation creates a high-probability trading opportunity.
For those watching the altcoin market closely, TUSDT should be on the radar. A breakout from this descending channel could act as a catalyst for significant gains, aligning perfectly with the broader recovery trend forming in the crypto market.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Harmonic Patterns
Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Risk Premium Soars Sharply
(1) Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy Artery in Crisis
As the gateway for 20% of global crude oil transportation, every disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz grips market nerves. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has now deployed missile boats and mine-laying vessels at the strait's narrowest point (just 33 km). The UK Maritime Security Agency warns that Iran may adopt a "gradual blockade"—first causing shipping chaos through electronic jamming, then escalating to mine blockades.
Historical experience shows that even partial blockades can drive tanker insurance premiums up by over 900% and increase transportation costs by 50-100%. Current ultra-large crude carrier (VLCC) freight rates have risen 22% from last month, with many shipping companies evaluating routes around the Cape of Good Hope, which would extend Asian crude oil arrival times by 15-20 days.
(2) Supply Side: Production Increase Plans Meet Geopolitical Storm
Although OPEC+ plans to continue increasing production by 411,000 bpd in July, market focus has fully shifted to Middle East supply disruption risks. Iran currently maintains exports of 1.1 million bpd, but if the conflict escalates, this figure could drop to zero within 48 hours. More crucially, alternative export channels for Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other countries (such as the East-West Pipeline) have a total capacity of only 3.5 million bpd, unable to fully compensate for the shortfall from the Strait of Hormuz blockade.
U.S. shale oil also can't solve the urgent problem: although production just hit a record 9.33 million bpd, labor shortages and rising drilling costs have caused new well investments to fall by 12%, and analysts expect production growth to slow to below 3% in the second half of the year.
(3) Demand Side: Risk Aversion Overshadows Real Weakness
Despite U.S. gasoline demand hitting a five-year seasonal low and European imports falling 5.1% year-on-year, geopolitical risks have triggered panic buying. The near-month contract price of Shanghai crude oil futures jumped 12% this week, and the SC-WTI spread turned to a premium of $3.16/bbl for the first time, reflecting Asian market concerns about regional supply disruptions. More notably, Brent crude net long positions have increased to a ten-week high, with speculative funds wildly betting on geopolitical premiums.
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you
USOIL buy@74~74.5
SL:72
TP:75.5~76.5
USDCAD DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, with price currently pressing against the upper trendline resistance near 1.37300. This is a high-probability bullish reversal setup, and the pair is showing early signs of a potential breakout. The recent bullish momentum from the lows suggests buyers are stepping in aggressively, and if we get a strong daily close above the wedge, it could confirm the start of a new upward leg. My near-term target for this breakout is 1.47300, offering an excellent risk-reward profile.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar is currently under pressure due to weakening oil prices and softening domestic economic data. The Bank of Canada has recently signaled a dovish tilt following its latest rate cut in June, citing slower GDP growth and easing inflation. On the other hand, the US Dollar is finding renewed strength backed by sticky inflation and the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts. The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and BoC is creating a favorable environment for USDCAD bulls.
Technically, the confluence of wedge resistance, bullish divergence on the RSI, and a clear higher low formation all point toward a breakout scenario. A break above 1.37600–1.38000 would unlock the next wave of bullish continuation, potentially accelerating momentum toward the 1.47 handle. This area also aligns with the previous March highs, making it a strong technical magnet.
I remain bullish on USDCAD and will be watching the breakout closely this week. If the pair holds above 1.36800 and breaks structure convincingly, I’ll be adding to longs on confirmation. The current setup presents a textbook breakout opportunity supported by strong fundamentals, technical structure, and market sentiment leaning in favor of the USD.
Gold price range is 3350-3400, brewing directionGold price range is 3350-3400, brewing direction
In-depth analysis of the gold market in June 2025: the latest developments and tomorrow's trend forecast
As of June 22, 2025:
The international gold market presents the characteristics of "high volatility and upward center movement", and the price continues to fluctuate under the influence of multiple factors.
The latest London spot gold price is around US$3376/ounce, down about 3.5% from the high of US$3500 in early June, but still in the historical high range. , showing strong resistance to decline.
Market sentiment changes:
The current gold market sentiment has shifted from "risk aversion" to "policy wait-and-see", and investors are re-evaluating the Fed's monetary policy path and geopolitical risk premium.
It is worth noting that although short-term risk aversion demand has cooled, long-term supporting factors (such as central bank gold purchases and de-dollarization trends) remain solid, making the gold price correction relatively limited.
Analysis of capital flows:
From the perspective of capital, the market shows obvious differentiation.
On the one hand, the holdings of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, have declined slightly recently, indicating that some institutional investors have chosen to take profits;
On the other hand, retail investment demand (gold bars, gold coins) remains strong, and emerging market central banks (especially China and India) continue to increase their gold reserves, providing a solid bottom support for the market.
This game between institutions and retail investors, short-term funds and long-term funds, is an important reason for the current volatility in the gold market.
Geopolitical risk premium remains a key catalyst for short-term gold price fluctuations.
In early June, Israel launched an air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, which led to a sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East, pushing gold prices up more than 3.5% in a single week, breaking through $3,440/ounce.
The expectation that the Strait of Hormuz may be closed has further exacerbated market concerns about disruptions in the energy supply chain, stimulating a large amount of safe-haven funds to flow into the gold market.
However, there have been signs of marginal easing in the recent situation:
Israel has revised its hostage negotiation plan, direct conflict between Iran and Israel has been suspended, and the Trump administration has issued a statement on whether to intervene in the conflict (to be decided within two weeks), temporarily alleviating market concerns about a full-scale war.
The fluctuation of this geopolitical tension directly leads to the "ebb but not exit" feature of the gold safe-haven premium.
It is worth noting that geopolitical risks have not completely subsided. The continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the uncertainty of the US election, and the "proxy war" (such as the attack on merchant ships in the Red Sea by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen) are still ongoing. These factors may push up the demand for safe-haven again in the future.
The monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is another core dimension that affects the gold market.
On June 19, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the upper limit of the federal funds rate at 4.5%, and the policy statement did not release a clear signal of interest rate cuts.
This decision directly stimulated the rapid rise of the US dollar index, and the US Treasury yields rose simultaneously. The market's expectations for "high interest rates to be maintained for a longer period of time" have increased, and gold, as an interest-free asset, has been under obvious short-term pressure.
However, the Fed's statement on "uncertainty in the economic outlook" still leaves room. If the subsequent inflation declines less than expected or the job market cools down, the expectation of interest rate cuts this year may ferment again.
At present, the market's expectations for the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year have dropped from 3 times to 1-2 times
The risk of the US dollar credit system provides long-term support logic for gold.
The scale of US debt has exceeded the 40 trillion US dollar mark, and coupled with the uncertainty of tariff policies, the credit of the US dollar continues to be challenged.
Against this background, the global trend of "de-dollarization" has accelerated, and central banks of various countries have actively increased their gold reserves.
The European Central Bank report shows that gold accounts for 20% of global reserve assets, surpassing the euro to become the second largest reserve asset.
The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 7 consecutive months, with reserves reaching 73.83 million ounces at the end of May. The market speculates that China's hidden gold reserves may exceed 5,000 tons.
This structural change has gradually transformed gold from a simple commodity attribute to a strategic reserve asset of "stateless currency", providing solid support for its long-term value.
Technical analysis and key price levels
Table: Overview of key technical price levels of gold (as of June 22, 2025)
Technical price level type International gold price (US dollars/ounce) Importance
Short-term support level 3350 ★★★★
Key support level 3300 ★★★★★
Medium-term support level 3250-3260 ★★★★
Short-term resistance level 3380-3400 ★★★★
Key resistance level 3450 ★★★★★
Historical resistance level 3500 ★★★
Comprehensive technical analysis shows that gold is in a sensitive window period of "geo-premium fading" and "interest rate cut expectation game".
The breakthrough of key price levels requires triple verification:
1: Technical volume stabilizes
2: Fundamental event driven
3: Fundamental position coordination.
Investors should pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the core range of 3350-3400 gold prices, which will determine the short-term and even medium-term trend of gold.
The escalation and easing of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East constitute the most significant price driving factor in the gold market in June. The market will pay close attention to the minutes of the July Federal Reserve meeting and the US CPI data, which may become the catalyst for the next wave of gold trends9.
Tomorrow's market Tomorrow's gold market will be affected by the technical key positions, the fermentation of potential events over the weekend, and the adjustment of institutional positions, and the volatility may remain high.
Baseline scenario (probability 55%): Gold prices fluctuate and consolidate in the range of US$3350-3400.
The triggering conditions of this scenario include:
The geopolitical situation has not deteriorated or eased significantly, the market continues to digest the impact of the Fed's "stabilization" policy, and no major economic data is released.
Technical aspects:
The support level of US$3,350 and the resistance level of US$3,400 will constitute the short-term volatility boundary, and bulls and bears may engage in a tug-of-war in this range.
If the gold price sustains above $3,380 (daily bull-bear dividing line), it will show a bullish directional fluctuation and if it falls below $3,360, it will show a bullish directional fluctuation.
Potential Reversal Setup on CAD/CHF as CHF Strength PeaksThe CAD/CHF pair has been under sustained bearish pressure, reaching historic lows amid continued CHF strength. The ongoing U.S. trade and tariff tensions have heightened global uncertainty, driving investors toward safe-haven currencies like the Swiss franc. In contrast, the Canadian dollar remains sensitive to risk sentiment and commodity demand, amplifying the pair's downside.
Technically, CAD/CHF has been trading within a well-defined **descending channel**, respecting both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries. After reaching the lower boundary of this channel — which coincides with a major historical support level — the pair is now showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal:
If the pair can hold this level and break above the midline or upper resistance of the channel, it could open the door for a corrective move to the upside. Key resistance levels to watch include
As always, any bullish move will depend on how global risk sentiment evolves in response to trade developments.
Geopolitical Landscape: Gold on a Powder Keg Geopolitical Landscape: Gold on a Powder Keg
1.1 Escalating U.S.-Iran Conflict Ignites Gold's Safe-Haven Demand
Trump claimed the U.S. had successfully destroyed three Iranian nuclear facilities, but Iran swiftly responded that it had evacuated the sites in advance, suffering no major losses. This incident has fueled market fears of further Middle East tensions. Iran has even vowed to target U.S. forces and citizens as legitimate objectives, launching large-scale retaliatory strikes against Israel.
Currently, the U.S. has deployed three carrier strike groups in the Middle East—the Nimitz, Carl Vinson, and Ford—forming a formidable military deterrence. Meanwhile, Iran has demonstrated its missile capabilities by firing multiple rounds of ballistic missiles at Israel, including at least one armed with a cluster bomb warhead, significantly raising the threat level.
Such tense geopolitics provide strong safe-haven support for gold. Historical experience shows that gold often becomes investors' top safe-haven asset when military conflict risks emerge in the Middle East. However, the market is divided on the conflict's actual impact: while some fear escalation driving funds into gold, others hope diplomatic talks will ease tensions, potentially prompting partial capital withdrawal for wait-and-see.
On the daily chart, the green bars of the MACD indicator have shortened for three consecutive days, suggesting bearish momentum is waning. These technical signals indicate gold may be accumulating rebound energy after a period of decline. Whether a successful rebound occurs, however, depends on effectively breaking through the resistance level of $3,390/oz.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD buy@3370~3380
SL:3350
TP:3390~3400
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Can we look for longs on XAUUSD? my MTF POVHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
APLAPOLLO - retest phase?APL Apollo – Chart Analysis
The structure is quite clear:
Price consolidated within a tight range for nearly 2 years.
This was followed by a strong breakout accompanied by a notable volume spike.
Currently, the stock appears to be in the retest phase of the breakout zone.
Fundamental Trigger:
📢 APL Apollo Q4 Results: Net profit up 72% YoY; Board approves ₹1,500 Cr capex plan.
What’s next?
Will the retest hold and lead to the next leg up?
Let me know your thoughts 👇
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 41)We are entering week 12 since the market signaled it's lowest point of 2025...and the 2nd week of the upper level consolidation between the last Daily Low and the current daily High...
This was confirmed by the the daily consolidation point created by the lowest point of last week on Thursday at 9:49 am... (See M1 Chart)
The market then bought 4,700 for a nice consolidatory trend move in favor of the bulls.
This was followed up with a quick hard sell which is expected in consolidated market such as we have.
There will be lot's of great opportunities favoring buyers and sellers, however the main moves for me are always the buys from my largest HL and the market has proven that over the last 11 weeks the lows have been intact.
Just remember any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to another HL on the largest timeframe.
I do not react to news as the market only trades the defined structure...any craziness that happens in the world only creates volatility within an already established market structure.
So for this week...it's business as usual...I wait for my next entry at the HL just below 21449.0 or at the next confirmed HL.
Happy trading...
My strategy is and will always be:
HL's to HH's Guaranteed!
#oneauberstrategy
VANARY UPDATE FOR 2025 🔥 $VANRY long setup (1 D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $0.020 – $0.0241 (2025 demand + wedge apex)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $0.08 (Q4-24 supply flip)
• TP-2: $0.125 (Mar-24 breakdown block)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $0.016
📊 Thesis
• Vanar → first AI-native L1: built-in models & on-chain data 🤖
• Proof-of-Reputation consensus = fast, green & Sybil-resistant 🌿
• Gaming & metaverse pivot: Virtua, VGN & NVIDIA partner titles 🎮
• illumine NFT Studio & multichain minting live
• ERC-20 VANRY bridged to Ethereum & Polygon for DeFi liquidity 🌉
• Super-low fixed gas + carbon-neutral infra = retail-ready UX
• NVIDIA, Emirates Digital Wallet & Viva Studios strategic partners
DOLLAR INDEXThe relationship between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the 10-year US Treasury yield is generally positive but has shown signs of weakening and occasional breakdowns recently.
Key Points:
Typical Positive Correlation:
Historically, when the 10-year Treasury yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen, and when yields fall, the dollar weakens. This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar. Conversely, lower yields reduce dollar appeal.
Mechanism:
The 10-year yield reflects investor expectations about inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve policy. Higher yields often signal stronger growth or inflation, supporting a stronger dollar due to higher real returns on US assets.
Recent Weakening of Correlation:
Since early 2025, this positive correlation has weakened significantly. Despite rising 10-year yields (around 4.4% to 4.5%), the DXY has hovered near the 98–99 range and even declined over 10% year-to-date. This divergence is attributed to:
Investors re-evaluating the dollar’s reserve currency status and shifting capital to other markets (e.g., European equities).
Outflows from US assets amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Asynchronous monetary policy cycles globally, with some central banks hiking or cutting rates at different paces than the Fed.
Market Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows:
In times of stress, the dollar’s traditional role as a safe haven can be challenged, further complicating the yield-dollar relationship.
Conclusion
While the 10-year Treasury yield and the US dollar index usually move together, recent market dynamics have disrupted this pattern. Rising yields have not translated into a stronger dollar in 2025, reflecting broader shifts in investor sentiment, geopolitical risks, and global monetary policy divergence.