Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis
(1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More
The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S. gas stations (crude oil inventories) saw a sudden sharp drop in supplies last week—ending June 13, inventories fell by 11.473 million barrels, the largest decline since November last year. A closer look reveals that refineries produced more gasoline, with inventories jumping by over 5 million barrels, indicating robust oil refining but weak consumer demand for gasoline, suggesting a supply glut.
Additionally, U.S. shale oil wells may be facing headwinds. Reports suggest that U.S. shale oil production might peak in the second quarter of this year and then gradually decline in the second half. This is analogous to farmers planting fewer crops when vegetable prices are low—oil wells reduce extraction when oil prices are deemed unprofitable.
(2) Demand Side: Summer Arrives, but Where Are the Fuel-Hungry Cars?
Logically, with summer in the Northern Hemisphere, more people driving for trips should mean a peak season for gasoline demand. But reality shows U.S. gasoline demand has dropped to its lowest level for this period in five years, akin to an ice cream shop seeing fewer customers in summer. Europe’s situation is grimmer, with crude oil imports down 5.1% year on year, as they aggressively develop clean energy like wind and solar power, reducing dependence on oil.
There’s also the U.S. dollar factor. Although the dollar weakened slightly last Friday (the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.16%), it remains relatively strong overall. This is like shopping where the price tag stays the same, but your money buys less, making purchases feel costlier. As a result, other countries may cut back on U.S. dollar-denominated crude oil purchases.
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you
USOIL sell@74.5~75
SL:76
TP:73.5~73
Harmonic Patterns
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youWhen Bitcoin prices dip to $101,900—despite the prevailing bearish sentiment—a rational long-position strategy can still be formulated by weighing long-term investment value against potential short-term rebound opportunities. The analysis below covers entry timing, position management, and risk control.
I. Entry Timing Judgment
(1) Technical Signals
Monitor price performance around $101,900. Potential long entry signals include:
1. **Confirmation of bottom patterns**: When prices consolidate near this level to form double bottoms, triple bottoms, or other base structures, and the trading volume during the second/third retest is notably lower than previous attempts—indicating weakening selling pressure. For example, if a double bottom forms near $101,900 with 30% less volume in the second retest than the first, this signals a preliminary entry point.
2. **Technical indicator crossovers**: Track metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages (MA). A long signal strengthens when:
- RSI breaks above 50 from oversold territory (below 30).
- The 5-day MA crosses above the 10-day MA (golden cross).
- Price breaks through short-term resistance (e.g., $102,500) alongside moderate volume expansion.
(2) News Catalysts
Macro events and industry trends are critical for timing:
1. **Fed dovish signals**: Clues of earlier rate cuts or reduced hiking expectations—boosting market liquidity and benefiting Bitcoin. Align such news with technical signals to enhance long-position reliability.
2. **Cryptocurrency sector tailwinds**: Developments like progress on U.S. stablecoin legislation, relaxed global regulatory policies, or breakthroughs in real-world adoption (e.g., more enterprises accepting Bitcoin payments, higher settlement ratios) can reignite value reassessment. If prices stabilize near $101,900 amid such news, consider entering long positions.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~106000
Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers'Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers' Pressure
When the U.S. Nimitz Carrier Strike Group arrived in the Arabian Sea as scheduled on June 22, forming a dual-carrier deployment with the Carl Vinson, London gold spot prices fell slightly by 0.04% to $3,367.09/oz—a phenomenon of "gold prices falling instead of rising under the shadow of war" that is rewriting the market's traditional response model to geopolitical conflicts. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has just announced that "military operation targets against Iran have been completed ahead of schedule," while the U.S. has released news of "deciding whether to join the war within the next 48 hours." Meanwhile, the UK's twin aircraft carrier battle groups have passed through the Suez Canal, with five aircraft carriers gathering in the Middle East—a military deployment comparable to the troop buildup before the 2003 Iraq War.
However, market calm stems from two contradictory signals: on one hand, news that Iraq's "Hizbullah Brigades" threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz (accounting for one-third of global oil tanker traffic) panicked energy markets; on the other hand, although Iran-Europe nuclear talks made no substantive breakthrough, they released a de-escalation signal of "negotiations upon Israel's ceasefire." This tug-of-war between "military escalation and diplomatic de-escalation" has led to a "partial realization" of gold's safe-haven demand—similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure of the exact time, so you buy an umbrella but don't open it immediately.
Key data anchors: Israeli airstrikes have destroyed 40% of Iran's missile launchers, and Iran's retaliatory strike on Israel's "cyber capital" Beer Sheva on the 20th used 35% fewer missiles than last week. This "decrease in attack intensity" is interpreted by the market as an expectation of a "short-term war," causing gold ETF holdings to decline by 2.3% month-on-month.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3380~3390
SL:3410
TP:3370~3360
ETH PLAN FOR 2025🔥 CRYPTOCAP:ETH long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $2 280 – $2200 (multi-month demand)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $3 000 (macro range mid)
• TP-2: $3 400 (2024 breakdown line)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $2050
📊 Thesis
• SEC-approved spot-ETH ETFs now trade on NYSE/Nasdaq 🏛️
• >35 M ETH staked (≈29 % supply) tightening float
• Dencun’s EIP-4844 slashed L2 fees ~90 % ⚡
• EigenLayer restaking TVL > $20 B 📈
• Pectra upgrade brings account abstraction & wallet UX overhaul
• ETH supply net-deflationary since EIP-1559 🔥
• Danksharding next → massive roll-up throughput
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Breakdown in Play (4H)BTC has lost key support at $103,573 on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking down from the recent consolidation zone. The rejection from the lower highs and weakening RSI suggest more downside pressure ahead.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken: $103,573 (now acting as resistance)
Current Price: $102,246
Next Key Support Zones:
$101,410 (short-term bounce zone)
$97,340 – critical horizontal support
$93,343 – potential deeper flush area
Resistance to Watch:
$103,573 (retest = short opportunity)
$105,807 (major rejection zone)
Short Setup (Signal Style):
Short Entry: ~$103,500 (if retested)
Stoploss: Above $105,800
Targets:
TP1: $101,400
TP2: $97,300
TP3: $93,300
Final Note:
Trend remains bearish below $103.5K. Bulls need to reclaim that level fast or further downside becomes likely.
Not financial advice. DYOR.
Trump:New update(don't miss it)hello friends👋
This time we came with the analysis of Trump's famous coin meme, which you requested a lot.
Well, as you can see, by making a double floor, the price has broken its downward channel and has grown well.
After the price growth, we saw the price suffering and then the price correction, which caused the formation of an upward pattern.
Now, according to the successful formation of this ascending pattern, it should be seen whether the buyers support the price in the specified support areas or not...
Pay attention that our trend is upward and the pattern made also shows an upward trend, that's why we have identified the support areas for you to enter the transaction step by step with risk and capital management.
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*Trade safely with us*
Us500:What is going to happen?hello friends👋
This time we are here with the analysis of us500, an important and vital index in the market that is being talked about a lot these days.
Well, let's go to the analysis, you will see that with the drop we had, a lower floor was made and the price was quickly supported and pumped by buyers.
Now it is clear that an ascending pattern has been formed, which is a very strong support in the specified area and a good buying point that you can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management.
Note that if the floor is broken and the stop loss is placed, our bullish pattern becomes invalid and we have to wait for lower floors.
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*Trade safely with us*
Dogs:Where is the time and point of purchase?hello friends👋
We come to another analysis, this time a popular coin meme that you requested a lot🔥
Well, let me start with the pattern that we specified for you, which is a sign of a price drop, and you can see this happening...
Now, in the important support areas that we have specified for you, you can buy step by step, of course, with risk and capital management.💰
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*Trade safely with us*
Xrp:The fate of Ripple in the long termhello friends👋
After a good price growth that we had, you can see that the buyers gradually exited and a triangle pattern was formed.
Now, according to the specified support, it should be seen whether buyers support Ripple or not...
You have to wait and nothing can be said until the failure of the pattern, but we suggest that you buy step by step with capital and risk management in the identified areas that are very good supports and move to the set goals.
And in the end, we must say that don't forget that we are in a strong upward trend, that the probability of the continuation of the Bister trend is the possibility of a fall...
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*Trade safely with us*
10 YEAR JAPANESE GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD JGB10Y1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield and Price
The 10-year Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yield is around 1.40% to 1.52% in mid-2025, recently easing slightly to about 1.40% on June 20, 2025.
This yield level is significantly higher than the near-zero levels seen in previous years but remains low by global standards.
The bond price for the 10-year JGB hovers near 99.6 to 100, reflecting the inverse relationship with yields (as yields rise, bond prices fall slightly).
Japan’s bond yields have been rising steadily since 2022, reflecting market concerns about inflation, fiscal sustainability, and monetary policy shifts.
2. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Interest Rate Policy
The official BoJ short-term policy rate is currently at 0.50%, up from negative territory (-0.10%) a year ago.
The BoJ has maintained a very accommodative monetary policy stance but has started to allow some upward flexibility in long-term yields, including the 10-year JGB yield, moving away from strict yield curve control.
The BoJ is also considering buying back some super-long government bonds to stabilize the market amid rising yields.
3. Relationship Between Bond Yields, Prices, and JPY Strength
Bond yields and prices have an inverse relationship: as yields rise (reflecting higher interest rates or inflation expectations), bond prices fall.
JPY Strength is influenced by several factors related to bond yields and interest rates:
Rising Japanese bond yields tend to support a stronger yen, as higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns.
However, Japan’s yields remain much lower than those of other major economies (e.g., US 10-year yield ~4.4%), which limits yen appreciation.
The BoJ’s accommodative policy and yield curve control have historically kept yields low, suppressing JPY strength relative to currencies like USD.
Recent yield increases and policy shifts have led to some yen appreciation, but trade and geopolitical factors also play significant roles.
The trade deficit narrowing and ongoing trade talks with the US may also impact the yen’s value.
Conclusion
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield has risen modestly to around 1.4%, reflecting gradual monetary policy normalization by the BoJ, which still maintains a very low short-term interest rate of 0.5%. This yield increase supports some yen strength by attracting capital inflows, although the yen remains sensitive to global yield differentials and trade dynamics. Bond prices have adjusted accordingly, declining slightly as yields rose. The BoJ’s interventions, including potential bond buybacks, aim to manage market volatility amid these shifts.
JGB 10-Year vs. AU 10-Year Bond Yield Differential and Related Concepts
1. Current Yield Differential (June 2025)
The Australia 10-Year Government Bond yield is approximately 4.33% to 4.32% (recently around 4.31%).
The Japan 10-Year Government Bond (JGB) yield is about 1.40% to 1.52%, with recent figures near 1.40%.
This results in a yield spread (Australia minus Japan) of roughly 278 to 365 basis points (2.78% to 3.65%), meaning Australian 10Y bonds yield significantly more than Japanese 10Y bonds.
2. Carry Trade and Yield Differential
The carry trade involves borrowing in a low-yield currency (e.g., Japanese yen) and investing in a high-yield currency (e.g., Australian dollar) to profit from the interest rate differential.
Given the large yield spread (~3%), investors can earn positive carry by borrowing JPY at low rates (~0.5%) and investing in AUD bonds yielding above 4%.
However, carry trade profits depend on currency movements: if the AUD depreciates against the JPY, gains can be eroded or losses incurred.
3. Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP)
UIP theory states that the expected change in exchange rates offsets interest rate differentials, implying no arbitrage profits from carry trades.
For example, if Australian yields are 3% higher than Japanese yields, the AUD is expected to depreciate approximately 3% versus the JPY over the investment horizon.
Empirically, UIP often fails in the short term, allowing carry trade profits, but tends to hold over the long term.
4. Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIP)
CIP states that the forward exchange rate between two currencies should reflect the interest rate differential, eliminating arbitrage opportunities via forward contracts.
In practice, CIP generally holds in developed markets, meaning investors can hedge currency risk using forward contracts, locking in the carry trade return minus hedging costs.
Deviations from CIP can occur but are usually small and short-lived in major currency pairs like AUD/JPY.
Summary Table
Aspect Details
Australia 10Y Yield ~4.31%
Japan 10Y Yield ~1.40%
Yield Spread (AU - JGB) ~2.78% to 3.65% (278–365 basis points)
Carry Trade Borrow JPY at low rates, invest in AUD for yield pickup
UIP Exchange rate expected to depreciate AUD by yield diff.
CIP Forward rates reflect interest differential, hedging possible
Implications for Investors and Markets
The large yield differential incentivizes carry trades from JPY to AUD, contributing to capital flows and exchange rate dynamics.
Short-term carry trade profits arise due to UIP deviations but are subject to currency risk.
CIP arbitrage ensures that hedged carry trades have limited risk-free profits, but unhedged positions carry exchange rate exposure.
Central bank policies, geopolitical events, and market sentiment can cause fluctuations in yields and exchange rates, impacting carry trade viability.
#BOJ
Ethereum Classic:Buying opportunity?hello friends 👋
Considering the price drop we had, you can see that buyers are coming in less and less in the support areas that we specified for you, and this can be a good signal to buy in these areas step by step with capital and risk management and move to the specified goals.
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*Trade safely with us*
uraniumThe 10-year Treasury bond yield plays a significant role in the energy markets, including uranium, by influencing financing costs, investment decisions, and broader economic sentiment, which in turn affect uranium demand and pricing dynamics.
Significance of the 10-Year Bond Yield in Uranium and Energy Markets:
Benchmark for Financing Costs
The 10-year Treasury yield serves as a benchmark for long-term borrowing costs for utilities and mining companies involved in uranium production and nuclear energy infrastructure.
Higher yields increase the cost of capital, potentially delaying or raising the cost of new uranium mine developments and nuclear plant investments. Conversely, lower yields reduce financing costs, supporting expansion and production.
Indicator of Economic and Inflation Expectations
Rising 10-year yields often signal expectations of stronger economic growth and inflation, which can boost energy demand, including uranium for nuclear power generation.
Declining yields typically reflect economic caution or slowdown, which may temper energy demand growth.
Impact on Utility Procurement Behavior
As uranium accounts for only about 5–10% of nuclear power generation costs, utilities prioritize securing supply to avoid operational disruptions, even at higher prices.
When bond yields are stable or falling (indicating lower financing costs and economic uncertainty), utilities are more likely to lock in long-term uranium contracts aggressively, driving prices higher.
Recent market conditions with the 10-year yield around 4.5% have coincided with utilities purchasing uranium in record quantities, pushing prices to 15-year highs.
Geopolitical and Supply Risk Amplification
The uranium market is sensitive to geopolitical risks, especially given that over half of global uranium supply and processing is controlled by countries within Russia’s sphere of influence.
Rising bond yields amid geopolitical tensions can increase risk premiums on uranium prices as investors and utilities seek supply security.
Investor Confidence and Capital Flows
The 10-year Treasury yield reflects investor confidence and risk appetite. Higher yields can attract capital away from commodities toward fixed income, potentially dampening speculative interest in uranium.
Conversely, lower yields can boost commodity investment appeal as investors seek higher returns, supporting uranium prices.
In essence, the 10-year Treasury yield is a crucial macro-financial gauge that indirectly shapes uranium market dynamics by affecting financing, demand expectations, and risk perceptions, thereby influencing uranium prices and investment decisions in the energy sector.
Key Use Cases of Uranium
Uranium serves critical functions across multiple sectors:
Nuclear Energy Fuel for commercial reactors generating electricity which Provides 10% of global electricity with low carbon emissions
Medical Isotopes ,the Production of radioisotopes (e.g., Technetium-99m) Enables cancer diagnostics and treatment through PET scans
the Military/Defense use uranium for Nuclear weapons , naval propulsion systems and the Powering of submarines and aircraft carriers
Space Exploration using Nuclear thermal propulsion with Potential fuel for long-duration space missions.
Scientific Research and Geological dating and particle physics which Studies earth's age and fundamental particles all apply uranium .
Demand drivers:
72 new nuclear reactors under construction globally (as of 2025)
Medical isotope market growth (7.2% CAGR projected)
Space agency investments in nuclear propulsion
Investment Considerations
Price volatility: Uranium spot prices impact producer profitability but long-term contracts provide stability
Sector-specific risks: Regulatory constraints, waste management challenges, and geopolitical factors affect uranium investments
Growth areas: Small modular reactors (SMRs) and radioisotope production represent emerging opportunities
Conclusion: Uranium's value stems from its diverse applications in energy, medicine, defense, and science. While no dedicated "uranium bond" exists, the sector's performance is reflected in mining stocks and long-term contracts. The metal's fundamental importance in clean energy and advanced technology underpins its long-term market position.
URANIUMThe 10-year Treasury bond yield plays a significant role in the energy markets, including uranium, by influencing financing costs, investment decisions, and broader economic sentiment, which in turn affect uranium demand and pricing dynamics.
Significance of the 10-Year Bond Yield in Uranium and Energy Markets:
Benchmark for Financing Costs
The 10-year Treasury yield serves as a benchmark for long-term borrowing costs for utilities and mining companies involved in uranium production and nuclear energy infrastructure.
Higher yields increase the cost of capital, potentially delaying or raising the cost of new uranium mine developments and nuclear plant investments. Conversely, lower yields reduce financing costs, supporting expansion and production.
Indicator of Economic and Inflation Expectations
Rising 10-year yields often signal expectations of stronger economic growth and inflation, which can boost energy demand, including uranium for nuclear power generation.
Declining yields typically reflect economic caution or slowdown, which may temper energy demand growth.
Impact on Utility Procurement Behavior
As uranium accounts for only about 5–10% of nuclear power generation costs, utilities prioritize securing supply to avoid operational disruptions, even at higher prices.
When bond yields are stable or falling (indicating lower financing costs and economic uncertainty), utilities are more likely to lock in long-term uranium contracts aggressively, driving prices higher.
Recent market conditions with the 10-year yield around 4.5% have coincided with utilities purchasing uranium in record quantities, pushing prices to 15-year highs.
Geopolitical and Supply Risk Amplification
The uranium market is sensitive to geopolitical risks, especially given that over half of global uranium supply and processing is controlled by countries within Russia’s sphere of influence.
Rising bond yields amid geopolitical tensions can increase risk premiums on uranium prices as investors and utilities seek supply security.
Investor Confidence and Capital Flows
The 10-year Treasury yield reflects investor confidence and risk appetite. Higher yields can attract capital away from commodities toward fixed income, potentially dampening speculative interest in uranium.
Conversely, lower yields can boost commodity investment appeal as investors seek higher returns, supporting uranium prices.
In essence, the 10-year Treasury yield is a crucial macro-financial gauge that indirectly shapes uranium market dynamics by affecting financing, demand expectations, and risk perceptions, thereby influencing uranium prices and investment decisions in the energy sector.
Key Use Cases of Uranium
Uranium serves critical functions across multiple sectors:
Nuclear Energy Fuel for commercial reactors generating electricity which Provides 10% of global electricity with low carbon emissions
Medical Isotopes ,the Production of radioisotopes (e.g., Technetium-99m) Enables cancer diagnostics and treatment through PET scans
the Military/Defense use uranium for Nuclear weapons , naval propulsion systems and the Powering of submarines and aircraft carriers
Space Exploration using Nuclear thermal propulsion with Potential fuel for long-duration space missions.
Scientific Research and Geological dating and particle physics which Studies earth's age and fundamental particles all apply uranium .
Demand drivers:
72 new nuclear reactors under construction globally (as of 2025)
Medical isotope market growth (7.2% CAGR projected)
Space agency investments in nuclear propulsion
Investment Considerations
Price volatility: Uranium spot prices impact producer profitability but long-term contracts provide stability
Sector-specific risks: Regulatory constraints, waste management challenges, and geopolitical factors affect uranium investments
Growth areas: Small modular reactors (SMRs) and radioisotope production represent emerging opportunities
Conclusion: Uranium's value stems from its diverse applications in energy, medicine, defense, and science. While no dedicated "uranium bond" exists, the sector's performance is reflected in mining stocks and long-term contracts. The metal's fundamental importance in clean energy and advanced technology underpins its long-term market position.
DECISION TIMEXLM had a beautiful falling wedge
pattern that actually broke up and
out of the wedge however it failed
to hold the back test of support.
What does this mean? Well...in
layman terms...we are headed for
lower price action. You see....ladies
and gentlemen...it's quite clear to
me the BTC maxi's are keeping BTC
dominance high in order to keep
wrecking your XLM trade. So...sit
back and relax. Let these next moves
come to you. Don't fret. Put in a spot
trade @ .19 cents and wait for the mother
of all trades to come in at around .11 cents
I will be going ALL IN on a 5x leverage trade
once we hit the lower target. Take care!
********** HAPPY XLM HUNTING ***********
XAUUSD Trading Signals: Buy Dips at 3335-3345 Amid Bear Trap💡 Trading Framework In-Depth Analysis:
The Fed's policy statement failed to stir volatility (markets had fully priced in dovish expectations 💨);
Weekly market pattern: Asian sessions consistently saw rallies 📈, followed by profit-taking pullbacks in subsequent sessions 📉;
Tactical entry logic: Use intraday highs in Asian trading as resistance references for long positions 🎯.
📊 Technical Validation & Risk Anchors
⚠️ Key Warning: Geopolitical bullish signals ignored → classic "bear trap" characteristics (bear trap 🚫);
⏳ Timing Strategy: Asian session highs form ideal resistance levels—recommend entering on pullbacks to the 38.2% Fibonacci support level 🎯.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD Precision Trading Signals ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Long Entry Range: 3335-3345 (stop loss can be set below 3325)
🚀 Take-Profit Target Range: 3360-3370 (partial profit-taking at first target 3360 recommended)
📢 Service Value-Added Notes
✅ Core trading signals updated daily in the morning (validated across 4-hour/daily double-timeframes);
✅ Refer to signal logic at any time during trading for sudden situations 🧭 (with historical win-rate statistics attached);
🌟 Wishing you smooth trading Next week — seize pullback opportunities to position 👇
XAUUSD – Weak consolidation near 3,357, eyes on 3,443 retestYesterday, gold traded within the 3,344 to 3,371 USD range and closed at 3,368.75 USD (+0.72%). Despite the slight rebound, price action remains weakly consolidative within a broad ascending channel, repeatedly rejected at the 3,443 USD resistance area — where multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
On the H4 chart, price is holding above the key confluence support at 3,357 USD, which aligns with the medium-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a technical bounce back toward 3,443 USD is likely.
However, it's worth noting that recent upward moves have lost momentum near the upper FVG zones. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation signal — particularly a strong bullish candle at the current support — before considering entry.
#INJ/USDT#INJ
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward move with a breakout.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.04263, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
Entry price: 10.70
First target: 11.11
Second target: 11.43
Third target: 11.86
His name is Monero- Despite numerous attempts by various projects to create private coins or tokens, none have succeeded meaningfully.
- Monero is the Bitcoin of the darknet. They can delist it or try to kill it, but Monero is here to stay.
- With rising concerns over privacy and the inevitable push toward CBDCs, the next bullish cycle could drive XMR to a new ATH, $1,000 is a realistic target, not a fantasy.
- Everything you need is in the chart. This is not financial advice, buy only when you believe the time is right.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps youNext Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis
(1) Price Movement and Market Sentiment
The crude oil market on last Friday (June 21) resembled a roller coaster that slightly dipped at the end. WTI crude oil futures closed at $74.93 per barrel, down 0.28% from the previous day, but still up 2.67% for the entire week; Brent crude oil fell more, dropping 2.33% to close at $77.01 per barrel. This is analogous to driving uphill, slightly sliding back near the peak but still trending upward overall. Investors now have mixed feelings: while worrying that escalating Middle East tensions will push oil prices higher, they also believe the U.S. may not intervene in the conflict immediately, so oil prices may not rise temporarily. As a result, everyone is on the sidelines, hesitant to trade.
(2) Geopolitics: Where is the Switch on the Powder Keg?
The Middle East is now like a barrel filled with gunpowder, and whether the U.S. will throw a match has become crucial. Israel and Iran are still attacking each other—Israel bombed Iran's gas fields, and Iran struck Israel's refineries. More tensely, the U.S. said it would decide whether to join the conflict in the next two weeks, and five aircraft carriers have already headed to the Middle East, like placing a lighter beside the powder keg, ready to ignite the fire at any moment. However, the market thought the U.S. might not take action immediately last Friday, so oil prices fell slightly first.
There is also the critical Strait of Hormuz. Iran has been threatening to block it. If it actually does, 20% of global maritime crude oil transportation will be affected, and oil prices may soar like a rocket. Now the market is like watching a suspense movie, not knowing when Iran will press the "blockade" button or talk about a ceasefire with Europe.
Next week's crude oil market will swing between geopolitical risks and supply-demand changes. If Middle East conflicts ease, the impact of OPEC+ production increases may emerge, and oil prices may fall; if conflicts escalate, especially if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices may rise sharply. Investors should flexibly adjust their trading strategies according to the actual market conditions and not stubbornly adhere to one view. At the same time, it is necessary to stay calm, not be affected by short-term market fluctuations, and avoid making impulsive trading decisions.
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you
USOIL sell@74.5~75
SL:76
TP:73.5~73